Fraser Rise

Fraser Rise lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Fraser Rise's population is estimated at around 15,774. This reflects an increase of 6,677 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,097. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 13,787 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 3,640 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 742 persons per square kilometer. Fraser Rise's growth rate of 73.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both national average (8.9%) and state averages. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 88.0%.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise Victorian Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation method. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Fraser Rise is predicted to expand by 32,603 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 224.9% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Fraser Rise recorded around 771 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 3,858 homes. So far in FY-26250 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3 new residents were gained for each dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $367,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise records 207.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice, although building activity has slowed in recent years. This level is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest in the area. New building activity shows 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Fraser Rise's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 22 people per dwelling approval, Fraser Rise exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicate Fraser Rise adding approximately 35,474 residents by 2041. Existing development levels appear aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Fraser Rise has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 60 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are Wiyal Primary School, Clara Place, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Plumpton Aquatic and Leisure Centre. The following list details those projects that are expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Fraser Rise remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser Rise has an educated workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 6.5% as of AreaSearch's data aggregation last year.

Employment grew by an estimated 2.4% during this period. As of June 2025, Fraser Rise has 8,581 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.7%, 1.9% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is high at 74.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing.

Fraser Rise specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level. However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. In the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4% while unemployment rose by 2.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's employment growth of 3.5% and a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser Rise's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Fraser Rise had a median income among taxpayers of $56,990. The average income stood at $64,179. These figures align with national averages and compare to Melbourne's levels of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Fraser Rise would be approximately $63,920 (median) and $71,983 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Fraser Rise rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 82nd percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis reveals that 45.3% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, reflecting broader area patterns where 32.8% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Fraser Rise, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise was at 10.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (72.3%) or rented (17.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,076, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Fraser Rise's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 average of 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 13.6% and certificates for 19.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education. The area has two educational institutions: Wiyal Primary School and Springside West Secondary College, serving a total of 1,612 students. These schools operate under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1023) with balanced educational opportunities. There is one place per 100 residents for school attendance (10.2), which is below the regional average (16.2). Some students may attend schools in nearby areas. Note that 'n/a' in school enrolments indicates data is available from the parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Fraser Rise has ten active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes, together accommodating 1,111 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is moderate, with residents on average being located 435 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 158 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 111 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Fraser Rise shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52%, higher than the average SA2 area (~8,237 people). Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.0% and 4.0% of residents respectively. 82.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% in Greater Melbourne. Fraser Rise has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.1% (804 people), compared to 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with the general population's health profile.

Fraser Rise is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.4% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Fraser Rise, accounting for 54.7% of people. However, there is an overrepresentation of 'Other' religions, comprising 8.2% compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.3%), Australian (12.5%), and Indian (10.0%). Notably, Filipino (7.1%), Maltese (6.1%), and Macedonian (3.7%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Fraser Rise hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (21.2%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.8%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Fraser Rise's population aged 45-54 has grown from 10.2% to 12.3%, while the 15-24 age group increased from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group decreased from 19.5% to 16.7%, and the 0-4 age group dropped from 11.3% to 9.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Fraser Rise's age profile, with the strongest growth expected in the 45-54 cohort, which is projected to increase by 326%, adding 6,328 residents to reach a total of 8,269.