Melton South - Weir Views

Melton South - Weir Views lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Melton South - Weir Views' population is approximately 23,087 as of May 2026. This figure represents a 38.6% increase from the 2021 Census population of 16,658 people. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data showing 22,821 in June 2025 and validated new addresses totalling 1,431 since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,095 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate exceeded both state (9.3%) and national averages, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 61.6% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends predict exceptional growth placing the area in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas, with an expected expansion of 15,920 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 67.8% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Melton South - Weir Views was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Melton South - Weir Views averaged approximately 494 new dwelling approvals annually between FY21 and FY26. A total of 2,470 homes were approved over the past five financial years, with an additional 198 approved in FY26 to date. On average, each dwelling constructed attracted around three new residents per year during this period.

Consequently, demand for housing has significantly outpaced supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties was approximately $230,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $2.5 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's residential character. When compared to Greater Melbourne, Melton South - Weir Views maintains similar development levels per capita, preserving market balance consistent with the broader area.

However, building activity has slowed in recent years nationally, yet remains well above average in this area, suggesting strong developer confidence. The new building activity is predominantly detached dwellings (98.0%) with a minority of townhouses or apartments (2.0%), sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With approximately 58 people per approval, Melton South - Weir Views reflects an actively developing area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 15,654 residents through to 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, presenting favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Melton South - Weir Views has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Maplewood Estate, Toolern Precinct Structure Plan (Melton South / Weir Views Growth Area), Seventh Bend Estate, and Harkness Cemetery Memorial Park. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Melton South - Weir Views face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Melton South - Weir Views has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 13.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2%. As of December 2025, there are 8,729 residents employed, and the unemployment rate is 8.4%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation lags at 62.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 15.6% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 2.4 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services have limited presence at 4.3%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 1.2% while labour force increased by 4.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 2.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a smaller increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Melton South - Weir Views' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Melton South - Weir Views SA2's median income among taxpayers was $45,996 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $51,512 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Melbourne of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $50,421 (median) and $56,467 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Melton South - Weir Views all fall between the 17th and 25th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 35.2% of locals (8,126 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 21st percentile nationally.

Melton South - Weir Views is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Melton South - Weir Views had 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings in its dwelling structure at the latest Census. This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Melton South - Weir Views was 20.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 39.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Melton South - Weir Views had lower mortgage repayments at $1,517 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and lower rents at $321 compared to the national figure of $375.

Melton South - Weir Views has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 35.1% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 18.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Melton South - Weir Views shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (24.6%). Educational participation is high, with 35.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 14.2% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Melton South - Weir Views has 46 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 18 different routes, collectively facilitating 5,173 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 337 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward, primarily by car (87%), with train usage at 8%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 15.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 739 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 112 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Melton South - Weir Views is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Melton South - Weir Views faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions affects both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% (around 10,643 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.8 and 9.0% of residents respectively. However, 69.7% claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents exhibit a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 8.9% (around 2,066 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings for the overall population.

Melton South - Weir Views is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Melton South - Weir Views has a high cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 38.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, comprising 43.3% of the population. Notably, the category 'Other' makes up 7.0% of Melton South - Weir Views' population, which is higher compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (22.8%), Australian (20.9%), and English (19.2%). The representation of Samoan (2.5%) and Maltese (2.4%) is significantly higher compared to regional averages of 0.3% and 1.1%, respectively. Additionally, Indian ancestry is notably represented at 5.7%.

Melton South - Weir Views hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Melton South - Weir Views has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Melton South - Weir Views has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.5%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (7%). This 5-14 concentration is notably above the national average of 12%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 15.5% to 18.3%, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 16.8% to 19.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 17.4% to 15.5%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 7.2% to 5.3%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest that Melton South - Weir Views' age profile will change significantly. The 5 to 14 age cohort is projected to increase by 2,435 people (54%), reaching a total of 6,942 from the current 4,506.