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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Aintree has an estimated 13,942 residents, up from 7,982 at the 2021 Census — a change of 5,960 people, or 74.7%. Growth has averaged 17.2% a year over five years, faster than 99% of areas nationally. 1,263 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 85.0% of that increase. That puts 2,072 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS population adjustments for the region and new home addresses verified by AreaSearch after the Census, the suburb of Aintree has a calculated residency of approximately 13,942 individuals as of May 2026. This indicates an addition of 5,960 people (74.7%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 7,982 people. This shift is determined from a resident base of 13,519, calculated by AreaSearch using the most recent ABS ERP figures from June 2025 alongside an extra 1,263 validated new addresses since the Census. Such a population size represents a density of 2,071 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the typical figure across nationwide areas tracked by AreaSearch.
The 74.7% rate of expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the state level of 9.3% and the countrywide median, establishing the area as a regional growth leader. Population increases were primarily driven by domestic relocations from interstate, which comprised roughly 85.0% of total population additions lately, though natural increase and international arrivals also made positive contributions. For each SA2 boundary, AreaSearch incorporates population projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. In cases where SA2 data is unavailable, projections from the 2023 Victorian State Government LGA and Regional releases are implemented, adjusted through weighted aggregation of growth from LGA to SA2 zones. Age distribution growth trends from these aggregations are also applied across all regions for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking forward, the suburb of Aintree is projected to experience rapid expansion that ranks in the top 10 percent of all statistical localities evaluated by AreaSearch, with projections indicating a rise of 3,343 residents by 2041, which represents an overall gain of 16.6% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
1,770 new dwellings have been approved in Aintree over the past five years, an average of 354 a year. That places the area in the 100th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 25 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 362 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 92% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 411, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis by AreaSearch of ABS building approvals allocated from regional data indicates that Aintree averages approximately 354 approved residential properties annually, with about 1,770 homes authorized over the preceding 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 377 during FY-26 so far. Given an average of 4 new occupants per year for each home constructed during the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand runs ahead of supply, typically triggering price growth and heightened competition among buyers, with new dwellings showing an average construction value of $373,000. Additionally, commercial building approvals have reached $189.4 million this financial year, indicating substantial local business investment.
Compared to Greater Melbourne, development activity per person in Aintree is 67.0% higher, offering purchasers a wide selection, even though construction volumes have slowed down in recent times. This volume is notably higher than the national standard, showing high developer optimism in the area. Newly approved housing consists of 92.0% detached houses and 8.0% semi-detached options, preserving the classic suburban character with family-oriented layouts. Reflecting its status as a developing area, Aintree registers about 47 people per approval. Long-term forecasts suggest Aintree will gain 2,317 residents by 2041, calculated from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly release. With current construction rates, new housing completions should easily satisfy demand, fostering favorable buyer conditions and potentially facilitating growth beyond current population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Aintree
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Aintree, worth an estimated $309 million. A further 93 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $50.8 billion. 46 are already under construction and 30 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local performance is heavily shaped by developments in public infrastructure, major construction works, and planning policies. AreaSearch has identified a total of 13 projects expected to influence the area. Principal developments include the Woodlea Active Open Space Precinct, Thornhill Park, Thornhill Park Estate, and Woodlea Town Centre, with the details below showing the most relevant items.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aintree Children's and Community Centre
Integrated children's and community facility under construction in Aintree, delivered as a partnership between the Victorian School Building Authority and Melton City Council under the Building Blocks Partnership program. The centre will offer kindergarten places for up to 132 children at a time, maternal and child health consulting rooms, and multipurpose community meeting spaces. The project supports the expansion of Victoria's free kindergarten reforms and forms part of a wider $37.7 million Building Blocks investment across 10 projects in the City of Melton.
Woodlea Town Centre
Completed town centre featuring Coles supermarket, 25 specialty retail stores, restaurants and community facilities. Serves as the commercial heart of the Woodlea master-planned community. Now owned and operated by HomeCo Daily Needs REIT after acquisition from Mirvac/VIP joint venture for $55.4 million.
Yarrabing Secondary College
New secondary school opened in 2024 serving Year 7-12 students. When fully established will accommodate 1,200 students with comprehensive facilities including DATS building, learning neighborhoods, and hard courts. Named after Yarrabing (white gum) in Woi-wurrung language.
Plains Circuit Retail Site
A 5,385 sqm retail development site adjoining the established HomeCo Woodlea Town Centre within the Woodlea masterplanned community. The prominent corner site has approximately 209 metres of street frontage and is being marketed for retail or other compatible commercial uses. The land was offered for sale via Expressions of Interest in 2025 and had subsequently been recorded as sold, with future development yet to commence.
Woodlea Estate
Woodlea is a 711-hectare greenfield masterplanned community in Aintree and Bonnie Brook, around 29km west of Melbourne's CBD within the City of Melton. Delivered in partnership by Mirvac and Victoria Investments & Properties (VIP), it is planned to comprise approximately 7,000 dwellings housing close to 20,000 residents at full build-out, with more than 16,000 residents already living on site. About 30 percent of the footprint is dedicated to open space across more than 16 parks, including an adventure precinct, dog park, skatepark and a 10-hectare active open space precinct with two soccer fields and a sports pavilion.The community is anchored by the Coles-anchored Woodlea Town Centre (opened 2021) and supports several schools, including Aintree Primary, Bacchus Marsh Grammar, Yarrabing Secondary College and Dharra Specialist School, with a new state primary school and kindergarten north of Taylors Road due to open in 2027. A third and final display village of 38 homes across 17 builders launched in February 2025. The Aintree Major Town Centre Urban Design Framework (formerly Rockbank North MTC) was adopted by Melton City Council on 22 September 2025, providing for around 1,420 dwellings, 36,000 square metres of retail floor space and over 6,400 jobs in its ultimate form. Construction is staged through to the early 2030s.
Woodlea Active Open Space Precinct
District-level active open space precinct within the Woodlea masterplanned community featuring soccer fields, sporting pavilion, skate park, all-abilities playground, dog park, fitness trail, shared paths and community recreation facilities. The precinct officially opened in April 2025 and is now operational.
Taylors Road and Plumpton Road Traffic Lights
As part of the broader Taylors Road Corridor Upgrade Plan, this project involves upgrading the existing T-intersection at Taylors Road and Plumpton Road, Fraser Rise, to a four-way signalised intersection. Works include road expansion and realignment to improve traffic flow, installation of traffic lights and pedestrian crossings, public lighting upgrades, new landscaping, drainage improvements, and underground relocation of essential services. The upgrade is intended to improve safety at a high-volume, accident-prone intersection and accommodate future growth in Fraser Rise, Aintree, Bonnie Brook and the wider Taylors Road catchment, which is expected to gain around 70,000 new residents by 2046.Construction commenced in late 2024 and is expected to be substantially complete by late 2025, with signal energisation targeted for early 2026 pending sign-off from relevant authorities.
Woodlea Master-Planned Community
Woodlea is a 711-hectare greenfield masterplanned community located 29km west of Melbourne's CBD across Aintree and Bonnie Brook in the City of Melton. Developed by Mirvac in joint venture with Victoria Investments and Properties (VIP), the project is set to deliver around 7,000 lots and house approximately 20,000 to 25,000 residents at completion. As of late 2025 the community was home to over 16,000 residents, with momentum continuing into 2026. Recent and upcoming milestones include the new Sales and Experience Centre and 38-home Display Village at 11 Recreation Road launched in 2025, the Aintree Active Open Space precinct featuring skate park, sporting pavilion, soccer fields, dog park and all-abilities playground, and the Aintree Town Centre anchored by Coles.Established schools include Aintree Primary School, Bacchus Marsh Grammar (with secondary expansion to Year 12 by 2026), Yarrabing Secondary College (expanding to Year 9 in term 1 2026) and Dharra Specialist School. A new Aintree North Primary School is funded for opening in term 1 2027 with construction starting late 2025, alongside an additional kindergarten. Other works progressing include a new VICSES emergency services hub, a relocated Riding for the Disabled Association of Victoria centre opening in early 2026, a future second council community centre, additional childcare and a planned major town centre incorporating medical facilities. Around 30 percent of the site is dedicated to open space across more than 20 parks.
2,250 residents of Aintree are employed, from a labour force of 2,469. Unemployment sits at 8.9%, with participation at 27.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Aintree features a highly qualified labor force spread across various sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of 8.9%, calculated from aggregated regional statistics. As of March 2026, there are 2,250 employed local residents, whereas the unemployment rate is 4.1% higher than the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 4.8%, highlighting areas for progress. Labor force participation is also quite low at 27.3% relative to 70.2% in Greater Melbourne. Census records indicate that a high 25.4% of residents worked from home, although this should be viewed in light of pandemic lockdowns. The primary sectors employing local residents are healthcare and social assistance, logistics and transport, and construction.
The community displays a strong concentration in logistics, transport, and warehousing, with employment shares reaching 2.6 times the regional average. Conversely, professional and technical services are underrepresented, accounting for 6.7% of local employment compared to 10.1% across the wider region. The comparison of Census workers to resident population suggests local employment options are quite limited. Based on AreaSearch analytics of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader regions, the preceding 12-month period saw a contraction of 31.1% in the labor force and a 33.6% reduction in employed individuals, driving the unemployment rate up by 3.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.1%, labor force expand by 2.3%, and unemployment tick up by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment projections from May-25 offer additional perspective on future local demand. These five-year and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce mix to estimate growth. Nationally, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Projecting these industry trends onto Aintree's occupational distribution indicates local employment should rise by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting exercise and ignores localized population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Aintree is $2,348 a week (about $122,000 a year), with median personal income at $980 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $56,267 a year against an average of $64,041. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer data at the postcode level aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows a median income of $56,267 and an average income of $64,041 in the suburb of Aintree. These figures sit below the national average and contrast with a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164 for Greater Melbourne. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, updated estimates suggest figures of approximately $61,680 for the median and $70,202 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and individual earnings in Aintree are relatively high, positioning between the 77th and 85th percentiles nationwide.
The largest group, comprising 47.0% of local residents (6,552 people), falls in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, mirroring the regional pattern of 32.8% in this bracket. Economic strength is reflected in the 31.6% of households earning weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting consumer demand. Housing expenses consume 19.5% of earnings, yet strong wages keep disposable income in the 79th percentile, with the area's SEIFA income score sitting in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Aintree had 2,164 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 74% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 5% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 96% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 17.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential configurations in Aintree, recorded during the latest Census, consisted of 99.1% detached houses and 0.9% other property types like townhouses and apartments, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings across metropolitan Melbourne. Home ownership rates in Aintree lagged the metropolitan average, sitting at 5.3%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (73.8%) or renting (20.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Melbourne metro average at $2,167, and the median weekly rent stood at $420, compared to metropolitan figures of $2,000 and $390 respectively.
Nationally, Aintree's mortgage commitments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are also above the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Aintree counted 2,164 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,780 today, averaging 3.6 people each. 67% are couples with children, more than in 100% of areas nationally, against 17% couples without children. 7% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households represent the vast majority of local homes at 91.8%, consisting of couples with children at 66.6%, couples without children at 16.6%, and single parent households at 7.6%. Non-family households account for the remaining 8.2%, with single person households representing 7.3% and group housing comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size of 3.6 residents is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
43.3% of adults in Aintree hold a university qualification, including 27.7% with a bachelor degree and 12.7% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 79% of areas nationally. A further 14.6% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 1,415 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,036 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic achievement in Aintree is high compared to regional and national standards, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees, compared to 24.3% in the surrounding SA3 region and 30.4% across Australia. This educational profile positions the area well for professional opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 12.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Technical qualifications are also prominent, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (14.3%) and certificates (14.6%). Participation in study is high, with 36.1% of local residents currently undergoing formal education.
This includes 15.3% enrolled in primary schools, 6.3% in secondary schools, and 4.5% undertaking university or higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Aintree reaches 20 stops on 5 routes, timetabled for about 1,200 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport networks include 20 active stops in Aintree, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 5 distinct routes, which accommodate 1,188 weekly passenger trips. Transport connections are rated as good, with residents living an average of 213 meters from the nearest stop. Because of the area's residential nature, most commuters travel out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary transport method at 88%, and train travel at 9%. Dwellings average 1.7 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. A high 25.4% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Service frequency averages 169 trips daily across the transport routes, representing approximately 59 weekly trips at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
87.2% of residents in Aintree report no long-term health condition. 2.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Evaluations of health data indicate positive outcomes throughout Aintree, based on AreaSearch's analysis of mortality trends and chronic illness. The occurrence of major health issues is low among the general population and corresponds closely to the national average in older, vulnerable cohorts, while private health insurance coverage is slightly above the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the population (~7,273 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical diagnoses in the locality were asthma and mental health challenges, affecting 5.2% and 2.9% of residents respectively, while 87.2% reported being free of any chronic medical conditions compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne.
Residents aged 65 and over account for 2.0% of the local population (278 people), which is lower than the Greater Melbourne figure of 15.0%. Health outcomes for local seniors are above average, though they rank lower nationally than the younger cohorts of the local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
54.3% of Aintree residents were born overseas and 67.9% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 96% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Indian (18.9%) and Australian (9.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Aintree ranks as one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.3% of its population born overseas and 67.9% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 36.0% of local residents. The most pronounced divergence from wider trends is in the Other religious category, which represents 22.6% of the population compared to a Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%. Looking at parental birthplaces, the largest ancestry groups in Aintree are Other, representing 35.0% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Indian, representing 18.9% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 4.2%, and Australian, representing 9.0% of the population, which is lower than the regional average of 18.4%.
Other groups show notable differences compared to the wider region, including Filipino at 6.3% (vs 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 3.7% (vs 1.1%), and Macedonian at 1.3% (vs 0.7%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Aintree is 28, younger than 96% of areas nationally. That is 2 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 26.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 28, Aintree is younger than Greater Melbourne's median of 37 and Australia's median of 38. The age breakdown shows a high concentration of 35 - 44 year-olds (30.2%), while the 55 - 64 age bracket is small (2.1%) compared to Greater Melbourne. The proportion of 35 - 44 year-olds is higher than the national figure of 14.3%. Post-2021 Census data points to a younger demographic trend, with the median age dropping from 30 to 28 years. Key movements show the 35 to 44 age bracket growing from 23.7% to 30.2% of the population, and the 0 to 4 group rising from 12.9% to 15.3%.
Conversely, the 15 to 24 age bracket fell from 9.0% to 6.4%, while the 45 to 54 group dropped from 7.3% to 5.7%. Projections for 2041 suggest further changes, with the 35 to 44 group expected to grow the fastest at 17%, adding 716 residents to reach 4,927, while the 25 to 34 group is expected to decline by 101 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Aintree
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,263 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (7,982 at the 2021 Census → 13,942 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20011). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.