Bacchus Marsh

Bacchus Marsh lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bacchus Marsh's population was approximately 27,277 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 2,560 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 24,717. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 26,577 in June 2024 and an additional 1,233 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 139 persons per square kilometer. Bacchus Marsh's growth rate of 10.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.7%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth rate, with the area expected to grow by 6,376 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 20.8% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bacchus Marsh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Bacchus Marsh has received approximately 277 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 1,387 homes. As of FY-26, 90 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.3 new residents are gained per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction cost for new dwellings is $267,000.

In FY-26, Bacchus Marsh has seen $17.4 million in commercial development approvals. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh has 57.0% less development activity per person. New development consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% townhouses or apartments. There are approximately 109 people per dwelling approval in the area. By 2041, Bacchus Marsh is projected to grow by 5,675 residents.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand.

Bacchus Marsh has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 52 potential impact projects in total. Notable ones are Bacchus Marsh Central, Summerfield North Estate, Darling Darley Estate, and Bacchus Marsh Grammar's Maddingley Campus Expansion. Below is a detailed list of those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Bacchus Marsh maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Bacchus Marsh has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8%. As of September 2025, there were 14,825 residents employed, and the unemployment rate was 0.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's at 71.0%. According to Census responses, 21.2% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area specializes in construction employment, with a share 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.4%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.8% while labour force grew by 5.6%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data, released for financial year 2023, indicates Bacchus Marsh SA2 has a median income among taxpayers of $58,795 and an average of $70,128. These figures are slightly above the national averages. Comparing with Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 shows Bacchus Marsh is higher in both metrics. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $63,646 (median) and $75,914 (average). Census data reveals that Bacchus Marsh's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 34.5% of individuals in Bacchus Marsh earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, mirroring regional levels where 32.8% fall within this bracket. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bacchus Marsh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Bacchus Marsh, as per the latest Census, 90.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.7% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's dwelling structure, which was 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bacchus Marsh stood at 29.4%, similar to Melbourne metro's rate. The majority of dwellings were mortgaged (49.4%) or rented (21.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Bacchus Marsh was $340, less than Melbourne metro's $390 and the Australian average of $375.

Bacchus Marsh has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 35.2% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.8% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (27.6%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.1% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bacchus Marsh has 81 active public transport stops offering a mix of train services. These are served by 6 routes, collectively facilitating 1,288 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically located 440 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 21.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 184 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Bacchus Marsh is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Bacchus Marsh faces substantial health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, affecting both younger and older age cohorts. The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 54% (~14,702 people), slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 56.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Bacchus Marsh, impacting 9.5% and 9.2% of residents respectively. However, 66.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.7% (4,560 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Bacchus Marsh ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh had a cultural diversity score below average, with 83.7% of its residents born in Australia, 89.2% being citizens, and 89.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 46.0% of Bacchus Marsh's population. However, the most notable overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, which made up 2.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (28.3%), English (27.9%), and Irish (8.4%) were the top three groups represented, all higher than regional averages. Notably, Maltese (3.2%), Polish (0.9%), and Croatian (0.8%) groups showed higher representation compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.1%, 0.8%, and 0.7% respectively.

Bacchus Marsh's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bacchus Marsh has a median age of 37 years, which is equal to Greater Melbourne's figure and comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 5-14 years comprises 13.6% of Bacchus Marsh's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up 14.0% of Bacchus Marsh's population, lower than Greater Melbourne's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 13.9% to 15.2%, while the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.8% to 6.0%. However, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 12.7% to 12.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bacchus Marsh's age structure. The 45 to 54 age group is projected to grow by 36%, adding 1,200 people and reaching a total of 4,501 from the current 3,300. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 age group is expected to grow modestly by 4% (61 people).