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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Keilor East has an estimated 15,787 residents, up from 15,078 at the 2021 Census — a change of 709 people, or 4.7%. That puts 1,720 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Keilor East has an estimated population of approximately 15,787, derived from AreaSearch's evaluation of broader ABS population updates alongside post-Census validated new addresses. Compared to the 15,078 people recorded in the 2021 Census, this indicates an expansion of 709 people (4.7%). This metric builds on an estimated resident population of 15,777 identified by AreaSearch from the latest June 2025 ABS ERP release, supplemented by 98 validated new addresses added following the Census date. Population density currently reaches 1,719 persons per square kilometer, placing the suburb above the nationwide average assessed by AreaSearch.
The post-Census expansion rate of 4.7% in the suburb of Keilor East closely tracks the wider SA3 area (4.9%), sitting within 0.2 percentage points and highlighting solid growth fundamentals. Gains in local headcounts have been generated almost entirely by overseas migration in recent times. Projections utilised by AreaSearch draw from the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia datasets using 2022 as their starting point. Where SA2 coverage is absent, figures incorporate the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections, adjusted via a weighted aggregation approach from LGA down to SA2 divisions. For the timeframe spanning 2032 to 2041, age-specific growth trajectories from these models are implemented across all locations. Over the coming years, demographic expansion for the suburb of Keilor East is projected to track slightly below the national median across assessed statistical territories. Aggregated SA2 forecasts indicate the suburb will gain 1,034 persons to 2041, representing an overall increase of 6.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
523 new dwellings have been approved in Keilor East over the past five years, an average of 104 a year. That places the area in the 65th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 110 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 43% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 117, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Annual residential approvals in Keilor East stand at roughly 104 dwellings, with ABS building approvals examined by AreaSearch showing approximately 523 homes authorised across the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), alongside 117 approvals recorded to date in FY-25. The area added an average of merely 0.7 people per year for every dwelling constructed over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating that incoming residential supply matches or outpaces local demand. This pipeline delivers substantial options for purchasers and establishes headroom for future demographic expansion.
New residential builds carry an average construction cost of $742,000, underscoring an emphasis by developers on high-end, premium housing. Confirming the overwhelmingly residential character of the precinct, commercial approvals for the current financial year total $1.1 million. Per-capita construction volumes in Keilor East align closely with Greater Melbourne benchmarks, preserving structural balance across the local property market. Recent development activity comprises 43.0% detached houses and 57.0% townhouses or apartments. This pivot towards higher-density formats creates accessible price points for first-time buyers, downsizers, and investors alike. Furthermore, it represents a pronounced shift away from established neighborhood profiles (where standalone houses account for 81.0%), reflecting constraints on greenfield land, changing consumer preferences, and evolving affordability requirements. Building approvals currently register at roughly 154 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating a low density market structure. According to the latest quarterly figures from AreaSearch, Keilor East is projected to add 1,024 residents by 2041. Ongoing building volumes are expected to adequately satisfy housing requirements, supporting favorable purchasing conditions and potentially accommodating growth in excess of prevailing population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Keilor East
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Keilor East, worth an estimated $13.4 billion. A further 47 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $33.4 billion. 13 are already under construction and 15 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure additions, major capital works, and planning frameworks exert a defining influence on neighborhood outcomes. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects positioned to influence the district, with principal developments including the North Essendon Activity Centre Plan, the Niddrie (Keilor Road) Activity Centre Structure Plan, the Valley Lake Estate, and the Hart Precinct.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Niddrie (Keilor Road) Activity Centre Structure Plan
The Niddrie (Keilor Road) Activity Centre Plan establishes a long-term framework to deliver approximately 3,400 new dwellings by 2051. Finalised under Amendment GC252 in April 2025, the plan facilitates higher-density mixed-use development within the core, featuring building heights of 8 to 12 storeys on key opportunity sites. It introduces a streamlined 'deemed to comply' planning process and new infrastructure funding systems effective from January 2027 to accelerate housing delivery near existing tram and bus services along the Keilor Road corridor.
North Essendon Activity Centre Plan
The North Essendon Activity Centre Plan outlines the strategic framework to accommodate housing growth around Mount Alexander Road and Bulla Road, unlocking up to 5100 new homes by 2051. Finalised in 2025, it includes new built form controls and a streamlined planning process to encourage higher density living close to transport and services.
Valley Lake Estate
Masterplanned residential renewal on the former Niddrie Quarry (approx. 48 ha) delivered by Development Victoria. Around 573 homes, 30% open space, lakeside boardwalk, Valley Lake Lookout and a clifftop walkway with Steele Creek access. Estate assets and responsibilities progressively handed to Moonee Valley City Council with full handover late 2024/2025.
SRL Airport
SRL Airport (Melbourne Airport Rail) will connect Melbourne Airport to Victoria's regional and metropolitan train network via Sunshine Station and the Metro Tunnel. The project scope includes a new premium airport station, track upgrades through Sunshine, and a new station at Keilor East. Following mediation between the Victorian Government and Melbourne Airport operators regarding the station design, the project is scheduled for completion in 2033.
River Valley
Masterplanned house and land community on the Maribyrnong River, approx. 11 km from Melbourne CBD. Now selling with 1000+ lots planned, staged construction, new streets, shared paths and direct connections to parks and the riverfront.
Maribyrnong River Master Plan Implementation
Comprehensive restoration and improvement of the Maribyrnong River corridor through Avondale Heights and surrounding reaches. The program includes flood mitigation infrastructure, riparian habitat restoration, active transport trails, and upgraded community recreation facilities.
191 Rosamond Road Mixed-Use Development
Mixed-use development featuring two towers of 14 and 16 storeys with 622 apartments, commercial spaces at ground level, and amenities including co-working space, wellness centre, gym, and recreational areas. Located opposite Highpoint Shopping Centre in a major retail and transport precinct.
Sunshine North Village
Approved mixed-use masterplanned development designed by Buchan on a 2.18-hectare infill site. The scheme incorporates a neighbourhood retail centre of approximately 5,953sqm anchored by a supermarket, 174 residential apartments, medical and childcare facilities, commercial office suites, and 477 parking spaces. The project is delivered under planning approvals from the City of Brimbank.
8,262 residents of Keilor East are employed, from a labour force of 8,417. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 63.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 13,836, about 88% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical data compiled by AreaSearch indicates that Keilor East possesses an educated local workforce, substantial representation in professional services, an unemployment rate of just 1.8%, and steady labor conditions over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents number 8,262. The local unemployment rate sits 2.9% below the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, while labor force participation remains lower at 63.7% against the metropolitan benchmark of 70.1%. Census records showed 32.8% of workers operating from home, an outcome influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Leading fields of resident employment comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
The local talent pool demonstrates distinct concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, which exceeds regional representation by 1.3 times. Conversely, health care & social assistance engages 11.8% of local workers, lagging the regional figure of 14.2%. Comparing Census working population numbers against the count of resident workers underscores that this primarily residential locality offers relatively few employment positions within its own boundaries. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM metrics over the 12 months to March 2026 shows local employment rose by 0.2% alongside a 0.4% contraction in the labor pool, which drove an unemployment decline of 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment expansion of 2.1% and labor force growth of 2.3%, accompanied by a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. National outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide context regarding future labor demand. When five- and ten-year national trajectories (which project overall expansions of 6.6% and 13.7% respectively) are weighted against Keilor East's industry composition, local employment is modeled to rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years (note that this simple weighting model serves illustrative purposes and excludes local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Keilor East is $1,911 a week (about $99,000 a year), with median personal income at $759 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $57,297 a year against an average of $77,687. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The suburb of Keilor East records personal earnings well above national standards, according to financial year 2023 ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch. Taxpayers in the suburb of Keilor East generate a median income of $57,297 and an average income of $77,687, while Greater Melbourne benchmarks register at $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index rise of 9.62% since financial year 2023, modeled figures reach roughly $62,809 (median) and $85,160 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places weekly household earnings ($1,911) in the 59th percentile and individual income at the 40th percentile.
Approximately 30.2% of local residents (4,767 individuals) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, mirroring the broader metropolitan proportion of 32.8%. Households preserve 87.2% of their income after meeting accommodation obligations, pointing to robust purchasing capacity, while the area is positioned in the 6th decile on the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Keilor East had 5,447 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 81% detached houses and 1% apartments. 34% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 47% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $406 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 21.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings indicate that the residential landscape in Keilor East consists of 80.6% houses and 19.4% other dwellings (incorporating semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative formats), compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings across metropolitan Melbourne. Outright property ownership in Keilor East reaches 47.3%, significantly surpassing regional rates, while remaining homes are split between mortgaged properties (33.5%) and rented properties (19.1%). Typical monthly mortgage obligations stand at $2,167, exceeding the Melbourne metro average of $2,000, while median weekly rent is $406 compared to $390 regionally. From a nationwide perspective, Keilor East's mortgage repayments sit well above the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents outstrip the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Keilor East counted 5,447 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 38% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 20% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 77.7%, comprising couples with children (37.8%), couples without children (26.5%), and single parent families (12.2%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 22.3%, split between single-person households at 20.3% and group households at 2.1%. The typical household size sits at 2.6 people, matching the Greater Melbourne benchmark.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.1% of adults in Keilor East hold a university qualification, including 20.6% with a bachelor degree and 5.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 18.2% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 4,402 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,078 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels in Keilor East sit below metropolitan averages, with 29.1% of residents aged 15+ holding a tertiary qualification compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne, pointing to opportunities for future educational and vocational advancement. Bachelor degrees represent 20.6% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate awards (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Technical and vocational credentials are widely held, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ having completed trade training, encompassing advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (18.2%). Study enrollment rates remain strong, with 27.1% of residents currently undertaking formal education. Within this cohort, 9.1% attend primary education, 8.1% are in secondary education, and 4.8% are enrolled in tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Keilor East reaches 64 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 5,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport provision across the suburb of Keilor East includes 64 operational stops dedicated to bus transit. Across these facilities, 8 distinct routes generate 5,134 weekly passenger trips. Network coverage is favorable, with residents situated an average distance of 204 meters from the nearest stop. Given the suburb's residential focus, the majority of journeys head outward, with private vehicles accounting for 90% of travel. Motor vehicle ownership stands at 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding the regional standard, while 32.8% of workers operated from home at the 2021 Census (a figure potentially impacted by COVID-19).
Across all transit routes, service frequencies average 733 trips per day, which translates to roughly 80 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.8% of residents in Keilor East report no long-term health condition. 8.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality patterns and chronic ailment incidence indicate favorable health metrics for Keilor East, where general condition rates remain modest despite elevated incidence among older, vulnerable cohorts. Private health insurance participation is substantial, covering approximately 57% of the population (~9,075 people). Arthritis and asthma represent the most widespread health conditions in the locality, affecting 8.0 and 6.8% of residents respectively, whereas 69.8% of the community reported having no long-term health conditions compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age cohorts maintain strong overall health profiles with minimal chronic disease.
Residents aged 65 and over constitute 22.0% of the community (3,473 people), surpassing the 15.1% share recorded across Greater Melbourne, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
30.0% of Keilor East residents were born overseas and 34.5% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Italian (19.3%) and Australian (16.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Keilor East exceeds most standard markets, with 30.0% of residents born abroad and 34.5% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity represents the predominant faith, practiced by 69.1% of residents in Keilor East compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding parental ancestry, the primary backgrounds in Keilor East are Italian at 19.3% (substantially higher than the regional rate of 5.2%), Australian at 16.5%, and English at 15.7%. Additional ethnic representations show distinct local concentrations, with Croatian residents making up 1.8% (vs 0.7% regionally), Greek backgrounds representing 5.8% (vs 2.7%), and Maltese ancestry accounting for 2.7% (vs 1.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Keilor East is 43. 23.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of the suburb of Keilor East skews older. Based on August 2026 estimates, 22.0% of the population is aged 65+, compared to 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, whereas the 25 - 44 cohort accounts for 23.9% locally versus 32.1% regionally. The estimated median age is 43, unchanged from the 2021 Census, which places the suburb 6 years above the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and higher than the national median of 38 recorded at that time. By 2041, the largest population gain is projected among individuals aged 45 - 64, adding 669 residents (16%) to total 4,726.
Conversely, younger age cohorts, including children, young adults, and the 25 - 44 bracket, are expected to experience declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Keilor East
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 last month all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 98 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (15,078 at the 2021 Census → 15,787 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21316). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.