Niddrie

Population growth drivers in Niddrie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Niddrie's population is estimated at around 6,331, reflecting a 7.3% increase since the 2021 Census which reported 5,901 people. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 6,241 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 62 new addresses since the Census date. Niddrie's population density is 3,617 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth exceeded its SA3 area's 4.5% increase since the 2021 census, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects an above median population growth for Niddrie, expecting it to expand by 809 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 11.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth of Australian statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to expand by 809 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting reflecting an increase of 11.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Niddrie when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Niddrie has averaged approximately 47 new dwelling approvals each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 238 homes were approved, with a further 3 approved so far in FY26. On average, 1.1 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand, and stable market conditions.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $645,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. In FY26, $5.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Comparatively, Niddrie shows moderately higher construction activity than Greater Melbourne, with 16.0% more approvals per person over the five-year period. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 29.0% detached houses and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 65.0% houses.

This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 157 people per approval, Niddrie reflects a developing area with a projected addition of 745 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply is expected to readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Niddrie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified three projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include the Niddrie (Keilor Road) Activity Centre Structure Plan, LUMA Sunshine North, Hart Precinct, and Airport Toyota Expansion. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Niddrie significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Niddrie has a well-educated workforce. Professional services have strong representation.

The unemployment rate is 2.3%, with estimated employment growth of 3.7% in the past year based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 3,953 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.3 percentage points below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is 68.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 12.1% employment compared to 14.2% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending Jun-25, employment increased by 3.7% and labour force by 4.2%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded similar trends with employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, and unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niddrie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Niddrie had a median taxpayer income of $60,880 and an average of $79,724 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This was among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since the financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $68,283 (median) and $89,418 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Niddrie, between the 75th and 78th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 30.0% of the population (1,899 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners (34.9% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Niddrie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Niddrie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.3% houses and 34.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 75.8% houses and 24.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niddrie stood at 38.0%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (38.1%) or rented (24.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, above Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Niddrie was $432, compared to Melbourne metro's $410. Nationally, Niddrie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Niddrie has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 37.1% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Niddrie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 34.4% among residents aged 15+ exceeds the SA4 region average of 27.7% and the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas account for 11.4% and certificates for 18.0%.

Educational participation is high at 29.5%, including 9.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education. Niddrie's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,656 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1047) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with two primary schools and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niddrie has 32 active public transport stops, operating between February 2022 to present. These are a mix of lightrail and buses, serviced by six routes offering 3,283 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 219 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 469 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 102 weekly trips per individual stop.

Niddrie's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis shows strong health metrics across Niddrie.

Prevalence of common conditions is low among the general population, nearing national averages for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover rate is high at approximately 58% (3,689 people). Most common conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.2 and 7.2% respectively. 73.0% report no medical ailments, compared to 70.1% in Greater Melbourne. 16.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,038 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 21.9%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Niddrie was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niddrie had above average cultural diversity, with 21.4 percent of its population born overseas and 21.9 percent speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Niddrie was Christianity, comprising 65.4 percent of the population, compared to 66.4 percent across Greater Melbourne. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (19.3%), English (18.0%), and Italian (15.3%).

Notably, Croatian (2.1%) was slightly overrepresented in Niddrie compared to the regional average of 2.0%, Maltese (2.9% vs 2.8%), and Polish (1.2% vs 1.1%).

Niddrie's median age exceeds the national pattern

Niddrie has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Niddrie has a notably higher proportion of people aged 55-64 (13.3%) and a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between 2021 and present, the population of 15 to 24-year-olds increased from 12.4% to 13.7%, while the 45 to 54 age group decreased from 15.5% to 13.7% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 12.4% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Niddrie's age profile. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to expand by 260 people (31%), from 842 to 1,103. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 51% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.