Bacchus Marsh

Bacchus Marsh lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bacchus Marsh's population is approximately 27,399 as of May 2026. This figure represents a growth of 2,682 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 24,717. The increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data: 27,183 in June 2025 and an additional 1,307 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 139 persons per square kilometer. Bacchus Marsh's growth rate since the Census exceeded both state (9.3%) and national averages, driven primarily by interstate migration contributing approximately 41.5% of overall population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth rate, with the area expected to grow by 5,243 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 18.3% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Bacchus Marsh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Bacchus Marsh has received approximately 277 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 1,387 homes. As of FY-26202 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.3 new residents is gained per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value for new homes is $267,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options.

In the current financial year, $17.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh has significantly less development activity, with 56.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The location has approximately 109 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. By 2041, Bacchus Marsh is projected to grow by 5,026 residents (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate).

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections. New development consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

Bacchus Marsh has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 49 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Bacchus Marsh Central, Summerfield North Estate, Darling Darley Estate, and Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Bacchus Marsh maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Bacchus Marsh has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 4.5%, and there was an estimated employment growth of 3.7% over the past year. As of December 2025, 14,799 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 21.2% of residents work from home. Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.4% versus the regional average of 10.1%. AreaSearch analysis indicates that over a 12-month period, employment increased by 3.7%, labour force grew by 4.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.6 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Bacchus Marsh SA2's median income among taxpayers is $58,795. The average income is $70,128. This is slightly above the national average. Comparing with Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh has a lower median income of $57,688 but a higher average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Bacchus Marsh would be approximately $64,451 (median) and $76,874 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals that incomes in Bacchus Marsh cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that 34.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, mirroring regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile nationally.

Bacchus Marsh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Bacchus Marsh, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 27 August 2016, comprised 90.2% houses and 9.7% other dwellings such as semi-detached units, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Melbourne metro's dwelling structure of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Bacchus Marsh was 29.4%, aligning with Melbourne metro's figure, while the remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (49.4%) or rented (21.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bacchus Marsh was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000 and national average of $1,863 as recorded in 2016. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure for Bacchus Marsh was $340, lower than Melbourne metro's $390 and national figure of $375.

Bacchus Marsh has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 35.2% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.8% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 13.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 39.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications.

This includes advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (27.6%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This comprises 11.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bacchus Marsh has 81 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train services. These are served by six individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,288 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically residing 440 metres from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, and most commuters travel outward, relying predominantly on cars (92%). Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 21.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 184 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Bacchus Marsh is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Bacchus Marsh faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has private health cover at approximately 54% of its total population (~14,768 people), slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.5% and 9.2% of residents respectively. However, 66.0% of residents claim to be completely free of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a larger proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.8%, with 4,613 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking broadly in line with the general population nationally.

Bacchus Marsh ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh, as per the census conducted on 27 June 2016, showed lower cultural diversity with 83.7% of its population born in Australia. It had a high percentage of citizens at 89.2%, and English was spoken exclusively at home by 89.8%. Christianity dominated religious beliefs, accounting for 46.0% of the population.

The category 'Other' was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, with 2.5% versus 2.3%. In terms of ancestry, Australian heritage was prominent at 28.3%, significantly higher than the regional average of 18.4%. English ancestry also stood out at 27.9%, exceeding the regional average of 20.1%. Irish ancestry was present in 8.4% of Bacchus Marsh's population. Noteworthy deviations existed for certain ethnic groups: Maltese were overrepresented at 3.2% compared to 1.1% regionally, Polish at 0.9% versus 0.8%, and Croatian at 0.8% against the regional average of 0.7%.

Bacchus Marsh's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bacchus Marsh has a median age of 37 years, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 13.6%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 age group stands at 13.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 13.9% to 15.5%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.8% to 6.3%. However, the 25 to 34 age group decreased from 14.4% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bacchus Marsh's age structure. Notably, the 45 to 54 group is expected to grow by 35%, adding 1,153 people and reaching a total of 4,403 from its current figure of 3,249. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort will experience a modest growth of 4% with an increase of 79 people.