Melton South - Weir Views

Melton South - Weir Views lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Melton South - Weir Views' population was around 22,225 as of Nov 2025. This reflected an increase of 5,567 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,658. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 21,758 in June 2024 and an additional 1,344 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 2,016 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 33.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting with a weighted aggregation method to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends predict exceptional growth in the area, expected to expand by 16,863 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 73.8% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Melton South - Weir Views was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Melton South - Weir Views averaged approximately 494 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 2,470 homes were approved, with an additional 124 approved in FY26 so far. On average, each constructed dwelling has accommodated around three new residents annually over these five years.

This high demand coupled with new supply has led to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $230,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, commercial approvals totaling $2.5 million have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Comparatively, Melton South - Weir Views has seen slightly higher development activity than Greater Melbourne over the past five years, with 13.0% more per person on average.

This has maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Nationally, this activity is well above average, indicating strong developer confidence in the area. New building activity predominantly consists of detached dwellings (98.0%) with a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (2.0%), sustaining the area's suburban identity and catering to buyers seeking spacious family homes. With approximately 58 people per approval, Melton South - Weir Views is considered a developing area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 16,396 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Melton South - Weir Views has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Maplewood Estate, Toolern Precinct Structure Plan (Melton South / Weir Views Growth Area), Seventh Bend Estate, and Harkness Cemetery Memorial Park. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Melton South - Weir Views are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Melton South - Weir Views has a skilled workforce with varied sector representation. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 12.7%.

Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 3.7%. There are 8,792 residents in work currently, while the unemployment rate is 8.0% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation lags significantly at 54.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade.

Transport, postal & warehousing has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 2.4 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 4.3% of employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, while labour force increased by 6.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 2.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. For broader context, state-level data to 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%, and the state's employment growth outpaces the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, covering five and ten-year periods, can offer further insight into potential future demand within Melton South - Weir Views. Applying these industry-specific projections to the local employment mix suggests that local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Melton South - Weir Views SA2's median income among taxpayers was $44,018 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $49,687 during the same period. These figures are below Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $49,371 and $55,729 based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.16%. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Melton South - Weir Views fall between the 17th and 25th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 35.2% of locals (7,823 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, similar to the surrounding region where 32.8% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 21st percentile nationally.

Melton South - Weir Views is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Melton South - Weir Views' dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Melton South - Weir Views was at 20.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 39.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent in the area was $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Melton South - Weir Views' mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,517 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Melton South - Weir Views has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 35.1% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 18.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Melton South - Weir Views shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (24.6%). Educational participation is high, with 35.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 14.2% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Melton South - Weir Views has 49 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 19 individual routes operating in total.

They provide 8,530 weekly passenger trips combined. Residents have good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 338 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 1,218 trips across all routes. This translates to about 174 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Melton South - Weir Views are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Melton South - Weir Views. Common health conditions are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~10,245 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 50.8% and the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.8%) and asthma (9.0%). 69.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 73.7%. 9.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,064 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Melton South - Weir Views is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Melton South - Weir Views has a high cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 38.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Melton South - Weir Views, comprising 43.3% of the population. Notably, the category 'Other' makes up 7.0% of the population, higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 5.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.8%), Australian (20.9%), and English (19.2%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Samoan is overrepresented at 2.5%, Maltese at 2.4%, and Indian at 5.7% compared to regional averages.

Melton South - Weir Views hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Melton South - Weir Views has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Melton South - Weir Views has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (19.6%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (7.2%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has increased from 16.8% to 19.6%, while the percentage of those aged 35 to 44 has risen from 15.5% to 18.2%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 65 to 74 has decreased from 7.2% to 5.5%, and the percentage of those aged 25 to 34 has dropped from 17.4% to 15.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Melton South - Weir Views' age profile, with the 5 to 14 age cohort expected to expand considerably by 61%, from 4,344 to 6,975 people.