Kurunjang

Population growth drivers in Kurunjang are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Kurunjang's estimated population as of Feb 2026 is around 11,163. This reflects a 452 person increase since the 2021 Census, which reported 10,711 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 11,128 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,077 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 58% during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections anticipate significant population increases in top quartile statistical areas nationwide, with Kurunjang expected to grow by 2,942 persons to 2041, reflecting a 25.8% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurunjang, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kurunjang has seen approximately 30 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval data. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 152 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved in FY-26. On average, 0.8 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years.

This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost of new properties is $701,000, suggesting a focus on premium segment developments. This financial year, Kurunjang has seen $119,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang's construction levels are 90.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

Nationally, Kurunjang's level is also below average, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity in Kurunjang consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. The area has approximately 1576 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kurunjang is projected to gain 2,880 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Kurunjang has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include the Western Freeway Upgrade from Melton to Caroline Springs, the Cobblebank Train Stabling Facility, the Melton Line Upgrade and Cobblebank Stabling Yard project, and the Melton Suburban Revitalisation scheme. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kurunjang recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kurunjang has a balanced workforce across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably represented with an unemployment rate of 7.9% and estimated employment growth of 5.3% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 5,590 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 8.9%, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

The workforce participation rate is similar to Greater Melbourne's at 71.0%. According to Census responses, 16.9% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance sectors. Kurunjang has a particular specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 2.2 times the regional level, while professional & technical services employ only 3.6% of local workers compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3%, labour force grew by 5.4%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged at 7.9%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 5.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kurunjang's employment mix indicates that local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Kurunjang had a median income among taxpayers of $50,559 with an average level of $57,536. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $54,730 (median) and $62,283 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household incomes rank at the 28th percentile, family incomes at the 31st percentile, and personal incomes at the 38th percentile in Kurunjang. Income analysis reveals that 37.3% of locals (4,163 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Kurunjang is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Kurunjang, as per the latest Census, 93.9% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 6.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurunjang stood at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Kurunjang was $321 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kurunjang's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kurunjang features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.3% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households at 3.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kurunjang faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (30.0%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 37 active transport stops in Kurunjang, consisting of buses. These stops are served by 8 different routes, offering a total of 1,739 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically located 319 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward, with car being the primary mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 248 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kurunjang is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Kurunjang. AreaSearch's assessment shows high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~5,541 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents respectively. However, 66.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. Kurunjang has 12.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,384 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kurunjang was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurunjang's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 24.7% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kurunjang, accounting for 52.9% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 1.9%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 23.6%, English 23.2%, and Other 12.0% of Kurunjang's population. Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Maltese were overrepresented at 6.2% (regional average 1.1%), Samoan at 1.6% (vs regional 0.3%), and Serbian at 0.9% (vs regional 0.4%).

Kurunjang hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kurunjang's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 years (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and present day, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 years has increased from 2.9% to 3.8%, while the proportion of residents aged 25-34 years has decreased from 15.0% to 13.4%. By 2041, Kurunjang's population is forecasted to change significantly. The 55-64 age group is projected to grow by 47%, adding 622 residents to reach a total of 1,951. Conversely, the 0-4 age group is projected to grow minimally by just 8% (61 people).