Hoppers Crossing - South

Hoppers Crossing - South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Hoppers Crossing - South's population was approximately 19,187 as of November 2025. This figure shows an increase of 415 people, representing a growth rate of 2.2% since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,772. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,967 as of June 2024 and an additional 52 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,737 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for this area's population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with this area expected to grow by 2,631 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 12.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - South has averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 126 homes. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. The population has decreased during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $272,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY-26, there have been $7.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing - South has significantly less development activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This trend is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development comprises 45.0% detached dwellings and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. Currently, the housing mix is 86.0% houses, indicating a considerable change in development trends due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 822 people per approval, Hoppers Crossing - South shows signs of being a mature, established area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 2,411 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Hoppers Crossing - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Eleven projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the Hoppers Crossing Town Centre Urban Design Framework, West Tarneit Station, Grange Community Centre and Reserve Enhancement, and Hoppers Crossing Station Precinct Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Hoppers Crossing - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Hoppers Crossing - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8%. As of September 2025, 9,399 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.7% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is lower at 66.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 22.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors. The area has a notably high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing employment, at 2.1 times the regional average.

Professional & technical employment is limited at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.8% while labour force grew by 5.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth rates varying between sectors. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Hoppers Crossing - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $41,801 in financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $48,270 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Hoppers Crossing - South SA2 would be approximately $45,250 (median) and $52,252 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Hoppers Crossing - South rank modestly, between the 19th and 34th percentiles. In terms of income distribution, 33.4% of the population (6,408 individuals) fall within the $1,500 to $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Hoppers Crossing - South, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Hoppers Crossing - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing - South's dwellings were 85.6% houses and 14.4% other types at the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - South was 35.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented at 30.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,551, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000, and the median weekly rent was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - South's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,551 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were less at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 74.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.8%, with lone person households making up 22.1% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.9%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.8% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 21.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoppers Crossing - South has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 2,028 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 187 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 83% of residents, while trains are used by 10%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 289 trips per day, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per stop.

Hoppers Crossing - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Hoppers Crossing - South residents show positive health outcomes, largely matching national benchmarks. Common health conditions are low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at 46% (8,787 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 8.0% and 7.6% respectively. 69.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 18.4% (3,520 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. Senior health outcomes present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Hoppers Crossing - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-South has high cultural diversity, with 41.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 43.6% born overseas as of the latest data. Christianity is the main religion in Hoppers Crossing-South, comprising 47.8%. Hinduism is overrepresented at 7.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.4%.

The top ancestry groups are Other (19.3%), English (18.4%), and Australian (17.9%). Maltese (1.9%) and Indian (7.3%) are notably overrepresented, while Maori is at 1.4%, compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 4.2%, and 0.3% respectively.

Hoppers Crossing - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing - South has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Melbourne's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 10.2% of the population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.7% to 6.7%, while the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 14.8% to 13.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - South's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 48%, reaching 1,892 people from the current 1,275. Those aged 65 and above are projected to contribute to 58% of this growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.