Fraser Rise - Plumpton

Fraser Rise - Plumpton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's population was approximately 24,256 as of November 2025. This figure represents a significant increase from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of around 10,098 people. The population growth can be attributed to an estimated resident population of 20,733 in June 2024 and an additional 7,305 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 413 persons per square kilometer. Fraser Rise - Plumpton's growth rate of 140.2% since the 2021 Census exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, indicating strong growth in the region. Interstate migration was the primary driver for this population increase, contributing approximately 88.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Fraser Rise - Plumpton is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the area's population is projected to increase by approximately 40,300 persons, reflecting a total gain of around 151.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has averaged approximately 1677 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 8386 homes were approved, with a further 634 approved in FY26 so far.

The average number of new residents arriving per year for each new home over these five years was 1.5. This suggests that supply and demand are well-matched, contributing to stable market dynamics. The average construction cost value of new dwellings during this period was $286000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise - Plumpton has seen 505.0% more development activity per person. This higher level of activity creates greater choice for buyers but has recently eased.

Nationally, this reflects strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes. With approximately 12 people per approval, Fraser Rise - Plumpton reflects an actively developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 36774 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 92 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Wiyal Primary School, Plumpton Aquatic and Leisure Centre, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Clara Place. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Fraser Rise - Plumpton shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 5.9% in September 2024.

Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 6.8%. As of September 2025, 12,082 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.9%, which is 1.2% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Fraser Rise - Plumpton stands at 73.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area has a high specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 6.8% while labour force grew by 9.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from November 2025 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National forecasts from May 2025 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser Rise - Plumpton's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Fraser Rise - Plumpton SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,639 and an average of $63,783 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was slightly lower than the national average, compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $63,526 (median) and $71,539 (average), based on a 12.16% increase since financial year 2022 as per the Wage Price Index. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Fraser Rise - Plumpton rank highly nationally, between the 75th and 81st percentiles. The $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band included 45.7% of the community (11,084 individuals), aligning with broader regional trends where 32.8% fell within this category. High housing costs consumed 18.4% of income, yet strong earnings placed disposable income at the 76th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 95.2% houses and 4.8% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Melbourne metro had 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was 12.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.4% and rented ones at 17.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was $429, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,100 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.6% of all households, including 55.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.4%, with lone person households at 12.1% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise - Plumpton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 32.8%, exceeding the SA3 average of 24.3%, indicates a strong emphasis on higher education among residents aged 15+. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 32.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 13.4% and certificates at 19.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 11 active transport stops operating within Fraser Rise - Plumpton. These stops are served by a mix of buses along two individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,111 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 445 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 158 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 101 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Fraser Rise - Plumpton shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence rates of common conditions across all ages.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% (12,419 people), slightly below the average SA2 area's rate. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.0% and 4.2% respectively. A total of 82.0% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 73.7%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.8% (1,397 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors warrant further attention due to their strength relative to the broader population.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Fraser Rise-Plumpton, comprising 55.0% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category makes up 8.0%, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.5%), Australian (12.5%), and Indian (10.1%). Fraser Rise-Plumpton has notable overrepresentations of Filipino (7.0%) compared to the regional average of 3.4%, Maltese (6.3% vs 5.1%), and Macedonian (3.5% vs 1.8%).

Fraser Rise - Plumpton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (20.8%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.0%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the population aged 45-54 has increased from 10.0% to 12.0%, while the 15-24 age group has risen from 11.5% to 13.2%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 19.6% to 16.7%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 11.0% to 8.7%. Demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Fraser Rise-Plumpton's age profile by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 cohort (227%), adding 6,608 residents to reach a total of 9,517.