Keilor Lodge

Keilor Lodge has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Keilor Lodge's population is estimated at around 1,610 as of May 2026. This reflects a decrease of 58 people (3.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,668 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,610, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional one validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,872 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the suburb of Keilor Lodge expected to grow by 71 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.4% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Keilor Lodge is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Keilor Lodge shows approximately 6 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 33 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. This suggests that new supply has likely been meeting demand despite population decline, offering good choice to buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $591,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $8.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor Lodge has slightly more development activity, recording 32.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, although building activity has slowed in recent years. New building activity comprises predominantly detached dwellings (89.0%) and a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (11.0%), preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location currently has approximately 1682 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Future projections from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate suggest Keilor Lodge will add 71 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Keilor Lodge has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting the region: Taylors Lakes Ambulance Branch, Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport), Melton Level Crossing Removals, and Melbourne Airport Business Park Precinct are key projects, with the following list highlighting those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Keilor Lodge performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Keilor Lodge's skilled workforce is notable, particularly in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.3% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.7% over the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. In December 2025, 1,096 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was higher at 80.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. A significant 28.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction employment levels were particularly high, at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 6.8%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 4.7% while labour force grew by 5.0%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. This compares to Greater Melbourne's employment growth of 2.4%, labour force expansion of 2.8%, and similar unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Keilor Lodge. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Keilor Lodge's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Keilor Lodge had a median taxpayer income of $53,410 and an average income of $65,285. These figures are close to the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively across Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $58,548 (median) and $71,565 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Keilor Lodge's household income ranks at the 78th percentile ($2,198 weekly), with personal income at the 43rd percentile. Income analysis reveals that 30.9% of residents (497 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 weekly income bracket, similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupy this range. Higher earners also make up a significant portion, with 34.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 89.9% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Keilor Lodge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor Lodge's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.9% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor Lodge stood at 50.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.5% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $421, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Keilor Lodge's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Keilor Lodge features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.9% of all households, including 44.8% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Keilor Lodge aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 32.4% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (22.2%). Educational participation is high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 7.4% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keilor Lodge has seven operational public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by four different routes that collectively facilitate 279 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 209 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most Keilor Lodge residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents, while train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages two per dwelling, surpassing the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 28.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, service frequency across all routes is 39 trips per day, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keilor Lodge's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Keilor Lodge. AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence indicates both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~847 people), leading that of the average SA2 area, compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.0 and 7.3% of residents respectively, while 70.2% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 23.1% of residents aged 65 and over (371 people), which is higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Keilor Lodge was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor Lodge had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 29.7% of its population born overseas and 30.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keilor Lodge, accounting for 71.0% of its residents, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups were Italian (16.9%), Australian (15.2%), and English (14.9%).

Notably, Maltese (5.6%) Croatian (4.4%), and Polish (1.4%) ethnicities had higher representations in Keilor Lodge compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 0.7%, and 0.8% respectively.

Keilor Lodge hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Keilor Lodge has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The age group of 55-64 years shows strong representation in Keilor Lodge at 16.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures, while the 35-44 cohort is less prevalent at 10.9%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is notably higher than the national average of 11.2%. Post the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 11.1% to 13.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 5.5% to 7.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.5% to 11.4%, and the 15 to 24 age group has dropped from 14.0% to 12.8%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Keilor Lodge's age profile by 2041. Leading this shift, the 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 53%, reaching 180 people from 117. This growth will be driven entirely by those aged 65 and above. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.