Hoppers Crossing - South

Hoppers Crossing - South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Hoppers Crossing - South's population was 18,906 as of May 2026. This reflected an increase of 134 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,772. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 18,906 in June 2025 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 2,697 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.3% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends project an above median population growth, with the area expected to grow by 2,603 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 13.8% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - South has averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending 30 June 2021, totalling 126 homes. As of 30 September 2022, 16 approvals have been recorded in FY-26. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $272,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY-26, commercial approvals have totalled $7.1 million, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing - South has significantly less development activity, 92.0% below the regional average per person as of September 2022. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Similarly, when measured nationally, Hoppers Crossing - South's development activity is lower, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. New development in Hoppers Crossing - South consists of approximately 45.0% detached dwellings and 55.0% townhouses or apartments as of September 2022. This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is approximately 86.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

As of September 2022, Hoppers Crossing - South shows a mature, established area with around 822 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate from June 2022, the area is projected to add approximately 2,603 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Hoppers Crossing - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Eleven projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Key projects include Hoppers Crossing Town Centre Urban Design Framework, West Tarneit Station, Grange Community Centre and Reserve Enhancement, and Hoppers Crossing Station Precinct Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Hoppers Crossing - South faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Hoppers Crossing - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.4% in December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%.

As of December 2025, 9,381 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was lower at 66.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 22.1% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing, with a notable concentration in the latter sector at 2.1 times the regional average.

Professional & technical employment was limited at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.5% while labour force increased by 4.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The median income among taxpayers in Hoppers Crossing - South SA2 was $41,801 during financial year 2023. The average income stood at $48,270 for the same period. These figures are lower than those of Greater Melbourne, which were $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $45,822 (median) and $52,914 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Hoppers Crossing - South rank modestly, between the 19th and 34th percentiles. In terms of income distribution, 33.4% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Hoppers Crossing - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 72.0% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - South stood at 35.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented ones at 30.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,551, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in the area was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents were less at $375.

Hoppers Crossing - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.8%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.9%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.8% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoppers Crossing - South has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 2,028 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average living just 187 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 83% of residents, while 10% use trains. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.1% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 289 trips per day, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per stop.

Hoppers Crossing - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Hoppers Crossing - South shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions are largely in line with national benchmarks, but common health conditions are more prevalent among older, at-risk cohorts compared to the general population. Private health cover is extremely low at 46% (~8,658 people), which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.0% and 7.6% of residents respectively. 69.3% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.8% (3,561 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Hoppers Crossing - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-South has a high cultural diversity, with 41.9% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 43.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hoppers Crossing-South, accounting for 47.8% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 7.7% versus 4.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (19.3%), English (18.4%), and Australian (17.9%). Notably, Maltese (1.9%) and Indian (7.3%) populations are higher than the regional averages of 1.1% and 4.2%, respectively, while Maori representation is also notably higher at 1.4% compared to the region's 0.3%.

Hoppers Crossing - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing - South has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 10.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.7% to 7.0%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 group has decreased from 12.1% to 10.9%, and the 5 to 14 group has dropped from 13.7% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - South's age structure. Notably, the 65 to 74 group is expected to grow by 27%, adding 525 people and reaching a total of 2,448 from its current figure of 1,922. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above contributing to 54% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to experience population declines.