Kings Park (Vic.)

Kings Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kings Park's population is around 13,933 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 50 people (0.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,983 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,931 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,145 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 76.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 984 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 7.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Kings Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Kings Park has recorded around 11 residential properties granted approval annually, with 55 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 5 so far in FY-26. As the area has experienced population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $223,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. There have also been $199,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Kings Park shows substantially reduced construction (74.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 96.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 1502 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Looking ahead, Kings Park is expected to grow by 982 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kings Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 5 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Taylors Creek Residential Estate, Cairnlea Remediation Project, Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades, and Amora Estate Cairnlea, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Kings Park are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Kings Park features a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 10.9%, and 2.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,903 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 6.2% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (57.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a low 13.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in manufacturing, with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.7% versus the regional average of 10.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.6% while the labour force increased by 4.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.4 percentage points. This compares to Greater Melbourne, where employment grew by 2.4%, the labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kings Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kings Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Kings Park SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $45,269 with the average level standing at $50,391. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $49,004 (median) and $54,548 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kings Park all fall between the 2nd and 16th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 30.7% of the population (4,277 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 17th percentile.

Kings Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Kings Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.6% houses and 4.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kings Park was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 41.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (35.6%) or rented (23.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Melbourne metro average at $1,500, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $323, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Kings Park's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kings Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.4% of all households, comprising 36.3% couples with children, 22.2% couples without children, and 19.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.6%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kings Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (15.5%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (8.9%) and certificates (18.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 53 active transport stops operating within Kings Park comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 2,078 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 182 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 13.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 296 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kings Park's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Kings Park's health metrics sit close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,395 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and diabetes, impacting 7.0% and 6.9% of residents, respectively, while 72.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 20.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,892 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kings Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kings Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 57.1% of its population born overseas and 72.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Kings Park is Christianity, which makes up 51.0% of the population. However, there is a significant overrepresentation of Buddhism, which comprises 16.8% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kings Park are Other, comprising 22.3% of the population (substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%), Vietnamese, comprising 21.5% of the population (substantially higher than the regional average of 1.9%), and Australian, comprising 9.5% of the population (notably lower than the regional average of 18.4%). Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of other ethnic groups: Macedonian is overrepresented at 4.1% in Kings Park (vs 0.7% regionally), Maltese at 4.7% (vs 1.1%), and Croatian at 1.7% (vs 0.7%).

Kings Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Kings Park is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Kings Park has a higher concentration of 65 - 74 residents (11.4%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (12.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.7% to 7.8% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 12.0% to 11.1%. By 2041, Kings Park is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 40% (431 people), reaching 1,524 from 1,092. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 62% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 0 to 4 cohorts.