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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Burnside Heights has an estimated 6,450 residents, up from 6,377 at the 2021 Census — a change of 73 people, or 1.1%. That puts 3,225 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Analysis of ABS demographic updates for the surrounding region combined with new address validations by AreaSearch since the Census indicates the suburb of Burnside Heights has an estimated population of 6,450 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 73 people (1.1%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 6,377 people. This shift is calculated from the resident population of 6,443, determined by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside 8 validated new addresses added since the Census. The resulting population density stands at 3,225 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of Australian areas monitored by AreaSearch.
This growth was mainly driven by net overseas migration, which made up 63.0% of the population increase over recent times. AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for every SA2 region, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 regions lacking this coverage, AreaSearch utilizes the 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA projections, adjusting them via weighted aggregation of population changes from the LGA level down to the SA2 level. The age bracket growth rates derived from these aggregations are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these anticipated demographic transitions, a major population expansion is expected, ranking the suburb of Burnside Heights in the top national quartile. Aggregated SA2-level projections suggest the community will grow by 1,652 persons by 2041, representing a total expansion of 25.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
AreaSearch reviews of ABS building permit statistics allocated to specific statistical divisions show that Burnside Heights averages approximately 3 home approvals each year, with 17 residential permits granted over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and 1 during the current FY-26. Even with local population contraction, the rate of residential approvals has remained relatively sufficient, which benefits purchasers. Approved new residences carry an average estimated building cost of $477,000, which is moderately higher than the regional average and points to premium building standards. Furthermore, commercial building approvals reached $46,000 this financial year, reinforcing the highly residential character of the locality.
Burnside Heights exhibits far less construction volume when compared to Greater Melbourne. This limited supply of new properties typically supports demand and valuations for existing stock, even though building volumes have ticked upward recently. This level of activity is also below the national average, pointing to the mature state of the area and potential planning constraints. Approved new structures consist of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% townhouses or multi-dwelling units. This bias toward higher-density options offers cheaper entry points and appeals to downsizers, property investors, and first-time buyers. This marks a clear departure from the current housing mix, where houses make up 91.0% of properties, showing a scarcity of vacant residential land alongside shifting preferences and the demand for more varied, economical housing. The suburb currently has 1079 people for every home approval, which highlights the established nature of the local market. Demographic projections indicate Burnside Heights is set to add 1,645 residents up to 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Should current construction rates persist, the supply of new housing may fail to match population expansion, which could heighten buyer competition and foster more robust price appreciation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Burnside Heights
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Burnside Heights, worth an estimated $1 million. A further 100 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $43.9 billion. 32 are already under construction and 30 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure changes, major projects, and town planning decisions have a strong impact on local property markets. AreaSearch has identified a total of 4 projects that are likely to influence the area, with the most relevant being the Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades, Taylors Creek Residential Estate, Aspire Community, and Modeina Estate.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aspire Community
Master-planned residential community by Villawood Properties in Fraser Rise, offering titled land for sale, house and land packages, and townhomes. Home to over 1,400 families with active construction and sales ongoing for remaining stages.
Modeina Estate
A masterplanned residential community embraced by Kororoit Creek on three sides, offering land lots and house packages in Melbourne's thriving inner west. With over 450 residents already calling Modeina home, the estate provides a family-friendly setting with access to schools, parks, shopping, and transport connections. Features premium creek-front elevated lots, architectural design guidelines, and comprehensive amenities including walking paths, BBQ facilities, and community reserves.
Amora Estate Cairnlea
Townhouse estate by Truesource featuring approximately 70 homes in a walkable location opposite Cairnlea Shopping Centre. Product mix includes 3 and 4 bedroom, double garage homes with contemporary finishes, engineered oak style flooring, and stone benchtops.
Taylors Creek Residential Estate
A masterplanned residential community by ID_Land delivering around 620 new homes, local parks and future neighborhood convenience retail in Kings Park, within Melbourne's western suburbs.
Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades
Upgrades to Kings Park Reserve in Kings Park, VIC, centred on a $633,000 multi-purpose cricket and training facility at St Albans Sports Club. The new facility features six synthetic wickets and retractable nets, and supports cricket, netball and soccer year-round. Funded jointly by St Albans Sports Club ($533,000) and the Victorian Government Local Sports Infrastructure Fund - Community Cricket Program ($100,000). The facility was officially opened in April 2025.
Taylors Road and Gourlay Road Traffic Lights and Road Duplication
Council project to replace the existing roundabout with a four-way, signalised intersection and duplicate Taylors Road with an additional lane in each direction between Gourlay Road and City Vista Court, including pedestrian crossings, lighting, drainage and service relocations.
Caroline Springs Boulevard Upgrade
Road upgrade and signalised pedestrian crossing installation along Caroline Springs Boulevard between Lake Street and Deanside Drive. Includes improved intersection treatments, enhanced pedestrian facilities and traffic flow improvements to support growing residential and commercial development.
CS Square Extension
Approved 5,045m2 retail and office extension to CS Square Shopping Centre including relocation and expansion of the existing PTV bus interchange. The expansion comprises 1,533m2 of retail space and 889m2 of office space, designed by Peddle Thorp Architects. The project is currently in design development following planning permit approval.
3,644 residents of Burnside Heights are employed, from a labour force of 3,784. Unemployment sits at 3.7%, with participation at 77.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,804, about 74% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is highly educated, featuring significant employment in professional services, an unemployment rate of only 3.7%, and an annual employment growth rate estimated at 1.8% based on AreaSearch statistical area aggregations. In March 2026, working residents numbered 3,644, with an unemployment rate 1.1% lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%. The labor participation rate is also highly elevated, sitting at 77.6% compared to the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 70.2%. Census figures indicate that 26.0% of the employed workforce worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic lockdowns.
Local employment is largely concentrated in retail trade, health care & social assistance, and transport, postal & warehousing. The community shows a strong concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, where the employment share is 2.0 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented at 7.7% compared to the regional benchmark of 10.1%. The highly residential suburb offers few local jobs relative to the size of the working resident population. Analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas by AreaSearch, indicates that over the past 12 months, employment grew by 1.8% while the labour force expanded by 1.9%, with unemployment staying virtually the same. This trend differs from what was observed in Greater Melbourne, where employment increased by 2.1%, the labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. To understand potential future demand in Burnside Heights, one can look at Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25. These forecasts, which span five and ten-year periods, have been overlaid on the local employment profile to project growth patterns. On a national level, employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these growth rates vary considerably across different industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to Burnside Heights's employment mix, local employment is projected to rise by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years. It is important to note that this calculation relies on simple weighting for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Burnside Heights is $2,246 a week (about $117,000 a year), with median personal income at $803 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,342 a year against an average of $63,826. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The suburb of Burnside Heights's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The suburb of Burnside Heights's median income among taxpayers is $54,342 and the average income stands at $63,826, which compares to figures for Greater Melbourne's of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $59,570 (median) and $69,966 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household incomes rank exceptionally at the 80th percentile ($2,246 weekly), though personal income ranks lower at the 50th percentile.
Looking at income distribution, 39.6% of the population (2,554 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners (31.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Burnside Heights. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 79th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Burnside Heights had 1,726 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 0% apartments. 64% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 19% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $411 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month, a total housing cost higher than 86% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 18.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the housing mix consisted of 90.6% standalone houses and 9.4% other dwelling types such as semi-detached homes and apartments, differing from the Melbourne metropolitan split of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. The rate of outright home ownership was lower than the metropolitan average at 18.7%, with the remaining properties occupied by those with a mortgage (63.5%) or tenants (17.8%). Median monthly mortgage costs matched the broader Melbourne metropolitan benchmark of $2,000, whereas median weekly rent was $411, compared to metropolitan benchmarks of $2,000 and $390.
On a national scale, mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Burnside Heights counted 1,726 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.6 people each. 66% are couples with children, more than in 100% of areas nationally, against 13% couples without children. 5% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the vast majority of local homes at 93.2%, consisting of couples with children at 66.3%, couples without children at 13.4%, and single-parent households at 12.3%. Non-family households account for the remaining 6.8%, with single-person households at 5.4% and group shared homes representing 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
34.2% of adults in Burnside Heights hold a university qualification, including 23.4% with a bachelor degree and 8.3% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 80% of areas nationally. A further 15.0% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 1,223 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,082 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational profile of the population is highly distinct on a regional level, with university graduation rates representing 34.2% of residents aged 15 and over, exceeding the SA3 regional average of 24.3% and the national rate of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common credential at 23.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.3% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Vocational and technical qualifications are also widely held, with 25.6% of residents aged 15 and over possessing vocational certificates, including advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 15.0%. Academic participation is exceptionally strong, with 38.5% of the population enrolled in an educational institution.
This is comprised of 16.7% in primary school, 9.9% in secondary school, and 4.8% studying at a tertiary level.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Burnside Heights reaches 14 stops on 3 routes, timetabled for about 920 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of transit options indicates 14 active bus stops service the suburb of Burnside Heights. These stops accommodate 3 separate bus routes, which provide a combined total of 918 weekly passenger journeys. Transport accessibility is positive, with residents living an average of 230 meters from the nearest stop. Due to the residential nature of the suburb, most workers commute out of the area, with cars remaining the main transit mode at 90% and trains at 7%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.9 cars per home, which is higher than the regional average.
A significant portion of residents, 26.0%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been affected by pandemic conditions. Daily transit services average 131 trips across all routes, which translates to roughly 65 weekly journeys per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
81.4% of residents in Burnside Heights report no long-term health condition. 4.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health outcomes in the locality are favorable based on AreaSearch comparisons of mortality rates and chronic illness rates. The occurrence of major health issues is low within the general population and corresponds to national averages among older, high-risk groups. Private health insurance coverage lags slightly behind the average SA2 region, covering approximately 52% of the population, which represents 3,359 people, compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. Asthma and diabetes represent the most prevalent chronic conditions in the locality, affecting 6.5% and 4.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 81.4% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 8.4% of the population, representing 541 people, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne proportion of 15.0%. Senior health outcomes are positive, though they sit lower nationally than the outcomes seen in the broader local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
49.9% of Burnside Heights residents were born overseas and 61.9% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 93% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Indian (10.3%) and Australian (9.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The locality ranks among the most multicultural communities nationally, with 49.9% of residents born overseas and 61.9% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 48.8% of the population. The most prominent divergence from metropolitan averages is Buddhism, which is practiced by 7.4% of residents compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the top three groups are Other at 25.1% of the population, which is significantly higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Indian at 10.3%, which is higher than the regional average of 4.2%, and Australian at 9.8%, which is below the regional average of 18.4%.
Significant differences also appear in other ancestries, with Maltese backgrounds representing 5.8% of the population compared to 1.1% regionally, Spanish backgrounds at 1.3% compared to 0.4%, and Vietnamese backgrounds at 7.9% compared to 1.9% regionally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Burnside Heights is 35, younger than 86% of areas nationally. That is 2 years older than at the 2021 Census. 25.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 35 years is slightly below the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and the national average of 38. The 5 to 14 age group is highly represented at 19.1% compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25 to 34 cohort is less common at 9.3%. The concentration of residents aged 5 to 14 is higher than the national average of 12.0%. Since 2021, the median age has increased by 1.7 years, rising from 33 to 35. Key demographic movements show the 15 to 24 cohort expanded from 12.3% to 16.1% of the population, and the 45 to 54 group grew from 12.8% to 15.5%.
Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 cohort shrank from 22.6% to 18.2%, and the 5 to 14 group fell from 21.7% to 19.1%. Projections for 2041 point to major age shifts, with the 45 to 54 cohort expected to grow the fastest at 38%, adding 383 residents to reach a total of 1,383. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age cohorts are projected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Burnside Heights
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 8 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (6,377 at the 2021 Census → 6,450 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20420). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.