Hoppers Crossing - South

Hoppers Crossing - South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, Hoppers Crossing - South's population is approximately 19,186. This figure represents an increase of 414 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,772. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 18,967 in June 2024 and an additional 48 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,736 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for the area, with an expected increase of 2,631 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers. This reflects a total gain of 12.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - South averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling 126 homes. As of July 2022, nine approvals have been recorded in the current financial year ending June 2023. Despite a decline in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average expected construction cost value for new properties was $272,000, lower than the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

In the current financial year ending June 2023, there have been $7.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing - South has significantly less development activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person as of July 2022. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This trend is also lower than nationally, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. The current development mix consists of 45.0% detached dwellings and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, showing a shift towards denser development to provide accessible entry options appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 86.0% houses, potentially due to reduced availability of development sites addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. As of July 2022, Hoppers Crossing - South has an approval population density of around 822 people per approval, indicating a mature, established area.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate from June 2022, Hoppers Crossing - South is projected to add approximately 2,412 residents by 2041 if current trends continue. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Hoppers Crossing - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Eleven infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the Hoppers Crossing Town Centre Urban Design Framework, West Tarneit Station, Grange Community Centre and Reserve Enhancement project, and the Hoppers Crossing Station Precinct Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Hoppers Crossing - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Hoppers Crossing - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.3% in September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the past year. As of that date, 9,399 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 3.7% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was somewhat below standard at 66.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, a moderate 22.1% of residents worked from home. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area has a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average.

Meanwhile, professional & technical services have limited presence with 5.8% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force increased by 5.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Hoppers Crossing - South. These projections indicate national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to the local employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Hoppers Crossing - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $41,801 in financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $48,270 during this period. These figures are below those for Greater Melbourne, which were $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates project the median income to be approximately $45,250 and the average income to be around $52,252, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Hoppers Crossing - South rank modestly, between the 19th and 34th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 33.4% of the population (6,408 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Hoppers Crossing - South, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Hoppers Crossing - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - South was at 35.2%, with the remainder being mortgaged (34.0%) or rented (30.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,551, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent was recorded at $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - South's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 74.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.8%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households at 3.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.9%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (21.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoppers Crossing - South has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 8 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,028 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 187 meters from the nearest stop. Being predominantly residential, most inhabitants commute outward using various modes of transportation. Cars remain the primary mode at 83%, while only 10% use trains for their commutes. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.1% of residents work from home, which may be partially attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages at 289 trips per day, translating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoppers Crossing - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Hoppers Crossing - South residents have relatively positive health outcomes according to AreaSearch's analysis. Mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks, with low prevalence of common health conditions among the general population. However, prevalence is higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (~8,787 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.0%) and arthritis (7.6%). 69.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 19.2%, with 3,691 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Hoppers Crossing - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-South has notable cultural diversity, with 41.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 43.6% born overseas. The dominant religion is Christianity, comprising 47.8%. Hinduism is overrepresented, making up 7.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.4%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (19.3%), English (18.4%), and Australian (17.9%). Maltese, Indian, and Maori ethnicities are notably overrepresented at 1.9% (vs 1.1%), 7.3% (vs 4.2%), and 1.4% (vs 0.3%) respectively.

Hoppers Crossing - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing - South has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and remaining close to Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group is strongly represented at 10.4%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.7% to 7.2% of the population. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 14.8% to 13.0%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - South's age structure. The 65-74 group is projected to grow by 26%, adding 516 people and reaching 2,520 from the current 2,003. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 56% of the population growth. Conversely, the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to experience population declines.