Bacchus Marsh

Bacchus Marsh lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bacchus Marsh's population is approximately 27,234 as of November 2025. This represents an increase of 2,517 people, a 10.2% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 24,717. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 26,578 in June 2024 and an additional 1,233 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 138 persons per square kilometer. Bacchus Marsh's growth exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages since the 2021 census, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 48% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends project an above median population growth, with the area expected to grow by 6,376 persons by 2041, reflecting a 21% increase over the 17-year period based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Bacchus Marsh was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Bacchus Marsh has received approximately 277 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 1387 homes. As of FY-26, 64 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built in Bacchus Marsh between FY-21 and FY-25 has resulted in an average of 2.3 new residents per year. The average construction cost of new homes is $431000, aligning with broader regional development trends.

In FY-26, $174 million worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh has significantly less development activity, 57% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The dwelling approvals in Bacchus Marsh are predominantly detached houses (88%) with a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (12%), maintaining the area's traditional low density character. There are approximately 109 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

By 2041, Bacchus Marsh is projected to grow by 5718 residents according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bacchus Marsh has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 51 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Bacchus Marsh Central, Darling Darley Estate, Summerfield North Estate, and Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Bacchus Marsh maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Bacchus Marsh has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in the area is 4.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.1%. As of June 2025, there are 14,977 residents in work and the unemployment rate is 0.4% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation is on par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

The area has particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.4% versus the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 5.1% alongside labour force increasing by 5.8%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.5%. State-level data to Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Bacchus Marsh SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $55,531 and an average of $70,022. These figures are higher than the national averages. Compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761, Bacchus Marsh's incomes are slightly higher. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $62,284 (median) and $78,537 (average). Census data shows Bacchus Marsh's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income distribution reveals that 34.5% of individuals in Bacchus Marsh earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, similar to regional levels at 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other costs. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Bacchus Marsh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Bacchus Marsh, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.2% houses and 9.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Bacchus Marsh was higher at 29.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (49.4%) or rented (21.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,800. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Bacchus Marsh's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Bacchus Marsh has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 35.2% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.8% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (27.6%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.1% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 81 active stops in Bacchus Marsh, offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 14 routes, serving 2023 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is moderate, with residents on average 440 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run at an average frequency of 289 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 24 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Bacchus Marsh is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Bacchus Marsh faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but particularly high among older cohorts. Approximately 54% of Bacchus Marsh's total population (~14,815 people) has private health cover, compared to 50.8% in Greater Melbourne.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.5% and 9.2% of residents respectively. A total of 66.0% of Bacchus Marsh residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2016, 16.7% of Bacchus Marsh's population is aged 65 and over (4,553 people), higher than the 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

Bacchus Marsh ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh, as of the Census conducted on 27 June 2016, had a population with 83.7% born in Australia, 89.2% being citizens, and 89.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 46.0%. The category 'Other' made up 2.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.6%.

Regarding ancestry, Australian was the top group with 28.3%, followed by English at 27.9% and Irish at 8.4%. Notably, Maltese (3.2%) and Croatian (0.8%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 5.1% and 1.4%, respectively.

Bacchus Marsh's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bacchus Marsh's median age is 37 years, matching Greater Melbourne and closely resembling Australia's 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 13.6%, higher than Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 14.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 13.9% to 15.2%, and the 75 to 84 group increased from 4.8% to 6.0%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.7% to 12.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bacchus Marsh's age structure. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 37%, adding 1,205 people, reaching 4,501 from 3,295. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows modestly by 4% (63 people).