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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Deer Park has an estimated 18,388 residents, up from 18,004 at the 2021 Census — a change of 384 people, or 2.1%. That puts 2,276 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Deer Park's population is around 18,388 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 384 people (2.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,004 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,368 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,275 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 68.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.
According to the 2024 projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia using 2022 as their starting point, AreaSearch anticipates future demographic trends. In cases where these projections do not cover specific SA2 regions, data from the 2023 Victoria State Government Regional/LGA projections are adjusted using weighted aggregation of population expansion from the local government area level down to the SA2 level. The age bracket growth rates calculated from these aggregations are also projected forward for the timeframe spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking forward, the population is predicted to expand at a rate exceeding the national median, with expectations of adding 3,271 persons to 2041 when measured against the most recent annual ERP statistics, which equates to a total rise of 17.7% over the course of the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
119 new dwellings have been approved in Deer Park over the past five years, an average of 23 a year. That is 1.3 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 20, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
In terms of residential planning and local growth, Deer Park has averaged approximately 23 dwelling approvals per year, resulting in a total of 119 new homes over the preceding 5 financial years. Thus far in the course of FY-26, there have been 19 approvals recorded. As a result of a shrinking population over recent periods, the supply of housing has remained sufficient to meet local needs, ensuring a balanced property market with ample options for buyers, while newly built homes carry an average construction cost of $268,000, which falls below regional benchmarks and points to more budget-friendly building costs.
Additionally, there have been $1.8 million in approvals for commercial projects during this financial year, representing very minor commercial building activity. When compared to Greater Melbourne, property construction activity in Deer Park is significantly lower, falling 56.0% below the regional average per capita. This constrained volume of new building completions typically helps maintain demand and supports the value of existing homes. This level of construction is also below the national standard, which highlights the established character of the suburb and points to possible regulatory planning constraints. Newly approved construction is composed of 32.0% detached houses and 68.0% townhouses or apartments. This preference for denser housing structures offers affordable entry points for buyers, appealing particularly to downsizers, property investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a clear departure from the current housing mix, which is currently made up of 87.0% houses, showing that vacant building sites are becoming scarce while reflecting evolving lifestyles and the demand for more varied and affordable housing designs. Having approximately 1052 residents for every approved dwelling demonstrates that the local building market is highly mature. Projecting forward, the population of Deer Park is forecast to rise by 3,251 residents through to 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. If current building approval rates continue unchanged, the rate of new housing construction may fail to match population growth, which would likely heighten competition among buyers and support future price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Deer Park
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 14 current infrastructure and development projects inside Deer Park, worth an estimated $1.63 billion. A further 74 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $8.74 billion. 13 are already under construction and 19 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and retail. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to local infrastructure, planning schemes, and major projects represent significant influences on regional development. AreaSearch has tracked 25 projects that are expected to impact the local community. Notable projects include the Residential Development - Derrimut Gardens Estate, the Deer Park Dome Redevelopment, the Deer Park Estate, and the Avondale Heights - Former TAFE Campus Redevelopment, with details of the most significant developments outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Amora Estate Cairnlea
Townhouse estate by Truesource featuring approximately 70 homes in a walkable location opposite Cairnlea Shopping Centre. Product mix includes 3 and 4 bedroom, double garage homes with contemporary finishes, engineered oak style flooring, and stone benchtops.
Deer Park Estate
A 1 billion AUD, 66-hectare industrial and logistics estate delivering up to 340,000sqm of prime warehouse space. Construction is underway with Asahi Beverages as the first anchor tenant. The precinct targets a 5 Star Green Star rating and features highbay warehousing, data centre potential, and strategic access to major transport routes.
Deer Park Dome Redevelopment
The state-of-the-art Dome will include two greens (4 rinks and 8 rinks) under one cover, allowing for year-round bowling in comfortable conditions. It will host events for bowlers of all levels, major events, and other functions, complementing the existing world-class facilities at Deer Park Club.
Avondale Heights - Former TAFE Campus Redevelopment
Residential development of the former Kangan Batman TAFE campus site on Military Road. Joint venture between Development Victoria and Frasers Property Australia to deliver 135 contemporary townhouses. The site was purchased after the TAFE campus closed in 2005.
Station Street Commercial Precinct
Development application for a mixed-use commercial precinct along Station Street including retail spaces, cafes, professional services, and upper-level office accommodation. The project aims to create a vibrant local commercial centre.
Ballarat Road Maintenance and Upgrade
Comprehensive road maintenance and upgrade project along Ballarat Road improving traffic flow, safety, and infrastructure resilience. Includes pavement renewal, drainage improvements, and intersection upgrades in the Deer Park area to support growing traffic demands.
Deer Park BESS
Formerly known as the Melbourne Grid Battery, the Deer Park BESS is a 275MW/1100MWh market-facing grid battery connected to existing transmission infrastructure. Developed initially by Lumea and now under development with Akaysha Energy, it will provide up to 4 hours of energy storage to support Victoria's energy transition, optimize renewable energy, and ensure grid reliability.
Vincent Street Townhouses
Site with approved plans and permits for 20 townhouses on a 2,775 sqm land holding across four lots in the Residential Growth Zone. Currently offered for sale with the approved scheme; no active builder or developer publicly identified.
8,824 residents of Deer Park are employed, from a labour force of 9,544. Unemployment sits at 7.5%, with participation at 63.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 15,291, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce includes a range of skilled personnel with notable concentration in industrial and manufacturing fields, alongside an unemployment rate of 7.5% and a yearly employment growth estimate of 1.8%. As of March 2026, there are 8,824 working residents, though the unemployment rate remains 2.8% higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%, and the local participation rate of 63.7% is considerably below the metropolitan benchmark of 70.2%. Census figures indicate that a modest 17.4% of the working population performed their duties from home, though this figure should be interpreted with reference to pandemic lockdown conditions.
The primary employment fields for local residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and transport, postal & warehousing. There is a strong occupational specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, which has an employment share that is 2.1 times higher than the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, accounting for only 5.0% of the workforce compared to 10.1% across the wider region. The comparison of working residents against local jobs suggest that this suburb, being mostly residential, offers limited employment opportunities within its own boundaries. Analyzing ABS and SALM figures, AreaSearch notes that the job market expanded by 1.8% over the 12-month period, while the overall labor force grew by 1.9%, which helped maintain a stable unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labor force growth of 2.3%, and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Long-term national forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide a broader outlook on job trends in Deer Park. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local workforce structure to model future patterns. On a national level, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, although these rates vary widely by industry. Weighting these national sector projections against the local job profile suggests that employment in Deer Park could grow by 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, assuming standard weighting without local population adjustments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Deer Park is $1,459 a week (about $76,000 a year), with median personal income at $621 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,315 a year against an average of $63,009. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Deer Park SA2 has an income level below the national average based on 2023 financial year ATO records compiled by AreaSearch. Taxpayers in Deer Park SA2 earn a median income of $54,315 and an average income of $63,009, compared to Greater Melbourne figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year yields estimated values of $59,540 for the median and $69,070 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reports household income at the 33rd percentile ($1,459 weekly) and personal income at the 14th percentile.
A total of 34.2% of the population, or 6,288 individuals, earn weekly incomes between $1,500 - 2,999, which is comparable to the metropolitan proportion of 32.8%. Financial strain from housing is high, with residents retaining only 82.6% of their income, placing the area in the 31st percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Deer Park had 5,845 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 1% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 31% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $350 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,690 a month. Rent absorbs 24.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential dwellings in Deer Park consist of 87.1% standalone houses and 12.9% other property types, such as apartments, semi-detached options, or alternative dwellings, whereas Melbourne's metropolitan area shows a mix of 67.9% standalone houses and 32.1% other property types. The level of home ownership is recorded at 31.8%, aligning closely with the metropolitan average, while mortgaged properties account for 37.6% and rented options make up 30.6% of local dwellings. The median monthly mortgage payment in the area is $1,690, which sits well below the Melbourne metropolitan benchmark of $2,000, and the median weekly rent is $350, compared to the metropolitan average of $390.
Across Australia, the national average mortgage payment stands at $1,863, and the average weekly rent is $375, both of which are higher than the figures recorded in Deer Park.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Deer Park counted 5,845 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 37% are couples with children, against 22% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of local households at 76.0%, which is composed of couples with children at 36.9%, couples without children at 21.5%, and single parent households at 15.6%. The remaining 24.0% consists of non-family living arrangements, where lone person households represent 20.5% and group share households make up 3.5%. The average household size in the area is 2.9 individuals, exceeding the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.6% of adults in Deer Park hold a university qualification, including 17.2% with a bachelor degree and 4.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 18.4% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 1,227 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 975 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels show that university graduation rates stand at 23.6% in the local area, which is significantly lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. Among those with university degrees, bachelor qualifications are the most common at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational training is prominent, with 28.7% of residents aged 15+ holding practical trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 18.4%. A significant proportion of the population is engaged in learning, with 32.9% of local residents enrolled in an educational program.
This overall student cohort includes 11.5% attending primary school, 7.7% in secondary school, and 5.1% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Deer Park reaches 68 stops on 16 routes, timetabled for about 4,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 290 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Deer Park includes 68 active stops with a combination of train and bus services. These stops support 16 distinct routes, which accommodate 4,445 passenger journeys on a weekly basis. Accessibility is rated highly, with the average distance from a home to the nearest transit stop being 294 meters. Due to the suburban character of the area, most residents travel outside the suburb for work, with private cars being the primary mode of travel at 86%, followed by train travel at 8%. Motor vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.4 vehicles per household.
Additionally, 17.4% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Transit services average 635 daily trips across the routing network, which corresponds to roughly 65 departures per stop on a weekly basis.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
74.4% of residents in Deer Park report no long-term health condition. 7.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and the prevalence of chronic health issues, Deer Park demonstrates positive overall health outcomes. The rate of common medical conditions is low in the general population and corresponds to national averages among senior and vulnerable groups. Private health insurance coverage is held by approximately 50% of the population, which equates to roughly 9,267 people, compared to coverage rates of 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent chronic conditions in the locality, affecting 6.8% and 6.3% of residents respectively, while 74.4% of the population reported no chronic health issues, which is higher than the 72.6% recorded across Greater Melbourne.
Residents under the age of 65 experience better health outcomes than average. Seniors aged 65 and over represent 16.5% of the population, or 3,034 people, exceeding the metropolitan average of 15.0%. The health status of this older demographic is above average, although it ranks lower relative to national benchmarks than the younger cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
54.4% of Deer Park residents were born overseas and 63.4% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 95% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Vietnamese (12.1%) and Australian (10.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Deer Park exhibits high cultural diversity relative to national benchmarks, with 54.4% of its residents born outside of Australia and 63.4% using a language other than English in their households. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 51.6% of the population. There is a notable concentration of Buddhist residents, who make up 10.8% of the local population, which is significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%. Regarding parent birthplaces, the largest ancestry groups in Deer Park are categorized as Other at 25.8% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 14.6%, followed by Vietnamese at 12.1%, substantially exceeding the metropolitan average of 1.9%, and Australian ancestry at 10.3%, which is lower than the metropolitan average of 18.4%.
Other notable ethnic groups showing higher concentration locally than regionally include Filipino residents at 5.0% of the population compared to 1.3% regionally, Maltese at 4.4% compared to 1.1%, and Croatian at 1.5% compared to 0.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Deer Park is 36, younger than 79% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 28.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of residents in Deer Park is 36 years, which is close to the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and slightly below the Australian median of 38. The suburb has a higher share of residents in the 65 - 74 age bracket (8.9%) than Greater Melbourne, but fewer young people in the 15 - 24 range (12.3%). Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has increased from 4.4% to 5.8%, and the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 11.3% to 12.3%, whereas the 5 to 14 age group decreased from 13.7% to 12.2%.
Demographic projections indicate that the age profile will change by 2041, with the 55 to 64 cohort expected to grow by 44%, adding 791 residents to reach a total of 2,610, while the 5 to 14 cohort is projected to contract by 122 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Deer Park
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 14 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 40 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (18,004 at the 2021 Census → 18,388 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (213011569). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.