Fraser Rise

Fraser Rise lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Fraser Rise statistical area (Lv2) is around 15,962. This figure reflects a significant increase from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,097 people. The growth of 6,865 people (75.5%) since the census is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 13,873, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 3,640 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio for Fraser Rise (SA2) is approximately 751 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 75.5% since the 2021 census exceeds both the national average (9.7%) and the state average, positioning Fraser Rise as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration was the primary driver behind this population growth, contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

However, all factors including natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles. AreaSearch's projections for Fraser Rise (SA2) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest exceptional growth for Fraser Rise (SA2) over the period from 2025 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to expand by 32,558 persons during this timeframe, reflecting a total increase of 220.8%.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Fraser Rise recorded around 802 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 4,011 homes. So far in FY-26385 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), Fraser Rise gained an average of 2.9 new residents per year for each dwelling built.

The average construction cost value of new homes was $367,000. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise had 220.0% more new home approvals per person as of FY-25. Building activity showed 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With around 22 people per dwelling approval, Fraser Rise exhibited characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimated Fraser Rise to add 35,241 residents by 2041 based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate.

Existing development levels appeared aligned with future requirements, suggesting stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Fraser Rise has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 60 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Wiyal Primary School, Clara Place, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Taylors Hill West Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Fraser Rise remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser Rise has an educated workforce, with the construction sector notably represented. Its unemployment rate was 6.0% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 6.0%.

As of September 2025, 10,540 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Workforce participation is high at 74.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 6.0%, while labour force grew by 8.7%, leading to a 2.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3%. Statewide in Victoria, employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year as of 25-November 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser Rise's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Fraser Rise had a median income among taxpayers of $56,990. The average income stood at $64,179 in this period. Both figures were below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,692 (median) and $69,474 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Fraser Rise ranked highly nationally, between the 76th and 82nd percentiles. Income analysis showed that the largest segment comprised 45.3% of residents earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. This pattern was also seen in the broader area, where 32.8% occupied this income range. High housing costs consumed 18.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 78th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Fraser Rise, as per the latest Census data, 95.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 4.8% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This compares to Melbourne's metropolitan area where 90.9% of dwellings are houses and 9.1% are other types. Home ownership in Fraser Rise stood at 10.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 72.3% and rented ones at 17.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,076, higher than Melbourne's metro average of $1,800. Weekly rent median was $431 compared to Melbourne's $351. Nationally, Fraser Rise's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households making up 1.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.1%, exceeding the SA3 average of 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.6% and certificates at 19.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.5% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows ten active stops operating within Fraser Rise, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by two routes combined, facilitating 662 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated moderate, with residents typically located 433 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 94 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 66 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Fraser Rise demonstrates excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Its private health cover rate stands at approximately 52%, slightly higher than the average SA2 area (~8,335 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.0% and 4.0% of residents respectively. Notably, 82.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% in Greater Melbourne. Fraser Rise has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 5.1% (814 people), compared to the 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong, mirroring those of the general population.

Fraser Rise is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.4% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Fraser Rise, accounting for 54.7% of the population. However, the most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which comprises 8.2% of the population compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.3%), Australian (12.5%), and Indian (10.0%). Notably, Filipino, Maltese, and Macedonian ethnicities are overrepresented in Fraser Rise at 7.1%, 6.1%, and 3.7% respectively, compared to their regional averages of 3.4%, 5.1%, and 1.8%.

Fraser Rise hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (21.2%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.8%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the proportion of Fraser Rise's population aged 45 to 54 grew from 10.2% to 12.3%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 19.5% to 16.7%, and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 11.3% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling indicates that Fraser Rise's age profile is projected to change significantly by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 45 to 54 age cohort, which is projected to increase by 321%, adding 6,294 residents to reach a total of 8,258.