Kings Park (Vic.)

Kings Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Kings Park's population was approximately 13,983 as of the 2021 Census. This figure decreased to around 13,933 by November 2025, a decrease of 50 people (0.4%). The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 13,931, with an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this change. This results in a population density ratio of 3,145 persons per square kilometer, placing Kings Park in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Conversely, the SA3 area experienced a 2.5% growth during the same period. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 76.8% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation for areas not covered by ABS data. Considering these projections, the area is expected to grow by 984 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 7.0% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Kings Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Kings Park has recorded approximately 11 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 55 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY26. Despite experiencing population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction value of new properties is $223,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options for purchasers. This financial year has seen $199,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne. Kings Park shows substantially reduced construction levels (74.0% below the regional average per person), which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining Kings Park's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 96.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

The location has approximately 1502 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Kings Park is expected to grow by 982 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kings Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the local area, including Taylors Creek Residential Estate, Cairnlea Remediation Project, Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades, and Amora Estate Cairnlea.

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Employment drivers in Kings Park are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Kings Park's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar employees, with manufacturing and industrial sectors well-represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate was 10.8%. Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 3.7%.

In September 2025, 5,917 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 6.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Kings Park was lower at 57.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, only 13.0% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.

Manufacturing employment is particularly high, at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, while labour force grew by 5.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kings Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Kings Park SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $45,269 and an average income of $50,391. These figures are lower than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 2023, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $49,004 and $54,548 respectively. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Kings Park fall between the 2nd and 16th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 30.7% of Kings Park's population (4,277 individuals) have incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, similar to the regional average of 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kings Park, with only 84.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Kings Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kings Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.6% houses and 4.3% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kings Park stood at 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.6% and rented ones at 23.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent was $323, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kings Park's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,500 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kings Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.4% of all households, including 36.3% couples with children, 22.2% couples without children, and 19.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.6%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kings Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 11.9% of residents holding one, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.5% and graduate diplomas at 1.1%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ having them - advanced diplomas account for 8.9%, while certificates make up 18.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kings Park has 53 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 2,078 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 182 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 88%, while train usage stands at 8%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 13% of residents work from home, which could be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 296 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kings Park's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Kings Park's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a standard level of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,395 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 7.0 and 6.9% of residents respectively. 72.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. The under-65 population in Kings Park has better than average health outcomes. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 20.1% (2,800 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. National rankings for the area are broadly in line with the general population.

Kings Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kings Park has a culturally diverse population, with 57.1% born overseas and 72.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 51.0%. However, Buddhism is significantly higher at 16.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (22.3%), Vietnamese (21.5%), and Australian (9.5%). Notably, Macedonian (4.1%) Maltese (4.7%) and Croatian (1.7%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Kings Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kings Park is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kings Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (11.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 4.7% to 7.2%, while the percentage of those aged 55 to 64 has decreased from 12.0% to 11.3%. By the year 2041, Kings Park's age composition is expected to shift significantly. The population aged 75 to 84 is projected to grow by 51%, reaching 1,524 people from its current total of 1,008. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 64% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups 65-74 and 25-34.