Fraser Rise - Plumpton
Statistical Area - sa2

Fraser Rise - Plumpton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's population was around 24,256 as of Nov 2025. This reflected an increase of 14,158 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,098 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,733 in June 2024 and an additional 7,305 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 413 persons per square kilometer. Fraser Rise - Plumpton's growth rate of 140.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 88.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting with a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections predicted exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas, with an expected increase of 40,300 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, recording a gain of 151.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Fraser Rise - Plumpton averaged approximately 1,677 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025, 8,386 homes were approved, with a further 502 approved in FY2026 as of now.

On average, each new home has welcomed around 1.5 new residents annually over these years, indicating balanced supply and demand dynamics. The average construction cost for new dwellings was $286,000 during this period, lower than the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise - Plumpton has seen significantly higher development activity, with a 505.0% increase per capita. This surge in development activity reflects strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction trends show 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes.

With approximately 12 people being approved for each new dwelling, Fraser Rise - Plumpton is a developing area. Looking ahead, it is projected to grow by 36,774 residents by 2041. Given current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 92 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Samara, Wiyal Primary School, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Prosperity. The following details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Fraser Rise - Plumpton shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 6.4%.

Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 3.1%. There are 9,784 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%, and workforce participation at 73.9% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical shows lower representation at 5.8% versus the regional average of 10.1%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force grew by 5.8%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, with unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser Rise - Plumpton's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5%% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Fraser Rise - Plumpton had a median taxpayer income of $56,639 and an average of $63,783 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was slightly lower than the national average, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% suggest the median income would be approximately $63,526 and the average income around $71,539. Census data indicates that Fraser Rise - Plumpton ranks highly in household, family, and personal incomes, between the 75th and 81st percentiles nationally. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band includes 45.7% of the community (11,084 individuals), which is consistent with regional trends showing 32.8% in the same category. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 77th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Fraser Rise - Plumpton, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was at 12.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.4% and rented ones at 17.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,100, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $429, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Fraser Rise - Plumpton's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.6% of all households, consisting of 55.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. The remaining 13.4% are non-family households, including lone person households at 12.1% and group households at 1.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise - Plumpton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 32.8% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.4%) and certificates (19.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.5%), secondary education (8.6%), and tertiary education (4.5%). Fraser Rise - Plumpton's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2014 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) offering balanced educational opportunities. The area has two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups, with 8.4 school places per 100 residents, lower than the regional average of 16.3, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note that for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Fraser Rise - Plumpton has 11 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes, together offering 1,111 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents generally living about 445 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 158 trips per day across all routes, which works out to around 101 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Fraser Rise - Plumpton shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% (~12,419 people), slightly below the average SA2 area's rate. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.0 and 4.2% of residents respectively. 82.0% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 73.7%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.8% (1,397 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors warrant closer attention.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Fraser Rise - Plumpton, comprising 55.0% of the population. However, the most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which makes up 8.0% of the population compared to 5.6% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are 'Other', Australian, and Indian, comprising 23.5%, 12.5%, and 10.1% respectively. Notably, Maltese (6.3%), Filipino (7.0%), and Macedonian (3.5%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 5.1%, 3.4%, and 1.8% respectively.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise-Plumpton has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (20.8%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.0%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has grown from 10.0% to 12.0%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 11.5% to 13.2%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 19.6% to 16.7%, and the proportion of children aged 0-4 has dropped from 11.0% to 8.7%. Demographic projections indicate that Fraser Rise-Plumpton's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 45-54 age group (projected to grow by 227%), adding 6,608 residents to reach a total of 9,517.