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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Keilor has an estimated 5,785 residents, down from 5,906 at the 2021 Census — a change of 121 people, or 2.0%. The population has thinned by an average 0.9% a year over five years, slower than 97% of areas nationally. That puts 543 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Keilor has an estimated population of approximately 5,785 as of May 2026, according to calculations of ABS demographic updates and newly confirmed addresses by AreaSearch since the Census. Compared to the 5,906 residents recorded during the 2021 Census, this represents a reduction of 121 people (2.0%). This shift is calculated from the resident population of 5,783, estimated by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) along with 6 validated new addresses added since the Census. The current population translates to a density of 543 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and potential space for future construction.
Growth in the local population was heavily reliant on overseas migration, which made up about 87.0% of overall population increases in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For locations lacking this coverage, projections from the VIC State Government's 2023 release are utilized, adjusting data through a weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age brackets from these aggregations are also projected forward for all regions from 2032 to 2041. Future demographic patterns indicate a population growth rate slightly below the median of Australian statistical areas, with expectations that the area will grow by 536 residents by 2041 based on aggregated SA2 projections, representing a 9.2% overall expansion over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
51 new dwellings have been approved in Keilor over the past five years, an average of 10 a year. That is 1.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS building approvals shows that the suburb of Keilor has averaged about 10 residential approvals annually, totaling approximately 51 dwellings over the preceding 5 financial years. In the current financial year of FY-26, no approvals have been registered. As the population has been contracting recently, the volume of new housing has likely matched demand, providing buyers with adequate options. Additionally, commercial approvals worth $14.8 million were recorded this financial year, pointing to steady commercial construction activity. Recent approvals indicate that new housing comprises 62.0% standalone houses and 38.0% medium to high-density dwellings, with an increasing variety of townhouses and apartments offering choices across different price brackets, ranging from family residences to affordable compact options.
This represents a distinct shift from the existing housing stock (which stands at 87.0% houses), driven by a scarcity of development sites and changing lifestyle choices and affordability demands. The ratio of 362 people in the area for every approved dwelling points to a quiet, low-activity development climate. Long-term forecasts indicate that the suburb of Keilor will add 534 residents by 2041 based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. If current building rates persist, the addition of new housing may fall short of population gains, which could heighten buyer competition and support stronger price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Keilor
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Keilor, worth an estimated $800 million. A further 72 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $24.1 billion. 19 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major developments have a significant impact on local performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects expected to influence the local area. Principal projects include Essendon Keilor College - East Keilor Campus, Rosemont Townhomes, Keilor East Railway Station, and 20 Packard Street Townhouses, with the most relevant ones detailed in the list below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Keilor East Railway Station
New railway station at Keilor East as part of the Melbourne Airport Rail Link project, serving over 150,000 residents in the Moonee Valley area. The station will provide direct access to Melbourne Airport and the CBD via the Metro Tunnel. Works on the broader rail link commenced in early 2026 after disputes were resolved, with completion targeted for 2033.
Baptcare Keilor Downs Affordable Housing
Construction of 47 social and affordable housing dwellings, comprised of 23 single-storey and 24 double-storey units, delivered under Victoria's Big Housing Build program. The homes are accessed via a new internal loop road connecting to Thornhill Drive, each with one car space and landscaped front and rear yards. The project is a partnership between Baptcare Affordable Housing and the Victorian Government, part of a combined 95-home commitment across Keilor Downs and Lalor. Civil works are well underway on site.
M80 Ring Road Upgrade - Sunshine Avenue to Calder Freeway (Keilor East)
Completed upgrade of the M80 Ring Road through Keilor East between Sunshine Avenue and the Calder Freeway, including widening to 4 lanes each way to the EJ Whitten Bridge and 5 lanes each way across the bridge to the Calder Freeway, ramp improvements and smart freeway systems to improve traffic flow and safety.
Tullamarine Logistics Estate
Goodman's premium industrial estate delivering over 100,000 sqm of modern warehouse and logistics facilities at Tullamarine, adjacent to Melbourne Airport. The estate offers direct access to the Tullamarine Freeway, Metropolitan Ring Road and Calder Freeway, targeting e-commerce, contract logistics, and freight-forwarding occupiers seeking proximity to the airport and Melbourne's northern arterial network.
Keilor Downs Urban Design Framework
The Keilor Downs Urban Design Framework, adopted by Brimbank City Council in 2018, sets an integrated vision for the future built form, public realm, and land use of the Keilor Downs Activity Centre. It guides Council's assessment of planning permit applications within the activity centre, covering built form controls, streetscape improvements, and pedestrian connectivity. The framework document was last reviewed and confirmed current as of 6 February 2024.
Keilor Central Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Approved staged masterplan and development plan for Keilor Central, enabling a 10-15 year redevelopment of the sub-regional shopping centre. The plan allows about 20,000 sqm of new retail, shops and marketplace space, new laneways and market-style retail, greener public spaces, improved links to Brimbank Aquatic and Wellness Centre, and about 320 dwellings to add mixed-use activity and housing diversity.
Sunshine Avenue Intersection Upgrades
Victorian Government project to upgrade the Sunshine Avenue intersections with Melton Highway and Old Calder Highway. Works include new turning lanes, traffic signals, upgraded pedestrian crossings and associated road improvements to improve safety, reduce congestion and improve traffic flow. Planning investigations and early works are progressing, with planning expected to be completed during 2026 before major construction timing is confirmed.
20 Packard Street Townhouses
Development of 8 two-storey townhouses designed for modern living. The development application has been granted by Brimbank Council. Construction is expected to commence soon.
3,152 residents of Keilor are employed, from a labour force of 3,193. Unemployment sits at 1.3%, with participation at 64.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 9,545, about 165% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Keilor possesses a highly qualified workforce, with the construction sector showing strong representation, and an unemployment rate of only 1.3% based on AreaSearch aggregations of statistical area data. Work is held by 3,152 residents as of March 2026, and the unemployment rate is 3.5% lower than the 4.8% rate in Greater Melbourne, though workforce participation is lower at 64.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.2%. Census figures show that a high proportion of residents (30.1%) worked from home, though this may have been influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Local employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
The local workforce is highly concentrated in construction, which is 1.5 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance is underrepresented at 11.2% compared to 14.2% regionally. With 1.9 workers for every local resident at the time of the Census, the area serves as an employment center, containing more jobs than working residents and drawing commuters from adjacent regions. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader statistical regions, the past 12-month period saw a contraction in the labor force of 1.5% and a decrease in employment of 0.8%, resulting in a 0.7 percentage point drop in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.1% and the labor force grow by 2.3%, while its unemployment rate rose by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide further context for future job demand in the suburb of Keilor. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate future growth. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary across different sectors. Applying these industry-specific forecasts to the local mix suggests employment in the suburb of Keilor will grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (this represents a basic weighting extrapolation for illustration and does not incorporate local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Keilor is $2,046 a week (about $106,000 a year), with median personal income at $824 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,824 a year against an average of $84,305. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The latest postcode-level ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 show that incomes in the suburb of Keilor are exceptionally high by national standards, with a median of $63,824 and an average of $84,305. These figures exceed Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 would be around $69,964 for the median and $92,415 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Keilor were clustered around the 60th percentile nationally.
The largest income bracket contains 27.0% of local residents (1,561 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, which aligns with regional patterns where 32.8% fall into this bracket. Economic capacity is also indicated by 33.1% of households earning weekly incomes above $3,000, which supports consumer spending. Residents retain 88.7% of their income after housing costs, showing strong purchasing capacity, and the area is positioned in the 8th decile on the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Keilor had 2,133 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 0% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 10% rented and 52% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the latest Census, the housing composition in the suburb of Keilor consisted of 87.1% standalone houses and 12.9% other dwelling types (semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative housing), compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings in Greater Melbourne. Home ownership rates in the suburb of Keilor were significantly higher than the metropolitan average at 51.7%, with remaining properties held under a mortgage (38.3%) or rented (9.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Melbourne metro average at $2,167, and the median weekly rent was recorded at $400, compared to metropolitan averages of $2,000 and $390.
Nationally, mortgage repayments in the suburb of Keilor exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Keilor counted 2,133 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 78% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 78.3%, consisting of couples with children (39.5%), couples without children (28.0%), and single parent households (10.3%). Non-family households account for the remaining 21.7%, with single person households representing 20.6% and group households making up 1.1%. The median household size of 2.7 people is slightly larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
27.7% of adults in Keilor hold a university qualification, including 20.0% with a bachelor degree and 4.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 21.2% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 2,794 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,082 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in the suburb of Keilor is below the metropolitan average, with 27.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a university qualification compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne. This indicates opportunities for further educational and skills acquisition. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational and technical training is common, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (21.2%). Enrollment in education is high, with 26.5% of residents currently studying in formal programs.
This group includes 8.6% in high school, 8.0% in primary school, and 5.1% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Keilor reaches 32 stops on 1 route, timetabled for about 380 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport data shows 32 active stops within the suburb of Keilor, which are serviced by buses. These stops are accessed by 1 distinct routes, providing 384 passenger trips every week. Accessibility is good, with residents living an average of 224 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb of Keilor is mostly residential, so most workers commute to outer areas, and cars are the dominant mode of travel at 93%. Car ownership averages 1.8 vehicles per household, which is above the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents (30.1%) worked from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Service frequency averages 54 daily trips across all active routes, which translates to about 12 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.1% of residents in Keilor report no long-term health condition. 6.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 60.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Analysis of health indicators demonstrates strong outcomes across the suburb of Keilor, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and chronic illness rates, with low rates of common health conditions among both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance rates are very high at approximately 60% of the population (3,475 people). This compares to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.0% and 7.1% of residents, respectively, while 69.1% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne.
The working-age population is healthy with low chronic illness rates. Residents aged 65 and over make up 26.3% of the population (1,521 people), which is higher than the 15.0% proportion in Greater Melbourne. Health measures for older residents are strong, with national rankings aligning with the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Keilor is largely Australian-born, at 77.6% of residents, with 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (19.2%) and Australian (18.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Keilor is more culturally diverse than most local property markets, with 22.4% of the population born outside Australia and 22.9% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 70.8% of the local population, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top parent countries of birth represented in the suburb of Keilor are English at 19.2%, Australian at 18.5%, and Italian at 12.3%, which is much higher than the regional average of 5.2%. Other distinct heritages include Croatian at 3.4% of the population (compared to 0.7% regionally), Maltese at 4.3% (compared to 1.1% regionally), and Polish at 1.6% (compared to 0.8% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Keilor is 46, older than 82% of areas nationally. 21.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 46 years in the suburb of Keilor is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and the national median of 38. The 75 - 84 age cohort is over-represented locally (10.2% of the population) compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 7.9% to 10.2% of the population, and the 85+ cohort has risen from 3.8% to 4.9%. The 65 to 74 group decreased from 12.3% to 11.2%.
Projections for 2041 show major demographic shifts in the suburb of Keilor, with the 85+ cohort expected to double, adding 284 people (100%) to grow from 283 to 568. This aging trend is prominent, with residents aged 65+ accounting for 65% of the projected population growth, while the 35 to 44 and 25 to 34 brackets are expected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Keilor
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 6 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (5,906 at the 2021 Census → 5,785 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21314). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.