Keilor Park

Keilor Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Keilor Park's population is estimated at around 2,844 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 160 people (6.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,684 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,844, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 849 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Keilor Park's 6.0% growth since census positions it within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.3%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 87.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with the suburb expected to grow by 203 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 7.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Keilor Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Keilor Park has seen approximately 21 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 108 homes were approved, with an additional 11 in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $778,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. This year, Keilor Park has recorded $24.7 million in commercial development approvals. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor Park shows moderately higher new home approvals per person over the past five years. Building activity has slowed recently, with 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% townhouses or apartments approved, maintaining the area's low-density character.

This marks a shift from the current housing pattern of 88.0% houses, suggesting limited developable land and changing lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 364 people. AreaSearch projects Keilor Park to add 203 residents by 2041. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply will meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth.

Keilor Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to impact the region: Oaklands Green, Keilor East Railway Station, Melbourne Airport Rail, and Keilor East Station - Melbourne Airport Rail. The following details these key projects, focusing on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Keilor Park exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Keilor Park has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 2.8% as of December 2025. This rate is lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation in Keilor Park is 58.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. A significant number, 25.7%, of residents work from home, according to Census responses. The key industries for employment among residents are construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction employs 1.5 times the regional level in Keilor Park.

In contrast, health care & social assistance employs only 10.3% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 14.2%. There are 2.1 workers for every resident, indicating that Keilor Park functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.2% while the labour force decreased by 1.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keilor Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Keilor Park had median taxpayer income of $50,035 and average income of $66,066. These figures are below national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from financial year ended June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $54,163 and average income is $71,516 as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Keilor Park rank modestly, between 18th and 33rd percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 30.1% (856 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to broader regional trends of 32.8%. After housing costs, 86.3% of income remains for other expenses. Keilor Park's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Keilor Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor Park stood at 50.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.5% and rented ones at 16.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,801, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Weekly rent averaged $392, slightly higher than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Keilor Park's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Keilor Park has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 76.5 percent of all households, including 33.7 percent couples with children, 27.2 percent couples without children, and 13.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.5 percent, with lone person households at 22.3 percent and group households comprising 1.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Keilor Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (23.9%). Educational participation is high, with 25.3% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.1% in primary, 7.1% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keilor Park has 13 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by two routes, offering a total of 1,874 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport access, with an average distance of 175 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, predominantly using cars (90%). The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.5 per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 25.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency is 267 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 144 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Keilor Park is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Keilor Park shows better-than-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence data. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53% of the total population (~1,506 people), slightly above the average SA2 area's rate of 51%. This compares to Greater Melbourne's rate of 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.4% and 7.2% of residents respectively. A total of 66.6% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.1%, with 827 people in this age group compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Keilor Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor Park had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 31.0% of its population born overseas and 33.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keilor Park, making up 72.4% of people, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups were Italian (25.0%), Australian (16.9%), and English (15.8%).

Notably, Maltese (3.5%) was overrepresented in Keilor Park compared to the regional average of 1.1%. Similarly, Greek (6.2%) and Macedonian (1.5%) groups were also more prevalent than their respective regional averages of 2.7% and 0.7%.

Keilor Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Keilor Park has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The 75-84 age group comprises 12.5% of Keilor Park's population, compared to 6.1% nationally and 9.8% in Greater Melbourne. Post-2021 Census, this age group grew from 10.5% to 12.5%, while the 85+ cohort increased from 2.5% to 4.0%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 11.1% to 9.8%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 13.2% to 12.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Keilor Park's age profile. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 90%, reaching 216 people from the current 113. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 67% of this growth. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.