Cobblebank - Strathtulloh

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's population was around 14,076 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 6,478 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,598. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 12,991 in June 2025 and an additional 2,160 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 712 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 85.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both state (9.3%) and national averages, marking it as a growth leader. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 72.4%.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts suggest exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent nationally, with an expected increase of 15,598 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers. This reflects a total gain of 102.3% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has seen approximately 491 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 2,459 homes have been approved, with an additional 189 approved in FY-26 so far. Each year, on average, about three new residents arrive per dwelling constructed during these five financial years.

This suggests that supply is lagging behind demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new properties is around $229,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, approximately $1.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to residential development. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has seen 143.0% more development activity per person, which could provide buyers with ample choice. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

The majority of new developments consist of detached dwellings (96.0%), with a smaller percentage being attached dwellings (4.0%). This maintains the area's traditional low-density character and focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Currently, there are around 33 people per approval, reflecting a developing area. By 2041, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is projected to grow by approximately 14,407 residents, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 29 projects likely impacting the region. Key initiatives include Robinsons Rise Estate Cobblebank, St Francis Catholic College - Cobblebank Campus, New Melton Hospital, and Cobblebank Metropolitan Activity Centre. The following list details projects most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.4% as of December 2025, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.9%.

There are 6,404 residents in work, and the workforce participation rate is 76.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 20.7% of residents worked from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 5.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 3.9% while the labour force rose by 4.9%, leading to an unemployment rise of 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh SA2 is above average nationally. The median income is $67,451 and the average is $75,541. In Greater Melbourne, the median income is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Cobblebank - Strathtulloh would be approximately $73,940 (median) and $82,808 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that incomes in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 49.3% of locals fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting regional patterns. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 64th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was at 6.3%, with the rest being mortgaged (64.3%) or rented (29.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,904, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $371, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 54.5% that are couples with children, 20.7% that are couples without children, and 10.6% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 10.6% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's educational attainment exceeds wider benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 34.9% possess university qualifications, compared to the SA3 area's 24.3%. This educational advantage positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 35.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 16.3%, while certificates account for 19.0%. Educational participation is notably high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.9% in primary education, 6.0% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has 12 active public transport stops. These are served by five routes offering a total of 1,176 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is moderate, with residents on average 548 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters use cars, at 88%, while train usage stands at 9%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.6, higher than the regional norm. In 2021 Census data, 20.7% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 168 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 98 weekly trips per stop.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 57% (~7,967 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.7 and 4.9% of residents respectively. A majority of residents, 84.1%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 2.5% (347 people), compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 15.0%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh are particularly strong, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobblebank-Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.3% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest data. Christianity is the main religion in Cobblebank-Strathtulloh, making up 38.1% of people in the area. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, comprising 23.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups in Cobblebank-Strathtulloh are 'Other', comprising 30.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Australian at 14.1%, and Indian at 14.1%, which is also substantially higher than the regional average of 4.2%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Filipino is notably overrepresented at 6.7% of Cobblebank-Strathtulloh (versus 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 3.1% (versus 1.1%), and Samoan at 1.8% (versus 0.3%).

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 30 years, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's median age is materially younger than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and is substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has a higher concentration of 5-14 residents (20.6%) but fewer 65-74 year-olds (1.9%). This 5-14 concentration is well above the national average of 12.0%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 20.1% to 24.3%, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 16.8% to 20.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 26.2% to 18.0%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 13.8% to 11.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 35 to 44 age cohort projected to expand considerably, increasing by 2,928 people (86%) from 3,424 to 6,353.