Niddrie

Population growth drivers in Niddrie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Niddrie statistical area (Lv2) is around 6,326. This figure reflects an increase of 425 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,901. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,232 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024), along with an additional 62 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,614 persons per square kilometer, placing Niddrie in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Niddrie has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.4%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Niddrie (SA2). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to expand by 806 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of 11.8% in total over the 17 years from 2025 to 2041.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Niddrie when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Niddrie averaged approximately 44 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 224 homes were approved, with an additional 39 in FY-26 to date. Over the past five financial years, about 1.2 people moved to the area per dwelling built.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand, maintaining stable market conditions. The average construction value of new properties is $645,000, indicating developers target the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $6.0 million, reflecting Niddrie's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Niddrie exhibits similar construction activity per capita, supporting regional market stability patterns. Recent construction in Niddrie comprises 30.0% detached houses and 70.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 65.0% houses.

This change may be due to decreasing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences, as well as addressing housing affordability needs. With around 159 people per approval, Niddrie is considered a developing area. Future projections estimate Niddrie will add approximately 747 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections and offering good conditions for buyers.

Niddrie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include the Niddrie (Keilor Road) Activity Centre Structure Plan, LUMA Sunshine North, Hart Precinct, and Airport Toyota Expansion. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Niddrie significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Niddrie has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% as of September 2025, below Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.1%. Workforce participation stood at 68.7%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading industries for residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 12.1% compared to 14.2% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 1.1%, while labour force grew by 1.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Victorian employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years for Niddrie, based on industry-specific projections applied to its employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Niddrie had a median taxpayer income of $60,880 and an average of $79,724 in the financial year 2023. This was among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $65,903 (median) and $86,301 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Niddrie ranked highly nationally, between the 75th and 78th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 30.0% of the population (1,897 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. This was consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 34.9%, indicated strong economic capacity throughout the district. Housing accounted for 13.8% of income, and residents ranked within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Niddrie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Niddrie's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.3% houses and 34.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 65.8% houses and 24.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niddrie was at 38.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented ones at 24.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Niddrie was $432, higher than Melbourne metro's $410. Nationally, Niddrie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Niddrie has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 37.1% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, aligning with Greater Melbourne's average.

The educational profile of Niddrie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 34.4% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 27.7% and the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.4% and certificates for 18.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niddrie has 31 active public transport stops, operating a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 6 different routes, collectively offering 3740 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 220 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 534 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Niddrie's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Niddrie.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and nears the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover rate is very high, approximately 58% of the total population (around 3,686 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.2% and 7.2% of residents respectively. About 73.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.1% in Greater Melbourne. Niddrie has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,037 people), lower than the 21.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Niddrie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niddrie's population, as per the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016 data, shows cultural diversity with 21.4% born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Niddrie, accounting for 65.4%, compared to 66.4% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (19.3%), English (18.0%), and Italian (15.3%).

Notably, Croatian (2.1%) is slightly overrepresented in Niddrie compared to the regional average of 2.0%. Maltese (2.9%) and Polish (1.2%) also show slight divergences from their respective regional averages of 2.8% and 1.1%.

Niddrie's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Niddrie has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Niddrie has a notably higher proportion of the 55-64 age group (13.3%) and a lower proportion of the 25-34 age group (12.0%). Between 2021 and present, the percentage of the population aged 15 to 24 increased from 12.4% to 13.7%, while the percentages for the 45 to 54 age group decreased from 15.5% to 13.7% and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 12.4% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Niddrie's age profile. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to expand by 261 people (31%), from 841 to 1,103. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 51% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.