Fraser Rise - Plumpton

Fraser Rise - Plumpton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's population is approximately 26,807 as of May 2026. This represents a significant increase from the 10,098 people reported in the 2021 Census, marking a growth of 165.5%. The estimated resident population of 24,744 from ABS by June 2025, along with an additional 7,980 validated new addresses since the Census date, supports this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 456 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space for further development. The area's growth rate surpassed both state (9.3%) and national averages, positioning it as a leading growth region. Interstate migration was the primary driver, contributing approximately 85.8% of overall population gains.

However, natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are employed with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase by 38,107 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 134.4% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has averaged 1677 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 8386 homes. As of FY26, 1179 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 1.5 people moved to the area per dwelling built.

The average construction cost of new properties is $286000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise - Plumpton has 431% more construction activity per person. It consists of 91% standalone homes and 9% attached dwellings, maintaining its traditional low-density character. With around 12 people per dwelling approval, it shows characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, Fraser Rise - Plumpton is projected to grow by 36039 residents.

At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, supporting potential population growth beyond current projections.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 85 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Plumpton Aquatic and Leisure Centre, Wiyal Primary School, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Clara Place. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Fraser Rise - Plumpton has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 6.5% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.6%. As of December 2025, 11,997 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.7% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is on par with Greater Melbourne at 69.9%. According to Census responses, 26.0% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing. Fraser Rise - Plumpton has a high specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share twice the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, labour force grew by 5.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Fraser Rise - Plumpton. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Fraser Rise - Plumpton's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Fraser Rise - Plumpton SA2 had median taxpayer income of $58,336 and average income of $65,400 in financial year 2023. This was slightly below national averages of $59,178 (median) and $70,500 (average). In Greater Melbourne, median income was $57,688 with an average of $75,164. By March 2026, estimated incomes were approximately $63,948 (median) and $71,691 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62%. According to 2021 Census data, Fraser Rise - Plumpton's household, family, and personal incomes ranked between the 75th and 81st percentiles nationally. Income distribution showed that 45.7% (12,250 people) earned between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to the broader area where 32.8% fell within this range. High housing costs consumed 18.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 76th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was at 12.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.4% and rented ones at 17.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,100, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $429, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Fraser Rise - Plumpton's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.6% of all households, including 55.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.4%, with lone person households at 12.1% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise - Plumpton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 32.8%, exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.5% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.4% and certificates at 19.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has 11 operational public transport stops offering bus services. These stops are covered by two routes, facilitating a total of 662 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is considered moderate, with residents' average proximity to the nearest stop being 442 meters. Predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward using cars at an 89% rate, while 7% use trains. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding regional averages. According to the 2021 Census, a substantial 26.0% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes stands at an average of 94 trips daily, translating to roughly 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Fraser Rise - Plumpton are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Fraser Rise - Plumpton shows below-average health indicators according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be higher than average for both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover was reported by approximately 52% of the total population (~13,912 people), which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma (7.0%) and mental health issues (4.2%). Conversely, 82.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.8% (1,546 people) compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 15.0%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Fraser Rise - Plumpton are ranked higher than the general population nationally.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise-Plumpton's cultural diversity is notable, with 43.6% of residents born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 55.0%. The 'Other' religious category comprises 8.0%, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

Ancestry-wise, 'Other' tops at 23.5%, Australian follows at 12.5%, and Indian stands at 10.1%. Notably, Filipino (7.0%), Maltese (6.3%), and Macedonian (3.5%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.3%, 1.1%, and 0.7% respectively.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (20.5%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Fraser Rise-Plumpton's population has seen an increase in the 15-24 age group, from 11.5% to 13.7%, and a rise in the 45-54 age cohort, from 10.0% to 11.8%. Conversely, there has been a decline in the 25-34 age group, from 19.6% to 17.2%, and a decrease in the 0-4 age group, from 11.0% to 8.8%. Demographic projections indicate that Fraser Rise-Plumpton's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 45-54 age cohort, projected to grow by 192%, adding 6,049 residents and reaching a total of 9,199.