Niddrie

Population growth drivers in Niddrie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the population of the suburb of Niddrie is estimated at around 6,343 people. This figure reflects an increase of 442 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,901 people. The change can be inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population as 6,299 in June 2025, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 63 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,624 persons per square kilometer, placing Niddrie in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 7.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 4.9%, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering these projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb of Niddrie, with an expected expansion of 768 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 11.4% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Niddrie when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Niddrie averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, around 225 homes were approved, with an additional 46 approved so far in FY26. On average, one person moved to the area per year for each dwelling built during these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand creating stable market conditions.

The average construction value of new properties was $645,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $6.0 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting Niddrie's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Niddrie demonstrates similar construction activity per person, supporting regional market stability patterns. Recent construction comprises 30% detached houses and 70% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 65% houses, likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. With approximately 159 people per approval, Niddrie is considered a developing area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Niddrie is projected to add around 724 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Niddrie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely impacting the area: Niddrie Keilor Road Activity Centre Structure Plan, LUMA Sunshine North, Hart Precinct, and Airport Toyota Expansion. The following details projects expected to have most relevance.

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The labour market strength in Niddrie positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Niddrie has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.9%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 3793 residents are employed at a rate of 2.8% lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 73.5%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Census responses indicate that 35.0% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Niddrie specializes in construction with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has limited presence at 12.1% compared to the regional 14.2%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by its resident-to-working population ratio. Between May-24 and May-25, labour force decreased by 1.2%, employment declined by 0.8%, reducing unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niddrie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Niddrie had a median taxpayer income of $60,880 and an average income of $79,724 in the financial year 2023. These figures were among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $66,737 (median) and $87,393 (average), based on a 9.62% growth in wages since financial year 2023. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Niddrie ranked highly nationally, between the 75th and 78th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 30.0% of Niddrie's population earned between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, which was consistent with broader regional trends at 32.8%. A substantial proportion of high earners (34.9%) had incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the district. Housing accounted for 13.8% of income, and residents ranked within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Niddrie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Niddrie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 65.3% houses and 34.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niddrie stood at 38.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented ones at 24.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Niddrie was $432, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Niddrie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Niddrie has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 73.0% of all households, consisting of 37.1% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Niddrie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 34.4%, exceeding the SA4 region average of 27.7% and the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.5% and graduate diplomas at 3.7%. Vocational credentials are held by 29.4% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 18.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niddrie has 31 operational public transport stops, offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by six unique routes, collectively facilitating 3,740 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 220 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most Niddrie residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 86%, with trains used by 6%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 35% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 534 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Niddrie is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Niddrie shows better-than-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but closer to the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is very high in Niddrie, with approximately 58% of the total population (~3,696 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.2% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 73.0% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Niddrie has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.5%, with 1,046 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. While health outcomes among seniors are above average, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Niddrie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niddrie's population showed higher cultural diversity, with 21.4% born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Niddrie, accounting for 65.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 43.0%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (19.3%), English (18.0%), and Italian (15.3%), with Italians being more prevalent than the regional average of 5.2%.

Notably, Croatian (2.1%) Maltese (2.9%), and Polish (1.2%) ethnicities were disproportionately represented compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.7%, 1.1%, and 0.8% respectively.

Niddrie's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Niddrie's median age is 40, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in Niddrie at 13.5%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.4% to 13.8%, and the 55-64 cohort increased from 12.3% to 13.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 15.5% to 13.2%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.4% to 11.1%. Demographic modeling suggests Niddrie's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the 55-64 cohort projected to expand by 248 people (29%), from 856 to 1,105. Conversely, both 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.