Roxburgh Park - North
Statistical Area - sa2

Roxburgh Park - North lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Roxburgh Park - North's population is approximately 15,468 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 810 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,658. The growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population figures of 15,427 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 4,536 persons per square kilometer, placing Roxburgh Park - North among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in 2021, the area exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%, surpassing its SA4 region's growth rate. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth, contributing approximately 69.1% of overall gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to calculate population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Roxburgh Park - North is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10% of national areas. By 2041, the area's population is projected to increase by 8,468 persons, representing a total increase of 54.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Roxburgh Park - North recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Roxburgh Park - North has granted approximately 29 residential property approvals per year on average over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25. A total of 147 homes were approved during this period, with no new approvals recorded so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 5.3 new residents arriving annually for each dwelling constructed over these five years.

The demand for housing significantly exceeds the supply of new dwellings, which typically drives price growth and increased buyer competition. The average value of new dwellings developed is around $431,000, consistent with regional trends. In FY-26, commercial approvals valued at $327,000 have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity in the area compared to previous years. Roxburgh Park - North has recorded markedly lower building activity relative to Greater Melbourne, with an 85.0% reduction per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The new building activity in Roxburgh Park - North consists of 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (currently 91.0%). This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 730 people per dwelling approval, Roxburgh Park - North reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, it is projected that the area will grow by 8,427 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Roxburgh Park - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may affect this region. Notable projects are Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community, Roxburgh Park Pavilion Upgrade, Community Housing Limited Craigieburn Development, and Somerton Intermodal Terminal (Melbourne Intermodal Terminal). The following details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market performance in Roxburgh Park - North lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Roxburgh Park North has a skilled workforce with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 14.9% as of June 2025, having seen an estimated employment growth of 2.6% over the preceding year.

The area had 5,796 residents employed by June 2025, with an unemployment rate of 10.2%, which is 5.6 percentage points higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Roxburgh Park North was significantly lower at 49.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area shows strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The predominantly residential nature of the area suggests limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population counts. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6% while labour force grew by 4.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% with a smaller increase in unemployment. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Roxburgh Park North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Roxburgh Park - North had a median taxpayer income of $33,654 and an average income of $38,722 in financial year 2022. These figures are lower than the national averages of $54,892 for Greater Melbourne and $73,761 for Melbourne as a whole. By March 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 10.11%, median income is estimated to be approximately $37,056 and average income $42,637. In 2021 Census figures, individual incomes were at the 1st percentile ($446 weekly), while household incomes were at the 42nd percentile. Income distribution showed that 37.9% of individuals earned between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to regional levels (32.8%). Housing affordability was severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Roxburgh Park - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Roxburgh Park - North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 87.6% houses and 12.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roxburgh Park - North was at 17.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.3% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,750, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,834. The median weekly rent was $395, higher than Melbourne metro's $369. Nationally, Roxburgh Park - North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Roxburgh Park - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.2% of all households, including 61.9% couples with children, 12.4% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for 10.8%, with lone person households at 9.4% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

Educational outcomes in Roxburgh Park - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate in 2020 was 20.7%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways accounted for 24.8% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 14.7%. In 2020, educational participation was high, with 39.3% of residents enrolled in formal education: 13.0% in primary, 11.9% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Roxburgh Rise Primary School, established in 2007, serves the local community with an enrollment of 644 students as of 2021. The area offers varied educational conditions; it has one primary school but no secondary schools, with options available nearby. Local school capacity is limited, at 4.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 17.5, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roxburgh Park - North has 22 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes, together providing 1563 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents located an average of 288 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 223 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Roxburgh Park - North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Roxburgh Park - North has shown excellent health outcomes, particularly for younger populations with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 45% (around 6,991 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 49.1% and the national average of 55.3%. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 6.1 and 5.9% respectively.

A majority, 78%, report no medical ailments compared to 76.3% in Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors at 9.6% (1,480 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.8%. However, senior health outcomes require more attention than the broader population.

Roxburgh Park - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roxburgh Park-North is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.6 percent of its population born overseas and 77.6 percent speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Roxburgh Park-North, comprising 51.8 percent of people. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented, making up 35.2 percent compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 24.1 percent.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' comprises 59.5 percent of Roxburgh Park-North's population, substantially higher than the regional average of 36.9 percent. Australian ancestry makes up 10.3 percent and English ancestry is at 6.6 percent. Notably, Lebanese ancestry is overrepresented at 5.2 percent versus the regional average of 4.2 percent, Sri Lankan at 1.3 percent compared to 1.1 percent regionally, and Samoan at 0.9 percent versus 1.3 percent regionally.

Roxburgh Park - North hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years old, Roxburgh Park - North's median age is notably lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park - North has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.0%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.5%. Between January 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 has increased from 16.9% to 18.4%, while those aged 65 to 74 have risen from 4.6% to 6.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has declined from 17.9% to 15.8%, and those aged 0 to 4 have dropped from 7.2% to 5.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Roxburgh Park - North's age profile will evolve significantly. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 1,308 people (64%) from 2,054 to 3,363 residents.