Bacchus Marsh Surrounds

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' population, as of May 2026, is approximately 6,802, showing a growth of 243 people since the 2021 Census which reported 6,559 residents. This increase, representing a 3.7% rise, was inferred from ABS's June 2025 estimate of 6,770 and additional validated new addresses post-Census. The population density is around 6.5 persons per square kilometer. Between the 2021 Census and May 2026, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader regionally. Interstate migration contributed approximately 50.4% to overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 460 persons by 2041, while specific age cohorts like the 25-34 group may experience growth, projected at 129 people.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bacchus Marsh Surrounds when compared nationally

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has seen approximately 41 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 207 homes received approval, with another 23 approved in FY26 so far. Each year, about 1.8 people have moved into the area per dwelling built during these five years.

This balance suggests stable market conditions while new properties are constructed at an average cost of $323,000. In FY26, there have been approximately $4.3 million in commercial approvals. Compared to other Victorian areas, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has 11.0% lower construction activity per person but ranks among the 67th percentile nationally.

The new development consists of 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's low-density character with a focus on family homes. With around 215 people per approval, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds reflects its low-density status. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers in the future.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Autumn Grove Estate, Ballan Precinct 5 Residential Development, Ballan Library and Community Hub, Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Bacchus Marsh Surrounds significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.0%, lower than Regional Vic.'s 3.7%. Employment stability has been maintained over the past year.

As of December 2025, 3,647 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% below Regional Vic.'s rate and workforce participation at 66.2%, higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. According to Census responses, 23.0% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and public administration & safety. Construction is particularly specialized in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 11.9% compared to Regional Vic.'s 16.8%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.6%, employment declined by 0.4%, resulting in a fall of 0.2 percentage points in unemployment rate compared to Regional Vic.'s 0.1 percentage point decrease. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bacchus Marsh Surrounds SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,654 and an average of $68,556. Nationally, the median was $51,978 and the average was $73,117. Regionally in Victoria, the median was $50,954 and the average was $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $62,104 (median) and $75,151 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds rank between the 42nd and 48th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 34.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,360 residents), similar to regional levels at 30.3%. After housing costs, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.0% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds was 37.8%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (49.0%) or rented (13.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,700, exceeding Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $330, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Bacchus Marsh Surrounds's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 73.8% of all households, including 32.5% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.2%, with lone person households at 24.2% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (29.9%). Educational participation is high at 28.5%, with 11.0% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates ten active transport stops operating within Bacchus Marsh Surrounds. These comprise a mix of train services. Six individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 378 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 4323 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 92%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 23.0% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 54 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is at approximately 53% of the total population (~3,625 people), leading the average SA2 area but slightly higher than Regional Vic.'s 50.5%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.9%) and mental health issues (8.6%). 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,361 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census Data from 2016, showed below average cultural diversity with 89.4% of its population being citizens born in Australia speaking English only at home, which was 95.7%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 46.6% of people. Judaism, however, had an overrepresentation at 0.1%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian at 30.1%, English at 29.4%, and Irish at 10.2%. Notably, Maltese was overrepresented at 2.7% (regional: 0.5%), Macedonian at 0.3% (regional: 0.2%), and Scottish at 8.5% (regional: 8.8%).

Bacchus Marsh Surrounds's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age of Bacchus Marsh Surrounds is 43, matching Regional Vic.'s figure and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 35-44 are notably prominent at 14.5%, while those aged 65-74 are comparatively smaller at 10.8% than in Regional Vic.. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.6% to 7.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 9.5% to 11.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 13.1% to 11.5%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 14.6% to 13.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bacchus Marsh Surrounds' age structure. Notably, the 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 15 people, reaching 768 from 667. Conversely, population declines are anticipated for the 45 to 54 and 75 to 84 cohorts.