Kurunjang

Population growth drivers in Kurunjang are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the population of Kurunjang is estimated at around 11,163. This reflects an increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,711 people. The latest estimate by AreaSearch, based on examination of the ABS's ERP data release from June 2024 and additional validated new addresses, puts the resident population at 11,128. This results in a population density ratio of 1,077 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 58% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth. Future projections anticipate significant population increase in Kurunjang. By 2041, based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 2,948 persons, reflecting an increase of 26.1% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurunjang, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis shows Kurunjang had approximately 30 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, about 152 homes were approved, with another 5 approved in FY-26. On average, around 0.8 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current expectations. The average expected construction cost of new properties was $701,000, indicating a focus on premium segment developments. In FY-26, there were $119,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang had significantly lower construction levels, 90.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

Nationally, this level is also below average, suggesting maturity in the area and possible planning constraints. All recent building activity involved detached dwellings, maintaining Kurunjang's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. With approximately 1576 people per dwelling approval, Kurunjang indicates an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is projected to gain 2,913 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply might lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Kurunjang has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Western Freeway Upgrade - Melton to Caroline Springs, Cobblebank Train Stabling Facility, Melton Line Upgrade & Cobblebank Stabling Yard, and Melton Suburban Revitalisation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kurunjang recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kurunjang has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent here, with an unemployment rate of 7.8% in the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 3.9%.

As of December 2025, 5,588 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 10.9%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. About 16.9% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 impacts. Major industries for Kurunjang residents are construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance.

Transport, postal & warehousing has a high employment share, at 2.2 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 3.6% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.9%, labour force grew by 4.2%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kurunjang's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 2023-07-01 for financial year ending June 2023, Kurunjang suburb had a median income among taxpayers of $50,559. The average income level was $57,536. This is below the national average of $57,688 and Greater Melbourne's average of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $54,730 and average income $62,283, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ending June 2023. As per 2021 Census figures, incomes in Kurunjang rank modestly, between the 28th to 38th percentiles for household, family and personal incomes. Income analysis shows that 37.3% of locals (4,163 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kurunjang, with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Kurunjang is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Kurunjang, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.9% houses and 6.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 70.2% houses and 29.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurunjang stood at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented dwellings at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Kurunjang was $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kurunjang's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

Kurunjang features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.3% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kurunjang faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (30.0%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.1% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kurunjang has 37 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 1,739 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transportation in Kurunjang is rated as good, with residents typically living 319 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outside Kurunjang, primarily by car (93%). On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Kurunjang, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of Kurunjang's residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 248 trips per day, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Kurunjang is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Kurunjang. AreaSearch's assessment shows high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Mental health issues affect 9.9% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.8%.

Approximately 50% (~5,541 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. Sixty-six point eight percent declare no medical ailments, lower than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age population faces notable chronic condition rates. Twelve point five percent are aged 65 and over (1,395 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally in line with national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kurunjang was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurunjang, surveyed in 2016, had a higher proportion of overseas-born residents than most local markets, with 24.7%. In the same year, 22.9% spoke languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 52.9% of Kurunjang's population in 2016.

The 'Other' religious category had a slightly higher representation in Kurunjang (1.9%) compared to Greater Melbourne (2.3%). In terms of ancestry, Australians were most represented at 23.6%, followed by English at 23.2% and Other at 12.0%. Notably, Maltese residents were overrepresented at 6.2% in Kurunjang versus 1.1% regionally, Samoan at 1.6% versus 0.3%, and Serbian at 0.9% versus 0.4%.

Kurunjang hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kurunjang's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 years (14.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 years has increased from 2.9% to 3.8%, while the proportion of residents aged 25-34 years has decreased from 15.0% to 13.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Kurunjang. The 55-64 age group is projected to grow by 47%, adding 623 residents to reach a total of 1,952. Conversely, the 0-4 age group is projected to show minimal growth of just 9% (68 people).