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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Keilor has an estimated 8,736 residents, up from 8,548 at the 2021 Census — a change of 188 people, or 2.2%. That puts 499 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research by AreaSearch, the resident count in Keilor stands at approximately 8,736 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 188 people (2.2%) following the 2021 Census, when the community numbered 8,548 people. Such movement is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population figure of 8,734 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 31 validated new addresses registered post-Census. With 498 persons per square kilometer, the locality maintains a spacious demographic footprint with ample capacity for incoming expansion. Keilor's 2.2% post-Census pace trails its wider SA3 region (4.9%) by merely 2.7 percentage points, highlighting solid underlying growth conditions.
Net overseas migration served as the primary catalyst for local gains by contributing roughly 75.6% of overall demographic expansion across recent cycles, while interstate arrivals and natural increase likewise yielded positive additions. Projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 using 2022 baseline statistics, have been adopted by AreaSearch across SA2 locations. In territories where these datasets are unavailable, AreaSearch incorporates VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections issued in 2023, utilizing a weighted aggregation model to translate LGA expansion down to SA2 zones. These aggregated age-bracket growth trajectories are extended across all territories spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on broad demographic movements, local expansion is expected to track slightly beneath the nationwide statistical area median, gaining 737 persons leading up to 2041 under current annual ERP figures, translating to an aggregate rise of 8.4% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
151 new dwellings have been approved in Keilor over the past five years, an average of 30 a year. That is 3.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 30 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 77% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Keilor have averaged roughly 30 units annually, accumulating to 151 homes over the previous 5 financial years. Amidst historical population contractions, residential building volume has comfortably satisfied local requirements, maintaining an equilibrium in market conditions with healthy selection for purchasers. With average construction costs reaching $690,000 per dwelling, residential developers are evidently targeting the affluent market through higher-end builds. Furthermore, non-residential activity has demonstrated considerable vitality, logging $44.5 million in commercial approvals during this financial year. Keilor’s new dwelling approvals per person are roughly half of what is seen in Greater Melbourne, placing the locality near the 48th percentile when compared across the nation, which limits buyer options and fuels demand for existing properties.
The new construction mix includes 77.0% detached houses and 23.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the region’s customary low density layout and emphasizing family-oriented homes that attract residents looking for room. With approximately 314 people per approval, Keilor continues to reflect characteristics typical of a low density area. Demographic projections derived from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly update indicate Keilor will add 733 residents by 2041. Current dwelling approval volumes appear well positioned to accommodate this anticipated intake, fostering favorable options for incoming home seekers and providing the capacity to absorb expansion beyond projected benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Keilor
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Keilor, worth an estimated $23.7 billion. A further 80 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $63.1 billion. 22 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and community trajectory is heavily steered by capital works, state planning initiatives, and infrastructure upgrades. AreaSearch has mapped 46 projects anticipated to influence the immediate district. Prominent developments include the Keilor East Railway Station, SRL Airport, Outer Metropolitan Ring / E6 Transport Corridor, and Western Ring Road (M80) Infrastructure Upgrades.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Tullamarine Logistics Estate
Goodman's premium industrial estate delivering over 100,000 sqm of modern warehouse and logistics facilities at Tullamarine, adjacent to Melbourne Airport. The estate offers direct access to the Tullamarine Freeway, Metropolitan Ring Road and Calder Freeway, targeting e-commerce, contract logistics, and freight-forwarding occupiers seeking proximity to the airport and Melbourne's northern arterial network.
M80 Ring Road Upgrade
Upgrades to the M80 Ring Road including adding new lanes, installing a smart freeway lane management system, new bridges, and establishing a seamless connection to the North East Link to improve traffic flow and safety.
Assembly Tullamarine
A proposed 70,000 sqm state-of-the-art logistics and industrial estate by Charter Hall at Tullamarine, featuring multiple large warehouses with direct connectivity to Melbourne Airport and the Tullamarine Freeway. The estate is designed to accommodate a range of logistics and industrial tenant customers with high-clearance warehouses, sustainable design features and efficient freight access.
Keilor East Railway Station
New railway station at Keilor East as part of the Melbourne Airport Rail Link project, serving over 150,000 residents in the Moonee Valley area. The station will provide direct access to Melbourne Airport and the CBD via the Metro Tunnel. Works on the broader rail link commenced in early 2026 after disputes were resolved, with completion targeted for 2033.
Sharps Rd, Tullamarine
A next-generation logistics hub planned by Hines, positioned to enhance the route between the M80 and Melbourne Airport.
Outer Metropolitan Ring / E6 Transport Corridor
The Outer Metropolitan Ring / E6 reservation will accommodate a 100 kilometre long high-speed transport link for people and freight in Melbourne's north and west. It includes a multi-lane freeway and a reservation for up to four rail tracks, aiming to improve connections to key hubs like Melbourne Airport and the Port of Geelong, supporting the region's growth over a 30 to 50-year period.
SRL Airport
SRL Airport, formerly known as Melbourne Airport Rail, is a 27km rail link connecting Melbourne Airport to the CBD via Sunshine Station and the Metro Tunnel. It includes new stations at Melbourne Airport and Keilor East, elevated tracks over the Western Ring Road, and integration with the Suburban Rail Loop. The project features upgrades to the Sunshine Superhub with new platforms, rail bridges, tracks, and signalling technology, as well as a rebuild of Albion Station with modern accessible facilities and a flyover to separate airport trains from other services.Early works completed, with major construction underway following a 2025 Memorandum of Understanding between the Victorian Government and Melbourne Airport.
Baptcare Keilor Downs Affordable Housing
Construction of 47 social and affordable housing dwellings, comprised of 23 single-storey and 24 double-storey units, delivered under Victoria's Big Housing Build program. The homes are accessed via a new internal loop road connecting to Thornhill Drive, each with one car space and landscaped front and rear yards. The project is a partnership between Baptcare Affordable Housing and the Victorian Government, part of a combined 95-home commitment across Keilor Downs and Lalor. Civil works are well underway on site.
4,666 residents of Keilor are employed, from a labour force of 4,746. Unemployment sits at 1.7%, with participation at 64.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 16,098, about 184% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Keilor boasts a proficient workforce highlighted by significant involvement in the construction industry, a jobless rate standing at only 1.7%, and consistent labor market conditions over the prior twelve months. Employed locals numbered 4,666 as of March 2026, with local unemployment sitting 3.1% lower than the 4.8% observed across Greater Melbourne, though the local labor participation rate of 64.7% trails the regional figure of 70.1%. Census records indicated that 28.8% of local workers operated from home, an outcome potentially shaped by Covid-19 lockdown restrictions. Locals are primarily employed across construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Construction represents a distinct regional specialty, capturing an employment proportion 1.5 times the wider metropolitan benchmark. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for a comparatively modest 11.0% of local jobs versus 14.2% regionally. Hosting 2.2 workers for each resident at the Census, Keilor operates as a regional job generator, sustaining a larger employment base than its residential labor pool and drawing commuters from neighboring suburbs. AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that local employment expanded by 0.4% over the 12-month period while the active workforce contracted by 0.5%, driving a 0.9 percentage point drop in the jobless rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment climb 2.1%, labor force increase 2.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. National employment outlooks released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide additional context on future labor requirements. When these five- and ten-year national trajectories (which project countrywide job growth of 6.6% and 13.7% respectively) are mapped against Keilor's industry composition, local employment is modeled to increase by 6.4% across five years and 13.0% over ten years (offered as an illustrative weighted estimation that excludes localized demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Keilor is $1,820 a week (about $95,000 a year), with median personal income at $760 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,501 a year against an average of $85,006. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to financial year 2023 ATO postcode statistics released by AreaSearch, taxpayers in the Keilor SA2 recorded a median income of $63,501 and an average of $85,006, placing the locality among the premier tiers across Australia and surpassing Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Factoring in the 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 point to roughly $69,610 for median income and $93,184 for average earnings. Census distributions place personal, family, and household earnings within moderate middle bands, occupying the 40th to 54th percentiles.
A cohort of 2,454 people (28.1% of residents) earns between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the wider regional concentration of 32.8%. Residents maintain 87.9% of their earnings after servicing residential costs, reflecting resilient spending capacity, while the locality falls within the 6th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Keilor had 3,147 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 0% apartments. 37% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 51% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $396 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,019 a month. Rent absorbs 21.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to Census findings, standalone houses made up 87.3% of Keilor's housing stock, while other dwellings (apartments, attached dwellings, and 'other' structures) accounted for 12.7%, presenting a contrast to the Melbourne metro split of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Outright property ownership reached 51.0%, substantially exceeding the Melbourne metro proportion, while 36.5% of homes were held under a mortgage and 12.5% were tenanted. Monthly mortgage obligations sat at a median of $2,019, outpacing the Melbourne metro benchmark of $2,000 and the national figure of $1,863. Median weekly rents stood at $396, above both the metropolitan level of $390 and the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Keilor counted 3,147 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 38% are couples with children, against 28% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 77.4%, encompassing couples with children at 37.5%, couples without children at 27.9%, and single parent families at 11.2%. Non-family living arrangements account for the other 22.6%, consisting of lone person households at 21.4% and group households at 1.1%. The area's median household occupancy of 2.6 people matches the regional norm for Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
24.6% of adults in Keilor hold a university qualification, including 17.9% with a bachelor degree and 4.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.0% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 2,794 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,082 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education outcomes present an area for future growth, with university qualification attainment (24.6%) falling noticeably below the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees represent the primary higher credential at 17.9%, alongside postgraduate qualifications at 4.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Meanwhile, technical and vocational training shows notable strength, with 32.5% of the population aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, encompassing 22.0% with certificates and 10.5% with advanced diplomas. A significant 26.1% of local residents are actively engaged in formal study. This student population includes 8.7% enrolled in primary education, 8.1% attending secondary schooling, and 4.3% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Keilor reaches 66 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 4,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure within Keilor features 66 active transport stops offering bus connections across 9 individual routes, which combine to deliver 4,516 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is favorable, with residents generally residing 208 meters from their closest transport stop. Due to the area's residential profile, most workers travel outward for work, with private motor vehicles representing the primary commuting choice at 92%. Dwellings average 1.7 motor vehicles, above the metropolitan norm, while 28.8% of residents worked remotely during the 2021 Census (which may reflect COVID-19 conditions). Across all transit lines, service frequency totals 645 trips per day, translating to roughly 68 weekly trips per transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.3% of residents in Keilor report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 83% of areas nationally. 7.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 61.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch assessments of chronic illness rates and mortality figures, Keilor records impressive health measures, characterized by particularly minimal occurrences of standard medical ailments among younger demographics. Approximately 62% of the local population (5,381 people) maintains private health insurance coverage, exceeding both the Greater Melbourne level of 56.7% and the nationwide average of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma represent the primary chronic ailments in the community, diagnosed in 9.2 and 7.1% of residents respectively, whereas 68.3% of inhabitants reported no diagnosed chronic conditions (compared to 72.6% regionally). Working-age residents display robust health metrics with minimal illness rates.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 26.4% of the population (2,304 people), substantially above the 15.1% share in Greater Melbourne, and while senior health outcomes remain favorable, they sit slightly lower on a national comparative scale than the total local community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
25.2% of Keilor residents were born overseas and 26.3% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (18.1%) and Australian (17.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Keilor displays high cultural diversity relative to surrounding areas, with 25.2% of its community born abroad and 26.3% conversing in a non-English language at home. Christianity stands as the primary religious affiliation, representing 71.3% of the populace in comparison to 43.0% recorded across Greater Melbourne. Looking at ancestral backgrounds based on parents' birthplace, the primary ancestries in Keilor are English at 18.1%, Australian at 17.9%, and Italian at 16.2%, the latter significantly outstripping the regional benchmark of 5.2%. Pronounced concentrations also appear across several other backgrounds, including Maltese at 4.1% (compared to 1.1% regionally), Croatian at 2.7% (vs 0.7%), and Polish at 1.3% (vs 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Keilor is 45, older than 78% of areas nationally. 20.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographic data firmly establishes Keilor as an established lifestyle and retirement destination. Estimates current to August 2026 show that older cohorts aged 65+ comprise 26.4% of inhabitants (versus 15.1% across Greater Melbourne), while young to middle aged adults between 25 - 44 represent 20.8% (compared to 32.1% regionally). As of August 2026, the estimated median age remains steady at 45, identical to the 2021 Census outcome and 8 years older than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 at that time, while exceeding the national median of 38. The proportion of retiree and senior residents has expanded from 24.6% at the Census to 26.4% currently, with this group projected to experience the highest demographic expansion by 2041, increasing by 535 individuals (23%) to 2,840.
Conversely, numbers of young to middle aged adults alongside children and young adults are forecast to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Keilor
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 8 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 31 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (8,548 at the 2021 Census → 8,736 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (210011228). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.