Bacchus Marsh

Bacchus Marsh lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Bacchus Marsh's population is estimated at around 8,157 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 349 people (4.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,808 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,860 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 120 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 744 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bacchus Marsh has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 3.3%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth of national statistical areas is projected, with Bacchus Marsh expected to expand by 2,083 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 29.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Bacchus Marsh among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Bacchus Marsh recorded approximately 31 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 158 homes. As of FY26, 11 approvals have been recorded. On average, 7.1 new residents arrive annually per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. Commercial development approvals this financial year total $3.6 million, suggesting the area's residential character.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 85.0% below the regional average per person. New developments consist of 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density nature. With around 247 people per dwelling approval, Bacchus Marsh exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Population forecasts indicate an increase of 2,406 residents by 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Bacchus Marsh has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that could influence this region. Notable ones include Bacchus Marsh Central, Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion, Summerfield North Estate, and Bacchus Marsh Racecourse and Recreation Reserve Masterplan Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Bacchus Marsh has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Bacchus Marsh has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6%.

As of September 2025, there are 4,274 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.9%, which is 0.2% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Bacchus Marsh was 57.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical employs only 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force grew by 5.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.8 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bacchus Marsh's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Bacchus Marsh suburb had median income among taxpayers at $52,022 with average level at $65,597. This is slightly lower than national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $56,314 (median) and $71,009 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at 36th percentile, family incomes at 40th percentile, and personal incomes at 43rd percentile in Bacchus Marsh. The data shows that majority, 32.2% or 2,626 people, fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, reflecting broader area patterns where 32.8% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 83.9% of income remaining, ranking at 36th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Bacchus Marsh is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bacchus Marsh, as per the latest Census, 84.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 15.5% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bacchus Marsh stood at 34.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.2% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent in Bacchus Marsh was $330, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Bacchus Marsh's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Bacchus Marsh features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.1% of all households, including 25.4% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.9%, with lone person households at 30.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Educational attainment in Bacchus Marsh aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.2%). Educational participation is high at 27.5%, comprising primary education (10.4%), secondary education (7.0%), and tertiary education (3.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 31 active public transport stops in Bacchus Marsh, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by two individual routes, facilitating 576 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is assessed as good, with residents typically situated 269 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 82 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bacchus Marsh is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Bacchus Marsh.

Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 53%, covering about 4,305 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues affect 9.8% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.3%. About 63.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% in Greater Melbourne. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 22.6%, totaling 1,843 people, which is higher than the 10.1% seen in Greater Melbourne. Senior health outcomes present challenges broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

Bacchus Marsh ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bacchus Marsh had a cultural diversity level below average, with 88.4% of its population being citizens, 83.4% born in Australia, and 90.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 46.8% of people in Bacchus Marsh. The most notable overrepresentation was in the 'Other' category, which constituted 2.3% of the population compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (28.7%), Australian (27.1%), and Irish (10.2%). These percentages were substantially higher than the regional averages of 16.9%, 18.6%, and 4.2% respectively. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Maltese at 2.4% in Bacchus Marsh compared to 5.1% regionally, Polish at 0.9% (matching the regional average), and Scottish at 8.9% versus 3.9%.

Bacchus Marsh's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bacchus Marsh is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Bacchus Marsh has a notably higher proportion of people aged 75-84 (9.0% locally), while those aged 15-24 are under-represented (10.0%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 7.6% to 9.0% of Bacchus Marsh's population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.3% to 14.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Bacchus Marsh. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 60%, adding 442 people and reaching a total of 1,177 from the current 734. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group will see more modest growth of 10%, with an increase of 45 residents.