Fraser Rise

Fraser Rise lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Fraser Rise is around 16,537. This shows an increase of 7,440 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,097. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 13,873 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 3,758 validated new addresses since the Census date. This equates to a density ratio of 778 persons per square kilometer. Fraser Rise's growth rate of 81.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (9.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is predicted to expand by 20,536 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 108.1% in total over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Fraser Rise shows around 804 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 4,022 homes. As of FY-26440 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of approximately 2.8 new residents per dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $367,000. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise has seen 237.0% more new home approvals per person. This high level of activity indicates robust developer interest in the area, with 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% medium and high-density housing being built, maintaining the area's traditional low density character. With around 22 people per dwelling approval, Fraser Rise is classified as a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Fraser Rise is projected to add 17,872 residents by 2041.

Current construction levels are expected to adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Fraser Rise has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 60 projects likely to influence the region. Notable initiatives include Wiyal Primary School, Clara Place, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Taylors Hill West Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Fraser Rise shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Fraser Rise has an educated workforce. The construction sector is prominent with a 6.6% unemployment rate and 1.8% estimated employment growth in the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, 10,449 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.8% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 108.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Census responses show that 26.1% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing. Fraser Rise has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.8%, while labour force grew by 4.8%, resulting in a 2.7 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4% and unemployment increase by only 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Fraser Rise's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Fraser Rise had a median income among taxpayers of $56,990 and an average income of $64,179. These figures are below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from financial year ended June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $61,692 and average income would be around $69,474 by the latter date. As per 2021 Census figures, incomes in Fraser Rise rank high nationally, between 76th and 82nd percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 45.3% earning $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (7,491 residents), similar to the broader area where 32.8% fall within this range. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Fraser Rise, as per the latest Census, 95.2% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 4.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise stood at 10.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 72.3% and rented ones at 17.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,076, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Fraser Rise was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Fraser Rise's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households making up 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates of 33.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 24.3%. This indicates a strong emphasis on higher education in the community. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (19.2%). Educational participation is high, with 33.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

A total of 10 operational public transport stops exist within Fraser Rise, offering a variety of bus services. These stops are served by two distinct routes, facilitating a combined total of 662 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport options is categorized as moderate, with residents typically situated approximately 433 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward from Fraser Rise. Private vehicles remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 89% of residents, while train usage accounts for 7%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling stands at 1.8, exceeding the regional norm.

Notably, according to the 2021 Census data, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions, a significant 26.1% of residents work from home. On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 94 trips daily, translating to roughly 66 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Fraser Rise, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 52% of Fraser Rise's total population (~8635 people) has private health cover, leading the average SA2 area rate but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.0% and 4.0% of residents respectively. 82.6% of Fraser Rise residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower percentage of residents aged 65 and over at 4.5% (744 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in Fraser Rise are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Fraser Rise is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.4% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Fraser Rise, comprising 54.7% of the population. However, the most significant overrepresentation is seen in the 'Other' category, which constitutes 8.2% of the population, substantially higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.3%), Australian (12.5%), and Indian (10.0%). The 'Other' group is notably higher than the regional average of 14.6%, while the Australian group is lower at 18.4%. The Indian group is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.2%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups, with Filipino at 7.1% (vs 1.3%), Maltese at 6.1% (vs 1.1%), and Macedonian at 3.7% (vs 0.7%).

Fraser Rise hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than both the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (20.8%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.0%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Fraser Rise's median age has increased from 31 to 32 years. Notable changes include the growth of the 45 to 54 age group from 10.2% to 13.0%, and the increase of the 15 to 24 cohort from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 19.5% to 16.8%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 11.3% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Fraser Rise's age profile, with the strongest projected growth in the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to grow by 159%, adding 3,415 residents to reach a total of 5,565.