Cobblebank - Strathtulloh

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's population is approximately 15,933 as of February 2026. This figure represents a growth of 8,335 people (109.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,598. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 11,831 in June 2024 and an additional 2,091 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 806 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate exceeded both national (9.9%) and state averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made through weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent nationally, with an expected expansion of 16,968 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 80.3% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has recorded approximately 491 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, 2,459 homes were approved, with an additional 127 approved in FY-26 so far. Each year, on average, around three new residents arrive per dwelling constructed during these five financial years.

This significant demand exceeds the supply of new dwellings, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average expected construction cost for new dwellings is $229,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, $1.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh records 194.0% more new home approvals per person, providing ample choice for buyers despite recent moderation in development activity. This high level of activity reflects strong developer confidence in the area.

Recent construction consists predominantly of detached dwellings (96.0%) and a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (4.0%), preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 33 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is expected to grow by 12,795 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 31 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones include Robinsons Rise Estate Cobblebank, New Melton Hospital, St Francis Catholic College - Cobblebank Campus, and Cobblebank Metropolitan Activity Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.7%. As of September 2025, 6,427 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, which is 0.5% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation in the area is higher at 83.4% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 20.7% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 6.7%, while labour force grew by 7.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Cobblebank - Strathtulloh SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $67,451 and an average of $75,541. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. As of September 2025, estimated incomes based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% would be approximately $73,016 (median) and $81,773 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 49.3% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort represents 32.8%. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 64th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As per the latest Census evaluation in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, 98.4% of dwellings were houses while 1.6% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This contrasts with Melbourne metropolitan area's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh stood at 6.3%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 64.3% and rented ones making up 29.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,904, lower than Melbourne's $2,000 average. The median weekly rent figure in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was $371, compared to Melbourne's $390 average. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents stood at $375.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 10.6% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is notable, with 34.9% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications, compared to the broader SA3 area's 24.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.3% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 16.3% and certificates at 19.0%. Educational participation is high in the area, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (13.9%), secondary education (6.0%), and tertiary education (4.0%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh shows that there are currently 12 active transport stops operating in the area. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. There are 5 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 1,176 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in this primarily residential area is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 548 meters from their nearest transport stop. Most residents commute outward from the area. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 88%, while train accounts for 9%.

On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 20.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 168 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 98 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh demonstrates excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 57% (~9,018 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is higher than the Greater Melbourne average. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.7%) and mental health issues (4.9%). A significant majority, 84.1%, report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Only 2.6% (412 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors in the area rank higher nationally than those for the general population.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobblebank-Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.3% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest available data. The predominant religion in Cobblebank-Strathtulloch is Christianity, comprising 38.1% of people. However, the most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which comprises 23.0% of the population, significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Other (30.5%), Australian (14.1%), and Indian (14.1%). Notably, Filipino, Maltese, and Samoan ethnicities are overrepresented in Cobblebank-Strathtulloh compared to regional averages: Filipino at 6.7% vs 1.3%, Maltese at 3.1% vs 1.1%, and Samoan at 1.8% vs 0.3%.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's median age at 30 years is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (24.8%) but fewer aged 65-74 (2%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is above the national average of 14.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age group increased from 20.1% to 24.8%, while the 5 to 14 cohort rose from 16.8% to 20.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 26.2% to 17.8% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 13.8% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's age profile, with the 35 to 44 age cohort expanding by 2,568 people (65%), from 3,946 to 6,515.