Melton South - Weir Views

Melton South - Weir Views lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Melton South - Weir Views's population is around 22,382 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 5,724 people (34.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,658 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,758 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 1,400 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,031 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Melton South - Weir Views's 34.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 74.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilizing the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of national areas, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to grow by 16,863 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 72.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Melton South - Weir Views was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Melton South - Weir Views has recorded around 494 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 2,470 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26166 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 3 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $230,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $2.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Melton South - Weir Views records somewhat elevated construction (13.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. This is substantially higher than nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 98.0% detached houses and 2.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached houses attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 58 people per dwelling approval, Melton South - Weir Views shows characteristics of a growth area.

Population forecasts indicate Melton South - Weir Views will gain 16,239 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Melton South - Weir Views has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 23 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Maplewood Estate, Toolern Precinct Structure Plan (Melton South / Weir Views Growth Area), Seventh Bend Estate, and Harkness Cemetery Memorial Park, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Melton South - Weir Views face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Melton South - Weir Views has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 13.2%, and 1.2% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 8,729 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 8.4% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (65.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 15.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.4 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.3% versus the regional average of 10.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2% and the labour force increased by 4.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 2.9 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, and unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Melton South - Weir Views. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to the employment mix of Melton South - Weir Views suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Melton South - Weir Views SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $45,996 with the average level standing at $51,512. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $49,791 (median) and $55,762 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Melton South - Weir Views all fall between the 17th and 25th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 35.2% of the population (7,878 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 21st percentile.

Melton South - Weir Views is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Melton South - Weir Views, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Melton South - Weir Views lagged that of Melbourne metro, at 20.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (40.3%) or rented (39.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Melbourne metro average at $1,517, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Melton South - Weir Views's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Melton South - Weir Views has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 73.0% of all households, comprising 35.1% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 18.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Melton South - Weir Views shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.8%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (24.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 46 active transport stops operating within Melton South - Weir Views, comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 18 individual routes, collectively providing 5,173 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 337 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 87%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. Some 15.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 739 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 112 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Melton South - Weir Views is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Melton South - Weir Views, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~10,318 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.8% and 9.0% of residents, respectively, while 69.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 9.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,094 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Melton South - Weir Views is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Melton South - Weir Views scores highly on cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 38.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Melton South - Weir Views is Christianity, which makes up 43.3% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 7.0% of the population, compared to 2.3% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Melton South - Weir Views are Other, comprising 22.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Australian, comprising 20.9% of the population, and English, comprising 19.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is notably overrepresented at 2.5% of Melton South - Weir Views (vs 0.3% regionally), Maltese at 2.4% (vs 1.1%) and Indian at 5.7% (vs 4.2%).

Melton South - Weir Views hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Melton South - Weir Views's median age is notably under the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Melton South - Weir Views has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 year old residents (19.7%) but fewer 55 - 64 year-olds (7.2%). This 5 - 14 concentration is well above the national 12.1%. In the period since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 15.5% to 18.5% of the population, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 16.8% to 19.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 17.4% to 14.9% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 7.2% to 5.5%. Demographic modeling suggests Melton South - Weir Views's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 5 to 14 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 2,567 people (58%) from 4,407 to 6,975.