Fraser Rise - Plumpton

Fraser Rise - Plumpton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Fraser Rise - Plumpton's population is around 23,432 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 13,334 people (132.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,098 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,732 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 7,606 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 399 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Fraser Rise - Plumpton's 132.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 88.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to increase by 40,300 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 160.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Fraser Rise - Plumpton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has averaged around 1,677 new dwelling approvals per year, totalling 8,386 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26831 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 1.5 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $286,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise - Plumpton has 505.0% more construction activity (per person), creating greater choice for buyers, though building activity has slowed in recent years. This level is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 12 people per dwelling approval, Fraser Rise - Plumpton shows characteristics of a growth area.

Looking ahead, Fraser Rise - Plumpton is expected to grow by 37,598 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 90 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Wiyal Primary School, Plumpton Aquatic and Leisure Centre, Plumpton Active Open Space, and Clara Place, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Fraser Rise - Plumpton has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 6.5%, and 2.6% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 11,997 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.7% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (82.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 26.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area has a particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.0 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.8% versus the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6% and the labour force increased by 5.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 2.7 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, and unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Fraser Rise - Plumpton. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Fraser Rise - Plumpton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Fraser Rise - Plumpton SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $58,336 and an average of $65,400 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is just below the national average, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $63,149 (median) and $70,796 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Fraser Rise - Plumpton, between the 75th and 81st percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 45.7% of locals (10,708 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 76th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Fraser Rise - Plumpton, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Fraser Rise - Plumpton was lagging that of Melbourne metro, at 12.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (70.4%) or rented (17.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Melbourne metro average at $2,100, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $429, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Fraser Rise - Plumpton's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 86.6% of all households, comprising 55.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.4%, with lone person households at 12.1% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size of 3.2 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Fraser Rise - Plumpton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (32.8% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.3%, reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.4%) and certificates (19.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 11 active transport stops operating within Fraser Rise - Plumpton, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 2 individual routes, collectively providing 662 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 442 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 7% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 26.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 94 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Fraser Rise - Plumpton's health metrics align closely with national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a standard level of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover slightly lags the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~12,161 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.0% and 4.2% of residents, respectively, while 82.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 6.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,434 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings higher than those of the general population.

Fraser Rise - Plumpton is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser Rise - Plumpton scores highly on cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 52.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Fraser Rise - Plumpton is Christianity, which makes up 55.0% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 8.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Fraser Rise - Plumpton are Other, comprising 23.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Australian, comprising 12.5% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 18.4%, and Indian, comprising 10.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.2%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Filipino is notably overrepresented at 7.0% of Fraser Rise - Plumpton (vs 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 6.3% (vs 1.1%) and Macedonian at 3.5% (vs 0.7%).

Fraser Rise - Plumpton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 32 years, Fraser Rise - Plumpton's median age is materially younger than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and also significantly lower than the 38-year national average. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Fraser Rise - Plumpton has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (20.6%) but fewer 55 - 64 year-olds (6.2%). This 35 - 44 concentration is well above the national 14.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows demographic aging is evident, with the median age advancing from 31 to 32 years. Key changes show the 45 to 54 age group has grown from 10.0% to 12.6% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.5% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 19.6% to 15.8% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 11.0% to 8.2%. Demographic modeling suggests Fraser Rise - Plumpton's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 223%, adding 6,571 residents to reach 9,517.