Keilor

Keilor is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Keilor statistical area (Lv2) is around 5,815, a decrease of 91 people (1.5%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,906. This estimation is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024. The population density stands at 546 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Keilor (SA2) is expected to expand by 558 persons, reflecting an increase of 12.8% in total over the 17 years, with a population just below the median of Australian statistical areas anticipated.

The level of residential development activity in Keilor is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Keilor has experienced around 3 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 17 homes. So far in FY26, 0 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $778,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This financial year has seen $14.8 million in commercial development approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. New building activity shows 50% detached dwellings and 50% attached dwellings, skewing towards compact living which offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix (currently 87% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated count of 2977 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Looking ahead, Keilor is expected to grow by 742 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Keilor has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 20 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Melbourne Airport Rail, Essendon Keilor College - East Keilor Campus, Rosemont Townhomes, and Keilor East Railway Station. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Keilor positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Keilor has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6%.

As of September 2025, 3,306 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 3.0% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. The workforce participation rate was 61.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents included construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction had a strong presence with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance, however, had limited presence at 11.2% compared to the regional 14.2%. The area functioned as an employment hub with 1.9 workers per resident, attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, while labour force grew by 1.4%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 showed Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keilor's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Keilor has an exceptionally high income level nationally, according to the latest Australian Taxation Office data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended June 2023. In Keilor, the median income among taxpayers is $63,824, and the average income stands at $84,305. These figures compare with those for Greater Melbourne, which are $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on a 8.25% growth in wages since June 2023, as indicated by the Wage Price Index, current estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $69,089 and the average income around $91,260 by September 2025. Census data shows that incomes in Keilor cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the predominant cohort spans 27.0% of locals (1,570 people) with weekly earnings between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Higher earners represent a substantial presence in Keilor, with 33.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 88.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Keilor is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Keilor's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 87.1% houses and 12.9% other dwellings. Home ownership stood at 51.7%, with 38.3% of dwellings mortgaged and 9.9% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, and the median weekly rent was $400. Nationally, Keilor's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Keilor features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.7 people

Family households make up 78.3% of all households, including 39.5% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.7%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people.

The educational profile of Keilor exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Keilor's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks, with 27.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (21.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.6% in secondary education, 8.0% in primary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 32 active transport stops operating within Keilor. These stops serve a mix of bus routes. There is 1 individual route servicing these stops, collectively providing 384 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located 224 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 54 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keilor's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Keilor's health data shows positive results for its residents, with common health conditions evenly distributed across age groups.

Around 60% of Keilor's total population of 3,493 has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.0% and 7.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 69.1%, report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Melbourne overall. About 25.7% of Keilor's population is aged 65 or over, totaling 1,494 individuals. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong and surpass those of the general population in various health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Keilor was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor's population showed high cultural diversity, with 22.4% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keilor, accounting for 70.8%. This contrasted with the Greater Melbourne figure of None%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (19.2%), Australian (18.5%), and Italian (12.3%). Notably, Croatian (3.4%) Maltese (4.3%) and Polish (1.6%) groups had higher representation in Keilor compared to regional averages.

Keilor hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Keilor is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor has a higher proportion of individuals aged 75-84 (9.9% locally), while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.7%. Between the 2021 Census and present day, the percentage of the population aged 75 to 84 has increased from 7.9% to 9.9%, while the proportion of individuals aged 65 to 74 has decreased from 12.3% to 11.1%. By 2041, Keilor's population is projected to undergo significant demographic changes. The number of individuals aged 85 and above is expected to surge dramatically, increasing by 322 people (118%) from 273 to 596. This aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 64% of the projected growth. Conversely, the number of individuals aged 0 to 4 is projected to decline by 16 people.