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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Keilor Lodge has an estimated 1,607 residents, down from 1,668 at the 2021 Census — a change of 61 people, or 3.7%. The population has thinned by an average 1.7% a year over five years, slower than 99% of areas nationally. That puts 1,869 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
In the suburb of Keilor Lodge, the resident population is estimated at approximately 1,607 as of Aug 2026, drawing from AreaSearch evaluations of broader ABS demographic releases alongside 1 validated new addresses confirmed since the Census. Compared to the 1,668 individuals counted in the 2021 Census, this indicates a drop of 61 people (3.7%). These figures stem from AreaSearch examining the latest ABS ERP release from June 2025 in combination with newly confirmed addresses. The suburb features a population density of 1,868 persons per square kilometer, sitting above the benchmark across AreaSearch's national coverage.
Recent expansion was predominantly underpinned by overseas migration, which made up around 71.0% of total demographic additions. Projections for the suburb of Keilor Lodge incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 (taking 2022 as the base year) for SA2 locations, supplemented where needed by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA figures aggregated to SA2 levels through weighted growth modeling. Age-bracket growth distributions from these aggregated models are likewise applied across 2032 to 2041. Future expectations point to demographic gains tracking slightly beneath the national statistical area median, with aggregated SA2 modeling indicating the local population will rise by 60 persons by 2041, representing a total gain of 3.7% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
63 new dwellings have been approved in Keilor Lodge over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That is 7.6 approvals per 1,000 residents. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to building approval figures from the ABS compiled by AreaSearch across statistical boundaries, development consents in Keilor Lodge have tracked at approximately 12 dwellings per year, totaling an estimated 63 homes sanctioned over the preceding 5 financial years (from FY-21 through FY-25), with none approved thus far during FY-25. Given the recent demographic softening, residential construction has kept pace with demand to provide purchasers with ample options. Concurrently, commercial building approvals have reached $8.1 million during this financial year, pointing to modest commercial construction activity. Construction intensity on a per-capita basis in Keilor Lodge outpaces Greater Melbourne by 148.0%, widening options for purchasers even though building volumes have moderated of late.
All recent residential activity has focused exclusively on standalone houses, preserving the neighborhood's established suburban profile and catering to families prioritizing living space. Looking forward, projections show Keilor Lodge expanding by 60 residents out to 2041 relative to the latest quarterly figures from AreaSearch. Existing building rates appear well-positioned to satisfy incoming housing demand, fostering advantageous conditions for buyers and potentially supporting expansion above current baseline projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Keilor Lodge
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 68 current infrastructure and development projects close to Keilor Lodge, worth an estimated $19.2 billion. 14 are already under construction and 10 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital programs and strategic planning exert substantial influence over an area's trajectory, with AreaSearch noting 1 primary initiative relevant to the locality. Significant regional developments include the Taylors Lakes Ambulance Branch, SRL Airport (Melbourne Airport Rail), Melton Level Crossing Removals, and the Melbourne Airport Business Park Precinct.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Baptcare Keilor Downs Affordable Housing
Construction of 47 social and affordable housing dwellings, comprised of 23 single-storey and 24 double-storey units, delivered under Victoria's Big Housing Build program. The homes are accessed via a new internal loop road connecting to Thornhill Drive, each with one car space and landscaped front and rear yards. The project is a partnership between Baptcare Affordable Housing and the Victorian Government, part of a combined 95-home commitment across Keilor Downs and Lalor. Civil works are well underway on site.
Taylors Quarter
Taylors Quarter is a 9.1 hectare EnviroDevelopment certified residential subdivision of 171 lots in Taylors Lakes, the final major land release in the area. Land lots and townhomes, built by Sienna Homes, are now fully sold out, with individual home construction continuing across the estate. Messara Park, featuring a playground, BBQ facilities, bocce court and orchard, was completed in September 2022. The estate offers excellent access to schools, the freeway, Watergardens Shopping Centre and Watergardens train station.
Sunshine Avenue Intersection Upgrades
Victorian Government project to upgrade the Sunshine Avenue intersections with Melton Highway and Old Calder Highway. Works include new turning lanes, traffic signals, upgraded pedestrian crossings and associated road improvements to improve safety, reduce congestion and improve traffic flow. Planning investigations and early works are progressing, with planning expected to be completed during 2026 before major construction timing is confirmed.
Plumpton Aquatic and Leisure Centre
Major new all-electric aquatic and leisure centre being delivered by Melton City Council in Fraser Rise. The facility will include a 50 metre competition pool, learn-to-swim pools, splash play areas, water slides, spas, sauna, Australia's first dedicated aquatic sensory space, fitness and allied health facilities, community spaces, cafe and rooftop deck. Construction commenced in November 2025 with Kane Constructions appointed as the head contractor. The project is targeting a 5 Star Green Star rating and is scheduled to open in 2028.
Melton Highway Infill Duplication
Duplication of Melton Highway between Crown Drive and The Regency, adding an extra lane in each direction, installing safety barriers and street lighting, extending the shared walking and cycling path on the south side, protecting utilities, and upgrading kerbs, drainage, asphalt and road markings.
249 Calder Freeway Mixed Use Development Site
A seven-hectare mixed-use development site at the northernmost tip of Taylors Lakes, with 704 metres of frontage to the Calder Freeway. Zoned Mixed Use, the triangular landholding permits retail, hotel, office, aged care, childcare, healthcare and medium-density residential development. The site was sold in July 2021 for $5.225 million. Previous planning applications for subdivision and a service station have lapsed or been refused, and no active development application has been lodged as of June 2026.The site sits opposite Organ Pipes National Park and Jacksons Creek, adjacent to the former Calder Park Raceway precinct.
Aspect Apartments - Keilor Downs
Boutique townhouse development by Soho Living and architect Rothelowman comprising 99 townhouses at 7B Copernicus Way, Keilor Downs. Features luxurious, low-maintenance lifestyle with contemporary design, timber-like cladding, abundant glazing, premium Smeg appliances, composite stone benchtops, and ducted heating. Positioned in growing western suburbs with excellent transport access.
Keilor Downs Urban Design Framework
The Keilor Downs Urban Design Framework, adopted by Brimbank City Council in 2018, sets an integrated vision for the future built form, public realm, and land use of the Keilor Downs Activity Centre. It guides Council's assessment of planning permit applications within the activity centre, covering built form controls, streetscape improvements, and pedestrian connectivity. The framework document was last reviewed and confirmed current as of 6 February 2024.
1,068 residents of Keilor Lodge are employed, from a labour force of 1,093. Unemployment sits at 2.3%, with participation at 79.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,150, about 72% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Keilor Lodge boasts a skilled labor pool where the construction industry stands out as a particularly strong sector, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% and an estimated employment growth of 2.2% over the last year, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 1,068 residents are employed while the local unemployment rate sits at 2.5%, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard at 79.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.1%. Census responses indicate that a high 28.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.
Local workers are concentrated primarily in construction, health care & social assistance, along with education & training. The construction discipline shows pronounced local specialization, registering an employment concentration 1.4 times greater than the metropolitan benchmark. Conversely, professional & technical occupations represent just 6.8% of the local workforce compared with 10.1% regionally. Given its primarily residential nature, local employment capacity is modest when comparing resident workforce counts against jobs situated directly within the area at the Census. Through the year ending March 2026, AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that local employment advanced by 2.2% as the labor force rose by 2.1%, keeping the overall unemployment rate steady. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment climb 2.1% and the labor pool expand 2.3%, accompanied by a 0.2 percentage point uptick in unemployment. Broader labor trends from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide context for medium-term demand across Keilor Lodge. While countrywide projections anticipate growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, sector trajectories vary markedly. Weighting these sectoral expectations against the area's existing job breakdown indicates prospective local employment growth of 6.2% across five years and 12.9% over ten years (a weighted illustrative calculation that excludes local demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Keilor Lodge is $2,198 a week (about $114,000 a year), with median personal income at $771 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,410 a year against an average of $65,285. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place Keilor Lodge's median taxpayer earnings at $53,410 alongside a $65,285 average, positioned slightly underneath national figures and trailing Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Factoring in a 9.62% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, modeled earnings as of March 2026 reach approximately $58,548 at the median and $71,565 on average. In the 2021 Census, local household weekly income reached the 78th percentile ($2,198 weekly) even as individual earnings placed at the 43rd percentile.
The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings bracket covers the largest cohort at 30.9% of residents (496 people), mirroring the broader metropolitan concentration of 32.8%. High earners making over $3,000/week account for 34.1%, highlighting solid financial capacity. After meeting shelter expenses, households retain 89.9% of their income, supporting robust spending power and placing the suburb in the 7th decile on the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Keilor Lodge had 556 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 37% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 51% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $421 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,993 a month. Rent absorbs 19.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the most recent Census, the local housing stock consisted of 95.9% standalone houses alongside 4.1% alternate formats like townhouses and apartments, differing from the 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings observed across Melbourne metro. Outright property ownership reached 50.8%, substantially exceeding the metropolitan standard, with 36.5% of residences under a mortgage and 12.7% tenanted. Typical mortgage servicing stood at $1,993 per month and weekly rents averaged $421, compared to Melbourne metro benchmarks of $2,000 and $390. Relative to Australia-wide figures, mortgage costs sit above the $1,863 national median, while rental payments remain materially higher than the national $375 baseline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Keilor Lodge counted 556 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 45% are couples with children, more than in 89% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 11% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 87.9% of local dwellings, led by couples with children at 44.8%, childless couples at 29.7%, and single-parent arrangements at 11.6%. Non-family setups make up the remaining 12.1%, comprising sole-occupant residences at 10.9% and shared group households at 2.3%. Typical household occupancy is 2.9 people, exceeding the 2.6 person average recorded across Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
25.4% of adults in Keilor Lodge hold a university qualification, including 18.8% with a bachelor degree and 3.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.2% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 636 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,043 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels in the area show room for improvement, as 25.4% of residents hold university credentials compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications represent 18.8%, postgraduate awards account for 3.9%, and graduate diplomas make up 2.7%. Vocational and technical training remains prominent, with 32.4% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between certificates (22.2%) and advanced diplomas (10.2%). A significant 25.7% of local residents are actively engaged in study, encompassing 7.4% attending primary school, 7.4% in secondary education, and 6.5% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Keilor Lodge reaches 7 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 310 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 2.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Keilor Lodge is equipped with 7 bus stops across 4 dedicated routes that deliver 312 passenger services each week. Local transit connectivity is favorable, placing residents an average of 209 meters from the nearest stop. Private vehicles are the primary commuting mode for 92% of outward-bound workers, with 7% traveling by train, supported by an average of 2.0 vehicles per household. Additionally, 28.9% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census, subject to prevailing COVID-19 settings. Transit schedules provide an average of 44 trips each day across the network, translating to roughly 44 departures per stop on a weekly basis.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.2% of residents in Keilor Lodge report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 75% of areas nationally. 5.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators in Keilor Lodge are favorable across demographic groups, with AreaSearch tracking subdued incidences of chronic ailments among younger and older residents alike. Private health insurance coverage covers roughly 53% of the community (~846 people), slightly ahead of the typical SA2 average, compared with 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. Arthritis (8.0%) and asthma (7.3%) represent the primary diagnosed medical conditions locally, while 70.2% of residents report no long-term illnesses, close to the 72.6% benchmark for Greater Melbourne. The population aged under 65 records favorable health standings. Furthermore, seniors aged 65 and over represent 23.2% of the population (372 people), surpassing Greater Melbourne's 15.1% share, and exhibit positive overall wellness aligned with countrywide trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
29.7% of Keilor Lodge residents were born overseas and 30.2% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Italian (16.9%) and Australian (15.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Keilor Lodge is pronounced, with 29.7% of residents born abroad and 30.2% communicating in a language other than English in their households. Christianity is the predominant faith, claimed by 71.0% of the local population versus 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. Examining parental heritage, the most prominent backgrounds are Italian at 16.9% (well above the regional 5.2%), Australian at 15.2%, and English at 14.9% (below the metropolitan 20.1% share). Other distinct ancestral representations include Maltese at 5.6% (compared to 1.1% regionally), Croatian at 4.4% (against 0.7%), and Polish at 1.4% (versus 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Keilor Lodge is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 24.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age profile in Keilor Lodge skews noticeably toward mature age groups, with retirees and seniors (65+) comprising 23.2% of the population based on updates to August 2026, compared to 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, while young and middle-aged adults (25 - 44) account for 22.7% against 32.1% across the metropolitan area. The median age remains steady at 44, matching the 2021 Census outcome and exceeding both the Greater Melbourne figure of 37 and the national median of 38 from that same Census. Senior cohorts have expanded most noticeably since the Census, climbing from 17.6% to an estimated 23.2%.
Through to 2041, senior brackets are anticipated to see the strongest growth, adding 148 residents (40%) to reach 521, whereas cohorts of children, young adults, and residents aged 25 - 44 are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Keilor Lodge
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (1,668 at the 2021 Census → 1,607 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21317). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.