Bacchus Marsh Surrounds

Population growth drivers in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' population is around 6854 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 295 people (4.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6559 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6727 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 164 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 6.6 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Over the past decade, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 1.4% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 53.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to decline by 399 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 25 to 34 age group, which is projected to expand by 162 people.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bacchus Marsh Surrounds when compared nationally

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has experienced approximately 41 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025, around 207 homes were approved, with an additional 14 approved in FY2026 as of now. On average, 1.8 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years.

This has resulted in stable market dynamics due to balanced supply and demand. The average construction cost of new properties is $323,000. In terms of commercial approvals, there have been $4.3 million this financial year.

Compared to other Victorian areas, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds shows 11.0% lower construction activity per person but ranks at the 67th percentile nationally among assessed areas. New developments consist of 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's low density character focused on family homes. With around 215 people per approval, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds reflects its low-density status. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers in the area.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 21 projects that are likely to impact the area, significantly influencing its performance. Among these key projects are Autumn Grove Estate, Ballan Precinct 5 Residential Development, Ballan Library and Community Hub, and Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Bacchus Marsh Surrounds significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.2% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the past year.

In this period, 3,612 residents were in work while the unemployment rate was 1.6% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was at 62.1%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and public administration & safety. Construction is particularly specialized in the area with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance employs just 11.9% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 16.8%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9%, and labour force increased by 1.7%, resulting in a fall in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.7%, labour force contracted by 0.6%, and unemployment rose marginally. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a national expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh Surrounds's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Bacchus Marsh Surrounds SA2 had a median income of $54,237 and an average income of $67,233 among taxpayers. This is slightly above the national average. Rest of Vic.'s median was $48,741 with an average of $60,693 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Bacchus Marsh Surrounds would be approximately $60,832 (median) and $75,409 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 data reveals household, family, and personal incomes in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds rank modestly between the 42nd and 48th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 34.7% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (2,378 residents), aligning with regional trends where this cohort represents 30.3%. After housing costs, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structures in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.0% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is similar to Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds was 37.8%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (49.0%) or rented (13.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,700, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,538. The median weekly rent figure was $330, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.8% of all households, including 32.5% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.2%, with lone person households at 24.2% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (29.9%). Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows five active stops operating in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by thirteen individual routes, collectively facilitating 625 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically residing 4367 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 125 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 53% of its total population (~3660 people) has private health cover. The most common medical conditions are arthritis, affecting 9.9% of residents, and mental health issues, impacting 8.6%. Around 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.5% across the rest of Victoria. As of 2016, 19.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (1334 people), lower than the 24.2% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, showed a lack of cultural diversity with 89.4% of its population being Australian citizens and 86.4% born in Australia. A majority, 95.7%, spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 46.6% of the population.

While Judaism's representation was minimal at 0.1%, it was proportionate to the regional average. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.1%), English (29.4%), and Irish (10.2%). Notable disparities existed in Maltese, Macedonian, and Scottish ethnicities; Maltese was overrepresented at 2.7% compared to the regional 1.3%, Macedonian at 0.3% versus 0.2%, and Scottish at 8.5% against a regional average of 9.9%.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is 43, matching the Rest of Vic figure and exceeding the national average of 38. The age profile shows that individuals aged 35-44 are prominent (14.8%), while those aged 65-74 are relatively smaller (10.7%) compared to the Rest of Vic. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.6% to 7.0%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 9.5% to 10.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' age structure. Notably, the 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 19%, reaching 806 people from 679. Conversely, population declines are forecast for the 45 to 54 and 75 to 84 cohorts.