Cobblebank - Strathtulloh

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stands at approximately 13,082 as of November 2025. This figure represents a significant increase from the 7,598 people recorded in the 2021 Census, marking a growth of 5,484 individuals (72.2%) over this period. The estimation is based on the Australian Bureau of Statistics' (ABS) June 2024 figure of 11,815 for the estimated resident population and an additional 2,011 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 662 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space per person and potential room for further development. The area's growth rate of 72.2% since the 2021 census surpassed both the national average (8.9%) and the state's average, positioning it as a notable growth leader in the region. The primary driver behind this population growth was interstate migration, contributing approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

However, all factors including natural growth and overseas migration played positive roles. AreaSearch has adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting them using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over this period. The area is expected to increase its population by 16,968 persons to reach a total of 29,050 by 2041, reflecting an overall gain of 119.6% over the 17-year period, as per the latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has seen approximately 491 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 2,459 homes were approved, with an additional 114 approved in FY26 so far. Each dwelling constructed over these years has attracted an average of three new residents per year.

This indicates a significant lag between supply and demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost for new properties is $229,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY26, commercial approvals totaling $1.2 million have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has recorded 194.0% more development activity per person, offering buyers ample choice, although recent periods have seen a moderation in this activity. This level is substantially higher than the national average, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location.

The new developments consist of 96.0% detached dwellings and 4.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 33 people per approval, Cobblebank - Strathtulloh reflects a developing area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects that Cobblebank - Strathtulloch will grow by approximately 15,646 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Robinsons Rise Estate Cobblebank, New Melton Hospital, St Francis Catholic College - Cobblebank Campus, and New Melton Hospital. The following list outlines those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.7%.

As of September 2025, 6,427 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, which is 0.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in the area is 72.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 2.9 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 5.8% of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 6.7%, while labour force grew by 7.6%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.8 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a potential increase of 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2022 shows median income in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh SA2 was $64,551 and average income was $72,864. This compares to Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.16% from financial year ended June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh would be approximately $72,400 and average income would be around $81,724 by September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 49.3% of locals (6,449 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, reflecting a pattern seen across the region where 32.8% fall into this income range. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income in the area, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 64th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it within the 5th decile.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh stood at 6.3%, with the rest being mortgaged (64.3%) or rented (29.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,904, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,800 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent was $371, lower than Melbourne metro's $351 but slightly above the national figure of $375.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.0%, consisting of 10.6% lone person households and 2.4% group households. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Cobblebank - Strathtulloh exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is notably higher than broader benchmarks, with 34.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications compared to the SA3 area average of 24.3%. This educational advantage is reflected in the prevalence of bachelor degrees (23.0%), postgraduate qualifications (10.1%), and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 35.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (16.3%) and certificates (19.0%). Educational participation is high in the area, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (13.9%), secondary education (6.0%), and tertiary education (4.0%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh has 13 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. They are served by 11 individual routes which together provide 1,999 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is moderate with residents typically located 549 meters from the nearest stop. There are an average of 285 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 153 weekly trips per stop.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 56% (~7,325 people), compared to Melbourne's 50.8%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common conditions, affecting 6.7% and 4.9% respectively. A total of 84.1% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 73.7%. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 2.4% (320 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobblebank-Strathtulloh is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.3% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. Christianity is the dominant religion in Cobblebank-Strathtulloh, comprising 38.1% of people. However, there is an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, which makes up 23.0% of the population, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are 'Other', comprising 30.5%, Australian at 14.1%, and Indian also at 14.1%. The 'Other' category is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.2%. Notably, Filipino (6.7% vs 3.4%), Maltese (3.1% vs 5.1%), and Samoan (1.8% vs 1.0%) groups are also overrepresented in Cobblebank-Strathtulloh compared to regional averages.

Cobblebank - Strathtulloh hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Cobblebank-Strathtulloh has a median age of 29, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cobblebank-Strathtulloh has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (24.5%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.2%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 14.2%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 20.1% to 24.5%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has risen from 16.8% to 20.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 26.2% to 19.0%, and the proportion of those aged 0-4 has dropped from 13.8% to 11.7%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cobblebank-Strathtulloh's age structure, with the 35-44 age cohort projected to grow exceptionally, expanding by 3,305 people (103%) from 3,209 to 6,515.