Canning Vale - East
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Canning Vale - East are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Canning Vale - East's population is approximately 26,869. Between the 2021 Census and June 2024, the population increased by 2,454 people (10.1%), reaching an estimated resident population of 26,872. This growth was driven primarily by overseas migration contributing around 85.2% of overall population gains during recent periods. The current population density is approximately 2,705 persons per square kilometer, placing Canning Vale - East in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. This area's population growth rate exceeded the national average (8.9%) since the 2021 census, marking it as a growth leader in the region. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering these projections, Canning Vale - East is expected to increase by approximately 2,922 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of around 10.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Canning Vale - East when compared nationally

Canning Vale - East averaged approximately 51 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 255 homes. As of FY-26, 8 approvals have been recorded. On average, 8.1 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This indicates supply lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction value of new homes was $222,000, below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options. Commercial development approvals totalled $9.9 million in the current financial year, indicating balanced commercial activity compared to Greater Perth. However, Canning Vale - East has 57.0% fewer construction approvals per person than the regional average, which could reinforce demand and pricing for existing dwellings due to constrained new construction. The area's established nature is also reflected by its population density of around 523 people per dwelling approval. Future projections estimate Canning Vale - East will add approximately 2,925 residents by 2041, with building activity keeping pace with growth projections despite potential buyer competition as the population grows.

Future projections show Canning Vale - East adding 2,925 residents by 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Canning Vale - East has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 27 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Canning Vale Regional Sports Precinct, Harrisdale Green Estate, Aarya (West Piara Urban Precinct South), and Sutherlands Park Master Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Canning Vale - East ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Canning Vale - East has a well-educated workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.0% in June 2025, below Greater Perth's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%. There were 14,889 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 1.8% lower than Greater Perth's. Key industries of employment are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Construction has limited presence with 7.4% employment compared to 9.3% regionally. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0% and labour force grew by 3.1%, keeping unemployment stable at 1.8%. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 3.7%, labour force grow by 3.8%, and unemployment rise slightly to 4.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Canning Vale - East's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Canning Vale - East has a median taxpayer income of $56,713 and an average income of $72,880 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is high nationally compared to Greater Perth's median income of $58,380 and average income of $78,020. By September 2025, current estimates project a median income of approximately $64,766 and an average income of $83,229 based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 data, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile with a weekly income of $2,259. The earnings profile shows that 36.6% of residents (9,834 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 32.0% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 32.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income, while strong earnings place residents within the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Canning Vale - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Canning Vale - East's dwellings were 92.5% houses and 7.4% other types at the latest Census. Perth metro had 88.9% houses and 11.1% others. Home ownership in Canning Vale - East was 27.3%, similar to Perth metro. Mortgaged dwellings were 52.3%, rented ones 20.4%. Median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,957, higher than Perth's $1,733 and Australia's $1,863. Median weekly rent was $420, above Perth's $330 and Australia's $375.

Canning Vale - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.5% of all households, including 52.3% couples with children, 22.4% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.5%, with lone person households at 12.5% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.8.

Canning Vale - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally. University qualification rates exceed the SA3 area average of 23.7% and that of Western Australia (27.9%), indicating a strong emphasis on higher education in the community. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (17.1%). Educational participation is high, with 36.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 7.2% pursuing tertiary education. As of the latest data, Canning Vale - East's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 3,583 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1077. Education provision is balanced, with 4 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Canning Vale - East has 83 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 different routes that together facilitate 2,031 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents located an average of 237 meters from their nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 290 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Canning Vale - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Canning Vale - East, with younger cohorts experiencing a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 56% (~15,046 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Perth's 51.2%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.3 and 5.1% respectively. Around 78.6% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than Greater Perth's 73.3%. The area has 12.6% (3,396 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Perth's 14.7%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being strong.

Canning Vale - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Canning Vale - East has one of the highest language diversity in Australia, with 46.7% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas make up 52.4% of the population there. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 39.3%.

The 'Other' religious category is more prevalent here (5.4%) compared to Greater Perth's average (3.1%). In terms of ancestry, 'Other', English, and Chinese are the top three groups, at 20.7%, 18.7%, and 15.3% respectively, with Chinese being significantly higher than the regional average of 7.5%. Some ethnic groups show notable differences: South African (1.5% vs regional 0.8%), Indian (9.5% vs 5.4%), and Sri Lankan (0.6% vs 0.5%).

Canning Vale - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Canning Vale - East's median age is nearly 36 years, close to Greater Perth's average of 37, which is slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Canning Vale - East has a higher percentage of residents aged 45-54 (14.4%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (4%). From the 2021 Census to present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 2.9% to 4.0% of the population, while the 0-4 cohort has decreased from 5.9% to 4.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Canning Vale - East's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 103%, adding 1,097 residents to reach 2,159. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 60% of population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.