Burnside Heights

Burnside Heights lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Burnside Heights' population is estimated at around 6,520. This reflects an increase of 143 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,377. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population being 6,499 as of June 2024, based on ABS ERP data, and an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,260 persons per square kilometer, placing Burnside Heights in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Considering projected demographic shifts, Burnside Heights is forecast to experience significant population growth by 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to expand by 1,729 persons, reflecting an increase of 26.2% in total over the 17 years from 2025 to 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Burnside Heights is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Burnside Heights has received approximately 3 dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 17 homes. As of FY-26, no approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with varied buyer choices. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $477,000.

This financial year, $46,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally. Burnside Heights has recorded lower building activity than both regions, which may strengthen demand and prices for existing properties but has accelerated recently. New building activity comprises 33.0% standalone homes and 67.0% townhouses or apartments, shifting from the area's current housing composition of 91.0% houses. This indicates decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring diverse, affordable housing options. With around 1083 people per approval, Burnside Heights shows a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Burnside Heights is projected to grow by 1,708 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Looking ahead, Burnside Heights is expected to grow by 1,708 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Burnside Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely impacting the area: Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades, Taylors Creek Residential Estate, Aspire Community, and Modeina Estate. The following details these key projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Burnside Heights shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Burnside Heights has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.5%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment grew by 5.8% in the past year. As of June 2025, 70.6% of residents participate in the workforce, higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 7.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Local employment opportunities appear limited as indicated by Census data. Between Jun-24 and Jul-25, employment increased by 5.8%, labour force by 5.8%, with unemployment unchanged. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5% and labour force by 4.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.1% over ten years. Applying these projections to Burnside Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 12.5% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Burnside Heights' income level is below the national average according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Burnside Heights' median income among taxpayers is $54,342 and average income stands at $63,826, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $60,950 (median) and $71,587 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 80th percentile ($2,246 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 50th percentile. Income distribution reveals that 39.6% of the population (2,581 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners (31.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Burnside Heights. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 79th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Burnside Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Burnside Heights' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Burnside Heights was at 18.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.5% and rented ones at 17.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, above Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Burnside Heights was $411, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Burnside Heights' mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Burnside Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 93.2% of all households, including 66.3% couples with children, 13.4% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 6.8%, with lone person households at 5.4% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Burnside Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 34.2% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.3% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 15.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 38.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 16.7% in primary, 9.9% in secondary, and 4.8% in tertiary education. Kororoit Creek Primary School serves as the area's anchor educational institution, enrolling 1,223 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1082) with one primary school focusing exclusively on primary education; secondary options are available in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Burnside Heights has 12 operational public transport stops. These are served by buses along three different routes, which together facilitate 1,547 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents, on average, located 231 meters from the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency across all routes averages 221 trips, translating to around 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

Burnside Heights's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Burnside Heights shows excellent health outcomes, with typical levels of common health conditions seen across both young and elderly residents.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, higher than the average SA2 area (~3,396 people). Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.5% and 4.2% of residents respectively. A total of 81.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 8.0% of residents aged 65 and over (521 people), lower than the 10.1% seen in Greater Melbourne. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Burnside Heights is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Burnside Heights has a population where 49.9% were born overseas, with 61.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Burnside Heights, making up 48.8% of its population. Buddhism stands out as overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 7.4% versus 2.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (25.1%), Indian (10.3%), and Australian (9.8%). Notably, Burnside Heights has higher percentages than regional averages for Maltese (5.8%) Spanish (1.3%), and Vietnamese (7.9%).

Burnside Heights's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

At 34 years, Burnside Heights's median age is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years, and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Burnside Heights has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (20.0%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, residents have aged by an average of 1.3 years, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.3% to 15.3%, while the 45 to 54 cohort increased from 12.8% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has declined from 22.6% to 19.0%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 21.7% to 20.0%. Population forecasts for Burnside Heights in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the strongest projected growth in the 15 to 24 age cohort (45%), adding 446 residents to reach a total of 1,444. Meanwhile, both the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.