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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Craigieburn - South has an estimated 24,447 residents, up from 21,673 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,774 people, or 12.8%. Growth has averaged 2.5% a year over five years, faster than 80% of areas nationally. 327 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 64.1% of that increase. That puts 2,053 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to evaluation by AreaSearch, the population of Craigieburn - South stands at approximately 24,447 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 2,774 people (12.8%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 21,673 people. The adjustment is calculated using the estimated resident population of 24,431 supplied by the ABS as of June 2025 alongside 327 validated new addresses registered since the Census date. This size of population translates to a density ratio of 2,052 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the typical average recorded across national locations analysed by AreaSearch.
The 12.8% growth rate in Craigieburn - South since the 2021 census was higher than the state (9.3%) and national averages, placing it as a growth leader within the region. Population expansion in the locality was mainly propelled by overseas migration, which made up roughly 64.1% of all population increases during recent periods. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, are adopted by AreaSearch for each SA2 area. For SA2 areas where this data is unavailable, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, modifying them via a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates sorted by age groups from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future population projections, exceptional growth ranking in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas is anticipated over the timeframe, with the locality projected to increase by 17,473 persons to 2041 relative to the latest annual ERP population numbers, showing an overall rise of 71.4% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
712 new dwellings have been approved in Craigieburn - South over the past five years, an average of 142 a year. That places the area in the 83rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 92 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 67% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 25, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Craigieburn - South has seen about 142 residential properties approved annually, with 712 homes authorised over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 23 so far in FY-26. With an average of 3.9 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is falling significantly behind demand, which typically translates to increased buyer competition and upward pricing pressure, while new homes are being built at an average value of $248,000—below regional levels—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.
Additionally, there have been $25.4 million in commercial approvals this financial year, showing moderate commercial development activity. In comparison to Greater Melbourne, Craigieburn - South displays about half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person, ranking in the 46th percentile of areas evaluated nationally, which leads to relatively limited buyer options and sustains interest in existing dwellings. New development is made up of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% medium and high-density housing, showing a growing mix of attached housing designs that provide options across price ranges, from spacious family homes to more affordable compact options. This marks a clear shift from the area's existing housing (currently 92.0% houses), indicating a declining availability of developable sites and reflecting evolving lifestyles and the demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. At around 373 people per approval, Craigieburn - South represents a mature market. Looking forward, Craigieburn - South is projected to add 17,457 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates persist, housing supply might not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Craigieburn - South
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Craigieburn - South, worth an estimated $1.95 billion. A further 162 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $93.5 billion. 54 are already under construction and 52 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total 33 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Craigieburn West Precinct Structure Plan, Merrifield Masterplanned Community, Mickleham Fire Station (Donnybrook Road), and Merrifield City Shopping Centre, with the below list detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aston Square Neighbourhood Centre
A $68 million neighbourhood activity centre situated within the Aston Master-Planned Community at Craigieburn. The 5,000 square metre precinct is anchored by a 1,400 square metre IGA+ Liquor supermarket and includes a large-format gym, high-quality childcare centre, swim school, and over 18 specialty retail and food and beverage tenancies. The site also incorporates NDIS accommodation and light industrial lots. The project is led by BCA Corporation and Aston Central Pty Ltd, with Oreana Construct managing the build and First Urban overseeing project management.Ground was broken in mid-2025 and the centre is expected to open in late 2026.
Merrifield Masterplanned Community
Victoria's largest mixed-use masterplanned community, spanning approximately 900 hectares in Mickleham, around 30 km north of Melbourne CBD. A joint venture between MAB Corporation and Gibson Property Corporation (GPC), with QIC as joint venture partner for the City Centre, Merrifield is set to deliver around 7,000 residential lots, townhouses and apartments alongside a 165-hectare City Centre and a 415-hectare Business Park targeting up to 30,000 jobs. The community already has a population of over 8,000, projected to reach more than 17,000 at completion.Key completed elements include the Merrifield City shopping hub (Coles, Liquorland, Chemist Warehouse and 21 specialty tenancies), the 9.5-hectare Merrifield Recreation Reserve, the Mickleham North Community Centre, and the second-stage 4-level all-electric office building at 21 Cityside Drive (completed 2024) along with the adjoining Merrifield Swim School. Major Business Park occupiers include Ford, Dulux, DHL and D'Orsogna. Schools now operating include Gaayip-Yagila Primary School, Holy Cross Primary School and Mickleham Secondary College. Current focus is on a new townhome release in the heart of Merrifield, ongoing residential land releases, and the next stage of the City Centre - planned to include a major supermarket, mini-majors, additional specialty stores, food and beverage tenancies, large format retail, a residential hotel, additional office space, an aquatic centre and a civic hub.
Mickleham Fire Station (Donnybrook Road)
Proposed new Fire Rescue Victoria (FRV) fire station to be located on Donnybrook Road, servicing the rapidly growing Mickleham, Kalkallo and Donnybrook corridor in Melbourne's north. The Whittlesea Municipal Fire Management Sub-Plan 2023-2026 confirms a new FRV station is planned for Donnybrook Road to address the significant increase in residential and commercial buildings linked to growth at Merrifield, Cloverton and surrounding precincts. The project remains in the early planning and site investigation phase as part of FRV's long-term infrastructure delivery strategy and no specific site, design or construction timeline has been publicly announced.Career firefighters from FRV currently work alongside Kalkallo CFA and other local brigades to provide coverage to the growth corridor.
Craigieburn West Precinct Structure Plan
Approved precinct structure plan for approximately 8,000 new dwellings across 562 hectares in Craigieburn West, gazetted in January 2022 under Amendment C246hume to the Hume Planning Scheme and updated in November 2022 under Amendment C264hume to correct minor errors. The precinct will develop as a series of walkable residential neighbourhoods along a north-south green spine, supported by a local town centre, schools, community hubs, conservation reserves, active open space, sporting grounds and connected parks. Bus services and shared pedestrian and cycling paths will connect residents to surrounding activity centres including Craigieburn Central, Aston Village and Highlands Village.The town centre includes a full-line supermarket, specialty shops and non-retail local services. Multiple landowners including Peet, Stockland, Park Group and HB Land hold land within the precinct. Land sales and residential construction are actively underway, with Stockland's adjoining Highlands community and Peet's Aston Estate both releasing new stages in 2026, and development expected to reach capacity around 2035-2036.
Merrifield Wetlands Park
Constructed wetlands and open space network providing stormwater management, water quality treatment, and environmental habitat within the Merrifield masterplanned community. Part of over 120 hectares of parks, wetlands, and waterways incorporating Water Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD) features to serve the growing residential, commercial, and industrial areas of Merrifield. The wetland systems are delivered progressively across community stages by MAB Corporation and Gibson Property Corporation.
True North Estate
Award-winning masterplanned residential community by Satterley Property Group spanning Greenvale and Roxburgh Park suburbs, approximately 198 hectares. Features elevated parcels with Melbourne skyline views, a completed 10-hectare multi-million dollar sporting precinct with two sporting fields, pavilion and adventure playground, and multiple completed parks. The estate is now fully sold out across both the Roxburgh Park and Greenvale neighbourhoods, with Stage 24 being the final release (titles due mid-2025). Over 2,500 dwellings delivered across the estate.Satterley has indicated the next neighbourhood release is still several years away, pending rezoning of future precincts.
Merrifield Town Centre Library
A future regional library planned as part of the Merrifield Town Centre (Mickleham Town Centre), identified in Hume City Council's Community Infrastructure Plan to serve the rapidly growing Merrifield and Mickleham corridor. No confirmed site, design or funding has been announced; delivery will follow the Council's project-by-project implementation process for Precinct 12: Merrifield. In the interim, residents are served by the 24-hour Mickleham North Community Centre Library Kiosk and the Hume Mobile Library.
Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community
Premium over 55s gated community featuring 239 architecturally designed homes with 7-star energy ratings. Currently under construction with display homes open and $13.5 million state-of-the-art clubhouse being built. Resort-style facilities include gold-class cinema, heated pool, pickleball courts, bowling green, gym, and golf simulator. Lock-and-go lifestyle with no exit fees, stamp duty, or deferred management costs.
11,796 residents of Craigieburn - South are employed, from a labour force of 12,636. Unemployment sits at 6.6%, with participation at 67.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 20,890, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Craigieburn - South has a skilled workforce with a strong presence in manufacturing and industrial sectors, an unemployment rate of 6.6%, and 0.8% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of March 2026, 11,796 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is slightly below average (67.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.2%). Census responses indicate that a moderate 18.6% of residents worked from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be taken into account. The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The area shows a particularly high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are under-represented, accounting for only 5.3% of Craigieburn - South's workforce compared to 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. The predominantly residential area appears to provide limited local employment opportunities, as shown by the comparison of Census working population to resident population. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to March 2026, employment grew by 0.8% while the labour force contracted by 0.7%, leading to a decrease of 1.4 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.3%, and an increase of 0.2 percentage points in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context on potential future demand in Craigieburn - South. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been matched against the local employment profile to estimate growth trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary considerably across industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Craigieburn - South's employment composition suggests local employment is expected to increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (note that this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Craigieburn - South is $1,835 a week (about $95,000 a year), with median personal income at $676 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,551 a year against an average of $60,896. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The Craigieburn - South SA2 records a median taxpayer income of $53,551 and an average of $60,896 based on the latest postcode level ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This falls below the national average, in contrast to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,703 (median) and $66,754 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 55th percentile ($1,835 weekly), while personal income sits at the 23rd percentile.
Income brackets show the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band contains 39.7% of the community (9,705 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. High housing costs consume 18.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 52nd percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Craigieburn - South had 6,189 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 1% apartments. 56% are owned with a mortgage, 26% rented and 18% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $375 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,900 a month, a total housing cost higher than 80% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 20.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Dwelling structure within Craigieburn - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 92.0% houses and 8.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Craigieburn - South was lagging that of Melbourne metro, at 17.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (56.1%) or rented (26.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Melbourne metro average at $1,900, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $375, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390.
Nationally, Craigieburn - South's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are comparable to the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Craigieburn - South counted 6,189 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 6,981 today, averaging 3.3 people each. 54% are couples with children, more than in 96% of areas nationally, against 17% couples without children. 12% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households dominate at 85.0% of all households, comprising 53.7% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.0%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
25.7% of adults in Craigieburn - South hold a university qualification, including 16.8% with a bachelor degree and 7.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 18.2% hold a vocational qualification. 6 schools serve the area, with 4,121 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 968 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (25.7%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 29.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (18.2%). Educational participation is notably high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Craigieburn - South reaches 77 stops on 17 routes, timetabled for about 9,200 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis reveals 77 active transport stops operating within Craigieburn - South comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 17 individual routes, collectively providing 9,210 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 228 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, above the regional average. Some 18.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 1,315 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 119 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
78.1% of residents in Craigieburn - South report no long-term health condition. 6.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Craigieburn - South demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts , and the rate of private health cover found to be relatively low at approximately 49% of the total population (~12,027 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The national average is 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.6 and 5.3% of residents, respectively, while 78.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne.
Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 8.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,019 people), which is lower than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
49.4% of Craigieburn - South residents were born overseas and 61.7% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 93% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (13.7%) and English (11.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Craigieburn - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 49.4% of its population born overseas and 61.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Craigieburn - South was found to be Christianity, which makes up 46.1% of people in Craigieburn - South. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 8.3% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Craigieburn - South are Other, comprising 39.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Australian, comprising 13.7% of the population, and English, comprising 11.1% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%.
Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 1.6% of Craigieburn - South (vs 0.8% regionally), Indian at 9.2% (vs 4.2%) and Samoan at 1.4% (vs 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Craigieburn - South is 33, younger than 92% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 28.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 33, Craigieburn - South is materially younger than the Greater Melbourne figure of 37 and is substantially under Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Craigieburn - South has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (16.5%) but fewer 75 - 84 year-olds (2.2%). Since the 2021 Census, the 55 to 64 age group has grown from 9.2% to 10.4% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 16.5% to 14.3% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 8.7% to 6.9%.
Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Craigieburn - South. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 109%, adding 3,177 residents to reach 6,101.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Craigieburn - South
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 9 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 327 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (21,673 at the 2021 Census → 24,447 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (210051443). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.