Keilor

Keilor is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Keilor is around 5,968. This reflects a growth of 62 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,906. AreaSearch's estimation of 5,941 residents in Jun 2024, combined with 8 validated new addresses, contributes to this increase. The population density is approximately 560 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration accounted for about 87% of Keilor's recent population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, based on 2022 data, for SA2 areas. For other areas, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Future population trends suggest Keilor will grow by around 558 persons to reach a total of 6,524 by 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 9.9% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Keilor is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Keilor has received approximately 5 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling around 28 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 3 recorded approvals. The population decline in recent years suggests new supply has likely kept pace with demand, providing good choice for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $778,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. New development consists of 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining Keilor's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 87.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated population per dwelling approval in Keilor is 992 people, indicating its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Keilor is projected to add 589 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Keilor has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Essendon Keilor College - East Keilor Campus, Rosemont Townhomes, Keilor East Railway Station, and 20 Packard Street Townhouses. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Keilor positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Keilor has a skilled workforce with the construction sector notably represented. The unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 4.2%.

As of June 2025, 3,387 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was 61.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 11.2% compared to the regional 14.2%. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.9 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. In the 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force grew by 4.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, and an unemployment rate increase of 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keilor's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Keilor had a median income among taxpayers of $63,802. The average income stood at $84,282. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Greater Melbourne levels of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $71,560 (median) and $94,531 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Keilor cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 27.0% of the community (1,611 individuals), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Economic strength emerges through 33.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Keilor is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Keilor, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.1% of dwellings were houses with 12.9% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Melbourne metro which had no houses or other dwellings recorded (0.0%). Home ownership in Keilor stood at 51.7%, with mortgaged properties at 38.3% and rented ones at 9.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent was $400, unlike Melbourne metro which had no recorded figures (0). Nationally, Keilor's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863 while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Keilor features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.7 people

Family households constitute 78.3% of all households, consisting of 39.5% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.7%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people.

The educational profile of Keilor exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Keilor trail regional benchmarks, with 27.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (21.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in secondary education, 8.0% in primary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. Keilor's 3 schools have combined enrollment reaching 2,794 students while the area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1082). The educational mix includes 2 primary, 1 K-12 school. With 46.8 school places per 100 residents, the area shows strong educational infrastructure serving both local and surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keilor has 32 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses, with one individual route providing service. Collectively, these stops offer 629 weekly passenger trips.

The transport accessibility in Keilor is rated as good, with residents typically located 224 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keilor's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Keilor residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with common conditions seen equally across young and old age groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (3,584 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.0 and 7.1% of residents respectively, while 69.1% report no medical ailments compared to 0% in Greater Melbourne. As of 25 June 2021, 25.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,533 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Keilor was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor's population shows high cultural diversity, with 22.4% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Keilor, accounting for 70.8%. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where no figure was provided.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.2%), Australian (18.5%), and Italian (12.3%). Notably, Croatian (3.4%) and Maltese (4.3%) populations exceed regional averages of none percent each, while Polish stands at 1.6%.

Keilor hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Keilor is 46 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor has a notably higher proportion of people aged 75-84 (9.9% locally) but fewer people aged 25-34 (8.7%). According to the 2021 Census, the percentage of people aged 75-84 in Keilor has increased from 7.9% to 9.9%, while the percentage of those aged 65-74 has decreased from 12.3% to 11.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Keilor. The number of people aged 85 and above is projected to increase by 315 (112%) from 280 to 596. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 70% of the projected growth, while the cohorts aged 25-34 and 5-14 are forecasted to experience population declines.