Broadmeadows (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Broadmeadows are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Broadmeadows (Vic.) SA2's estimated population is around 14,094. This reflects an increase of 1,570 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,524. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 13,128 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,733 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Broadmeadows (Vic.)'s growth rate of 12.5% since the 2021 Census exceeded both national average (9.7%) and state averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch projections for Broadmeadows (Vic.) SA2 are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, while areas not covered use VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends predict exceptional growth, placing Broadmeadows (Vic.) SA2 in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 7,662 persons, reflecting a gain of 48.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Broadmeadows when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Broadmeadows averaging around 125 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years to June 2021, totalling an estimated 625 homes. By May 2026, 25 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering good choice for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $508,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

This financial year has seen $56.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Broadmeadows records about three-quarters the building activity per person while ranking among the 87th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New building activity comprises 21.0% standalone homes and 79.0% medium and high-density housing, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 68.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 98 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Future projections estimate Broadmeadows to add 6,883 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Broadmeadows has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 38 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Assembly Broadmeadows, Parkview Broadmeadows, Banksia Gardens Social Housing Development, and Hume Central Redevelopment. The following details projects most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Broadmeadows face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Broadmeadows has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 15.9% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.8% over the past year.

This figure is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 4,737 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 11.2%, which was 6.5 percentage points higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Broadmeadows lagged significantly behind Greater Melbourne's figure, at 44.8% compared to 64.1%. The key industries for employment among Broadmeadows residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area had a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services were under-represented, with only 4.7% of Broadmeadows's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. As per the Census data, there was one worker for every resident in Broadmeadows, indicating that it functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months leading up to September 2025, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force grew by 2.1%, resulting in a fall in unemployment of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded an employment growth of 3.0%, with labour force growth at 3.3%, and an increase in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points during the same period. For broader context, state-level data up to 25-Nov shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. This figure is compared to the national rate of 4.3%, with Victoria's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Broadmeadows. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Broadmeadows' median taxpayer income is $37,213 and average is $45,052 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages of $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). By September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $40,283 and average is $48,769, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. Census 2021 data indicates Broadmeadows' household, family and personal incomes fall between the 2nd and 10th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 29.9% (4,214 people) earn $800 - 1,499, differing from Melbourne's predominant category of $1,500 - 2,999 at 32.8%. Housing affordability is severe with only 77.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 7th percentile.

Broadmeadows displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Broadmeadows' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.1% houses and 31.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 87.6% houses and 12.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Broadmeadows stood at 22.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.0% and rented ones at 50.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,408, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,834. Median weekly rent in Broadmeadows was $331, compared to Melbourne metro's $369. Nationally, Broadmeadows' mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Broadmeadows features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.4% of all households, including 33.7% that are couples with children, 16.9% that are couples without children, and 17.6% that consist of single parents. Non-family households make up the remaining 29.6%, with lone person households at 24.2% and group households comprising 5.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

Educational outcomes in Broadmeadows fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 26.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (16.1%). Educational participation is high, with 39.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.3% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 6.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 39.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Broadmeadows has 76 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These are serviced by 26 individual routes, collectively providing 7,882 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 292 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 1,126 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 103 weekly trips per individual stop.

Broadmeadows's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Broadmeadows residents show relatively positive health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions in the general population, but higher than national averages among older cohorts at risk. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 45% (6,309 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 49.5%. Nationally, it stands at 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 7.4% and 6.6% respectively. 74.0% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 76.3%. The area has 11.2% residents aged 65 and over (1,578 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Broadmeadows is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Broadmeadows has one of the highest proportions of overseas-born residents in Australia, with 54.2%. A majority of its population, 69.5%, speaks a language other than English at home. Islam is the predominant religion in Broadmeadows, with 41.3% of people identifying as Muslim, compared to 24.1% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups in Broadmeadows are Other (42.5%), Australian (13.1%), and English (10.7%). Notably, Lebanese ancestry is overrepresented at 9.7%, compared to the regional average of 4.2%. Samoan ancestry stands at 1.5% and Vietnamese at 1.9%, both higher than their respective regional averages of 1.3% and 0.9%.

Broadmeadows hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Broadmeadows has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Broadmeadows has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (10.3%). According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 35-44 grew from 14.4% to 15.7%, while the 25-34 cohort declined from 19.3% to 18.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Broadmeadows' age profile will change significantly, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age group (82%), adding 1,192 residents to reach a total of 2,644.