Kurunjang

Population growth drivers in Kurunjang are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the Kurunjang statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 11,153 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 442 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,711. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 11,128 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 26 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 1,076 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively consistent with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed to around 58% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of statistical areas nationwide. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Kurunjang (SA2) is expected to grow by 2,946 persons to the year 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 26%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurunjang, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis shows Kurunjang had approximately 30 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 152 homes were approved, with another 5 in FY-26 so far. On average, about 0.8 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years.

This suggests new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering more buyer options and enabling population growth that might surpass current expectations. The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $701,000, indicating a focus on premium segment development. There have been $119,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang has significantly lower construction levels (90.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This level is also below national average, suggesting mature market conditions and possible planning constraints.

All recent building activity consists of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. There are approximately 1576 people per dwelling approval in Kurunjang, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Kurunjang will gain 2,896 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply might lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Kurunjang has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects potentially affecting this region. Key initiatives include Western Freeway Upgrade from Melton to Caroline Springs, Cobblebank Train Stabling Facility, Melton Line Upgrade & Cobblebank Stabling Yard, and Melton Suburban Revitalisation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kurunjang recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kurunjang's workforce comprises an equal mix of white and blue collar jobs. Notably, the construction sector is prominent.

In September 2025, unemployment stood at 7.9%, with employment growth estimated at 5.4% over the preceding year. As of that date, 5,592 residents were employed, but the unemployment rate was higher than Greater Melbourne's by 3.2 percentage points (at 8.1%). Workforce participation in Kurunjang was lower, at 61.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment sectors included construction, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance.

The area had a particular specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.2 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services employed only 3.6% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.4%, while the labour force also grew by 5.4%, with unemployment remaining stable at 7.9%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 5.0%. Statewide, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year as of 25-November 2025, adding 41,950 jobs, while the state unemployment rate was 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicated overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kurunjang's current employment mix suggests local employment could increase by approximately 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, assuming no significant changes in population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended 2023, Kurunjang had a median income among taxpayers of $50,559. The average income stood at $57,536. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ended 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,730 (median) and $62,283 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in 2021, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Kurunjang, between the 28th and 38th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the predominant cohort spans 37.3% of locals (4,160 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to 2,999, reflecting patterns seen in the region where 32.8% similarly occupy this income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Kurunjang is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kurunjang, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.9% houses and 6.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurunjang stood at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent in Kurunjang was $321, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Kurunjang's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kurunjang features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.3% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Kurunjang faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (30.0%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (12.1%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (3.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Kurunjang shows 37 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 8 different routes that together facilitate 1,739 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport is considered good, with residents on average located 319 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 248 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kurunjang is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Kurunjang faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across age cohorts but to a higher degree among older adults. Approximately 50% of Kurunjang's total population (~5,536 people) has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point eight percent of Kurunjang residents report no medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Melbourne. Twelve percent of Kurunjang's population is aged 65 and over (1,338 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to the presenting challenges.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kurunjang was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurunjang's population is more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 24.7% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kurunjang, comprising 52.9%. The 'Other' religious category makes up 1.9%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (23.6%) and English (23.2%) are most represented, significantly higher than regional averages of 18.6% and 16.9% respectively. 'Other' ancestry comprises 12.0%, lower than the regional average of 18.2%. Notably, Maltese (6.2%), Samoan (1.6%) and Serbian (0.9%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Kurunjang compared to regional averages.

Kurunjang hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kurunjang's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kurunjang has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 at 15.2%, but fewer residents aged 25-34 at 13.7%. Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the percentage of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 2.9% to 3.5%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 15.0% to 13.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Kurunjang. The 55-64 age group is projected to grow by 51%, adding 655 residents to reach a total of 1,949. In contrast, the 0-4 age group is expected to show minimal growth of just 6%, with an increase of 49 people.