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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Tullamarine has an estimated 7,057 residents, up from 6,733 at the 2021 Census — a change of 324 people, or 4.8%. 117 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 942 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Demographic assessments by AreaSearch incorporating broader ABS updates and 117 validated new addresses since the Census indicate that the suburb of Tullamarine has an estimated resident population of around 7,057 as of Aug 2026. This marks an expansion of 324 people (4.8%) relative to the 2021 Census tally of 6,733 people, building upon an interim figure of 7,016 determined from the June 2025 ABS ERP release. The suburb of Tullamarine records a population density of 942 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with typical benchmarks across AreaSearch study locations. Net overseas arrivals served as the core driver of recent demographic growth, accounting for approximately 75.0% of total population additions.
Long-term demographic modelling for the suburb of Tullamarine draws on 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections based in 2022, supplemented where needed by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA figures weighted down to the SA2 scale and age-cohort trends applied from 2032 to 2041. These combined outlooks place the suburb of Tullamarine in the highest quartile nationwide for anticipated expansion, projecting a rise of 2,565 persons by 2041, which represents a total demographic increase of 35.8% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
211 new dwellings have been approved in Tullamarine over the past five years, an average of 42 a year. That is 6.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 43 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 33% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 31, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Examining ABS residential approval data distributed across statistical areas, AreaSearch reports that Tullamarine averages around 42 new residential approvals per year, totaling an estimated 211 approved dwellings across the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, alongside 31 approvals recorded to date in FY-25. Amid prior population declines, this ongoing construction pace has maintained adequate purchaser choice, with newly permitted homes averaging an expected construction cost of $482,000. In addition, commercial approvals have totaled $5.6 million in the current financial year, underscoring the predominantly domestic footprint of the locality. Recent residential building approvals are distributed between medium and high-density formats (67.0%) and standalone houses (33.0%).
This transition toward attached formats provides more accessible price points for first-home purchasers, downsizers, and investors, presenting a clear pivot from the established built environment of 59.0% separate houses due to constrained land supply and changing lifestyle preferences. Development density remains modest overall, registering at around 200 people per approval. With forward estimates showing Tullamarine adding 2,524 residents by 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, maintaining current construction volumes may cause new housing completions to fall behind demographic expansion, potentially heightening market competition and exerting upward pressure on values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Tullamarine
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Tullamarine, worth an estimated $3.61 billion. A further 71 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $189.9 billion. 16 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure development and major civic works play a critical role in local growth, with AreaSearch identifying 27 key projects positioned to influence the area. High-impact initiatives include Assembly Tullamarine, Western Ring Road (M80) Infrastructure Upgrades, Oaklands Green, and Tullamarine Logistics Estate.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
M80 Ring Road Upgrade
Upgrades to the M80 Ring Road including adding new lanes, installing a smart freeway lane management system, new bridges, and establishing a seamless connection to the North East Link to improve traffic flow and safety.
Tullamarine Logistics Estate
Goodman's premium industrial estate delivering over 100,000 sqm of modern warehouse and logistics facilities at Tullamarine, adjacent to Melbourne Airport. The estate offers direct access to the Tullamarine Freeway, Metropolitan Ring Road and Calder Freeway, targeting e-commerce, contract logistics, and freight-forwarding occupiers seeking proximity to the airport and Melbourne's northern arterial network.
Assembly Tullamarine
A proposed 70,000 sqm state-of-the-art logistics and industrial estate by Charter Hall at Tullamarine, featuring multiple large warehouses with direct connectivity to Melbourne Airport and the Tullamarine Freeway. The estate is designed to accommodate a range of logistics and industrial tenant customers with high-clearance warehouses, sustainable design features and efficient freight access.
Sharps Rd, Tullamarine
A next-generation logistics hub planned by Hines, positioned to enhance the route between the M80 and Melbourne Airport.
Gladstone Park Shopping Centre Refurbishment and Expansion
The Gladstone Park Shopping Centre refurbishment is a staged modernisation project focused on upgrading facades and common areas, enhancing the dining precinct, and increasing the number of specialty retailers. The plan includes improving site access, circulation, and car parking facilities while maintaining its status as a core neighborhood hub anchored by major supermarkets and community services.
The Quadrant Tullamarine
Mirvac's 40-hectare master-planned corporate office and industrial park featuring premium A-grade office buildings and large-format warehousing directly opposite Melbourne Airport's main terminal precinct.
11 Ian Crescent Townhouses by DKO Architecture
Boutique development of 10 architecturally designed townhouses by DKO Architecture on 2,559 sqm site. 3-bedroom residences with direct access to AJ Davis Reserve and parkland. Prices ranging from $990,000 to $1,030,000.
Hart Industrial Precinct
A 30 hectare aviation, commercial and light industrial precinct in the north-east section of Essendon Fields. Stage 1 is over 60 percent complete, with more than 100000 square metres of total site area delivered and about 64000 square metres of development-ready land remaining. Operational facilities include Autex Acoustics at 121-131 Global Avenue, Modscape at 112-120 Global Avenue, Dutton Wholesale at 1 Challenger Court and temporary Modscape module storage at 117 Global Avenue. Civil infrastructure including the Global Avenue extension, services and stage 1 retarding basin is complete, while landscaping, boundary interface works and stage 2 retarding basin works are ongoing.Further warehouses and a cafe are planned subject to market demand.
3,673 residents of Tullamarine are employed, from a labour force of 3,865. Unemployment sits at 5.0%, with participation at 64.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 10,353, about 147% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market in Tullamarine is characterized by a strong industrial and manufacturing presence, an unemployment rate of 5.0%, and an annual employment growth rate of 1.3% based on AreaSearch statistical area datasets. As of March 2026, employed residents total 3,673, while local unemployment sits 0.2% higher than the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, and participation trails metropolitan levels at 64.3% versus 70.1%. At the time of the Census, 21.1% of workers reported working remotely, reflecting conditions during Covid-19 restrictions. Primary employment sectors for local residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing.
Tullamarine demonstrates an exceptionally high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, representing an employment share 2.3 times greater than the regional benchmark, while professional & technical roles account for only 5.8% of the resident workforce compared to 10.1% across the region. Operating as a prominent regional jobs hub, the locality recorded 1.5 workers for every resident at the Census, drawing significant daily workforce inflows from surrounding suburbs. According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM figures, local employment expanded by 1.3% over the 12-month period while the labour force contracted by 0.1%, resulting in a 1.4 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate. By contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment increase by 2.1%, the labour force grow by 2.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia national projections from Mar-26 anticipate nationwide employment increases of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Weighted against Tullamarine's existing industrial profile for illustrative purposes, these sector forecasts suggest local employment increases of 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, without incorporating localized population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Tullamarine is $1,404 a week (about $73,000 a year), with median personal income at $726 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,379 a year against an average of $61,303. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to aggregated ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, personal earnings in Tullamarine sit below national averages. Taxpayers recorded a median income of $52,379 and a mean of $61,303, relative to $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, updated figures reach approximately $57,418 for median earnings and $67,200 for average earnings as of March 2026. Across household, family, and individual brackets, Census metrics place local incomes between the 29th and 33rd percentiles nationally. Exactly 32.8% of the local population (2,314 individuals) earns between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the 32.8% metropolitan proportion.
After housing expenses, residents retain 82.0% of income, placing local affordability at the 26th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Tullamarine had 2,819 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 59% detached houses and 1% apartments. 32% are owned with a mortgage, 35% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $355 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 25.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The residential stock in Tullamarine recorded at the latest Census comprised 59.4% separate houses and 40.6% semi-detached, apartment, or other dwelling types, differing from the broader Melbourne metro distribution of 67.9% houses and 32.1% attached formats. Outright home ownership reached 32.8%, exceeding the metropolitan average, while 31.9% of properties were mortgaged and 35.3% were occupied by tenants. Typical monthly mortgage repayments stood at $1,733 and median weekly rents were $355, remaining below Melbourne metro figures of $2,000 and $390 respectively, as well as below nationwide medians of $1,863 for home loans and $375 for rental accommodation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Tullamarine counted 2,819 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 24% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 63.8% of households in the area, divided between couples with children (25.4%), couples without children (24.4%), and single parent families (12.4%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 36.2%, consisting of lone person households (33.5%) and group households (2.8%). Average household size is 2.3 people, which is slightly smaller than the 2.6 person average across Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
21.1% of adults in Tullamarine hold a university qualification, including 15.0% with a bachelor degree and 4.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.9% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 230 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 992 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment profiles show that 21.1% of residents hold university qualifications, trailing the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 37.0%. Among tertiary degree holders, bachelor degrees represent 15.0%, postgraduate qualifications account for 4.0%, and graduate diplomas stand at 2.1%. Conversely, vocational and technical credentials are widespread, with 33.8% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, comprising certificates (22.9%) and advanced diplomas (10.9%). Formal study engages 24.4% of the local population, distributed across primary education (7.8%), secondary schooling (5.1%), and tertiary programs (4.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Tullamarine reaches 53 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 2,700 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local public transit consists of 53 bus stops served by 8 routes, providing 2,744 scheduled weekly trips. Accessibility remains solid, with residents situated an average of 207 meters from the nearest stop. Commuting patterns reflect outward travel, with private vehicles accounting for 90% of journeys. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, below metropolitan norms, while 21.1% of workers worked from home during the 2021 Census under pandemic conditions. Transit services maintain an average volume of 392 trips daily across the entire network, representing roughly 51 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.1% of residents in Tullamarine report no long-term health condition. 8.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch indicate elevated mortality and chronic condition rates across both younger and older cohorts, alongside a comparatively low private health insurance uptake of approximately 51% (~3,606 people) among the local population, compared to 56.7% regionally across Greater Melbourne. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent diagnosed ailments, affecting 8.7% and 7.9% of the population respectively, with 67.1% of residents reporting no chronic illnesses compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Chronic condition rates are elevated among working-age individuals. Residents aged 65 and over represent 22.5% of the community (1,587 people), surpassing the Greater Melbourne proportion of 15.1%, with overall senior health metrics aligning with national benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
35.8% of Tullamarine residents were born overseas and 36.1% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 80% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are English (17.8%) and Australian (16.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is pronounced in the area, where 35.8% of residents were born overseas and 36.1% speak a primary language other than English at home. Religious affiliation is predominantly Christian at 64.1% of the population, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The primary reported parental ancestries are English (17.8%), Australian (16.4%), and Other (16.1%). Specific Southern European backgrounds show significant local concentration relative to regional shares, including Italian heritage at 11.6% (compared to 5.2% across the region), Greek at 4.8% (versus 2.7%), and Maltese at 2.9% (versus 1.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Tullamarine is 39. 26.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of Tullamarine features an older age structure, with retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) comprising 22.5% of the population on estimates updated to August 2026, compared to 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, while children and young adults (0 - 24) make up 23.0% against the 30.5% regional share. The suburb of Tullamarine records an estimated median age of 39 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 2 years above the Greater Melbourne median of 37 recorded at that time. Growth since the Census has centered on retiree and elderly cohorts, rising from 20.2% to 22.5% of total residents.
Projections indicate this group will generate the majority of future expansion by 2041, increasing by 1,052 residents (66%) to reach 2,640.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Tullamarine
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 117 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,733 at the 2021 Census → 7,057 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22586). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.