Canning Vale - East
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Canning Vale - East are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Canning Vale - East's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 26,872. This figure represents a growth of 2,457 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 24,415. The increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data for June 2024 and an additional 97 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2,706 persons per square kilometer, placing Canning Vale - East in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's 10.1% growth between the 2021 Census and June 2024 exceeded the national average of 8.6%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.2% of overall population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimations, AreaSearch utilises ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Based on these projections, Canning Vale - East is expected to increase its population by approximately 2,922 persons to reach a total of 29,794 by the year 2041. This projected growth represents an increase of around 10.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Canning Vale - East when compared nationally

Canning Vale - East has averaged approximately 51 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, totalling 255 approvals across the past five financial years from FY-2021 to FY-2025, with five approvals so far in FY-2026. On average, over these five years, around eight residents have arrived annually for each dwelling constructed, indicating significant demand outpacing supply which typically influences prices and competition among buyers. The average construction value of new properties is $430,000.

This financial year has seen $9.9 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity compared to Greater Perth. Canning Vale - East shows substantially reduced construction (57.0% below the regional average per person), which usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 97.0% standalone homes and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 523 people per dwelling approval, Canning Vale - East shows a developed market with future projections indicating an addition of approximately 2,922 residents by 2041.

Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Canning Vale - East has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 30 projects that are anticipated to impact the area. Notable projects include Canning Vale Residential Development Zone, Thornlie-Cockburn Link - Ranford Road Station, Harrisdale Green Estate, and Aarya (West Piara Urban Precinct South). The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Canning Vale - East ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Canning Vale - East has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.0%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.0% over the past year.

This rate is 1.8% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation matches Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key industries for residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Construction has limited presence, with 7.4% employment compared to the regional average of 9.3%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.0%. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 3.7% and the labour force grow by 3.8%, with unemployment increasing to 4.0%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.82%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections for Canning Vale - East estimate local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Canning Vale - East had a median taxpayer income of $56,713 and an average of $72,880 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. These figures are high nationally, compared to Greater Perth's median income of $58,380 and average income of $78,020. As of March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $63,297 (median) and $81,341 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.61% since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile ($2,259 weekly). The earnings profile shows that 36.6% of residents (9,835 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, reflecting regional patterns where 32.0% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 32.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income, with residents ranking within the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Canning Vale - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Canning Vale - East, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.5% houses and 7.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Perth metro had 88.9% houses and 11.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Canning Vale - East was 27.3%, similar to Perth metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings were at 52.3% and rented ones at 20.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,957, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was $420 compared to Perth metro's $330. Nationally, Canning Vale - East's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863 and rents substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Canning Vale - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.5% of all households, consisting of 52.3% couples with children, 22.4% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 14.5%, with lone person households at 12.5% and group households making up 1.9%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.8.

Canning Vale - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate stands at 33.0% for residents aged 15+, exceeding both the SA3 area average of 23.7% and WA's state average of 27.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them; advanced diplomas account for 10.2% and certificates for 17.1%.

Educational participation is high at 36.3%, including 12.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 7.2% pursuing tertiary education. Canning Vale - East's five schools have a combined enrollment of 3,583 students. The suburb has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1077. Education provision is balanced, with four primary schools and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Canning Vale - East has 83 active public transport stops. These are served by 8 different routes, which together facilitate around 2,031 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically residing about 237 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, services run approximately 290 times a day across all routes, translating to roughly 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Canning Vale - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows notable results in Canning Vale - East, with younger cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 56% (~15,048 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Perth's 51.2%.

Common medical conditions include asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.3% and 5.1% respectively. 78.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 73.3% in Greater Perth. The area has 12.6% (3,396 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Perth's 14.7%. While health outcomes for seniors are strong, they require more attention than the broader population.

Canning Vale - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Canning Vale-East is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 46.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 52.4% born overseas by June 2016. Christianity was found to be the main religion in Canning Vale-East, comprising 39.3% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was seen in Other religions, which comprised 5.4% of the population compared to 3.1% across Greater Perth.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were Other (20.7%), English (18.7%), and Chinese (15.3%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 7.5%. Additionally, there were notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: South African at 1.5% compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Indian at 9.5% versus 5.4%, and Sri Lankan at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 0.5%.

Canning Vale - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Canning Vale - East has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Perth's average of 37 years, which is slightly below Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Canning Vale - East has a higher percentage of residents aged 45-54 (14.4%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (4.0%). Between the 2021 Census and 2026, the 75-84 age group increased from 2.9% to 4.0%, while the 0-4 age group decreased from 5.9% to 4.9%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Canning Vale - East's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 103%, adding 1,097 residents to reach 2,159. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 60% of population growth. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to experience population declines.