Truganina - South West

Truganina - South West lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Truganina - South West's population is approximately 20,429 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,364 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 19,065. The growth was inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,356 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,797 persons per square kilometer, placing Truganina - South West among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Truganina - South West has demonstrated steady growth with a compound annual growth rate of 4.2%, outperforming its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed significantly to population growth, accounting for approximately 62.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Truganina - South West is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationally. By 2041, the area's population is projected to increase by 11,448 persons, reflecting a total increase of 55.7% over the 17-year period from 2024 to 2041, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Truganina - South West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Truganina - South West recorded approximately 61 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25308 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY26. On average, 3.3 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years.

This indicates that supply is significantly lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $200,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $260,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. When compared to Greater Melbourne, Truganina - South West has significantly less development activity, 81.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development in the area consists of 65.0% detached houses and 35.0% townhouses or apartments. This represents a notable shift from the existing housing stock, which is currently 88.0% houses. This change indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 948 people per dwelling approval, Truganina - South West reflects a highly mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 11,375 residents through to 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Truganina - South West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Four projects identified by AreaSearch may impact the area: Alamora Tarneit, Ison Road Extension, Williams Landing Office Buildings Development - Boston Commons & Hudson Hub, and Tarneit Indoor Sports Facility.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Truganina - South West has been broadly consistent with national averages

Truganina - South West has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.4% as of September 2025, which is 0.3 percentage points lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Employment growth in the area was estimated at 4.5% over the past year, compared to Greater Melbourne's 3.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include transport, postal & warehousing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing employs a significant share of workers, at 2.8 times the regional level. However, education & training employs only 6.4% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 9.2%.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.5%, while labour force increased by 5.7%, leading to an unemployment rise of 1.1 percentage points in Truganina - South West. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded a smaller increase in unemployment, rising by only 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from VIC as of 25-Nov shows employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate that Truganina - South West's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Truganina - South West SA2 was $50,030 and the average was $57,788 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages; Greater Melbourne had a median income of $54,892 and an average of $73,761 in the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $56,083 (median) and $64,815 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data indicates that incomes in Truganina - South West cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. The income distribution shows that 41.9% of residents fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket (8,559 people), similar to the metropolitan region at 32.8%. Residents allocate 18.7% of their income towards housing costs, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 58th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Truganina - South West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Truganina - South West had 87.7% houses and 12.4% other dwellings in its dwelling structure as of the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Truganina - South West was at 11.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.2% and rented ones at 33.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,893, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,924, while the median weekly rent was $377 compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Truganina - South West's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,893 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also higher at $377 compared to the national figure of $375.

Truganina - South West features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.4% of all households, including 58.4% couples with children, 15.4% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.6%, with lone person households at 10.1% and group households comprising 4.6%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational achievement in Truganina - South West places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Truganina - South West shows a significant advantage with 42.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4%. This figure is also higher than the SA4 region's 32.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 13.6% and certificates for 13.1%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 40.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.1% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Truganina - South West has 39 active public transport stops operating within it. These are all bus stops serviced by four individual routes. Together, these routes provide 2,297 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 264 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency averages 328 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 58 weekly trips per individual stop.

Truganina - South West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Truganina - South West shows excellent health outcomes across both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 49% of the total population (~9,989 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 51.4% and the national average of 55.3%. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 4.8 and 3.9% of residents respectively.

A majority, 85.7%, report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 79.2%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 6.3% (1,278 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 8.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Truganina - South West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Truganina-South West is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 59.4% of its population born overseas and 72.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2021 data. The predominant religion in Truganina-South West was Islam, comprising 28.9% of the population. However, the most notable overrepresentation was seen in Other religions, which accounted for 11.5% of the population compared to 7.1% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Truganina-South West were Other (35.5%), Indian (21.8%), and Australian (9.4%). Notably, Filipino (4.2%) and Lebanese (2.3%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to their regional averages of 3.1% and 0.8%, respectively. Additionally, Samoan ethnicity was slightly higher at 1.3%.

Truganina - South West hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Truganina-South West's median age in 2021 was 31 years, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. It had a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (19.5%) compared to Greater Melbourne (16.2%) and the national average (12.2%). The median age increased from 30 years in an unspecified earlier period to 31 years by 2021, indicating demographic aging. During this time, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 grew from 8.6% to 10.8%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 11.1% to 13.0%. Conversely, the percentages of residents aged 25-34 and 35-44 decreased from 17.9% to 15.0% and 22.0% to 19.9%, respectively. Population forecasts for Truganina-South West in 2041 project significant growth in the 45-54 age cohort, with an increase of 2,288 people (103%) from 2,216 to 4,505 residents.