Cobblebank - Strathtulloh

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's population is around 15,933 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 8,335 people (109.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,598 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,831 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 2,091 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 806 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's 109.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national areas, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to expand by 16,968 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 80.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has recorded around 491 residential properties granted approval per year, with 2,459 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 134 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 3 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $229,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $1.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

Relative to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh records 194.0% more new home approvals (per person), which should provide buyers with ample choice, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is well above average nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 96.0% detached dwellings and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 33 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is expected to grow by 12,795 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 31 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Robinsons Rise Estate Cobblebank, New Melton Hospital, St Francis Catholic College - Cobblebank Campus, and Cobblebank Metropolitan Activity Centre, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh possesses a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and 3.9% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,404 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (83.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 20.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 5.8% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.9% while the labour force increased by 4.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.0 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Cobblebank - Strathtulloh. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Cobblebank - Strathtulloh SA2's median income among taxpayers is $67,451, with an average of $75,541. This is very high nationally, and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $73,016 (median) and $81,773 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals the largest segment comprises 49.3% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (7,854 residents), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 64th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was lagging that of Melbourne metro, at 6.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (64.3%) or rented (29.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Melbourne metro average at $1,904, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $371, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 87.0% of all households, comprising 54.5% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 10.6% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 34.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 24.3% in the SA3 area. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (16.3%) and certificates (19.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.9% in primary education, 6.0% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 12 active transport stops operating within Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 5 individual routes, collectively providing 1,176 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 548 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 9% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 20.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 168 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 98 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~9,018 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.7% and 4.9% of residents, respectively, while 84.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 2.6% of residents aged 65 and over (412 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 50.3% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is Christianity, which makes up 38.1% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 23.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh are Other, comprising 30.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Australian, comprising 14.1% of the population, and Indian, comprising 14.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.2%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Filipino is notably overrepresented at 6.7% of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh (vs 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 3.1% (vs 1.1%) and Samoan at 1.8% (vs 0.3%).

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 30 years, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's median age is materially younger than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and is substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (24.8%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (2.0%). This 35 - 44 concentration is well above the national 14.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 20.1% to 24.8% of the population, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 16.8% to 20.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 26.2% to 17.8% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 13.8% to 11.2%. Demographic modeling suggests Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 2,568 people (65%) from 3,946 to 6,515.