Keilor

Keilor is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Keilor's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 8,711. This figure represents a growth of 163 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,548. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates; Keilor had an estimated resident population of 8,701 in June 2024 and gained 28 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 497 persons per square kilometer. Keilor's growth rate of 1.9% since the Census is within 2.6 percentage points of its SA3 area (4.5%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest Keilor will experience population growth just below the national median, with an expected increase of 733 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall gain of 8.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Keilor, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Keilor has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 175 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved so far in FY26. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a well-balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $439,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. In FY26, commercial approvals valued at $44.5 million have been registered, suggesting robust local business investment. When compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 51st percentile of areas assessed nationally. The current building activity shows a mix of 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 87.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Keilor reflects a low density area, with approximately 319 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate that Keilor will gain 723 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Keilor has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 44 potential impact projects. Key initiatives include Keilor East Railway Station, SRL Airport, Western Ring Road (M80) Infrastructure Upgrades, and Outer Metropolitan Ring / E6 Transport Corridor. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Keilor ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Keilor has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%. As of that date, 4,678 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Keilor was 59.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction has a particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Health care & social assistance has limited presence with 11.0% employment compared to 14.2% regionally. There are 2.2 workers for every resident in Keilor, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, labour force increased by 1.4%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Keilor's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years based on industry-specific projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Keilor SA2 had an extremely high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $58,956 and average income stood at $77,846. These figures compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $66,125 (median) and $87,312 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all ranked modestly in Keilor, between the 40th and 54th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spanned 28.1% of locals (2,447 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in surrounding regions where 32.8% similarly occupied this range. After housing costs, residents retained 87.9% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and placing Keilor's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Keilor is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.3% houses and 12.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 75.8% houses and 24.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor was 51.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.5% and rented ones at 12.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,019, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,167. Median weekly rent was $396, compared to Melbourne metro's $410. Nationally, Keilor's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Keilor features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 77.4% of all households, including 37.5% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 21.4% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, aligning with Greater Melbourne's average.

The educational profile of Keilor exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.5% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 10.5% and certificates 22.0%. Educational participation is high, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 66 active stops operating in Keilor, offering mixed bus services. These are served by 9 unique routes, facilitating 4,693 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated good, with residents located an average of 207 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 670 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keilor's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Keilor's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high, with approximately 59% of the total population (5,122 people) having it. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.2 and 7.1% of residents respectively. 68.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.1% across Greater Melbourne. As of the last data collection in June 20XX, 26.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,317 people), which is higher than the 21.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Keilor was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor has a higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 25.2% of its population born overseas and 26.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Keilor, comprising 71.3% of its population, which is slightly higher than the 66.4% figure for Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups in Keilor are English (18.1%), Australian (17.9%), and Italian (16.2%).

Some ethnic groups have notable differences in representation: Croatian at 2.7% compared to the regional average of 2.0%, Maltese at 4.1% versus 2.8%, and Polish at 1.3% against a regional average of 1.1%.

Keilor hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Keilor is 45 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 has grown from 8.8% to 10.8%, while the 85+ cohort has increased from 3.3% to 4.4%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Keilor's age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 110%, reaching 802 people from the current 382. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 73% of total population growth, reflecting Keilor's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in number.