Keilor Lodge

Keilor Lodge has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Keilor Lodge is around 1,688. This reflects an increase of 20 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,668. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,686 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,962 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Keilor Lodge's 1.2% growth since census positions it within 1.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, the suburb is expected to grow by 72 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Keilor Lodge is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Keilor Lodge shows approximately 6 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 33 homes were approved, with one more approved so far in FY-26. This rate suggests that new supply has likely been meeting demand, offering good choice to buyers.

The average construction value of these properties is $591,000, indicating a focus on the premium market. In terms of commercial development, $8.1 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting limited commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor Lodge has slightly more development, with 29.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This has maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. The type of new building activity shows 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Keilor Lodge's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing. The location has approximately 1676 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate suggest Keilor Lodge will add 70 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Keilor Lodge has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project that may impact this region: Taylors Lakes Ambulance Branch, Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport), Melbourne Airport Rail, and Melton Level Crossing Removals are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Keilor Lodge performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Keilor Lodge has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.3% as of December 2025, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%.

As of that date, 1,087 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 77.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. According to Census responses, 28.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries of employment among Keilor Lodge residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction employment levels were at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 6.8%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force rose by 4.5%, leading to a slight unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne during this period, employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment also rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Keilor Lodge. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%. Applying these projections to Keilor Lodge's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over the same period. Over ten years, national employment growth is projected at 13.7%, with Keilor Lodge potentially seeing a 12.9% increase in employment (note: these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

In financial year 2023, Keilor Lodge had a median taxpayer income of $53,410 and an average income of $65,285. These figures are slightly below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,816 (median) and $70,671 (average), based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Keilor Lodge's household income ranks at the 78th percentile ($2,198 weekly) and personal income at the 43rd percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 30.9% of residents (521 people). Higher earners exceeding $3,000 weekly make up a substantial presence of 34.1%. After housing costs, residents retain 89.9% of their income. Keilor Lodge's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Keilor Lodge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor Lodge's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 95.9% houses and 4.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor Lodge was 50.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.5% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure stood at $421, higher than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Keilor Lodge's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Keilor Lodge features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 87.9% of all households, including 44.8% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Keilor Lodge aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 32.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (22.2%). Educational participation is high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 7.4% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 6.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 7.4% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keilor Lodge has seven active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 279 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 209 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Car remains the primary mode of transportation at 92%, while train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 28.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 39 trips per day, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per stop.

Keilor Lodge's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Keilor Lodge. AreaSearch's assessment indicates low prevalence of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~888 people), leading that of the average SA2 area, but slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.0%) and asthma (7.3%), while 70.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. Keilor Lodge has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.2% (391 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Keilor Lodge was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor Lodge has a higher proportion of overseas-born residents, at 29.7%, compared to most local markets. A significant portion, 30.2%, speaks a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Keilor Lodge, with 71.0% of people identifying as such, which is notably higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 43.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are Italian (16.9%), Australian (15.2%), and English (14.9%). Notably, Maltese representation in Keilor Lodge is substantially higher at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 1.1%, as is Croatian at 4.4% versus 0.7%. Polish residents also have a higher representation at 1.4% compared to the regional average of 0.8%.

Keilor Lodge hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Keilor Lodge has a median age of 44, which exceeds Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and is significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 17.1% of Keilor Lodge's population, compared to Greater Melbourne's figure, while the 35-44 cohort makes up 10.1%, which is less prevalent than in Greater Melbourne. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is notably higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 11.1% to 13.7%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 5.5% to 7.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 14.5% to 11.3%, and the 15 to 24 age group has fallen from 14.0% to 12.7%. Demographic projections indicate that Keilor Lodge's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 75 to 84 group expected to grow by 54%, reaching 192 people from 124. This growth is solely driven by the aging population dynamic, as those aged 65 and above will comprise 100% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 45 to 54 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.