Maddingley

Maddingley lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Maddingley is estimated at around 6,644, reflecting an increase of 1,153 people since the 2021 Census. The population was reported as 5,491 in the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 21.0% increase and is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 6,507 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 566 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 259 persons per square kilometer. Maddingley's growth exceeded the national average (9.9%) and was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 48.0% of overall population gains. AreaSearch projections for Maddingley, based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, indicate an expected growth of 1,976 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 27.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,976 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting reflecting an increase of 27.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Maddingley among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Maddingley has averaged around 150 new dwelling approvals each year. Between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 754 homes were approved, with a further 64 approved so far in FY26. Over the past five financial years, on average, only 1 person per year moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

This offers ample buyer choice and creates capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $431,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY26, there have been $8.2 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Maddingley maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas.

However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. Despite this, activity remains significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 48 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Looking ahead, Maddingley is expected to grow by 1,839 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Maddingley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely to affect this region. Notable ones include Bacchus Marsh Racecourse and Recreation Reserve Masterplan Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Bacchus Marsh Grammar - Maddingley Campus Expansion, Bacchus Marsh Central, and Underbank Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Maddingley maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Maddingley has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.9%. As of December 2025, 3,405 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 0.5% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. According to Census responses, 21.5% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area shows strong specialization in construction with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have limited presence, with 5.5% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data from broader statistical areas indicates that during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.9%, labour force increased by 4.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Maddingley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes that does not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Maddingley had a median income among taxpayers of $60,389. The average income stood at $76,147. This is higher than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 for Greater Melbourne respectively. As of September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $65,371 and $82,429 respectively. Census data indicates that incomes in Maddingley cluster around the 63rd percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, the highest bracket is $1,500 - 2,999 with 39.4% of residents (2,617 people), similar to regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income. Despite this, disposable income remains at the 60th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Maddingley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Maddingley, as per the latest Census, 91.7% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 8.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maddingley was at 19.3%, lower than Melbourne metro's figure. Most dwellings were mortgaged (56.4%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,766, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Maddingley was $366, lower than Melbourne metro's $390 and the national figure of $375.

Maddingley has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.6% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for 23.4%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Maddingley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 38.9% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 26.1%. Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.5% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Maddingley has 23 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These include train stations serviced by six different routes that collectively facilitate 1,288 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 253 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. The car remains the primary mode of transport at 90%, while train usage stands at 6%. On average, each dwelling owns 1.6 vehicles, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 21.5% of residents work from home, a figure potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 184 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Maddingley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Maddingley faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but particularly so among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~3,779 people). Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 10.0 and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 67.0% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.5% of residents aged 65 and over (963 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Maddingley was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maddingley's cultural diversity was above average, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 16.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Maddingley, comprising 40.5% of people. The 'Other' religious category had an overrepresentation of 5.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian was the highest at 27.1%, English followed at 26.0%, both notably higher than regional averages of 18.4% and 20.1% respectively. 'Other' ancestry was lower at 9.2%, compared to a regional average of 14.6%. Some ethnic groups had notable divergences: Maltese were overrepresented at 2.5%, Samoan at 0.6%, and Croatian at 0.8%, compared to their respective regional averages of 1.1%, 0.3%, and 0.7%.

Maddingley's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Maddingley has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Maddingley has a higher percentage of 0-4 year-olds (8.0%) but fewer 55-64 year-olds (8.0%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.8% to 5.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort has decreased from 11.0% to 10.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Maddingley, with the strongest projected growth in the 25-34 age group (28%), adding 322 residents to reach a total of 1,485.