Niddrie

Population growth drivers in Niddrie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Niddrie is around 6,328, reflecting a 7.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,901. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 6,232 residents following examination of ABS' ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 63 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,616 persons per square kilometer, placing Niddrie in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2011 to 2021, Niddrie has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.4%. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and for areas not covered, utilising VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Niddrie, with the area expected to expand by 804 persons to reach a total of 7,132 by 2041, reflecting an increase of 11.2% over the 17 years from 2026 to 2041.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Niddrie when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Niddrie averaged around 45 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21-FY25, approximately 225 homes were approved, with 40 more expected in FY26. This averages to about 1.2 people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built over these five years.

The average construction value of new properties is $645,000, indicating a focus on premium developments. In FY26, $6.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Niddrie's construction activity compares favourably with Greater Melbourne, supporting stable market conditions. Recent construction comprises 30% detached houses and 70% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current 65% houses. This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Niddrie reflects a developing area with around 159 people per approval. Future projections estimate Niddrie will add 708 residents by 2041, suggesting current development patterns should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Niddrie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely impacting the region: Niddrie Keilor Road Activity Centre Structure Plan, LUMA Sunshine North, Hart Precinct, and Airport Toyota Expansion. The following details projects expected to have the greatest influence.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Niddrie positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Niddrie's workforce is well-educated with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% as of AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025, Niddrie had 3,839 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 2.9%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was 74.7%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Census responses showed 35.0% worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors were construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction had a significant presence with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance had limited presence at 12.1% compared to 14.2% regionally. The area offered limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population vs resident population counts. Between December 2024 and November 2025, Niddrie's labour force decreased by 1.0%, while employment declined by 0.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4% with a labour force expansion of 2.8% and an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niddrie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Niddrie has a median taxpayer income of $60,880 and an average income of $79,724, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. These figures are among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since the financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,903 for the median and $86,301 for the average as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Niddrie, between the 75th and 78th percentiles nationally. Distribution data indicates that 30.0% of the population (1,898 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners, at 34.9% above $3,000 per week, indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Niddrie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Niddrie's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.3% houses and 34.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niddrie stood at 38.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented ones at 24.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Niddrie was $432, higher than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Niddrie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Niddrie has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 73.0% of all households, consisting of 37.1% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Niddrie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 34.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 27.7% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.5% and graduate diplomas at 3.7%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.4% and certificates for 18.0%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niddrie has 31 active public transport stops, offering a mix of lightrail and bus services. These stops are served by 6 routes, collectively facilitating 3,740 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 220 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward; car remains dominant at 86%, while train usage stands at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 35% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 534 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Niddrie is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Niddrie exhibits superior health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, nearing the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 58% (~3,687 people) have private health cover, a rate significantly higher than the national average. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.2% and 7.2% of residents respectively. Notably, 73.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents have a low prevalence of chronic conditions. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 17.3% (1,094 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Niddrie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niddrie, surveyed in June 2016, had cultural diversity above average with 21.4% of its population born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 65.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 43.0%. Top ancestry groups were Australian (19.3%), English (18.0%), and Italian (15.3%), notably higher than regional averages of 5.2% for Italian.

Croatian (2.1%) was overrepresented in Niddrie versus regionally (0.7%). Maltese also showed notable divergence at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 1.1%. Polish representation was slightly higher at 1.2%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

Niddrie's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Niddrie's median age is 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Niddrie has a notably higher percentage of people aged 55-64 (13.6%) and a lower percentage of those aged 25-34 (11.8%). Between 2021 and present, the age group of 15-24 increased from 12.4% to 13.9%, while the 55-64 cohort rose from 12.3% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort decreased from 15.5% to 13.4%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.4% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Niddrie's age profile. The 55-64 cohort is expected to expand by 241 people (28%), growing from 860 to 1,102. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in number.