Keilor

Keilor is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Keilor's population is 8,702 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 154 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,548. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 8,702 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 497 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Keilor is expected to have a population of 9,435, reflecting an increase of 733 persons and an overall gain of 8.4%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Keilor, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Keilor has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25175 homes were approved, with an additional 16 approved so far in FY26. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $439,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. In terms of commercial approvals, $44.5 million has been registered this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 51st percentile nationally when assessed by areas. New building activity consists of 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

This represents a considerable shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 87.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Keilor reflects a low-density area, with approximately 319 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate Keilor will gain 732 residents by 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Keilor has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 47 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Melbourne Airport Rail, Keilor East Railway Station, SRL Airport, and Western Ring Road (M80) Infrastructure Upgrades. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Keilor ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Keilor has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%.

As of September 2025, 4,678 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 65.1%, below Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. A high proportion of residents, 28.8%, worked from home. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction has notable concentration with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 11.0% compared to the regional average of 14.2%. There are 2.2 workers for every resident, indicating Keilor functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, labour force grew by 1.4%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced higher employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Keilor's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years based on industry-specific projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Keilor SA2 has a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $63,501 and the average income stands at $85,006. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $68,740 (median) and $92,019 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Keilor rank modestly, between the 40th and 54th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 28.1% of locals (2,445 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Keilor is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.3% houses and 12.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's structure of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor stood at 51.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.5% and rented ones at 12.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,019, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Keilor was $396, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Keilor's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Keilor features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 77.4% of all households, including 37.5% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 21.4% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, aligning with Greater Melbourne's average.

The educational profile of Keilor exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 32.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (22.0%). Educational participation is high, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 8.7% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 4.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Keilor shows 66 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 9 individual routes that collectively facilitate 3,134 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically situated 208 meters from their nearest transport stop. As primarily residential, most Keilor residents commute outward, with car remaining the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high 28.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 447 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keilor's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Keilor's health outcomes demonstrate excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, particularly among younger cohorts. Approximately 62% of Keilor's total population (5,360 people) has private health cover, compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.2%) and asthma (7.1%), while 68.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments. This is slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 72.6%. Working-age residents in Keilor have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 26.6% aged 65 and over (2,314 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Keilor are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Keilor was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 25.2% of its population born overseas and 26.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keilor, making up 71.3% of people, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups were English (18.1%), Australian (17.9%), and Italian (16.2%), significantly higher than regional averages of 5.2%.

Notably, Croatian was overrepresented at 2.7%, Maltese at 4.1%, and Polish at 1.3% compared to regional figures of 0.7%, 1.1%, and 0.8% respectively.

Keilor hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Keilor is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 has increased from 8.8% to 10.8%, while the 85+ cohort has risen from 3.3% to 4.4%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has decreased from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Keilor's age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 110%, reaching 802 people from the current 382. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 73% of total population growth, reflecting Keilor's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in number.