Roxburgh Park - North

Roxburgh Park - North lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Roxburgh Park - North's population is approximately 15,472 as of Feb 2026. This shows an increase of 814 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 14,658. The growth is inferred from ABS data: an estimated resident population of 15,427 in June 2024 and 47 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 4,537 persons per square kilometer, placing Roxburgh Park - North in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in Feb 2026, Roxburgh Park - North has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%, outperforming its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 69.1% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, based on 2022 data, for each SA2 area. For areas not covered, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections indicate exceptional growth in Roxburgh Park - North, placing it in the top 10% of national areas. By 2041, the population is expected to expand by 8,468 persons, reflecting a total increase of 54.4% over the 17-year period based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Roxburgh Park - North recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Roxburgh Park - North has recorded approximately 29 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25147 homes were approved, with an additional four approved so far in FY-26. On average, around 5.3 new residents arrived annually for each dwelling constructed during these years.

This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $255,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, $327,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park - North records markedly lower building activity, 85.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity shows 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix of 91.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 730 people per dwelling approval, Roxburgh Park - North reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, Roxburgh Park - North is expected to grow by 8,423 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Roxburgh Park - North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects that may affect this region: Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community, Roxburgh Park Pavilion Upgrade, Community Housing Limited Craigieburn Development, and Craigieburn West Precinct Structure Plan. The following details those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Roxburgh Park - North face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Roxburgh Park - North has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate was 14.5% in September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3% over the past year. There were 5,761 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 9.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was at 55.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Approximately 16.6% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical employs only 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.3% while labour force grew by 2.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.6 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Roxburgh Park - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 2nd July 2023, Roxburgh Park - North SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $35,331 with an average level standing at $40,177. This is lower than national averages and compares to levels of $57,688 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $38,246 (median) and $43,492 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual incomes lag at the 1st percentile ($446 weekly), while household income performs better at the 42nd percentile. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 37.9% of the community (5,863 individuals), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Roxburgh Park - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Roxburgh Park - North's dwellings as per the latest Census were 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roxburgh Park - North was 17.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.3% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,750, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $395, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Roxburgh Park - North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Roxburgh Park - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.2% of all households, including 61.9% couples with children, 12.4% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.8%, with lone person households at 9.4% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size is 3.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Roxburgh Park - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 20.7%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.8% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 14.7%. Educational participation is high, with 39.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.0% in primary education, 11.9% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roxburgh Park - North has 22 active public transport stops serving buses. These are covered by three routes offering 738 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 288 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, primarily using cars (90%), while 6% use trains. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 16.6% of residents work from home, which could be due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 105 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 33 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Roxburgh Park - North is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Roxburgh Park - North faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a substantially higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average, with this trend being more pronounced among older age cohorts. As of approximately 2021, the rate of private health cover in Roxburgh Park - North is extremely low at around 46% (~7,101 people), which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting approximately 6.1 and 5.9% of residents respectively, while about 78.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments compared to around 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Among the under-65 population, health outcomes are better than average. However, the area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at approximately 10.3% (1,593 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in Roxburgh Park - North present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Roxburgh Park - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roxburgh Park-North is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.6% of its population born overseas and 77.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Roxburgh Park-North, comprising 51.8% of its population. However, Islam is overrepresented, making up 35.2%, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 59.5%, Australian at 10.3%, and English at 6.6%. These figures differ from regional averages: Other is substantially higher (59.5% vs 14.6%), while Australian and English are notably lower (10.3% vs 18.4% and 6.6% vs 20.1%, respectively). Additionally, Lebanese, Sri Lankan, and Samoan ethnic groups are notably overrepresented in Roxburgh Park-North compared to regional averages: Lebanese at 5.2% vs 0.8%, Sri Lankan at 1.3% vs 0.8%, and Samoan at 0.9% vs 0.3%.

Roxburgh Park - North hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Roxburgh Park - North has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park - North has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (18.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 has increased from 4.6% to 6.5%, while the 15-24 age group has risen from 16.9% to 18.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 17.9% to 15.2%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 7.2% to 5.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Roxburgh Park - North's age profile, with the 45-54 age cohort set to expand by 1,316 people (64%), growing from 2,046 to 3,363.