Manor Lakes - Quandong

Manor Lakes - Quandong lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

According to research by AreaSearch, the population of Manor Lakes - Quandong stands at approximately 13,667 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 3,051 people (28.7%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 10,616 people. The change is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 13,667 as of June 2025 alongside an extra 1,309 validated new addresses registered since the Census date. This population size yields a density ratio of 189 persons per square kilometer, offering substantial space per resident and potential capacity for additional expansion. The 28.7% growth rate in Manor Lakes - Quandong since the 2021 census outstripped the state (9.3%) and the national benchmark, positioning it as a leading growth area in the territory. Expansion was chiefly propelled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 40.6% of overall population increases in recent times, though other components including overseas migration and natural growth also made positive contributions.

AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for individual SA2 zones, published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For SA2 zones lacking this coverage, AreaSearch applies the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted via a weighted aggregation of population expansion from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates across age groups derived from these aggregations are also utilized for all locations from years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead to future demographics, exceptional growth placing the district in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationwide is anticipated, with the locality projected to add 11,634 persons to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total increase of 85.1% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Manor Lakes - Quandong was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Manor Lakes - Quandong has seen approximately 309 dwellings obtain building approval annually, with 1,545 homes approved during the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 317 to date in FY-26. An average of 2.4 people per year relocated to the district for each new dwelling built over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), pointing to strong demand that is likely to bolster property values, while new dwellings are being constructed at a mean value of $278,000—under the regional norm—pointing to more economical housing alternatives for purchasers.

Relative to Greater Melbourne, Manor Lakes - Quandong logs 75.0% more new home approvals (per person), which should offer buyers plenty of options. This rate is far higher than the national figure, indicating robust developer trust in the area. New construction consists of 97.0% detached houses and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the traditional low-density profile of the area with an emphasis on family residences that appeal to buyers wanting space. With approximately 36 people per dwelling approval, Manor Lakes - Quandong displays typical characteristics of a developing growth corridor.

Demographic projections indicate that Manor Lakes - Quandong will add 11,634 residents through to 2041 (starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction volumes appear to match future demands, keeping market conditions balanced without placing major pressure on prices.

Manor Lakes - Quandong has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

An area's performance is heavily guided by updates to local infrastructure, major developments, and urban planning schemes. In total, 23 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a potential impact on the locality. Major developments include Manor Lakes Park Hub - Bunnings & Retail Precinct, Manor Lakes Central Bunnings Expansion, Manor Lakes Estate Development, and Parkbrook, with the list below highlighting the most relevant ones.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Manor Lakes - Quandong has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Manor Lakes - Quandong has an exceptionally well-educated workforce, with the technology industry showing particularly strong representation, an unemployment rate of 5.2%, and 1.7% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of March 2026, 7,042 residents are employed, which is an unemployment rate 0.5% higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%, while labour force participation is exceptionally high (77.4% compared to 70.2% in Greater Melbourne). Census data indicates that a high 38.4% of residents worked from home, though the influence of Covid-19 restrictions should be kept in mind.

The primary employment fields for residents are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. The locality displays a strong job specialization in finance & insurance, with a representation rate 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, construction employs only 6.1% of the local workforce, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne share of 9.7%. The district appears to provide relatively few jobs locally, as shown by the balance of Census working population compared to resident population.

According to AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, over the 12 months to March 2026, employment grew by 1.7% while the labour force expanded by 1.9%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne registered employment growth of 2.1%, labour force expansion of 2.3%, and an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer additional context on future labor needs in Manor Lakes - Quandong. These forecasts, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local workforce distribution to project growth trends. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary widely by sector. Projecting these industry-specific trends onto the employment structure of Manor Lakes - Quandong suggests local employment should rise by 7.0% over five years and 14.0% over ten years (note this is a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate local population projections).

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Manor Lakes - Quandong SA2 has an income level slightly below the national standard, according to the most recent ATO figures aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in the Manor Lakes - Quandong SA2 is $57,089 and the average income is $65,722, compared to Greater Melbourne averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current projections suggest figures of approximately $62,581 (median) and $72,044 (average) as of March 2026. Census records show household, family, and personal incomes all place highly for Manor Lakes - Quandong, landing between the 75th and 83rd percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows the largest group contains 44.3% of residents (6,054 people) earning in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the broader metropolitan area where this group accounts for 32.8%. High-income earners represent a notable segment, with 31.4% earning over $3,000 weekly, pointing to solid purchasing power in the area. High housing costs take up 17.1% of income, yet strong earnings keep disposable income at the 81st percentile, and the SEIFA income score for the area sits in the 6th decile.

Manor Lakes - Quandong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Residential structure in Manor Lakes - Quandong at the time of the latest Census consisted of 94.8% standalone houses and 5.2% other housing types (semi-detached, apartments, and alternative dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's mix of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Manor Lakes - Quandong lagged behind Melbourne metro at 6.4%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (66.4%) or rented (27.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the locality was below the metropolitan Melbourne average at $1,930, while the median weekly rent stood at $361, compared to Melbourne metro figures of $2,000 and $390. Across the nation, mortgage repayments in Manor Lakes - Quandong are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rent costs are below the national benchmark of $375.

Manor Lakes - Quandong features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up the vast majority at 89.3% of all households, consisting of 59.2% couples with children, 17.9% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.7%, with single person homes at 8.4% and group households representing 2.4% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne norm of 2.6.

Manor Lakes - Quandong shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Academic achievement in Manor Lakes - Quandong is notably higher than general averages, with 46.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.0% in the SA4 region. This high concentration of tertiary education positions the area well for professional and knowledge-based careers. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational and technical skills are also well represented, with 25.8% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (15.2%).

Participation in study is high, with 36.8% of the local population currently enrolled in education. This proportion comprises 14.8% in primary school, 8.4% in high school, and 4.6% undertaking tertiary studies.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of transit options shows 14 active stops operating in Manor Lakes - Quandong, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 2 separate routes, which provide 539 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility is classified as moderate, with residents living an average of 464 meters from the nearest stop. Because it is mainly a residential suburb, most workers commute out of the area, with cars being the primary mode of travel at 74% and trains at 20%. Households own an average of 1.2 vehicles. A significant 38.4% of residents work from home (based on the 2021 Census, which may show the influence of pandemic restrictions).

Transit service frequency averages 77 journeys per day across the network, which equates to roughly 38 weekly trips per active stop.

Manor Lakes - Quandong's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health indicators show positive outcomes for the population of Manor Lakes - Quandong, with AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality indices and medical conditions showing findings that match national standards, and the frequency of common illnesses remains low in the general population, although it is higher than the national norm among older, vulnerable groups, while the rate of private health insurance is slightly below the SA2 average at about 52% of the population (~7,093 people). This compares to 56.7% for Greater Melbourne overall.

The most frequent medical diagnoses in the district were asthma and mental health concerns, affecting 6.5 and 5.6% of residents, respectively, while 81.8% reported having no chronic medical conditions compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 4.2% of its population aged 65 and over (574 people), which is lower than the 15.0% average for Greater Melbourne. Health statistics for senior citizens show some areas of concern, though they rank lower nationally than the rest of the local cohort.

Manor Lakes - Quandong is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Manor Lakes - Quandong ranks as one of the most multicultural localities in Australia, with 58.5% of the community speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born outside of Australia. The primary religion recorded in Manor Lakes - Quandong was Christianity, representing 33.0% of the population. The most prominent statistical variance was in Hinduism, which represents 28.4% of the population, vastly exceeding the Greater Melbourne average of 4.4%.

Regarding ancestry (based on parents' country of birth), the primary groups in Manor Lakes - Quandong are Other, representing 25.7% of the population, which is much higher than the regional benchmark of 14.6%, Indian at 24.0% of the population, which is significantly higher than the regional average of 4.2%, and Australian at 13.0% of the population, which is notably below the regional average of 18.4%. There are also major variances in other backgrounds: Filipino is highly represented at 4.4% of Manor Lakes - Quandong (compared to 1.3% regionally), Sri Lankan at 0.8% (compared to 0.8%) and Maori at 1.2% (compared to 0.3%).

Manor Lakes - Quandong hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 32 years, Manor Lakes - Quandong's population is considerably younger than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and also lower than the 38-year national average. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Manor Lakes - Quandong has a higher proportion of 35 - 44 year-old residents (24.8%) but fewer people aged 55 - 64 (4.8%). The concentration of 35 - 44 year-olds is well above the national figure of 14.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the 45 to 54 cohort has increased from 8.8% to 10.9% of the population, and the 15 to 24 group has risen from 10.1% to 11.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group dropped from 18.7% to 13.9% and the 0 to 4 demographic fell from 11.0% to 9.9%. Modeling indicates that Manor Lakes - Quandong's age structure will change significantly by 2041, with the 45 to 54 age bracket showing the highest projected increase of 147%, gaining 2,197 residents to reach 3,690.