Kings Park (Vic.)

Kings Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Kings Park's population was approximately 13,956 as of May 2026. This figure reflected a decrease of 27 people from the 2021 Census total of 13,983, indicating a 0.2% decline since then. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,956 in June 2025 and an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. Kings Park's population density ratio was 3,150 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. While Kings Park experienced a population decline of 0.2% since the census, the SA3 area as a whole grew by 2.1%, demonstrating divergent trends within the region. Overseas migration drove recent population growth, contributing approximately 76.7% of overall gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Kings Park is expected to grow by just below the median rate of statistical areas nationally, with an increase of 1,013 persons projected by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 7.3% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Kings Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Kings Park has recorded approximately 11 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, 55 homes were approved, with a further 8 approved so far in FY-26. This area has experienced population decline, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost of $223,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. In FY-26, there have been $199,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kings Park shows substantially reduced construction, with 74.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, this activity is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 96.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 1502 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Kings Park is expected to grow by 1,013 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kings Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the local area's performance. These include Taylors Creek Residential Estate, Cairnlea Remediation Project, Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades, and Amora Estate Cairnlea. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment drivers in Kings Park are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Kings Park has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 10.9% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%.

There are 5,903 residents in work currently, with an unemployment rate of 6.2%, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Kings Park lags behind Greater Melbourne, at 57.1% compared to 69.9%. According to Census responses, only 13.0% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.

Manufacturing employment levels are particularly high, at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation, at 3.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, while labour force increased by 4.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest that Kings Park's employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Kings Park SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $45,269 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $50,391 during the same period. These figures are lower than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 for Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated median income would be approximately $49,624 as of March 2026, with average income projected at around $55,239 during the same period. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kings Park fall between the 2nd and 16th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis shows that 30.7% of the population (4,284 individuals) have incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, which mirrors the regional average of 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kings Park, with only 84.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Kings Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kings Park, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.6% houses and 4.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kings Park was at 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.6% and rented ones at 23.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,500, significantly lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded as $323, substantially below Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kings Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kings Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.4% of all households, including 36.3% couples with children, 22.2% couples without children, and 19.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.6%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kings Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.9%) and certificates (18.4%). Educational participation is high at 29.9%, with 10.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kings Park has 53 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by seven different routes that together facilitate 2,078 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents usually located 182 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 88%, while trains account for 8%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.5, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 13.0% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 296 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kings Park's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Kings Park's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks. AreaSearch assessed mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence as fairly standard across both young and old age cohorts, with a common level of health conditions seen. The rate of private health cover was found to be extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,405 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma and diabetes, impacting 7.0 and 6.9% of residents respectively, while 72.6% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. The under-65 population in Kings Park demonstrates better than average health outcomes. As of the assessment date, the area has 20.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,855 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kings Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kings Park has a population where 57.1% were born overseas, with 72.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 51.0%. Buddhism is significantly higher than regional averages at 16.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.2%.

In ancestry, 'Other' stands at 22.3%, Vietnamese at 21.5%, and Australian at 9.5%, differing from regional averages of 14.6%, 1.9%, and 18.4% respectively. Notable ethnic group representations include Macedonian at 4.1%, Maltese at 4.7%, and Croatian at 1.7%.

Kings Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kings Park is close to Greater Melbourne's average at 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kings Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (11.3%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (13.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 4.7% to 7.6%, while the percentage of those aged 5 to 14 has decreased from 12.7% to 11.7%. By 2041, Kings Park's age composition is expected to shift notably. The demographic change will be led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 40%, reaching 1,487 from 1,063 people. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above comprising 61% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65-74 age group and the 0 to 4 age cohort.