Tullamarine

Tullamarine has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Tullamarine's population was 6,756 as of February 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This reflected an increase of 180 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,576. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 6,710 in June 2024 and an additional 87 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 1,750 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 74.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilized VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Population projections indicate significant growth for the area, with an expected increase of 2,476 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers. This reflects a gain of 36.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tullamarine according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Tullamarine has seen approximately 39 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 199 homes were approved, with another 9 approved so far in FY26. Despite a declining population over recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $308,000, consistent with regional patterns. This financial year, $623,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus compared to Greater Melbourne, where Tullamarine has significantly less development activity, 53.0% below the regional average per person. Recent construction in Tullamarine comprises approximately 22.0% detached dwellings and 78.0% townhouses or apartments. This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 60.0% houses. With around 173 people per dwelling approval, Tullamarine shows characteristics of a low density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Tullamarine is expected to grow by approximately 2,430 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tullamarine has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 28thth percentile nationally

Twelve projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area, with key ones being Tullamarine Logistics Estate, Assembly Tullamarine, 11 Ian Crescent Townhouses designed by DKO Architecture, and The Quadrant Tullamarine. Below is a list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Tullamarine are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Tullamarine has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 6.3% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.4%.

As of that date, 3,526 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.7% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Tullamarine was 65.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 21.1% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance.

Tullamarine has a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.3 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence, with 5.7% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. The ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates local employment opportunities above the norm. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.4%, while labour force increased by 1.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tullamarine's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The Tullamarine SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,769 and an average income of $65,138 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 during the same period. By September 2025, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%, estimated incomes would be approximately $61,452 (median) and $70,512 (average). Census data shows Tullamarine's household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly, between the 29th and 33rd percentiles. The largest income segment in Tullamarine comprised 32.8% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 2,215 residents falling into this bracket, mirroring the surrounding region's distribution. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 82.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 26th percentile.

Tullamarine displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Tullamarine, as evaluated at the 2016 Census, comprised 60.2% houses and 39.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tullamarine was at 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.0% and rented dwellings at 34.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Tullamarine was $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tullamarine's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tullamarine features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 64.1% of all households, including 25.6% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 35.9%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Tullamarine fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 21.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (23.2%). A total of 24.4% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 8.0% in primary, 5.2% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.4% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.0% in primary education, 5.2% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tullamarine has 30 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 1,260 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 211 meters from the nearest stop. As a mainly residential zone, most residents commute outward, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 90%. On average, there are 1.1 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 21.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 42 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Tullamarine is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Tullamarine faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is slightly lower than the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,506 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.8 and 7.9% of residents respectively. However, 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 22.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,499 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Tullamarine was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tullamarine's population has a significant cultural diversity, with 35.6% born overseas and 36.0% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tullamarine, accounting for 64.1%, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestral groups are English (17.6%), Australian (16.6%), and Other (16.1%).

Notably, Italian ancestry is overrepresented at 11.7% in Tullamarine versus 5.2% regionally, Maltese at 2.9% versus 1.1%, and Croatian at 1.4% versus 0.7%.

Tullamarine's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tullamarine has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Tullamarine has an over-representation of the 75-84 age cohort (10.1%) and an under-representation of the 15-24 age group (9.1%). Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 7.1% to 10.1% of Tullamarine's population, while the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 11.2% to 9.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects a significant growth in the 75-84 age cohort, with an increase of 392 people (57%) from 683 to 1,076.