Child Care Cairnlea

Needs Analysis

Demand and supply analysis of Child Care Centres and demographic drivers for Cairnlea 3023. Key stats for childcare operators, investors and developers.

Updated May 24, 2026 9 Centres Pop: 10,045
Id Name Type Places Approval Distance (Km) Day Rate Availability

* Click centres on the map for more detail and custom analysis options.

Key Metrics

Cairnlea / Greater Melbourne

LDC Providers
LDC Providers
3
1,697
LDC Places
Total LDC Places
346
159,192
Population
Total Population
10,045
5,521,435
Per Place
Persons Per Place
29
-
Avg Age
Avg Centre Age
12.2 yrs
10 yrs
0-4 Pop
Population 0-4
457
322,457
Kids Per Place
0-4 Per LDC Place
1.32
1.9
Workforce
Workforce Impact
Low
Standard
School Att
School Attendance
820
-
School Per LDC
School Per LDC Place
2.37
5.1
Avg Fee
Avg LDC Fee ($/day)
$168
$164
Other
Other Places (PSK/OOSH)
154
-

SOURCE: ACECQA, StartingBlocks, ABS data analysed by AreaSearch
Last updated:

Approvals Pipeline Childcare development approvals near Cairnlea

Development applications around Cairnlea

Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch. We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
CC Approvals
In the local catchment
Proposed Places
Where disclosed
Under Assessment
Awaiting determination
Determined
Approved or decided
Approvals pipeline Status, location, timing and project scale

Loading childcare approvals…

Lodged Address Description Places Distance Status

SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Cairnlea Child Care FAQ
What is the Child Care supply composition of Cairnlea?
As of our last update on May 24, 2026, there are 9 child care centres in Cairnlea. Of these, 3 centres provide Long Day Care offering 346 places, there is one Out of Hours School Care centre that has 100 places, Preschool/Kindergarten is serviced by a facility with 54 places, a single centre providing Family Day Care, and 3 centres provide other child care services. The area is also serviced by 3 schools, collectively accommodating 820 enrolments.
What population do these centres in Cairnlea service?
AreaSearch's latest population estimate for Cairnlea as at May 2026 stands at a total of 10,045 people, of this 457 are estimated to be children under five years of age.
Why do your population numbers differ from Census figures for Cairnlea?
Some areas have changed considerably since the 2021 Census was undertaken. At the 2021 Census Cairnlea was assessed as having 10,038 people with 507 of these (5.1%) being children under 5 years old. Given changes in localised population estimates by the ABS we estimate that Cairnlea has experienced population growth of approximately 7 people from the 2021 Census.
How does the ratio of children per LDC place in Cairnlea compare to those in Greater Melbourne?
In Cairnlea, our latest analysis shows there are 1.3 resident children under 5yo per LDC place. This figure is considerably lower than the 1.9 children per place across Greater Melbourne.
How do childcare fees in Cairnlea relate to those in Greater Melbourne?
Childcare fees in Cairnlea average $168, which is comparable to the regional average of $164 in Greater Melbourne.
How does the ratio of school population per LDC place compare in Cairnlea and Greater Melbourne?
In Cairnlea, there are 2.4 students per LDC place. This figure is significantly lower than the 5.1 students per LDC place in Greater Melbourne.
What is the average age of Long Daycare Centres in Cairnlea?
The average LDC in Cairnlea was approved 12.2 years ago, while across Greater Melbourne the typical centre approval is 10 years old.
Is the local workforce a significant driver of additional child care demand for Cairnlea?
No, daily workforce activity is considered low in this area and is unlikely to be a significant driver of child care demand.
Who would typically use analysis such as this?
Childcare operators, developers, investors and financiers would typically conduct a thorough child care supply and demand analysis (SDA) on Cairnlea before allocating the significant amount of capital required. Boundary-based analysis such as this is often used as an initial guide however, and analysis would be undertaken on the specific site adopting a radial, travel time, or custom catchment to take into account nearby competition and demand drivers that would influence a centre's performance.

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