Bacchus Marsh

Bacchus Marsh lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Bacchus Marsh's population is estimated at around 8,040 people. This reflects an increase of 232 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,808 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 7,814 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 120 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 734 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Bacchus Marsh has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 3.3%, outpacing its SA4 region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, are adopted by AreaSearch. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 are utilised with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb, expected to expand by 2,097 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 31.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Bacchus Marsh among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bacchus Marsh recorded around 30 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 154 homes. As of FY-26, eight approvals have been recorded. On average, 7.2 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually between FY-21 and FY-25. This supply lagging demand leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new properties constructed at an average value of $431,000.

In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $459,000, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh has 85.0% less construction per person, strengthening demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density nature. With around 280 people per dwelling approval, Bacchus Marsh exhibits characteristics of a low-density area.

AreaSearch quarterly estimates project Bacchus Marsh will gain 2,537 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Bacchus Marsh has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Ten projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Key projects include Bacchus Marsh Central, Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion, Summerfield North Estate, and Bacchus Marsh Racecourse and Recreation Reserve Masterplan Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Bacchus Marsh has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Bacchus Marsh has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.9%.

As of June 2025, 4,311 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is aligned with Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%, but workforce participation lags at 57.6%. Leading industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction is particularly strong, employing 1.5 times more than the regional level, while professional & technical services employ only 6.0% locally, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population.

In the past year, employment increased by 4.9%, alongside labour force growth of 5.7%, resulting in a 0.7 percentage point rise in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Bacchus Marsh had a median income among taxpayers of $52,022 and an average income of $65,597. Nationally, the median was $54,892 and the average was $73,761. By September 2025, estimates suggest Bacchus Marsh's median income could be approximately $58,348 and average income around $73,574, accounting for a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census ranked household, family, and personal incomes in Bacchus Marsh between the 36th and 43rd percentiles. Notably, 32.2% of residents (2,588 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket. This trend is similar to the broader area where 32.8% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bacchus Marsh, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Bacchus Marsh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bacchus Marsh, as per the latest Census evaluation, dwelling structures consisted of 84.5% houses and 15.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bacchus Marsh stood at 34.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.2% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent was $330, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Bacchus Marsh's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $375.

Bacchus Marsh features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.1% of all households, including 25.4% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.9%, with lone person households at 30.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates of 21.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.2%). Educational participation is high at 27.5%, comprising 10.4% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Bacchus Marsh's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,113 students, serving distinct age groups with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1018).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bacchus Marsh has 31 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that collectively facilitate 828 weekly passenger trips. The town's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 269 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 118 trips per day, translating to roughly 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bacchus Marsh is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Bacchus Marsh faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data.

Both younger and older age groups exhibit high prevalence of common health conditions. The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 53%, slightly higher than the average SA2 area's rate. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.8% and 9.3% of residents respectively. However, 63.6% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% in Greater Melbourne. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 22.5% (1,809 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

Bacchus Marsh ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh had low cultural diversity, with 88.4% being citizens, 83.4% born in Australia, and 90.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 46.8%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 2.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.6%.

For ancestry, English (28.7%) and Australian (27.1%) were significantly higher than regional averages of 16.9% and 18.6%, respectively. Irish ancestry was also high at 10.2% (regional average: 4.2%). Notably, Maltese (2.4%), Polish (0.9%), and Scottish (8.9%) were overrepresented compared to regional figures of 5.1%, 0.9%, and 3.9%.

Bacchus Marsh's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Bacchus Marsh is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 75-84 age group is notably over-represented in Bacchus Marsh, at 8.9% compared to 6.1%. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.0% compared to 13.9%. According to the 2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has grown from 7.6% in previous years to 8.9%, while the 25-34 age group has declined from 15.3% to 14.4%. Population forecasts for Bacchus Marsh indicate significant demographic changes by 2041, with the 75-84 age group expected to grow by 65%, reaching 1,182 people from a previous count of 715.