Fraser Rise

Fraser Rise lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Fraser Rise is around 16,537. This reflects an increase of 7,440 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,097. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population at 13,873 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 3,758 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 778 persons per square kilometer. Fraser Rise's growth rate of 81.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (9.9%) and state averages. Interstate migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Fraser Rise is predicted to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas, with an expected expansion of 32,402 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 208.7% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Fraser Rise has recorded approximately 802 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 4,011 homes. As of FY-26385 approvals have been recorded. On average, Fraser Rise gains about 2.9 new residents per dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25.

The average construction cost value for new homes is around $367,000. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise records approximately 220% more new home approvals per person. Fraser Rise's building activity shows a focus on standalone homes at 91%, with medium and high-density housing comprising the remaining 9%. With around 22 people per dwelling approval, Fraser Rise is classified as a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Fraser Rise is projected to add approximately 34,511 residents by 2041.

Current development levels appear aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Fraser Rise has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 60 such projects that could potentially influence this area. Notable among these are Wiyal Primary School, Clara Place, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Taylors Hill West Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Fraser Rise remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser Rise has an educated workforce. Notably, the construction sector is well-represented with an unemployment rate of 6.0% and estimated employment growth of 6.0% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 10,527 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is high at 108.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Census responses show that 26.1% of residents work from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing. Fraser Rise has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 6.0% and labour force grew by 8.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 2.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide further insight into potential future demand within Fraser Rise. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Fraser Rise's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes that does not take into account localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Fraser Rise had a median income among taxpayers of $56,990. The average income stood at $64,179. This is below the national average of $75,164 and compared to levels in Greater Melbourne which were $57,688 for median and $75,164 for average. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.25% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates project the median income to be approximately $61,692 and average income around $69,474 as of September 2025. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, household incomes in Fraser Rise rank at the 82nd percentile nationally, family incomes at the 76th percentile, and personal incomes at the 78th percentile. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 45.3% earning between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, with a total of 7,491 residents in this income bracket. This pattern is also seen in the broader area where 32.8% of residents fall within this income range. In Fraser Rise, high housing costs consume 18.4% of income on average, however strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile nationally.

Fraser Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Fraser Rise, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise stood at 10.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 72.3% and rented ones at 17.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,076, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Fraser Rise was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Fraser Rise's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,076 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households making up 1.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is notably high at 33.1%, surpassing the SA3 average of 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 23.6% holding such qualifications. Postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas follow, at 7.1% and 2.4% respectively.

Vocational credentials are also common, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ possessing them. Advanced diplomas account for 13.6%, while certificates make up 19.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows ten active transport stops operating within Fraser Rise, consisting of a mix of buses. These stops are served by two individual routes, collectively providing 662 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 433 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 89%, with 7% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 26.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 94 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 66 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Fraser Rise shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 52% of the total population (~8635 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent conditions are asthma (7.0%) and mental health issues (4.0%). A significant majority, 82.6%, report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Fraser Rise has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.4% (892 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Senior health outcomes align with national rankings, mirroring the general population.

Fraser Rise is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.4% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Fraser Rise, comprising 54.7% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' category makes up 8.2%, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.3%), Australian (12.5%), and Indian (10.0%). The Other group is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, while the Australian group is notably lower at 18.4%. The Indian group is significantly higher than the regional average of 4.2%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Filipino, Maltese, and Macedonian groups compared to regional averages.

Fraser Rise hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (21.1%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.9%). This concentration of residents aged 35-44 is notably higher than the national average of 14.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, demographic aging in Fraser Rise is evident, with the median age increasing from 31 to 32 years between censuses. Key changes include the growth of the 45-54 age group from 10.2% to 12.9%, and the increase of the 15-24 cohort from 11.3% to 13.4%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 19.5% to 15.8%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 11.3% to 8.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Fraser Rise's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 cohort, expected to increase by 286%, adding 6,092 residents to reach a total of 8,226.