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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Keilor has an estimated 5,787 residents, down from 5,906 at the 2021 Census — a change of 119 people, or 2.0%. The population has thinned by an average 0.8% a year over five years, slower than 97% of areas nationally. That puts 543 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of broader regional ABS updates alongside post-Census address validations, the suburb of Keilor has an estimated 5,787 residents as of Aug 2026. Compared to the 5,906 count recorded in the 2021 Census, this marks a reduction of 119 people (2.0%). This figure stems from a resident population baseline of 5,785 calculated from the ABS ERP release in June 2025, combined with 6 validated new addresses identified following the Census. The suburb's density stands at 543 persons per square kilometer, offering generous personal space and capacity for prospective development.
International arrivals served as the primary growth contributor, accounting for roughly 87.0% of all recent demographic gains. Projections for the suburb of Keilor incorporate 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia data configured with a 2022 baseline for each SA2. For areas lacking direct coverage, AreaSearch employs 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections, adjusting figures via population-weighted LGA-to-SA2 aggregation methods. Age-specific growth rates derived from these models are similarly applied across the 2032 to 2041 horizon. Looking ahead, population trajectory sits just under the median across AreaSearch statistical areas, with aggregated SA2 figures projecting an increase of 538 persons through to 2041, representing a 9.3% total expansion across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
43 new dwellings have been approved in Keilor over the past five years, an average of 8 a year. That is 1.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch indicates that Keilor has averaged approximately 8 residential dwelling approvals annually, accumulating 43 homes across the preceding 5 financial years. Throughout FY-25 to date, no new approvals have been recorded. In the wake of population decline, residential construction volume has remained aligned with demand, fostering a balanced environment offering ample selection for buyers. Furthermore, approvals for commercial developments have reached $14.8 million during this financial year, pointing to steady non-residential development. Residential additions are composed of 75.0% separate houses alongside 25.0% medium and high-density formats, sustaining the neighborhood's low-density profile while prioritizing standalone houses that appeal to purchasers seeking space.
Moving forward, Keilor is projected to add 536 residents through to 2041 based on the most recent AreaSearch quarterly release. If building activity maintains its current pace, additions to housing stock may fall short of demographic expansion, potentially intensifying competition among purchasers and placing upward pressure on property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Keilor
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Keilor, worth an estimated $800 million. A further 72 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $34.1 billion. 17 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure investment, major works, and strategic planning initiatives exert a significant influence on an area's trajectory. AreaSearch has pinpointed 18 projects expected to influence the locality, with notable developments comprising Essendon Keilor College - East Keilor Campus, Rosemont Townhomes, Keilor East Railway Station, and 20 Packard Street Townhouses.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Keilor East Railway Station
New railway station at Keilor East as part of the Melbourne Airport Rail Link project, serving over 150,000 residents in the Moonee Valley area. The station will provide direct access to Melbourne Airport and the CBD via the Metro Tunnel. Works on the broader rail link commenced in early 2026 after disputes were resolved, with completion targeted for 2033.
Baptcare Keilor Downs Affordable Housing
Construction of 47 social and affordable housing dwellings, comprised of 23 single-storey and 24 double-storey units, delivered under Victoria's Big Housing Build program. The homes are accessed via a new internal loop road connecting to Thornhill Drive, each with one car space and landscaped front and rear yards. The project is a partnership between Baptcare Affordable Housing and the Victorian Government, part of a combined 95-home commitment across Keilor Downs and Lalor. Civil works are well underway on site.
M80 Ring Road Upgrade - Sunshine Avenue to Calder Freeway (Keilor East)
Completed upgrade of the M80 Ring Road through Keilor East between Sunshine Avenue and the Calder Freeway, including widening to 4 lanes each way to the EJ Whitten Bridge and 5 lanes each way across the bridge to the Calder Freeway, ramp improvements and smart freeway systems to improve traffic flow and safety.
Tullamarine Logistics Estate
Goodman's premium industrial estate delivering over 100,000 sqm of modern warehouse and logistics facilities at Tullamarine, adjacent to Melbourne Airport. The estate offers direct access to the Tullamarine Freeway, Metropolitan Ring Road and Calder Freeway, targeting e-commerce, contract logistics, and freight-forwarding occupiers seeking proximity to the airport and Melbourne's northern arterial network.
Keilor Downs Urban Design Framework
The Keilor Downs Urban Design Framework, adopted by Brimbank City Council in 2018, sets an integrated vision for the future built form, public realm, and land use of the Keilor Downs Activity Centre. It guides Council's assessment of planning permit applications within the activity centre, covering built form controls, streetscape improvements, and pedestrian connectivity. The framework document was last reviewed and confirmed current as of 6 February 2024.
Keilor Central Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Approved staged masterplan and development plan for Keilor Central, enabling a 10-15 year redevelopment of the sub-regional shopping centre. The plan allows about 20,000 sqm of new retail, shops and marketplace space, new laneways and market-style retail, greener public spaces, improved links to Brimbank Aquatic and Wellness Centre, and about 320 dwellings to add mixed-use activity and housing diversity.
Sunshine Avenue Intersection Upgrades
Victorian Government project to upgrade the Sunshine Avenue intersections with Melton Highway and Old Calder Highway. Works include new turning lanes, traffic signals, upgraded pedestrian crossings and associated road improvements to improve safety, reduce congestion and improve traffic flow. Planning investigations and early works are progressing, with planning expected to be completed during 2026 before major construction timing is confirmed.
20 Packard Street Townhouses
Development of 8 two-storey townhouses designed for modern living. The development application has been granted by Brimbank Council. Construction is expected to commence soon.
3,147 residents of Keilor are employed, from a labour force of 3,187. Unemployment sits at 1.3%, with participation at 64.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 9,552, about 165% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Keilor maintains a highly capable labor pool characterized by substantial representation across construction and a jobless rate standing at a mere 1.3%, according to aggregated statistical figures from AreaSearch. Employed residents numbered 3,147 as of March 2026, while the local unemployment rate sits 3.5% lower than the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, though labor participation of 64.6% trails the metropolitan benchmark of 70.1%. Census records showed that 30.1% of workers carried out their duties from home, an outcome influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Local workers are concentrated predominantly in construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.
Specialization is particularly pronounced in construction, where Keilor's share exceeds the regional benchmark by 1.5 times. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for a smaller footprint locally, comprising 11.2% of workers compared to 14.2% throughout Greater Melbourne. With 1.9 jobs per resident at the time of the Census, the suburb operates as an employment center that provides more positions than it has local workers, drawing labor from neighboring districts. According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM metrics, the preceding 12-month period recorded a 1.5% contraction in the labor force paired with a 0.8% decline in employment, leading to a 0.7 percentage point drop in the jobless rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment climb 2.1%, the labor force grow 2.3%, and unemployment rise 0.2 percentage points. Longer-term hiring requirements can be evaluated using national forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26, mapped against the local industry profile. While nationwide employment is projected to expand by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, trajectories vary notably across individual sectors. Applying these industry growth rates to Keilor's workforce suggests local employment would rise 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (calculated via weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes without accounting for localized population shifts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Keilor is $2,046 a week (about $106,000 a year), with median personal income at $824 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,824 a year against an average of $84,305. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place Keilor among the nation's top-earning suburbs, showing a median taxable income of $63,824 and an average of $84,305. These figures exceed Greater Melbourne's medians and averages of $57,688 and $75,164. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of roughly $69,964 (median) and $92,415 (average) as of March 2026. From the Census 2021 results, local household, family, and personal incomes sit near the 60th percentile across Australia. The $1,500 - 2,999 income tier represents 27.0% of local earners (1,562 individuals), compared to 32.8% regionally.
Financial resilience is evident as 33.1% of households generate weekly earnings topping $3,000, sustaining strong spending levels. After accounting for shelter expenses, households retain 88.7% of their income, which underpins substantial purchasing capacity and places the suburb in the 8th decile for SEIFA income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Keilor had 2,133 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 0% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 10% rented and 52% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in Keilor at the latest Census was dominated by detached houses at 87.1%, with other formats (apartments, semi-detached, and other structures) accounting for 12.9%, contrasting with Melbourne metro's split of 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings. Outright homeownership was exceptionally pronounced at 51.7%—substantially above metropolitan figures—while 38.3% of homes were mortgaged and 9.9% were rented. Typical monthly mortgage payments stood at $2,167 against the Melbourne metro benchmark of $2,000, while median weekly rent was $400 compared to $390 metro-wide. Compared to Australia-wide levels, Keilor's mortgage costs exceed the national average of $1,863, and rents outstrip the Australian benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Keilor counted 2,133 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 78% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 78.3%, consisting of couples with children (39.5%), couples without children (28.0%), and single parent arrangements (10.3%). The remaining 21.7% comprises non-family residences, made up of lone person dwellings (20.6%) and group living arrangements (1.1%). Household occupancy averages 2.7 persons, slightly exceeding the Greater Melbourne figure of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
27.7% of adults in Keilor hold a university qualification, including 20.0% with a bachelor degree and 4.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 21.2% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 2,794 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,082 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in Keilor sits below the wider metropolitan level, as 27.7% of residents aged 15+ hold a university degree compared with 37.0% throughout Greater Melbourne. Bachelor degrees make up the largest share of higher qualifications at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational and technical certifications are widely held, with 31.4% of the population aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including 21.2% holding certificates and 10.2% holding advanced diplomas. A substantial proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 26.5% of residents enrolled across educational institutions.
This comprises 8.6% in secondary schools, 8.0% in primary schools, and 5.1% undertaking tertiary programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Keilor reaches 32 stops on 1 route, timetabled for about 450 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in the suburb of Keilor encompass 32 active bus stops. These transit points are served by 1 separate routes, generating 451 weekly departures. Local transit access is solid, with residents positioned an average of 224 meters from their nearest stop. Given its residential character, outward travel is common, with private vehicles accounting for 93% of commuter trips. Vehicle density sits at 1.8 per household, above regional averages. A notable 30.1% of working residents operated from home during the 2021 Census, which reflected pandemic-era conditions. Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 64 daily trips across the network, translating to approximately 14 weekly services per bus stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.1% of residents in Keilor report no long-term health condition. 6.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 60.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Keilor demonstrate favorable outcomes based on AreaSearch evaluations of chronic illness and mortality, with low rates of common health conditions observed across both younger and older cohorts. Private health insurance uptake is notably widespread, covering approximately 60% of residents (3,476 people), surpassing the Greater Melbourne rate of 56.7%. Arthritis and asthma represent the most widespread medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.0 and 7.1% of the community respectively, whereas 69.1% reported having no diagnosed health conditions compared to 72.6% regionally. The working-age population displays strong health profiles with minimal chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over comprise 25.7% of the suburb (1,487 people), a proportion well above the 15.1% recorded for Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among older residents are robust, tracking closely with broader national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Keilor is largely Australian-born, at 77.6% of residents, with 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (19.2%) and Australian (18.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Keilor exceeds that of most comparable areas, with 22.4% of residents born abroad and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity forms the dominant faith, practiced by 70.8% of the local population compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding ancestral origins, the most prominent backgrounds reported in Keilor are English (19.2%), Australian (18.5%), and Italian (12.3%), the latter far exceeding the regional benchmark of 5.2%. Notable representation is also seen among other European ancestries: Maltese accounts for 4.3% (against 1.1% regionally), Croatian represents 3.4% (vs 0.7%), and Polish accounts for 1.6% (vs 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Keilor is 46, older than 82% of areas nationally. 21.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographically, the suburb of Keilor has an older population structure than its surrounding region. As of August 2026 updates, retirees and seniors (65+) constitute 25.7% of the population, well above the 15.1% benchmark for Greater Melbourne, while young to middle-aged adults (25 - 44) represent 19.9%, trailing the regional level of 32.1%. The estimated median age stood at 46 in August 2026, identical to the 2021 Census figure, remaining 9 years higher than Greater Melbourne's median of 37 and higher than the national median of 38 from that Census. The share of seniors has increased from 24.0% at the Census to 25.7%.
By 2041, senior age brackets are forecasted to represent the majority of expansion, adding 383 residents (26%) to reach 1,870, while younger adult cohorts and children are expected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Keilor
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 6 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,906 at the 2021 Census → 5,787 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21314). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.