Roxburgh Park

Roxburgh Park lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The estimated population of Roxburgh Park as of May 2026 is around 25,099 people. This figure reflects a growth of 970 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 24,129 in the suburb. The latest resident population estimate was derived from AreaSearch's examination of the June 2025 ABS ERP data release and validation of 82 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,648 persons per square kilometer for Roxburgh Park. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% to recent population gains in the suburb.

AreaSearch's projections for Roxburgh Park are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period from 2026 to 2041, with the suburb expected to grow by 12,052 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 48.0% over the 16-year span.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Roxburgh Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Roxburgh Park shows approximately 30 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 151 homes were approved, with a further 6 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of two people moved to the area for each dwelling built. However, this figure has increased to 14.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $431,000, which is moderately above regional levels. This year, $327,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park has significantly less development activity, at 90.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The area's building activity is also lower than national levels, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity consists of 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

This represents a shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 90.0% houses. Roxburgh Park reflects a highly mature market, with around 1133 people per dwelling approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 12,052 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Roxburgh Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact this region. Notable projects include Roxburgh Park Pavilion Upgrade, Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community, Somerton Intermodal Terminal (Melbourne Intermodal Terminal), and Roxy Central. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Roxburgh Park faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Roxburgh Park has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors well-represented. The unemployment rate was 10.8% in December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.0% over the past year, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. There were 10,218 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 6.0% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation lagged at 56.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Based on Census responses, 17.0% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area had a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing (1.8 times the regional level), but professional & technical services showed lower representation at 5.5% versus the regional average of 10.1%.

Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, while labour force decreased by 0.8%, leading to a 2.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Roxburgh Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Roxburgh Park has an income below the national average. The median income is $35,691 and the average income stands at $41,066. In comparison, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Considering a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, the current estimates for Roxburgh Park would be approximately $39,124 (median) and $45,017 (average) as of March 2026. According to Census 2021 income data, individual incomes in Roxburgh Park are at the 2nd percentile ($473 weekly), while household incomes are at the 43rd percentile. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 36.5% of the community (9,161 individuals), which is similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Roxburgh Park, with only 80.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Roxburgh Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Roxburgh Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.6% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roxburgh Park was at 21.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.6% and rented ones at 23.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $390, equal to Melbourne metro's figure. Nationally, Roxburgh Park's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Roxburgh Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 14.3% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.4%, comprising 10.9% lone person households and 1.6% group households. The median household size is 3.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Roxburgh Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 21.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 25.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (15.4%). Educational participation is high, with 37.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.7% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roxburgh Park has 63 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 9 different routes that together facilitate 5,330 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 257 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 90%, while trains account for 6%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 17% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 761 trips per day, equating to around 84 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Roxburgh Park are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Roxburgh Park's health indicators show below-average outcomes, with AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence finding common health conditions somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 43% of the total population (~10,847 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.2%) and diabetes (5.9%), with 76.8% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%.

Health outcomes for those under 65 are better than average. Roxburgh Park has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.8% (2,710 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Senior health outcomes present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Roxburgh Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roxburgh Park has a population where 53.3% were born overseas and 74.2% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 48.2% of residents. Islam's representation in Roxburgh Park is significantly higher at 36.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the largest group at 55.0%, much higher than the regional average of 14.6%. Australian and English ancestry are notably lower at 10.6% and 7.2% respectively, compared to regional averages of 18.4% and 20.1%. Roxburgh Park also has notable overrepresentation of Lebanese (5.5% vs regional 0.8%), Sri Lankan (1.3% vs 0.8%) and Samoan (0.8% vs 0.3%) ethnic groups.

Roxburgh Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Roxburgh Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (18.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.7%). This 15-24 concentration is above the national average of 12.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 55 to 64 has grown from 10.7% to 12.4%, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 5.2% to 6.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 16.4% to 13.9%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.8% to 12.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Roxburgh Park's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45 to 54 cohort (59%), adding 1,869 residents to reach a total of 5,032.