Roxburgh Park

Roxburgh Park lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Roxburgh Park is around 25,228. This reflects a growth of 1,099 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 24,129. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 25,065 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024, along with an additional 81 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,666 persons per square kilometer, placing Roxburgh Park in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Roxburgh Park is predicted to grow by 12,427 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 48.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Roxburgh Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Roxburgh Park had around 30 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 151 homes were approved, with another 6 in FY-26 so far. Each dwelling built over these years gained an average of 2.5 new residents.

The average construction value was $431,000, higher than regional levels, indicating quality construction focus. This financial year has seen $327,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park has significantly less development activity, 90.0% below the regional average per person. New building activity comprises 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% medium/high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with family homes. This shift from the existing 90.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles' need for diverse housing options. Roxburgh Park has around 1137 people per dwelling approval, reflecting a highly mature market.

Population forecasts indicate it will gain 12,264 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Roxburgh Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include the Roxburgh Park Pavilion Upgrade, Halcyon Highlands - Over 55s Community, Upfield Line Extension to Roxburgh Park and Craigieburn, and Somerton Intermodal Terminal (Melbourne Intermodal Terminal). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Roxburgh Park faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Roxburgh Park has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 10.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%. As of December 2025, 10,249 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 6.0%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is lower at 56.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. About 17.0% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.5% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, while labour force decreased by 0.7%, resulting in a 2.4 percentage point drop in unemployment. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and unemployment rose by 0.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Roxburgh Park's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that median income in Roxburgh Park is $35,691 and average income is $41,066. This is lower than Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $38,636 and average income $44,454 based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year ending June 2023. Census data from 2021 indicates individual incomes are at the 2nd percentile ($473 weekly), while household incomes are at the 43rd percentile. Income brackets show that 36.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually (9,208 individuals). Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 80.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Roxburgh Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Roxburgh Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.6% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roxburgh Park was at 21.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.6% and rented ones at 23.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $390, matching the Melbourne metro figure but exceeding the national average of $375.

Roxburgh Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.6% of all households, consisting of 57.6% couples with children, 14.3% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.4%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households making up 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 3.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Roxburgh Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 21.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 25.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (15.4%). Educational participation is high, with 37.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.7% in primary, 11.6% in secondary, and 6.4% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 37.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roxburgh Park has 63 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by 9 routes, offering a total of 5,330 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 257 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode at 90%, with trains used by 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 17% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 761 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 84 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Roxburgh Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Roxburgh Park faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 43% of the total population (around 10,903 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 6.2% and 5.9% of residents respectively. Around 76.8% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Under-65 population health outcomes are better than average. The area has 11.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,850 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Roxburgh Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roxburgh Park has a population where 53.3% were born overseas, with 74.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Roxburgh Park, practiced by 48.2%. Islam's representation stands at 36.2%, significantly higher than Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' comprises 55.0%, Australian 10.6%, and English 7.2% in Roxburgh Park, differing from regional averages of 14.6%, 18.4%, and 20.1% respectively. Notably, Lebanese, Sri Lankan, and Samoan ethnic groups are overrepresented compared to regional figures: Lebanese at 5.5% vs 0.8%, Sri Lankan at 1.3% vs 0.8%, and Samoan at 0.8% vs 0.3%.

Roxburgh Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Roxburgh Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Roxburgh Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.0%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is above the national average of 12.5%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Roxburgh Park's population has shifted since the previous census, with the 65-74 age group growing from 5.2% to 7.1%, and the 55-64 cohort increasing from 10.7% to 12.5%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 16.4% to 14.0%, and the 45-54 age group has dropped from 13.8% to 12.6%. Future demographic projections suggest that Roxburgh Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age cohort, which is expected to increase by 59%, adding 1,874 residents to reach a total of 5,053.