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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Tullamarine has an estimated 6,944 residents, up from 6,733 at the 2021 Census — a change of 211 people, or 3.1%. 102 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 927 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Estimates derived from ABS population updates for the broader region, alongside fresh addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, indicate that the population of the suburb of Tullamarine stands at approximately 6,944 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 211 people (3.1%) relative to the 2021 Census, which recorded 6,733 residents. This adjustment is calculated from a resident population of 6,915, estimated by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) and incorporating an extra 102 validated new addresses following the Census date. Such a population size results in a density ratio of 927 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with averages recorded across locations analyzed by AreaSearch.
Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth for the area, accounting for roughly 75.0% of all population gains in recent times. AreaSearch employs projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 areas, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For SA2 areas lacking this coverage, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, modified via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates across specific age cohorts from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic patterns suggest a substantial population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas assessed by AreaSearch, with the suburb of Tullamarine projected to expand by 2,590 persons to 2041 under aggregated SA2-level forecasts, representing a total rise of 36.9% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
217 new dwellings have been approved in Tullamarine over the past five years, an average of 43 a year. That is 6.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 48 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 27% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 19, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical area records, the suburb of Tullamarine has recorded an average of roughly 43 new dwelling approvals annually. This translates to an estimated 217 homes approved throughout the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 18 thus far in FY-26. Even as the suburb of Tullamarine has experienced population decline, the supply of housing has remained sufficient to meet demand, leading to a balanced market with healthy buyer options, while new homes are built at an average expected construction cost of $393,000.
Furthermore, $5.6 million in commercial approvals have been logged in the current financial year, which highlights the residential character of the suburb of Tullamarine. Recent building activity is comprised of 27.0% detached houses and 73.0% townhouses or apartments. This shift toward higher-density projects provides more affordable entry points and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This represents a clear shift from the existing housing stock (which currently consists of 59.0% houses), indicating a decline in the availability of developable land and reflecting changing lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With approximately 170 people per approval, the suburb of Tullamarine is characterized as a low density area. Demographic projections indicate the suburb of Tullamarine will add 2,561 residents by 2041 (starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction rates persist, the supply of housing may fail to match population growth, which could increase competition among buyers and support higher price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Tullamarine
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Tullamarine, worth an estimated $3.61 billion. A further 71 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $179.3 billion. 17 are already under construction and 20 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure updates, major projects, and planning schemes exert a major influence on local performance. In total, 27 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a potential impact on the locality. Key initiatives include the Tullamarine Logistics Estate, Oaklands Green, Western Ring Road (M80) Infrastructure Upgrades, and Assembly Tullamarine, with the details below highlighting those expected to be of greatest relevance.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
M80 Ring Road Upgrade
Upgrades to the M80 Ring Road including adding new lanes, installing a smart freeway lane management system, new bridges, and establishing a seamless connection to the North East Link to improve traffic flow and safety.
Tullamarine Logistics Estate
Goodman's premium industrial estate delivering over 100,000 sqm of modern warehouse and logistics facilities at Tullamarine, adjacent to Melbourne Airport. The estate offers direct access to the Tullamarine Freeway, Metropolitan Ring Road and Calder Freeway, targeting e-commerce, contract logistics, and freight-forwarding occupiers seeking proximity to the airport and Melbourne's northern arterial network.
Assembly Tullamarine
A proposed 70,000 sqm state-of-the-art logistics and industrial estate by Charter Hall at Tullamarine, featuring multiple large warehouses with direct connectivity to Melbourne Airport and the Tullamarine Freeway. The estate is designed to accommodate a range of logistics and industrial tenant customers with high-clearance warehouses, sustainable design features and efficient freight access.
Sharps Rd, Tullamarine
A next-generation logistics hub planned by Hines, positioned to enhance the route between the M80 and Melbourne Airport.
Gladstone Park Shopping Centre Refurbishment and Expansion
The Gladstone Park Shopping Centre refurbishment is a staged modernisation project focused on upgrading facades and common areas, enhancing the dining precinct, and increasing the number of specialty retailers. The plan includes improving site access, circulation, and car parking facilities while maintaining its status as a core neighborhood hub anchored by major supermarkets and community services.
The Quadrant Tullamarine
Mirvac's 40-hectare master-planned corporate office and industrial park featuring premium A-grade office buildings and large-format warehousing directly opposite Melbourne Airport's main terminal precinct.
11 Ian Crescent Townhouses by DKO Architecture
Boutique development of 10 architecturally designed townhouses by DKO Architecture on 2,559 sqm site. 3-bedroom residences with direct access to AJ Davis Reserve and parkland. Prices ranging from $990,000 to $1,030,000.
Hart Industrial Precinct
A 30 hectare aviation, commercial and light industrial precinct in the north-east section of Essendon Fields. Stage 1 is over 60 percent complete, with more than 100000 square metres of total site area delivered and about 64000 square metres of development-ready land remaining. Operational facilities include Autex Acoustics at 121-131 Global Avenue, Modscape at 112-120 Global Avenue, Dutton Wholesale at 1 Challenger Court and temporary Modscape module storage at 117 Global Avenue. Civil infrastructure including the Global Avenue extension, services and stage 1 retarding basin is complete, while landscaping, boundary interface works and stage 2 retarding basin works are ongoing.Further warehouses and a cafe are planned subject to market demand.
3,602 residents of Tullamarine are employed, from a labour force of 3,794. Unemployment sits at 5.1%, with participation at 63.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 10,192, about 147% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tullamarine has a skilled workforce with notable representation in industrial and manufacturing sectors, an unemployment rate of 5.1%, and an estimated employment growth of 0.9% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregations of statistical area data. In March 2026, 3,602 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 0.3% higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%, and workforce participation was substantially lower (63.6% compared to 70.2% in Greater Melbourne). Census returns indicate that a moderate 21.1% of residents worked from home, although this should be viewed in light of COVID-19 lockdown restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for local workers are construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance. The local workforce displays a particularly strong concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 5.8% of local workers, compared to 10.1% across Greater Melbourne. Recording 1.5 workers for every resident at the time of the Census, the area serves as an employment hub, providing more jobs than it has working residents and drawing commuters from neighboring suburbs. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical areas shows that during the 12 months leading to March 2026, employment grew by 0.9% while the labor force shrank by 0.5%, leading to a drop in unemployment of 1.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labor force growth of 2.3%, accompanied by a 0.2 percentage point increase. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide additional context regarding future demand in Tullamarine. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been matched with the local employment profile to project growth trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rate of growth varies widely by industry. Applying these industry-specific projections to the local employment mix suggests that employment in Tullamarine will increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Tullamarine is $1,404 a week (about $73,000 a year), with median personal income at $726 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,379 a year against an average of $61,303. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on the most recent postcode level ATO data released by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023, the suburb of Tullamarine has a median taxpayer income of $52,379 and an average taxpayer income of $61,303. This is lower than the national average, and compares to a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164 in Greater Melbourne. Adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be roughly $57,418 (median) and $67,200 (average) as of March 2026. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Tullamarine are all modest, ranking between the 29th and 33rd percentiles.
Looking at the distribution of income, the largest cohort consists of 32.8% of local residents (2,277 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, mirroring regional patterns where 32.8% fall within this same bracket. Housing affordability pressures are high, with only 82.0% of income remaining, placing the area in the 26th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Tullamarine had 2,819 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 59% detached houses and 1% apartments. 32% are owned with a mortgage, 35% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $355 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 25.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of dwellings in Tullamarine at the last Census consisted of 59.4% houses and 40.6% other dwelling types (such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative options), compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings across Melbourne metro. Home ownership rates in Tullamarine exceeded the Melbourne metro average, standing at 32.8%, while the remaining properties were either held with a mortgage (31.9%) or rented (35.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly lower than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000 at $1,733, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $355, compared to $390 across Melbourne metro.
On a national level, mortgage repayments in Tullamarine are below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are lower than the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Tullamarine counted 2,819 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 24% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households represent the majority of all households at 63.8%, consisting of 25.4% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.2%, with lone person households representing 33.5% and group households making up 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
21.1% of adults in Tullamarine hold a university qualification, including 15.0% with a bachelor degree and 4.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.9% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 230 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 992 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The area experiences educational challenges, with university graduation rates (21.1%) sitting well below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational and technical training are highly represented, with 33.8% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications in these areas – advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (22.9%). A significant portion of the population is enrolled in formal study, representing 24.4% of residents. This includes 7.8% in primary school, 5.1% in high school, and 4.1% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Tullamarine reaches 53 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 1,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis indicates there are 53 active transport stops within Tullamarine, consisting of a mix of buses. These stops are served by 8 distinct routes, which combine to offer 1,444 passenger trips weekly. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents living an average of 207 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential suburb, most residents commute outward, with cars remaining the dominant mode of travel at 90%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. Some 21.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 206 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.1% of residents in Tullamarine report no long-term health condition. 8.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Tullamarine faces notable health challenges, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with common health issues appearing across both younger and older cohorts, and the rate of private health insurance found to be relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~3,548 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical diagnoses in the locality were arthritis and mental health conditions, affecting 8.7 and 7.9% of residents, respectively, while 67.1% reported being completely free of medical issues compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne.
Working-age residents display an above-average prevalence of chronic health issues. The area has 22.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,590 people), which is higher than the 15.0% share in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally matching those of the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
35.8% of Tullamarine residents were born overseas and 36.1% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 80% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are English (17.8%) and Australian (16.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Tullamarine exhibits relatively high levels of cultural diversity, with 35.8% of the population born overseas and 36.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The primary religion in Tullamarine is Christianity, which is practiced by 64.1% of the population. This compares to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding ancestry (parents' country of birth), the three largest represented groups in Tullamarine are English, representing 17.8% of the population, Australian, representing 16.4% of the population, and Other, representing 16.1% of the population. There are also notable differences in the representation of other ethnic groups: Italian is significantly overrepresented at 11.6% of Tullamarine (compared to 5.2% regionally), Maltese at 2.9% (compared to 1.1%) and Greek at 4.8% (compared to 2.7%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Tullamarine is 39. 27.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 39 years in the suburb of Tullamarine is slightly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and very close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 75 - 84 cohort is notably overrepresented (10.0% locally), while 15 - 24 year-olds are underrepresented (9.0%). Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 75 to 84 age bracket has grown from 7.0% to 10.0% of the population, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 1.8% to 2.9%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 10.0% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%.
Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic shifts for the suburb of Tullamarine. Leading the demographic change, the 75 to 84 cohort is projected to expand by 57% (397 people), reaching 1,092 from 694.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Tullamarine
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 102 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (6,733 at the 2021 Census → 6,944 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22586). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.