Niddrie

Population growth drivers in Niddrie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Niddrie is around 6,328, reflecting a 7.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported 5,901 people. This inference is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, showing a resident population of 6,232. The suburb's population density stands at 3,616 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Over the past decade (2012-2022), Niddrie exhibited resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.4%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects an above median population growth for the suburb, expecting it to expand by 806 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 11.8%.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth of Australian statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to expand by 806 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting reflecting an increase of 11.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Niddrie when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis indicates Niddrie averaged approximately 44 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 224 homes were approved, with another 39 approved in FY26 so far. This results in an estimated 1.2 people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built over these five years, suggesting a balanced supply and demand creating stable market conditions.

The average construction value of new properties is $645,000, indicating developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $6.0 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting Niddrie's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Niddrie exhibits similar construction activity per capita, supporting regional market stability patterns. Recent construction comprises 30% detached houses and 70% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current 65% house dominance, likely due to decreasing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. With approximately 159 people per approval, Niddrie is considered a developing area.

Future projections estimate an increase of 744 residents by 2041 based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Niddrie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to impact the region: Niddrie Keilor Road Activity Centre Structure Plan, LUMA Sunshine North, Hart Precinct, and Airport Toyota Expansion. The following details projects likely to have the greatest relevance.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Niddrie significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Niddrie has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment grew by 1.1% in the year ending September 2025.

As of that date, 3,872 residents are employed, and workforce participation is 76.0%. A high 35.0% work from home, possibly due to Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 12.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.1% while labour force grew by 1.4%, raising unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded higher growth rates during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niddrie's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Niddrie has a median taxpayer income of $60,880 and an average income of $79,724 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,903 (median) and $86,301 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Niddrie, between the 75th and 78th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 30.0% of the population (1,898 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners (34.9% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Niddrie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Niddrie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.3% houses and 34.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niddrie stood at 38.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented dwellings at 24.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Niddrie was $432, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Niddrie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Niddrie has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 73.0% of all households, including 37.1% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Niddrie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 34.4% for residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA4 region average of 27.7% and the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 18.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niddrie has 31 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These are served by six routes that facilitate 3,740 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 220 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commute outward; car remains dominant at 86%, while train usage stands at 6%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.4. Notably, 35% of residents work from home (2021 Census).

Service frequency averages 534 trips daily across all routes, translating to about 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Niddrie is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Niddrie shows better-than-average health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, nearing national averages for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is very high, with approximately 58% (~3,687 people) of the total population having it. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.2% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 73.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. As of 15th June 20XX, Niddrie has 17.1% (1,082 people) of its population aged 65 and over, higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Niddrie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niddrie's population showed high cultural diversity, with 21.4% born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Niddrie at 65.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 43.0%. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (19.3%), English (18.0%), and Italian (15.3%), with Italians being significantly more represented than the regional average of 5.2%.

Notably, Croatian (2.1% vs 0.7%), Maltese (2.9% vs 1.1%), and Polish (1.2% vs 0.8%) groups were also overrepresented in Niddrie compared to Greater Melbourne.

Niddrie's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Niddrie's median age is 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37, and marginally higher than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Niddrie has a notably over-represented 55-64 cohort (13.5% locally) and an under-represented 25-34 age group (11.7%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group grew from 12.4% to 13.9%, while the 55-64 cohort increased from 12.3% to 13.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 15.5% to 13.4%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.4% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Niddrie's age profile will significantly evolve. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to expand by 247 people (29%), growing from 854 to 1,102. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.