Kurunjang

Population growth drivers in Kurunjang are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Kurunjang is estimated at around 11,126. This figure reflects an increase of 415 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,711. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 11,106 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 1,073 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed around 58% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections anticipate significant population growth in Kurunjang, with an expected increase of 2,942 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of approximately 26.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurunjang, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kurunjang shows around 32 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 161 homes were approved, with a further three approved so far in FY-26.

On average, about 0.8 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years. This suggests new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost of new properties is around $701,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment by developers. Comparatively, Kurunjang shows significantly reduced construction activity compared to Greater Melbourne, with 89.0% fewer approvals per person. This constrained supply typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

Furthermore, recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's suburban identity and attracting buyers seeking spacious family homes. With approximately 1051 people per approval, Kurunjang exhibits characteristics of a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is projected to increase by 2,919 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Kurunjang has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Western Freeway Upgrade - Melton to Caroline Springs, Cobblebank Train Stabling Facility, Melton Suburban Revitalisation, and Outlook Ride Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Kurunjang shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Kurunjang has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 7.8% in the past year.

Employment grew by 5.6% during this period. As of June 2025, 5,674 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Melbourne's at 3.2%. Workforce participation is lower, at 61.9%. Leading industries include construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance.

Transport, postal & warehousing has particularly high employment levels, at 2.2 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical jobs are lower than average at 3.6%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 5.6% while labour force grew by 5.7%, with unemployment remaining stable. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5%, labour force expand by 4.0%, and unemployment rise slightly to 5.1%. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kurunjang's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released in financial year 2022 shows Kurunjang's median income among taxpayers is $50,559 and the average is $57,536. This is lower than national averages. In Greater Melbourne, the median is $54,892 and the average is $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,707 (median) and $64,532 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Kurunjang rank modestly between the 28th and 38th percentiles. The income distribution shows that 37.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 - $2,999, similar to metropolitan regions where 32.8% fall within this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kurunjang, with only 83.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Kurunjang is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kurunjang, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.9% houses and 6.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurunjang stood at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented dwellings at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent in Kurunjang was $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Kurunjang's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kurunjang features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.3% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, smaller than Greater Melbourne's average of 3.0.

Kurunjang faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 13.8%, significantly lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.5% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 30.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education. Kurunjang's 3 schools have a combined enrollment reaching 1,447 students as of the latest data available. The area demonstrates varied educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 946. The educational mix includes 1 primary school, 1 secondary school, and 1 K-12 school. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Kurunjang shows 37 active public transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling four individual routes. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 2,875.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents on average located 319 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 410 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 77 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kurunjang is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Kurunjang faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but are more pronounced amongst older cohorts.

Approximately 50% of Kurunjang's total population (~5,522 people) has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.8% of Kurunjang residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2016, 12.0% of Kurunjang's residents are aged 65 and over (1,335 people), higher than the 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes amongst seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Kurunjang was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurunjang's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 24.7% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kurunjang, making up 52.9% of its population. However, the category 'Other' showed an overrepresentation compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 1.9% versus 5.6%.

Regarding ancestry, Australian (23.6%) and English (23.2%) were the top groups in Kurunjang, significantly higher than regional averages of 18.6% and 16.9%, respectively. 'Other' ancestry was notably lower at 12.0% compared to the regional average of 18.2%. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Maltese were overrepresented at 6.2% versus the regional average of 5.1%, Samoan at 1.6% versus 1.0%, and Serbian at 0.9% versus 0.8%.

Kurunjang hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kurunjang's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 years (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (13.7%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 2.9% to 3.5% of Kurunjang's population, while the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 15.0% to 13.7%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes in Kurunjang's population structure. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow by 51%, adding 658 residents and reaching a total of 1,949. In contrast, the 0 to 4 age cohort is expected to grow minimally by just 7% (52 people).