Keilor Lodge

Keilor Lodge has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Keilor Lodge is around 1,683 people. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census population of 1,668 people, indicating a growth rate of approximately 0.9%. The latest ABS ERP data release (June 2024) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date were used to estimate this population. The suburb's population density is calculated as 1,957 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Keilor Lodge's growth rate of 0.9% since the Census compares favorably with its SA3 area (2.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% to the suburb's population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made through weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Keilor Lodge is expected to grow by approximately 72 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of around 4.0% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Keilor Lodge is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval data indicates Keilor Lodge has averaged around 6 residential properties granted approval per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 31 homes were approved.

No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. The area's population decline suggests new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. Average construction value is $591,000, moderately above regional levels, indicating emphasis on quality construction. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keilor Lodge records somewhat elevated construction at 21.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 839 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate Keilor Lodge will gain 68 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Keilor Lodge has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. One major project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Key projects include Taylors Lakes Ambulance Branch, Melbourne Airport Rail, Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport), and Melton Level Crossing Removals. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Keilor Lodge performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Keilor Lodge's skilled workforce is notable, particularly in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.0% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 6.1% over the past year.

Residents' unemployment rate stood at 2.6%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation was 66.9%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for residents were construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training, with construction employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 6.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census working population versus resident population counts. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 6.1%, labour force grew by 6.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. This compares to Greater Melbourne's employment growth of 3.5%, labour force expansion of 4.0%, and unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keilor Lodge's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch reports that Keilor Lodge had a median taxpayer income of $53,410 and an average income of $65,285 in the financial year 2022. Nationally, these figures were $54,892 and $73,761 respectively for Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, adjusted for a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since 2022, estimated median income is approximately $59,905 and average income is $73,224. The 2021 Census shows Keilor Lodge's household income rank at the 78th percentile ($2,198 weekly) and personal income at the 43rd percentile. Income analysis reveals that 30.9% of residents (520 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket, with 34.1% earning over $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 89.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. Keilor Lodge's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Keilor Lodge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keilor Lodge's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.9% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keilor Lodge stood at 50.8%, with the rest being mortgaged (36.5%) or rented (12.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,700 and Australia's national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Keilor Lodge was $421, substantially above the national figure of $375 and Melbourne metro's average of $346.

Keilor Lodge features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 87.9 percent of all households, including 44.8 percent couples with children, 29.7 percent couples without children, and 11.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.1 percent, with lone person households at 10.9 percent and group households comprising 2.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, aligning with the Greater Melbourne average.

Educational attainment in Keilor Lodge aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates at 25.4%, substantially lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 22.2%. Educational participation is high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 7.4% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 6.5% in tertiary education.

Catholic Regional College North Keilor serves the area, enrolling 636 students as of a certain date. The college has an ICSEA score of 1043, indicating balanced educational opportunities. Secondary education dominates with one school; primary students often attend schools in nearby areas. The area functions as an education hub, offering 37.8 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 14.2, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows seven active transport stops operating within Keilor Lodge. These stops are mixed bus services. They are served by three individual routes, collectively offering 446 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 209 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 63 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Keilor Lodge is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Keilor Lodge shows superior health outcomes with both younger and older age groups having low prevalence of common health conditions. Its private health cover rate stands at approximately 53%, higher than the average SA2 area's 48.1%.

This figure is based on a total population of around 886 people in Keilor Lodge, compared to Greater Melbourne's 48.1%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.0% and 7.3% of residents respectively. 70.2% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 73.5%. Keilor Lodge has a higher percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.9%, or 368 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 17.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Keilor Lodge are particularly strong, even outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Keilor Lodge was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keilor Lodge had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 29.7% of its population born overseas and 30.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keilor Lodge, accounting for 71.0% of people, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 51.4%. The top three ancestry groups were Italian (16.9%), Australian (15.2%), and English (14.9%).

Notably, Maltese was overrepresented at 5.6%, Croatian at 4.4%, and Polish at 1.4% compared to regional averages of 4.6%, 2.2%, and 1.1% respectively.

Keilor Lodge hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Keilor Lodge has a median age of 44, higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly above the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group is strongly represented at 16.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 35-44 cohort is less prevalent at 10.3%. This concentration in the 55-64 age group is well above the national figure of 11.2%. Following the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 11.1% to 12.9%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 5.5% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.5% to 11.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Keilor Lodge's age profile will change significantly by 2041. Leading this demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 63%, reaching 195 from 119. This growth is driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.