Maddingley

Maddingley lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Maddingley's population is estimated at around 6,848 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,357 people (24.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,491 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6,802 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 599 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 267 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Maddingley's 24.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (9.3%) and national averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the suburb expected to increase by 1,380 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 19.5% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Maddingley was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Between FY-21 and FY-25, Maddingley saw approximately 754 new homes approved. In FY-26 up to date, there have been 91 approvals. On average, around 2.3 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these years.

The average construction value of new homes is $431,000. This financial year has seen $8.2 million in commercial approvals. Maddingley maintains similar construction rates per person compared to Greater Melbourne. New development consists of 88% standalone homes and 12% medium and high-density housing.

There are around 52 people per dwelling approval in the area. Population forecasts indicate Maddingley will gain 1,334 residents by 2041.

Maddingley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects potentially impacting the region. Notable projects include Bacchus Marsh Racecourse and Recreation Reserve Masterplan Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion, Bacchus Marsh Central, and Underbank Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Maddingley exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Maddingley has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.2%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. In the past year, employment growth was estimated at 6.4% based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, 3,800 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation is higher than standard at 75.3%. A moderate 21.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction employs 1.4 times the regional average while professional & technical services employ just 5.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 6.4%, labour force grew by 7.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4% with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Maddingley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Maddingley's median income among taxpayers is $60,389. The average income in this suburb is $76,147. Nationally, the median income is lower at $51,546 with an average of $77,220. In Greater Melbourne, the median income is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Maddingley's median income would be approximately $66,198 by March 2026, with an average of around $83,472 during the same period. Census 2021 data shows incomes in Maddingley cluster around the 63rd percentile nationally. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 39.4% of residents, which is higher than the surrounding region's 32.8%. Residents spend 16.6% of their income on housing costs, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. Maddingley's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Maddingley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Maddingley, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.7% houses and 8.4% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Melbourne metro's structure of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maddingley stood at 19.3%, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (56.4%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,766, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Maddingley was recorded at $366, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Maddingley's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Maddingley has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.6% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.4%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Maddingley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (26.1%). Educational participation is high at 30.5%, with 11.5% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Maddingley has 23 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train services. These are served by 6 routes, collectively facilitating 1,288 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 253 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 90%, while train usage stands at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 21.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 184 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Maddingley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Maddingley faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 57% of Maddingley's total population (~3,895 people) has private health cover. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.0%) and asthma (9.7%). 67.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. As of 2021, 14.3% of Maddingley's residents are aged 65 and over (979 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Maddingley was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maddingley's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 20.7% born overseas and 16.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Maddingley, accounting for 40.5%. The category 'Other' is notably higher at 5.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (27.1%) and English (26.0%) are significantly higher than regional averages of 18.4% and 20.1% respectively, while Other (9.2%) is lower than the regional average of 14.6%. Notable overrepresentation exists for Maltese (2.5%), Samoan (0.6%), and Croatian (0.8%).

Maddingley's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Maddingley's median age is 33, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Maddingley has a higher percentage of residents aged 0-4 (8.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (7.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of those aged 75-84 has increased from 3.8% to 5.5%, while the 35-44 cohort has risen from 16.1% to 17.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 11.0% to 10.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Maddingley. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 38%, adding 262 residents to reach a total of 947. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is expected to grow by a modest 6% (an increase of 32 people).