Roxburgh Park - North

Roxburgh Park - North lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Roxburgh Park - North's population is 15,472 as of November 2025. This figure shows an increase of 814 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 14,658. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 15,427 in June 2024 and an additional 47 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 4,537 persons per square kilometer, placing Roxburgh Park - North in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Roxburgh Park - North has had a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%, outperforming its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 69.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels for areas not covered by ABS data. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future population growth is predicted to be exceptional, with the area expected to expand by 8,468 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 54.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Roxburgh Park - North recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Roxburgh Park - North has recorded approximately 29 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25147 homes were approved, with an additional 3 approved so far in FY-26. On average, over these five years, around 5.3 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed.

This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $431,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26, $327,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne, where Roxburgh Park - North records 85.0% lower building activity per person. This scarcity of new homes usually strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New building activity comprises 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature while reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Roxburgh Park - North currently has around 730 people per dwelling approval, indicating a highly mature market.

By 2041, it is projected to grow by 8,423 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Roxburgh Park - North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified four projects potentially impacting the area: Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community, Roxburgh Park Pavilion Upgrade, Community Housing Limited Craigieburn Development, and Craigieburn West Precinct Structure Plan. The following details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Roxburgh Park - North face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Roxburgh Park - North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 14.9% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. As of that date, 5796 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 10.2%, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Roxburgh Park - North lagged behind Greater Melbourne, at 49.7% compared to 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area has a particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment levels increased by 2.6% and labour force increased by 4.5% during the year to June 2025, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, with unemployment rising 0.5 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Roxburgh Park - North's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 indicates that Roxburgh Park - North SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $33,654 and an average income of $38,722. These figures are lower than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 for Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $37,746 and an average income of $43,431 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual incomes lag at the 1st percentile with weekly earnings of $446, while household income performs better at the 42nd percentile. The distribution data shows that 37.9% of the community falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band (5,863 individuals), which aligns with regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Roxburgh Park - North SA2, with only 79.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Roxburgh Park - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Roxburgh Park - North's latest Census data shows 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 87.6% houses and 12.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roxburgh Park - North was 17.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.3% and rented at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,750, below Melbourne metro's $1,834. Median weekly rent was $395, higher than Melbourne metro's $369. Nationally, Roxburgh Park - North's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,750 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $395 against the national figure of $375.

Roxburgh Park - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.2% of all households, including 61.9% couples with children, 12.4% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.8%, with lone person households at 9.4% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

Educational outcomes in Roxburgh Park - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 20.7%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.8% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 14.7%. Educational participation is high, with 39.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.0% in primary education, 11.9% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roxburgh Park - North has 22 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses along three individual routes. The total number of weekly passenger trips provided by these routes is 1,563.

Residents' access to public transport is rated as good, with an average distance of 288 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency averages 223 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Roxburgh Park - North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Roxburgh Park - North shows excellent health outcomes, particularly for younger age groups with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 45% (~6,993 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 49.1% and Australia's average of 55.3%. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 6.1% and 5.9% respectively.

A total of 78.0% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 76.3%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors at 9.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention.

Roxburgh Park - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roxburgh Park-North is one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas, with 54.6 percent of its population born overseas and 77.6 percent speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Roxburgh Park-North, making up 51.8 percent of people there, but Islam is significantly overrepresented at 35.2 percent compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 24.1 percent. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (59.5%), Australian (10.3%), and English (6.6%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity is higher than regional averages at 5.2 percent in Roxburgh Park-North compared to 4.2 percent regionally, Sri Lankan at 1.3 percent versus 1.1 percent, and Samoan at 0.9 percent versus 1.3 percent.

Roxburgh Park - North hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Roxburgh Park - North has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park - North has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (18.4%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.0%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 16.9% to 18.4%, while those aged 65-74 have risen from 4.6% to 6.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 17.9% to 15.8%, and those aged 0-4 have dropped from 7.2% to 5.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Roxburgh Park - North's age profile will significantly change. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to expand by 64%, growing from 2,054 people in 2021 to 3,363 people by 2041.