Truganina - South West

Truganina - South West lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Truganina - South West's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 20,395. This figure represents an increase of 1,330 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 19,065. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 20,395 in June 2025 and the addition of 25 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,790 persons per square kilometer, placing Truganina - South West in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Over the past decade, ending in May 2026, Truganina - South West has shown consistent growth with a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%. This rate exceeds that of Greater Melbourne.

Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.7% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in June 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from December 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Future population trends suggest exceptional growth for Truganina - South West, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationally. Based on latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is projected to increase by 10,772 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 52.8% over the 16-year period from May 2026.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Truganina - South West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Truganina South West recorded approximately 61 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY21-FY25308 homes were approved, with 10 more approved in FY26 by June. Each year, an average of 3.3 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This indicates supply lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $200,000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. In FY26 up to June, commercial approvals totaled $260,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Truganina South West has significantly less development activity, 80.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development consists of 65.0% detached houses and 35.0% townhouses or apartments. The growing mix of townhouses and apartments provides options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing, currently 88.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles. With around 948 people per dwelling approval, Truganina South West reflects a highly mature market. By 2041, it is expected to grow by approximately 10,772 residents. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Truganina - South West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area performance is significantly influenced by local infrastructure changes. AreaSearch has identified four projects that could impact the area: Alamora Tarneit, Ison Road Extension, Williams Landing Office Buildings Development - Boston Commons & Hudson Hub, and Tarneit Indoor Sports Facility.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Truganina - South West has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Truganina - South West has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate is 4.6%, with estimated employment growth of 3.0% over the past year. As of December 2025, there are 10,712 residents in work and the unemployment rate is 0.1% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 76.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 25.2% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include transport, postal & warehousing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.8 times the regional level.

Education & training employs only 6.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 9.2%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, labour force grew by 4.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Truganina - South West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Truganina - South West SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $51,467 and an average of $59,432 in financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average, with Greater Melbourne's median being $57,688 and average at $75,164. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $56,418 (median) and $65,149 (average), based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Truganina - South West cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. The income distribution reveals that 41.9% of residents (8,545 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 32.8%. High housing costs consume 18.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 58th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Truganina - South West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Truganina - South West's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.7% houses and 12.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Truganina - South West was at 11.9%, with the rest either mortgaged (54.2%) or rented (33.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,893, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $377, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Truganina - South West's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,893, while rents exceeded the Australian average of $375.

Truganina - South West features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.4 percent of all households, including 58.4 percent couples with children, 15.4 percent couples without children, and 10.2 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 14.6 percent, with lone person households at 10.1 percent and group households making up 4.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Truganina - South West places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Truganina - South West shows a significant advantage with 42.4% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4%. This is also higher than the SA4 region's average of 32.0%. University qualifications include bachelor degrees (24.8%), postgraduate qualifications (15.4%), and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.7% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (13.1%).

Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 40.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising primary education (16.1%), secondary education (8.5%), and tertiary education (5.6%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Truganina - South West has 38 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that collectively facilitate 902 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents typically residing 264 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential region, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 84% of residents, while trains are used by 10%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 25.2% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 128 trips per day, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Truganina - South West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Truganina - South West shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age groups exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is quite low at approximately 49% of the total population, around 9,973 people, compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 4.8 and 3.9% of residents respectively. About 85.7% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than the 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 6.5% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 1,315 people, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors in Truganina - South West are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Truganina - South West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Truganina-South West has a high level of cultural diversity, with 59.4% of its population born overseas and 72.1% speaking a language other than English at home (Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2016). Islam is the predominant religion in Truganina-South West, accounting for 28.9% of people (Australian Census, 2016). The category 'Other' is substantially overrepresented, comprising 11.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3% (Australian Census, 2016).

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other at 35.5%, Indian at 21.8%, and Australian at 9.4%. Notably, Filipino, Lebanese, and Samoan ethnicities are overrepresented in Truganina-South West compared to regional averages (Australian Census, 2016).

Truganina - South West hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Truganina-South West has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Truganina-South West has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.8%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.4%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, demographic aging has occurred with the median age increasing from 30 to 32 years. The 45-54 age group grew from 8.6% to 11.3%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.1% to 13.4%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort declined from 22.0% to 19.0%, and the 0-4 group dropped from 11.1% to 8.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Truganina-South West's age profile will evolve significantly. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 91%, adding 2,101 residents to reach a total of 4,414.