Roxburgh Park - North

Roxburgh Park - North lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Roxburgh Park - North's population is around 15,472 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 814 people (5.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,658 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,427 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 47 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 4,537 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought-after resource. Over the past decade, Roxburgh Park - North has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 2.7% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 69.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilizing the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national areas, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to expand by 8,468 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 54.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Roxburgh Park - North recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Roxburgh Park - North has recorded around 29 residential properties granted approval per year, with 147 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 5 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 5.3 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $255,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $327,000 in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

Relative to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park - North records markedly lower building activity (85.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New building activity shows 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 91.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 730 people per dwelling approval, Roxburgh Park - North reflects a highly mature market.

Looking ahead, Roxburgh Park - North is expected to grow by 8,423 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Roxburgh Park - North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 4 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community, Roxburgh Park Pavilion Upgrade, Community Housing Limited Craigieburn Development, and Craigieburn West Precinct Structure Plan, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Roxburgh Park - North lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Roxburgh Park - North features a skilled workforce, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 11.8%, and 3.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,868 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 7.0% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (54.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 16.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area shows particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2% and the labour force decreased by 0.7%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 3.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Roxburgh Park - North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Roxburgh Park - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Roxburgh Park - North SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $35,331 with the average level standing at $40,177. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $38,246 (median) and $43,492 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, individual incomes lag at the 1st percentile ($446 weekly), while household income performs better at the 42nd percentile. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 37.9% of the community (5,863 individuals), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Roxburgh Park - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Roxburgh Park - North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Roxburgh Park - North lagged that of Melbourne metro, at 17.6%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (59.3%) or rented (23.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Melbourne metro average at $1,750, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $395, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Roxburgh Park - North's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Roxburgh Park - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 89.2% of all households, comprising 61.9% couples with children, 12.4% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.8%, with lone person households at 9.4% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size of 3.8 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Roxburgh Park - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (20.7%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.8% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (14.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 39.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.0% in primary education, 11.9% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 22 active transport stops operating within Roxburgh Park - North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 738 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 288 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 90%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 16.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 105 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 33 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Roxburgh Park - North is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Roxburgh Park - North, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions, particularly among older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~7,101 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.1 and 5.9% of residents, respectively, while 78.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 10.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,593 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Roxburgh Park - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roxburgh Park - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 54.6% of its population born overseas and 77.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Roxburgh Park - North is Christianity, which makes up 51.8% of the people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 35.2% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Roxburgh Park - North are Other, comprising 59.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Australian, comprising 10.3% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 18.4%, and English, comprising 6.6% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Lebanese is notably overrepresented at 5.2% of Roxburgh Park - North (vs 0.8% regionally), Sri Lankan at 1.3% (vs 0.8%) and Samoan at 0.9% (vs 0.3%).

Roxburgh Park - North hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Roxburgh Park - North's median age is notably under the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park - North has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (18.6%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (12.7%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. In the period since 2021, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 4.6% to 6.5% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 16.9% to 18.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 17.9% to 15.2% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 7.2% to 5.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Roxburgh Park - North's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 1,316 people (64%) from 2,046 to 3,363.