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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Burnside has an estimated 6,833 residents, up from 5,800 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,033 people, or 17.8%. Growth has averaged 2.9% a year over five years, faster than 88% of areas nationally. 242 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 48.8% of that increase. That puts 2,680 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to findings from AreaSearch, the resident count in Burnside reaches approximately 6,833 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 1,033 individuals (17.8%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 5,800 people. This updated figure is derived from the ABS estimated resident population of 6,635 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 242 validated new addresses identified post-Census. With 2,679 persons per square kilometer, the locality exhibits a density that sits within the top quarter among nationwide areas evaluated by AreaSearch. Outpacing both the broader state figure (9.5%) and national benchmarks, Burnside's 17.8% expansion since the 2021 census establishes it as a regional frontrunner in demographic expansion.
Inflows from interstate migration served as the primary catalyst, accounting for roughly 48.8% of total population additions over recent timeframes, though natural increase and overseas arrivals also made positive contributions. Projections published in 2024 (anchored to a 2022 baseline) by ABS/Geoscience Australia are applied by AreaSearch across SA2 boundaries. Where gaps exist in this dataset, AreaSearch incorporates 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA figures, utilizing a weighted aggregation model to translate LGA demographic trends down to the SA2 scale. For the 2032 to 2041 timeframe, age-stratified expansion rates derived from these aggregations are applied uniformly. Looking ahead, forward projections indicate extraordinary demographic growth that ranks among the top 10 percent of statistical zones throughout Australia. Anchored to the most recent annual ERP figures, the community is projected to expand by 3,351 persons up to 2041, representing a cumulative rise of 46.1% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
346 new dwellings have been approved in Burnside over the past five years, an average of 69 a year. That places the area in the 82nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 10 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 69 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building authorisations in Burnside have tracked at roughly 69 approvals each year, accumulating to 346 dwellings across the previous 5 financial years. With an intake averaging 2.6 new residents per dwelling each year across the last 5 financial years (from FY-22 to FY-26)—underpinning robust underlying demand that sustains real estate values—new residential construction incurs an average building cost of $533,000. Additionally, commercial development permits registered $8.0 million across the ongoing financial year, pointing to relatively subdued non-residential building activity. Per-capita construction volumes in Burnside trail significantly behind Greater Melbourne, sitting 50.0% below regional average per person.
Such restrained supply additions typically bolster pricing resilience and competition for established dwellings. However, activity remains notably above national levels, demonstrating solid building sector sentiment in the suburb. Moreover, newly approved stock has consisted exclusively of detached houses, preserving the neighbourhood's established suburban appeal with spacious family-oriented housing. With roughly 142 people per dwelling approval, the market continues to demonstrate sustained expansion. Over the period running up to 2041, Burnside is slated to take on an extra 3,153 residents based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Current building rates appear broadly aligned with these anticipated demographic inflows, though home purchasers may experience heightened competition as local population numbers climb.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Burnside
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Burnside, worth an estimated $540 million. A further 125 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $14.4 billion. 43 are already under construction and 47 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning initiatives, major construction schemes, and public works exert a fundamental influence on local market dynamics. In total, 3 development initiatives have been noted by AreaSearch as having significant relevance to the area. Notable undertakings include Modeina Estate, Amora Estate Cairnlea, Lake Caroline Master Plan & Activation Strategy, and Taylors Creek Residential Estate, with primary projects detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Modeina Estate
A masterplanned residential community embraced by Kororoit Creek on three sides, offering land lots and house packages in Melbourne's thriving inner west. With over 450 residents already calling Modeina home, the estate provides a family-friendly setting with access to schools, parks, shopping, and transport connections. Features premium creek-front elevated lots, architectural design guidelines, and comprehensive amenities including walking paths, BBQ facilities, and community reserves.
Amora Estate Cairnlea
Townhouse estate by Truesource featuring approximately 70 homes in a walkable location opposite Cairnlea Shopping Centre. Product mix includes 3 and 4 bedroom, double garage homes with contemporary finishes, engineered oak style flooring, and stone benchtops.
Caroline Springs Boulevard Upgrade
Road upgrade and signalised pedestrian crossing installation along Caroline Springs Boulevard between Lake Street and Deanside Drive. Includes improved intersection treatments, enhanced pedestrian facilities and traffic flow improvements to support growing residential and commercial development.
Taylors Creek Residential Estate
A masterplanned residential community by ID_Land delivering around 620 new homes, local parks and future neighborhood convenience retail in Kings Park, within Melbourne's western suburbs.
Lake Caroline Master Plan & Activation Strategy
Comprehensive masterplan guiding the long-term development and activation of Lake Caroline Reserve in Caroline Springs. Endorsed by Melton City Council in June 2024 following over 800 community submissions across two consultation rounds, the strategy proposes a mid-lake crossing, dedicated event lawn, playspace upgrades, shared zone along Lake Street for markets and festivals, new viewing platforms, ecological wetlands restoration, and renewal of 20-year-old boardwalks and facilities. The plan is guided by three principles: ecology, connections and activation, with the aim of transforming the lake into a vibrant regional community destination.
CS Square Extension
Approved 5,045m2 retail and office extension to CS Square Shopping Centre including relocation and expansion of the existing PTV bus interchange. The expansion comprises 1,533m2 of retail space and 889m2 of office space, designed by Peddle Thorp Architects. The project is currently in design development following planning permit approval.
Aspire Community
Master-planned residential community by Villawood Properties in Fraser Rise, offering titled land for sale, house and land packages, and townhomes. Home to over 1,400 families with active construction and sales ongoing for remaining stages.
Station Street Commercial Precinct
Development application for a mixed-use commercial precinct along Station Street including retail spaces, cafes, professional services, and upper-level office accommodation. The project aims to create a vibrant local commercial centre.
3,331 residents of Burnside are employed, from a labour force of 3,520. Unemployment sits at 5.4%, with participation at 65.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 5,499, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Burnside is characterized by a proficient labour pool spanning multiple industries, an unemployment rate of 5.4%, and an estimated 1.4% expansion in total employment throughout the previous year. By March 2026, employed locals numbered 3,331, while joblessness sat 0.6% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. The local participation rate also proved somewhat subdued at 65.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.1%. Census records show that 21.3% of the resident workforce operated from home, though this metric was influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions. The primary sectors supporting local workers are transport, postal & warehousing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.
Local employment is particularly concentrated in transport, postal & warehousing, where the resident share is 2.0 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, engaging just 5.4% of Burnside's working residents against 10.1% across Greater Melbourne. Given the discrepancy between local jobs held by workers and the resident workforce count, this largely residential district provides relatively few employment opportunities within its own borders. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS and SALM metrics, the 12 months leading to March 2026 saw local jobs grow by 1.4% against a 1.9% expansion in the labour pool, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Across Greater Melbourne over the same timeframe, jobs grew 2.1%, the workforce rose 2.3%, and joblessness increased by 0.2 percentage points. Broader insight into future occupational demand is provided by Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 national employment outlook. Mapping these five-year and ten-year projections against the local industry baseline provides an indication of forward workforce trends. At the national level, employment is anticipated to grow 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with substantial variance across industry groups. Extrapolating these industry trends across Burnside's local workforce profile suggests potential employment gains of 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years (note that this weighted calculation serves an illustrative purpose and excludes localized demographic forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Burnside is $1,871 a week (about $97,000 a year), with median personal income at $676 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,562 a year against an average of $56,335. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records compiled by AreaSearch from the ATO for financial year 2023 place taxpayer earnings in the Burnside SA2 below national benchmarks. Burnside taxpayers recorded a median income of $48,562 alongside an average income of $56,335, trailing Greater Melbourne averages of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for a 9.62% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach roughly $53,234 (median) and $61,754 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census indicates that household income ($1,871 weekly) sits at the 57th percentile, whereas individual earnings reach the 23rd percentile.
Around 34.9% of the population (2,384 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 band, matching the broader regional pattern where 32.8% fall into this bracket. While housing expenses absorb 16.7% of total earnings, remaining disposable funds maintain a position at the 57th percentile, placing the suburb in the 5th decile of the SEIFA income distribution.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Burnside had 1,745 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 85% detached houses and 1% apartments. 58% are owned with a mortgage, 11% rented and 31% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 21.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing landscape in Burnside was comprised of 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, townhouses, semi-detached options, and miscellaneous types), contrasted with 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings across the Melbourne metropolitan area. Outright home ownership matched metropolitan trends at 31.1%, while remaining homes were under a mortgage (58.4%) or occupied by tenants (10.5%). Median mortgage commitments stood at $2,000 monthly, aligning with the Melbourne metro benchmark of $2,000, while median weekly rent was $400 versus $390 regionally. Relative to the Australian medians of $1,863 for home loans and $375 for rental accommodation, Burnside figures are higher across both metrics.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Burnside counted 1,745 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,056 today, averaging 3.1 people each. 52% are couples with children, more than in 95% of areas nationally, against 19% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local residences at 80.9%, consisting of couples with children (51.5%), childless couples (18.6%), and single parent families (9.9%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 19.1%, dominated by single-person households at 18.0% alongside group households at 1.1%. With an average of 3.1 persons per home, the median household size exceeds the Greater Melbourne figure of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
25.0% of adults in Burnside hold a university qualification, including 18.5% with a bachelor degree and 4.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 19.3% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 405 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,034 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher educational attainment presents a key challenge for the community, as the proportion holding university qualifications (25.0%) sits well underneath the 37.0% benchmark recorded across Greater Melbourne, highlighting potential for focused educational programs. Undergraduate degrees form the largest segment at 18.5%, with postgraduate awards accounting for 4.8% and graduate diplomas representing 1.7%. Meanwhile, technical and trade credentials are widespread, with 30.4% of residents aged 15 and above possessing vocational qualifications, consisting of 11.1% with advanced diplomas and 19.3% with certificates. Participation across formal learning programs is elevated throughout the locality, engaging 33.5% of the population.
This cohort comprises 11.7% attending primary schools, 9.7% enrolled in secondary institutions, and 5.3% engaged in tertiary study.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Burnside reaches 20 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Burnside comprises 20 operational stops offering bus services across 4 separate transit lines, which provide an aggregate of 1,286 scheduled passenger trips per week. Local accessibility is favourable, with residents situated an average of 210 meters from their nearest transit facility. Reflecting the area's residential profile, outward commuting is standard; private vehicles account for 90% of journeys, while rail represents 6%. Private motor vehicle ownership sits above regional norms at 1.7 per dwelling. Additionally, 21.3% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census, reflecting conditions during the pandemic.
Transit services deliver an average frequency of 183 trips per day across all available routes, translating to roughly 64 weekly trips per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
73.3% of residents in Burnside report no long-term health condition. 7.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Burnside show generally favourable results, with AreaSearch's review of mortality and long-term illnesses aligning broadly with Australian standards. While chronic health issues are relatively rare across the general community, prevalence rates rise above national benchmarks among older cohorts, and private medical insurance uptake remains subdued at approximately 48% of the total population (~3,245 people), compared with 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationwide. The two most prevalent health conditions across the suburb are asthma (6.9%) and arthritis (7.2%), while 73.3% of the community reported having no chronic medical conditions, slightly exceeding the 72.6% benchmark for Greater Melbourne.
The working-age cohort displays strong overall health with low rates of ongoing illness. Residents aged 65 and over account for 15.2% of the local population (1,041 people), and while seniors experience higher health challenges, their overall outcomes rank below national levels relative to the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
49.3% of Burnside residents were born overseas and 56.4% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 91% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (12.1%) and English (10.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
With 49.3% of residents born abroad and 56.4% speaking a non-English language at home, Burnside ranks among the nation's most multicultural localities. Christianity represents the leading faith, adhered to by 60.5% of the local populace. The suburb also demonstrates a prominent concentration of Buddhism, with adherents accounting for 5.9% of residents compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. Examining parental heritage, the three most prominent ancestry groups are Other (23.0% vs 14.6% regionally), Australian (12.1% vs 18.4% regionally), and English (10.3% vs 20.1% regionally). Pronounced representation is also evident across several other ethnic backgrounds, including Filipino residents making up 8.3% (against 1.3% across the region), Maltese at 5.9% (against 1.1%), and Serbian at 1.6% (against 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Burnside is 37. 27.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Burnside exhibits a younger age distribution than Greater Melbourne overall. Children and young people aged 0 - 24 comprise 34.4% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 30.5% across Greater Melbourne, whereas individuals aged 25 - 44 represent 26.6% locally against 32.1% regionally. The estimated median age sits at 37 as at August 2026, mirroring both its 2021 Census level and the Greater Melbourne figure at that Census. By 2041, residents aged 45 - 64 are projected to absorb the largest volume of growth, expanding by 905 persons (56%) to reach 2,531.
In percentage terms, senior cohorts aged 65+ will experience the fastest growth, rising 74% to 1,812 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Burnside
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 242 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,800 at the 2021 Census → 6,833 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (213041461). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.