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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Meadow Heights has an estimated 14,847 residents, down from 14,890 at the 2021 Census. The population has thinned by an average 1.3% a year over five years, slower than 93% of areas nationally. That puts 3,207 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations by AreaSearch, the population of Meadow Heights stands at approximately 14,847 as of May 2026. This represents a decline of 43 individuals (0.3%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 14,890 residents. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 14,841 combined with 86 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting population density is 3,206 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of Australian areas analyzed. The primary driver of population growth has been overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 69.7% of all population increases recently.
Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024, using 2022 as a baseline, are used for each SA2. For areas lacking this data, projections rely on the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA releases, adjusted via weighted aggregation of growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Age cohort growth rates from these models are applied to all locations for the years 2032 to 2041. Future projections indicate substantial expansion in the top national quartile, with the population forecast to rise by 5,222 people to 2041 relative to the current annual ERP, representing a 35.1% total increase over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
158 new dwellings have been approved in Meadow Heights over the past five years, an average of 31 a year. That is 2.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 25 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 56% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 31, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Around 31 residential building approvals are granted annually in Meadow Heights, totaling 158 over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 29 approvals have been logged. With the population declining recently, this rate of development has been relatively sufficient, which benefits buyers, and new homes carry an average construction value of $227,000—a figure below the regional average that points to more budget-friendly choices. Furthermore, $336,000 of commercial building approvals have been registered this financial year, reflecting quiet commercial building activity. Building activity in Meadow Heights is significantly lower than the Greater Melbourne average, sitting 83.0% below the regional per capita figure.
This restricted new supply generally underpins demand and values for existing properties. Construction rates are also below national averages, reflecting the established state of the area and potential planning limitations. New approvals comprise 56.0% detached houses and 44.0% semi-detached dwellings or apartments, offering varied price alternatives ranging from family houses to compact options. This marks a clear departure from the current housing stock of 82.0% houses, showing a reduction in developable land, shifting resident needs, and demand for varied, affordable housing. There are approximately 634 residents for each dwelling approval, pointing to a mature market. Future estimates indicate Meadow Heights will add 5,216 inhabitants by 2041 based on the most recent AreaSearch quarterly projections. If construction remains at its current pace, housing availability may fall behind population gains, which could increase competition among buyers and support upward price pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Meadow Heights
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Meadow Heights, worth an estimated $35 million. A further 106 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $50.8 billion. 29 are already under construction and 29 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, developments, and planning guidelines play a significant role in area performance. AreaSearch has identified 7 projects expected to influence the locality. Significant projects include the Meadow Heights Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Canadian Court Reserve Playspace Improvements, Redwood Close Reserve Playspace Upgrade, and the 1500 Pascoe Vale Road Business Park, with key details provided in the list below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Meadow Heights Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the existing Meadow Heights Shopping Centre, an IGA-anchored neighbourhood centre on a large 32,000 square metre site in Melbourne's north. The proposal includes a new childcare centre (around 132 places), an indoor and a restricted recreation facility, an extension to the existing retail space and updated signage. Hume City Council advertised the planning application (reference P23242) in early 2021 and the project remains in approved stage with no construction start confirmed. The wider site retains significant value-add development capacity including additional pad sites and an adjacent separately titled Commercial 1 zoned land parcel.
Canadian Court Reserve Playspace Improvements
Improvement works at Canadian Court Reserve to renew play equipment, add a multi-purpose looped path for walking and a 'learn-to-ride' circuit, a new shared use path connecting to Coolaroo Station and Pascoe Vale Road, and improved entries to provide a safe and connected open space for all ages and abilities.
1500 Pascoe Vale Road Business Park
A fully operational mixed-use business park featuring two completed stages. Stage One includes BP service station, Oporto, and Bridgestone Select. Stage Two encompasses medical facilities including Pascoe Vale Road Medical Centre and Heartwest Cardiology, childcare (Kool Kids), VicRoads testing centre, commercial offices, automotive services (Ozzy Tyres), and retail precincts. The development serves as a major community hub providing essential services to the rapidly growing northern Melbourne corridor.
Redwood Close Reserve Playspace Upgrade
Renewal of the 20-year-old playspace at Redwood Close Reserve to include new play equipment such as a play unit, swing set, rockers, play panel, climbing cube, nature play activities, a half-sized multi-purpose court with futsal goals, new picnic table and seats, tree planting, and landscaping improvements to encourage local families to gather and enjoy the facilities.
John Ilhan Memorial Reserve Synthetic Surface Upgrade
FIFA 1-star certified synthetic soccer pitch installation at John Ilhan Memorial Reserve. Features 60mm pile height synthetic surface with specialized drainage system, designed to meet FIFA AAA performance criteria. Total surfaced area of 9,360m2 including 105m x 68m pitch with 6m run-off zones. Provides all-weather community access to professional-grade sporting facilities.
Assembly Broadmeadows
A 60-hectare master-planned redevelopment of the historic former Ford Australia manufacturing site into a next-generation employment hub. The precinct is designed for high-tech manufacturing, logistics, and warehousing, and includes a significant data centre component. Planned amenities feature a retail convenience hub, childcare centre, and a 100-room hotel. The site also incorporates a 14-megawatt renewable energy system. Construction officially commenced in March 2026 with the first stage comprising a 44-hectare industrial subdivision.
Assembly Broadmeadows
Assembly Broadmeadows is a 60-hectare masterplanned commercial and industrial estate on the former Ford manufacturing site in Campbellfield. The precinct is being delivered as a next-generation business park for manufacturing, logistics, technology, transport, warehousing and large-format retail, with strong Sydney Road and Barry Road frontage, direct freight-network access and proximity to Upfield Station. Construction has commenced and the development is planned as a staged employment precinct supporting thousands of jobs.
Hume City Council Council Plan 2025-2029 and Budget 2025/26 Infrastructure Program
Hume City Council's adopted Council Plan 2025-2029 and Budget 2025/26 funds a city-wide program of services, infrastructure and capital works for the rapidly growing municipality. The 2025/26 budget commits $218.19 million across services and infrastructure, including a $149.04 million capital works program. Current funded works include construction of the Jacksons Hill Arts and Culture Precinct, Willowbrook Recreation Reserve pavilion expansion, Vic Foster Reserve pavilion upgrade, the Hume Hockey Centre second pitch, road resurfacing, footpaths, open space and play space upgrades, libraries, waste services, maternal and child health and other community facilities.
5,057 residents of Meadow Heights are employed, from a labour force of 5,847. Unemployment sits at 13.5%, with participation at 49.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 12,364, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Meadow Heights has a skilled labor force, with a high concentration of workers in construction, an unemployment rate of 13.5%, and an estimated job growth rate of 4.9% over the past year. In March 2026, 5,057 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate of 8.7% was higher than the Greater Melbourne level of 4.8%, highlighting areas for progress. Labor force participation is also lower at 49.6% compared to 70.2% across Greater Melbourne. Census records show a moderate 13.8% of employed residents worked from home, though this may reflect pandemic lockdown measures.
The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing. The locality displays a high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment shares 2.0 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, accounting for only 4.3% of local workers compared to 10.1% across Greater Melbourne. Comparing the Census working population against the resident population suggests this largely residential district provides few local job opportunities. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS figures shows that during the 12 months to March 2026, employment rose by 4.9% and the labor force shrank by 0.7%, resulting in a 4.6 percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.1%, the labor force grow by 2.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide context for future local demand. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trends vary across sectors. Applying these industry rates to Meadow Heights indicates local employment could rise by 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, representing a basic weighted projection that does not factor in local population growth trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Meadow Heights is $1,274 a week (about $66,000 a year), with median personal income at $442 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $43,214 a year against an average of $49,012. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to aggregated ATO postcode data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the median taxpayer income in the Meadow Heights SA2 is $43,214, with an average of $49,012. These figures are below national benchmarks, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated figures for March 2026 are approximately $47,371 for the median and $53,727 for the average. Census data places household incomes in the 18th percentile ($1,274 weekly), and individual incomes in the 1st percentile.
The income distribution is dominated by the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket, which accounts for 30.2% of residents (4,483 people), close to the regional rate of 32.8%. Housing affordability is under pressure, with only 80.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 16th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Meadow Heights had 4,256 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 82% detached houses and 1% apartments. 40% are owned with a mortgage, 32% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $346 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,460 a month. Rent absorbs 27.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential structures in Meadow Heights consisted of 82.3% houses and 17.7% other housing types like semi-detached properties and apartments, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% other housing types across Melbourne metro. Home ownership rates in Meadow Heights were slightly lower than the Melbourne average at 27.9%, with remaining properties held under mortgages (40.3%) or rented (31.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,460 was below the Melbourne metro average of $2,000, and the median weekly rent was $346 compared to the metro average of $390.
Nationally, Meadow Heights has lower monthly mortgage costs than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Meadow Heights counted 4,256 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.3 people each. 44% are couples with children, more than in 88% of areas nationally, against 17% couples without children. 15% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 82.4% of households, consisting of 44.3% couples with children, 16.8% couples without children, and 19.5% single-parent households. Non-family households account for 17.6%, with single-person households at 14.8% and group living situations at 2.9%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.9% of adults in Meadow Heights hold a university qualification, including 12.3% with a bachelor degree and 3.8% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 83% of areas nationally. A further 16.6% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 651 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 920 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality presents educational disparities, with university graduation rates at 17.9%, which is significantly below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This scenario provides an opportunity for targeted academic programs. Bachelor degrees represent 12.3% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational education is prominent, with 26.0% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (16.6%). Enrolment in formal education is high, with 35.1% of residents currently studying. This consists of 11.8% of the population in primary school, 9.5% in high school, and 5.6% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Meadow Heights reaches 62 stops on 7 routes, timetabled for about 1,900 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport options in Meadow Heights include 62 stops serviced by buses. These stops cover 7 routes, generating 1,863 weekly passenger journeys. Transport access is rated highly, with residents living an average of 177 meters from the nearest stop. Because it is a residential suburb, most workers commute out of the area, and cars are the main transport mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.5 per household, which is higher than the regional average. Census figures from 2021 show 13.8% of residents worked from home, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Daily bus services average 266 trips across all routes, which translates to roughly 30 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.6% of residents in Meadow Heights report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 78% of areas nationally. 10.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality rates and chronic illness prevalence point to health challenges in Meadow Heights, with common conditions visible across youth and older cohorts, alongside a low private health coverage rate of 46% of the population (~6,844 people). This is lower than the 56.7% rate in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%. Asthma and diabetes are the most common medical conditions, affecting 7.2% and 6.9% of residents. Meanwhile, 71.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health statistics for working-age residents are typical.
Those aged 65 and over represent 14.0% of the population (2,077 people), lower than the Greater Melbourne share of 15.0%. Health outcomes for seniors present challenges, with national rankings aligning with the overall population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
50.0% of Meadow Heights residents were born overseas and 74.3% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 95% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (11.5%) and English (8.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Meadow Heights has high cultural diversity, with 50.0% of residents born outside Australia and 74.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Islam is the primary religion, followed by 52.7% of the population, compared to 5.6% in Greater Melbourne. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups represented in Meadow Heights are Other at 50.9% (higher than the regional average of 14.6%), Australian at 11.5% (lower than the regional average of 18.4%), and English at 8.9% (lower than the regional average of 20.1%). There is also a high representation of specific ethnic backgrounds, with Lebanese residents accounting for 8.5% of the area (compared to 0.8% regionally), Vietnamese at 3.6% (compared to 1.9%), and Samoan at 1.2% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Meadow Heights is 34, younger than 84% of areas nationally. 29.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Meadow Heights is 34 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Meadow Heights has a higher proportion of people aged 55 - 64 (12.5%) but fewer aged 35 - 44 (12.6%). Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age bracket grew from 7.4% to 8.6%, while the 45 to 54 group fell from 12.2% to 11.1%. Demographic projections for 2041 suggest changes, with the 45 to 54 age group expected to see the largest growth at 49%, adding 806 residents to reach a total of 2,457.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Meadow Heights
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 86 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (14,890 at the 2021 Census → 14,847 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (210051247). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.