Keilor Lodge

Keilor Lodge has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Keilor Lodge's estimated population is around 1,688. This reflects an increase of 20 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,668. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 1,686 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and one validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,962 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Keilor Lodge's 1.2% growth since census positions it within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.5%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, Keilor Lodge is expected to grow by 72 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 3.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Keilor Lodge is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Keilor Lodge shows approximately 6 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 33 homes were approved, with one more approved so far in FY26. The area has experienced population decline, suggesting that new supply is meeting demand and offering good choice for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $591,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year, $8.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Melbourne. Keilor Lodge has slightly more development than the regional average per person over the past five years, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values.

However, building activity has slowed in recent years. The area's new building activity consists of 89% detached dwellings and 11% townhouses or apartments, preserving its suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 1678 people per dwelling approval in the location, demonstrating an established market. Future projections show Keilor Lodge adding 63 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Keilor Lodge has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting the area: Taylors Lakes Ambulance Branch, Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport), Melbourne Airport Rail, and Melton Level Crossing Removals are key projects, with specific details below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Keilor Lodge performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Keilor Lodge has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.8%.

As of September 2025, 1,092 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne at 66.9%. Key industries for employment among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction shows a particularly high concentration, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the past year, ending in September 2025, employment increased by 5.8%, labour force by 6.0%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from November 25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%, and employment growth outpaces the national average. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project total employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keilor Lodge's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Keilor Lodge had a median taxpayer income of $53,410 and an average income of $65,285. These figures are slightly below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $57,816 and average income is around $70,671. According to the 2021 Census, Keilor Lodge's household income ranks at the 78th percentile with a weekly income of $2,198, while personal income ranks at the 43rd percentile. The majority of residents (30.9%, or 521 people) fall within the $1,500-$2,999 weekly income bracket, similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupy this range. A substantial portion of residents (34.1%) earn more than $3,000 weekly. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain approximately 89.9% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Keilor Lodge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor Lodge's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.9% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor Lodge stood at 50.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.5% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,700. Median weekly rent in Keilor Lodge was $421, compared to Melbourne metro's $346. Nationally, Keilor Lodge's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Keilor Lodge features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 87.9% of all households, including 44.8% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, aligning with the Greater Melbourne average.

Educational attainment in Keilor Lodge aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 32.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (22.2%). Educational participation is high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 7.4% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 6.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 7.4% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows seven operational stops within Keilor Lodge. These are mixed-use bus stops, served by four distinct routes offering 279 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport access is rated good with residents typically situated 209 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 39 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Keilor Lodge is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Keilor Lodge shows superior health outcomes with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The private health cover rate stands at approximately 53%, which is higher than the average SA2 area's 48.5%.

This figure compares to Greater Melbourne's overall rate of 48.5%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis, affecting 8% of residents, and asthma, impacting 7.3%. Notably, 70.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 73.5%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.9%, with 369 people falling into this age bracket. This is higher than the 17.9% recorded in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors in Keilor Lodge are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Keilor Lodge was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor Lodge's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 29.7% born overseas and 30.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keilor Lodge, comprising 71.0%, compared to 51.4% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups were Italian (16.9%), Australian (15.2%), and English (14.9%).

Notably, Maltese (5.6%) Croatian (4.4%) and Polish (1.4%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 4.6%, 2.2% and 1.1% respectively.

Keilor Lodge hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Keilor Lodge has a median age of 44, which exceeds Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and is significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 16.8% of Keilor Lodge's population, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 35-44 cohort makes up 10.3%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is notably higher than the national figure of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 11.1% to 12.9%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 5.5% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 14.5% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Keilor Lodge's age profile will change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 63%, reaching 195 people from the current 119. This growth will be driven entirely by those aged 65 and above. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to experience population declines.