Kurunjang

Population growth drivers in Kurunjang are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the population of Kurunjang is estimated to be around 11,262. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 10,711 people, marking a growth of 551 individuals (5.1%). The current resident population estimate of 11,145 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates a population density ratio of approximately 1,087 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed to around 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation method for areas not covered by the former data.

The suburb is forecasted to grow significantly based on aggregated SA2-level projections, with an expected increase of 2,832 persons by 2041, reflecting a total growth of 24.1% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurunjang, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Kurunjang experienced approximately 30 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 152 homes were approved, with an additional 9 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, 1 person has moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these years.

This suggests new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and enabling population growth that could surpass current projections. The average expected construction cost of new properties is $701,000, indicating a focus on premium segment development. This financial year has seen $119,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang shows significantly reduced construction levels, at 89.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

Nationally, this level is also below average, suggesting maturity in the area and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining Kurunjang's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. The location has approximately 1580 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Kurunjang will gain 2,715 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Kurunjang has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Cobblebank Train Stabling Facility, Melton Line Upgrade & Cobblebank Stabling Yard, Melton Suburban Revitalisation, and Outlook Ride Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kurunjang recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kurunjang has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent. In the past year, ending December 2025, unemployment was at 7.9%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.9%.

As of December 2025, 5,592 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 3.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation matched Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 16.9% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance.

The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.2 times the regional level. However, professional & technical jobs comprised only 3.6% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.9%, labour force grew by 4.2%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kurunjang's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended 2023, Kurunjang had a median taxpayer income of $50,559 and an average income of $57,536. These figures are below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2023 to March 2026 (9.62%), estimated median income is approximately $55,423 and average income is around $63,071. As per the 2021 Census, incomes in Kurunjang rank modestly, between the 28th and 38th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis shows that 37.3% of locals (4,200 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, similar to regional patterns where 32.8% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kurunjang, with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Kurunjang is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Kurunjang, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.9% houses and 6.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurunjang was at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kurunjang was $1,517, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Kurunjang was $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kurunjang's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kurunjang features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.3% of all households, consisting of 36.1% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kurunjang faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (30.0%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows 37 active public transport stops in Kurunjang, all bus stops. These are served by 8 routes offering a total of 1,739 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically 319 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 248 trips per day across all routes, or approximately 47 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Kurunjang is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant health challenges in Kurunjang. AreaSearch's assessment found high mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover was relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~5,590 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma were the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents respectively. However, 66.8% reported being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Kurunjang has 12.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,430 people), lower than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kurunjang was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurunjang's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 24.7% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kurunjang, accounting for 52.9%. The 'Other' religious category comprised 1.9%, slightly above Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

Ancestry-wise, Australian (23.6%) and English (23.2%) were the top groups, both exceeding regional averages of 18.4% and 17.0% respectively. 'Other' ancestry made up 12.0%. Notably, Maltese (6.2%), Samoan (1.6%), and Serbian (0.9%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 0.3%, and 0.4% respectively.

Kurunjang hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kurunjang's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.9%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 2.9% to 3.8%. Conversely, the population aged 25-34 has declined from 15.0% to 13.9%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes in Kurunjang's population. The strongest projected growth is for the 55-64 age group, expected to grow by 45%, adding 590 residents to reach a total of 1,897. In contrast, the 0-4 age group is forecast to have minimal growth of just 7% (adding 55 people).