Maddingley

Maddingley lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Maddingley is around 6,766. This reflects an increase of 1,275 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,491. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 6,601 as of June 2024, based on ABS ERP data, and an additional 568 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 264 persons per square kilometer. Maddingley's growth rate of 23.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages. Interstate migration contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as natural growth and overseas migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch projects an above median population growth for Maddingley, expecting it to increase by 1,548 persons to reach around 8,314 by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia (released in 2024 with a base year of 2022) and the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections (released in 2023). This projected increase reflects an overall growth rate of approximately 9.6% over the 17-year period from 2025 to 2041.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Maddingley among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, derived from statistical area data, indicates Maddingley has averaged around 153 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 767 homes were approved, with a further 29 approved so far in FY-26. The average number of new residents per year arriving per new home over these years is 0.9, suggesting supply meets or exceeds demand, offering greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $431,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. This financial year has seen $12.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Maddingley maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas, although building activity has slowed in recent years. Notably, this activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area.

New development consists of 87.0% standalone homes and 13.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Maddingley's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 51 people per dwelling approval, Maddingley exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Maddingley is forecasted to gain 649 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Maddingley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified eight projects that could impact the area, with key ones being the Bacchus Marsh Racecourse and Recreation Reserve Masterplan Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion, Bacchus Marsh Central, and Underbank Estate. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Maddingley exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Maddingley's workforce is skilled with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.0% as of the past year.

Employment growth was estimated at 5.3%. As of June 2025, 3,442 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was 68.4%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Dominant employment sectors included construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction employment levels were at 1.4 times the regional average. Professional & technical services employed only 5.5% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparison. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3%, while the labour force grew by 5.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment rose by 3.5%, the labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand in Maddingley. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Maddingley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Maddingley's median income among taxpayers is $60,389, with an average of $76,147. This is higher than the national average and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,732 (median) and $85,406 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Maddingley cluster around the 63rd percentile nationally. The data indicates that 39.4% of residents (2,665 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, while strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Maddingley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Maddingley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.7% houses and 8.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maddingley stood at 19.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.4% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,766, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent in Maddingley was $366, compared to Melbourne metro's $351. Nationally, Maddingley's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Maddingley has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.6% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for 23.4%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Maddingley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates at 22.6%, which is substantially lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead with 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 5.5% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education. Educational provision includes Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus and Bacchus Marsh College, serving a total of 4,552 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1041) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix consists of 1 secondary school and 1 K-12 school. The area functions as an education hub with 67.3 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 16.2, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Maddingley has 23 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 14 different routes, offering a total of 2,023 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average located 253 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 289 trips per day, which amounts to approximately 87 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Maddingley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Maddingley faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups but notably higher among older cohorts. Approximately 57% of Maddingley's total population (~3849 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 50.8%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 10.0% and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 67.0% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 73.7%. Maddingley has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.7% (926 people) than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in Maddingley require more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Maddingley was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maddingley's cultural diversity was above average, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 16.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity dominated as the main religion in Maddingley, making up 40.5% of people. However, the most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, comprising 5.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.6%.

For ancestry, Australian was highest at 27.1%, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's 18.6%. English ancestry followed at 26.0%, also higher than the regional average of 16.9%. Other ancestry stood at 9.2%, notably lower than the regional average of 18.2%. Notable divergences included Maltese, overrepresented at 2.5% in Maddingley compared to 5.1% regionally; Samoan at 0.6% versus 1.0%; and Croatian at 0.8% against 1.4%.

Maddingley's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Maddingley has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national median age of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Maddingley has a higher proportion of residents aged 0-4 (8.4%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.5%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population of those aged 35-44 has grown from 16.1% to 17.5%, while the 75-84 age group increased from 3.8% to 4.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 14.8% to 13.9%. By 2041, Maddingley's population is projected to change significantly. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 154%, adding 176 residents to reach a total of 292. This demographic aging trend continues as those aged 65 and older represent 53% of the anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 35-44 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.