Hoppers Crossing - South

Hoppers Crossing - South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Hoppers Crossing - South's population was approximately 19,000 by November 2025. This figure represents a rise of 228 individuals, a 1.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 18,772 people. This change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 18,972 in June 2024 and an additional 52 validated new addresses post-Census. The population density was around 2,710 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 73% of recent population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas until 2041. Future population trends project above median growth for the area, expecting an increase of 2,631 persons by 2041 based on latest ERP numbers, reflecting a total gain of 13.7% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - South has averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 126 homes. As of FY-26, 8 approvals have been recorded. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average construction cost value for new properties is $272,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY-26, there have been $7.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing - South has significantly less development activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Similarly, when compared nationally, the area shows lower development activity, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 45.0% detached dwellings and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (86.0%). Hoppers Crossing - South has an average of around 822 people per approval, demonstrating a mature, established area.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add approximately 2,598 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Hoppers Crossing - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Eleven projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Key projects include Hoppers Crossing Town Centre Urban Design Framework, West Tarneit Station, Grange Community Centre and Reserve Enhancement, and Hoppers Crossing Station Precinct Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Hoppers Crossing - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Hoppers Crossing - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.3% in September 2025, which is 3.7% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.8%. There are 9,399 residents currently employed. The area has a workforce participation rate of 57.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors.

Transport, postal & warehousing has particularly high employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services have limited presence with only 5.8% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 5.4%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - South's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Hoppers Crossing - South SA2 had an income level below the national average in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The median income among taxpayers was $40,612 and the average income stood at $46,934. These figures compared to Greater Melbourne's of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $45,550 (median) and $52,641 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Hoppers Crossing - South, between the 19th and 34th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 33.4% of the population (6,345 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Hoppers Crossing - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Hoppers Crossing - South, as per the latest Census, 85.6% of dwellings were houses while 14.4% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - South stood at 35.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented ones at 30.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,551, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. Median weekly rent in the area was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing - South has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.8%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.9%, significantly lower than the SA3 average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials, such as advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (21.8%), are held by 32.8% of residents aged 15 and above. Educational participation is high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoppers Crossing - South has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 8 different routes that together facilitate 4,935 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents usually located just 187 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 705 daily trips across all routes, which amounts to about 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Hoppers Crossing - South are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators for Hoppers Crossing - South show below-average health outcomes compared to national averages. The prevalence of common health conditions among its general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Only approximately 46% (~8,740 people) have private health cover, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 51.4% and the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.0%) and arthritis (7.6%). About 69.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.2% in Greater Melbourne. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.4% (3,486 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 8.3%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

Hoppers Crossing - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-South has a high cultural diversity, with 41.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 43.6% born overseas. The dominant religion is Christianity, comprising 47.8%. Hinduism makes up 7.7%, lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 15.7%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (19.3%), English (18.4%), and Australian (17.9%). Notably, Maltese is overrepresented at 1.9% compared to 1.7% regionally, Indian at 7.3% versus 14.7%, and Maori at 1.4% against 1.2%.

Hoppers Crossing - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing - South has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and remaining comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group is strongly represented at 10.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.7% to 6.7% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.8% to 13.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - South's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 50%, reaching 1,892 people from the current 1,263. This aging population trend is projected to account for 58% of the total growth in this period. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.