Fraser Rise - Plumpton
Statistical Area - sa2

Fraser Rise - Plumpton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's population is approximately 23,937 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 13,839 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,098. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population data showing 20,734 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totalling 7,205 since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 407 persons per square kilometer. Fraser Rise - Plumpton's growth rate of 137.0% between 2021 and August 2025 exceeded both national (8.6%) and state averages, indicating significant population expansion. Interstate migration contributed approximately 88.2% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are utilised with adjustments made through weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections show exceptional growth, placing Fraser Rise - Plumpton in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 40,300 persons, recording a total gain of 155.0% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has averaged approximately 1677 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, with 8386 homes approved over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25, including 207 approvals so far in FY26. Each year, an average of 1.5 new residents per dwelling constructed has been recorded between FY21 and FY25.

This suggests a balance between supply and demand, contributing to stable market conditions. The average construction cost value for new homes is $367000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options for purchasers compared to Greater Melbourne. Fraser Rise - Plumpton has shown 505% higher new home approvals per person than Greater Melbourne, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area despite recent moderation in development activity. The dwelling composition is 91% detached houses and 9% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. With approximately 12 people per approval, Fraser Rise - Plumpton reflects a developing area.

Future projections indicate an expected growth of 37093 residents by 2041, with current construction levels likely meeting demand and potentially facilitating growth beyond current forecasts.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 90 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Samara, Wiyal Primary School, Prosperity, and Clara Place, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has an educated workforce with varied sector representation. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 6.4%, with estimated employment growth of 3.1% over the past year.

There were 9,784 residents employed at this time, while the unemployment rate was 1.8% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was 73.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing, with a notable concentration in the latter at twice the regional average. Professional & technical employment stands at 5.8%, lower than the regional average of 10.1%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the past year, employment increased by 3.1% while labour force grew by 5.8%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5%, labour force increase by 4.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest total employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser Rise - Plumpton's industry mix indicates potential local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's median income among taxpayers was $56,639 and average income stood at $63,783 in the financial year 2022. This compares to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. As of March 2025, current estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% would be approximately $62,365 (median) and $70,231 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Fraser Rise - Plumpton, between the 75th and 81st percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the largest segment comprises 45.7% earning $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (10,939 residents), consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 32.8% in the same category. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, yet strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Fraser Rise - Plumpton, as per the latest Census, 95.2% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 4.8% being semi-detached, apartments, and other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise - Plumpton stood at 12.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.4% and rented ones at 17.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was $429, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375 per week.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.6 percent of all households, including 55.2 percent couples with children, 18.5 percent couples without children, and 12.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.4 percent, with lone person households at 12.1 percent and group households comprising 1.2 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise - Plumpton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 32.8% for residents aged 15+ exceeds the SA3 area average of 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.5% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.4% and certificates at 19.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education. Springside West Secondary College and Deanside Primary School serve a total of 2,014 students. Fraser Rise - Plumpton has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) with balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision is split between one primary and one secondary institution. School places per 100 residents are 8.4, below the regional average of 16.3, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 11 active transport stops operating within Fraser Rise-Plumpton. These stops are a mix of buses servicing 2 individual routes, providing a total of 1,111 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated moderate, with residents typically located 445 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 158 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 101 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows exceptional results across Fraser Rise - Plumpton, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~12,255 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.0 and 4.2% of residents respectively. A total of 82.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2016 (the latest available data), the area has 5.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,378 people), which is lower than the 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a high cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Fraser Rise-Plumpton, comprising 55.0% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category constitutes 8.0%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are 'Other' (23.5%), Australian (12.5%), and Indian (10.1%). Fraser Rise-Plumpton has notable overrepresentation of Maltese (6.3% vs regional 5.1%), Filipino (7.0% vs 3.4%), and Macedonian (3.5% vs 1.8%) ethnic groups.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and lower than the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise - Plumpton has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (20.8%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.0%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Post-Census data from June 2021 shows that the age group 45 to 54 has grown from 10.0% to 12.0%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.5% to 13.2%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 19.6% to 16.7%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 11.0% to 8.7%. Demographic modeling indicates that Fraser Rise - Plumpton's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to increase by 232%, adding 6,646 residents to reach a total of 9,517.