Hoppers Crossing - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Hoppers Crossing - South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Hoppers Crossing - South's population is around 19,000 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 228 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,772 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,972 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 52 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,710 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, an above median population growth is projected for the area, with an expected increase of 2,631 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 13.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - South has averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 126 homes. As of FY2026, seven approvals have been recorded. The population has decreased during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $272,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year, there have been $7.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing - South has significantly less development activity, 92.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 45.0% detached dwellings and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a trend towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 86.0% houses. With approximately 822 people per approval, Hoppers Crossing - South shows characteristics of a mature, established area.

Future projections indicate that by 2041, Hoppers Crossing - South will add around 2,598 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Hoppers Crossing - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area's performance is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Hoppers Crossing Town Centre Urban Design Framework, Cambridge Reserve Dog Off-Leash Park, Hoppers Crossing Road Reconstruction Program, and West Tarneit Station. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Hoppers Crossing - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Hoppers Crossing - South has a diverse skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 8.1% as of June 2025. Employment growth in the past year was estimated at 5.4%.

There are 9,562 residents currently employed. The area's unemployment rate is 3.5 percentage points higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Melbourne, with a participation rate of 57.1% compared to the region's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors.

Notably, employment levels in transport, postal & warehousing are at 2.1 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services have limited presence with only 5.8% of employment compared to the region's 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data analysis. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 5.4%, while labour force grew by 5.7%, causing a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.5% and an unemployment increase of 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - South's median income among taxpayers was $40,612 and average income stood at $46,934 in the financial year 2022. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $45,550 and average income around $52,641, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.16%. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Hoppers Crossing - South rank modestly between the 20th and 34th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 33.4% of the population (6,345 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, which is consistent with surrounding regions at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Hoppers Crossing - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Hoppers Crossing - South, as per the latest Census, comprised 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - South was 35.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented ones at 30.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,551, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. Median weekly rent in the area was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - South's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing - South has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.8%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, smaller than Greater Melbourne's average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.9%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.0% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Hoppers Crossing - South, educating approximately 4,136 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 987) with balanced educational opportunities, including four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 86 active transport stops operating within Hoppers Crossing - South. These stops are serviced by 8 individual routes, collectively providing 4,935 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 187 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 705 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Hoppers Crossing - South are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Hoppers Crossing - South. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~8,740 people), compared to 51.4% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, impacting 8.0 and 7.6% of residents respectively, while 69.3% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.2% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 18.4% of residents aged 65 and over (3,486 people), which is higher than the 8.3% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Hoppers Crossing - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-South has high cultural diversity, with 41.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 43.6% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion, making up 47.8%. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 8.7% versus 10.7%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (19.3%), English (18.4%), and Australian (17.9%). Notably, Indian is overrepresented at 7.3%, Maltese at 1.9%, and Maori at 1.4%.

Hoppers Crossing - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing - South has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 10.2% of the population in Hoppers Crossing - South, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.5%, lower than Greater Melbourne's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.7% to 6.7% of the population. During this period, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 14.8% to 13.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - South's age structure. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 50%, reaching a population of 1,892 from the current 1,263. This growth will contribute to an increase in the proportion of those aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 58% of the total population growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.