Dallas

An assessment of population growth drivers in Dallas reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the suburb of Dallas is estimated at approximately 6,821 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 59 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,762. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of resident population data from June 2025 ABS ERP release, along with additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,807 persons per square kilometer, placing Dallas in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains for the suburb during recent periods.

Population growth projections for Dallas are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered SA2 areas, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 for non-covered areas, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Looking ahead, significant population growth is forecast for Dallas, with an expected increase of 2,208 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections. This reflects a total increase of 32.3% over the 16-year period from 2025 to 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Dallas is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Dallas has averaged around 7 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 35 homes were approved. As of FY-26, 8 dwellings have been approved.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $356,000. In FY-26, $5.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Dallas has significantly lower building activity, recording 92.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, Dallas's building activity is also below average, indicating maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 60.0% standalone homes and 40.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards more affordable compact living options.

The current housing mix is 84.0% houses. The location has approximately 1706 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Dallas will gain 2,202 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Dallas has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure performance is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the area: Time & Place Campbellfield Industrial Development, Upfield Line Duplication (scheduled for completion on 20 December 2018) and Extension to Roxburgh Park, Assembly Broadmeadows (commenced in late 2016), and Parkview Broadmeadows. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

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Employment conditions in Dallas face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Dallas has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably represented. The unemployment rate was 16.1% in December 2025, showing room for improvement compared to Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was significantly lower at 46.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%.

Only 11.3% of residents worked from home as of the Census response, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries of employment among residents were construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. The area had a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.0 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 3.2% versus the regional average of 10.1%.

Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.1%, while labour force decreased by 1.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 3.9 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia for May-25 suggest that Dallas's employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Dallas's employment mix. These projections are illustrative and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Dallas had a median taxpayer income of $38,433 and an average income of $46,534. These figures are below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $42,130 (median) and $51,011 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, Dallas's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 1st and 6th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 30.6% of Dallas residents earn between $800 - $1,499 annually, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Dallas, with only 80.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Dallas is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Dallas, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 83.9% houses and 16.1% other dwellings. In Melbourne metro, it was 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dallas was higher than Melbourne metro's level at 32.8%. The remainder of dwellings were either mortgaged (33.5%) or rented (33.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Dallas was $1,408, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Dallas was recorded at $323, substantially lower than Melbourne metro's $390 and the national figure of $375.

Dallas has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 40.1% couples with children, 15.0% couples without children, and 18.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Dallas fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 26.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (16.4%). Educational participation is high, with 38.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 13.9% in primary, 9.9% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 38.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.9% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 20 active public transport stops in Dallas, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by two routes, together facilitating 738 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is deemed good, with residents typically situated 323 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential area: most commuters travel outward, primarily by car (84%), with train use at 9%. Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.3 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 11.3% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 105 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Dallas is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Dallas faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. The prevalence of common health conditions is substantially higher than average, with an even greater disparity among older age cohorts. Only approximately 45% (~3,093 people) of Dallas residents have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in Dallas, affecting 7.6 and 7.4% of residents respectively. However, 71.9% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. Dallas has 13.9% (948 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Senior health outcomes present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Dallas is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dallas has a diverse population, with 49.8% born overseas and 74.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Dallas is Islam, accounting for 61.5%. This is higher compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 5.6%.

Regarding ancestry, the top groups are Other (48.6%), Australian (12.9%), and English (9.6%). Notably, Lebanese (9.4%) Samoan (1.5%) and Vietnamese (2.1%) populations are overrepresented in Dallas compared to regional averages of 0.8%, 0.3% and 1.9% respectively.

Dallas hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Dallas has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Dallas has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.7%). According to post-2021 Census data, the age group of 15-24 has grown from 14.4% to 15.7%, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 15.2% to 13.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Dallas's age profile will change significantly. The strongest projected growth is in the 45-54 cohort, which is expected to grow by 47%, adding 355 residents to reach a total of 1,113.