Point Cook - North East
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Point Cook - North East reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Point Cook - North East's population is around 14,847 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 680 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,167 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,817 in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,675 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 73.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of national areas, with Point Cook - North East expected to grow by 3,983 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 26.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Point Cook - North East is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Point Cook - North East has seen around 6 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 32 homes received approval, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY26. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $377,000. This financial year, there have been $2.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally, Point Cook - North East records lower building activity, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. New development consists of 80% detached houses and 20% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature. The location has approximately 3689 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

Population forecasts suggest Point Cook - North East will gain 3,953 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Point Cook - North East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified seven projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones are Point Cook Road and Central Avenue Intersection Upgrade, Point Cook Community Hospital, Point Cook South West School Enabling Works, and Suburban Rail Loop West. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Point Cook - North East well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Point Cook - North East has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate in the area is 3.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

In June 2025, 8,965 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate and workforce participation at 68.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area has a notably high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 11.3% of Point Cook - North East's workforce compared to 14.2% in Greater Melbourne.

Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 4.9%, while labour force increased by 5.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.8 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with local growth in Point Cook - North East estimated at approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.2% over ten years based on industry-specific projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2022 for financial year 2022, Point Cook - North East had a median income among taxpayers of $50,433 with the average level standing at $62,537. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $56,566 (median) and $70,141 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household income ranks at the 77th percentile ($2,185 weekly), while personal income sits at the 59th percentile. Distribution data shows that 35.8% of locals (5,315 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 32.8% in the same category. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 31.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 78th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Point Cook - North East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Point Cook - North East's dwellings were 81.9% houses and 18.1% other types at the latest Census. Melbourne metro had 88.1% houses and 12.0% others. Home ownership in Point Cook - North East was 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, above Melbourne metro's $1,924. Median weekly rent was $390, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Point Cook - North East's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Point Cook - North East features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.4% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.6%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households making up 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Point Cook - North East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 36.0% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 32.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 16.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education. Point Cook - North East's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,420 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1045) offering balanced educational opportunities. The area has one primary, two secondary, and two K-12 schools. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Cook - North East has 46 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. Six different routes service these stops, collectively facilitating 2722 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average being located 234 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 388 trips per day, which equates to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Point Cook - North East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Point Cook - North East shows excellent health outcomes, particularly for younger age groups with low prevalence of common conditions.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51%, slightly lower than the SA2 average (~7,586 people). Asthma and mental health issues are most prevalent (6.9% and 5.9% respectively), with 77.3% reporting no medical ailments compared to Greater Melbourne's 79.2%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65+ at 10.8% (1,597 people) than Greater Melbourne's 8.3%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Point Cook - North East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Cook - North East has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 44.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Point Cook - North East, accounting for 45.3% of people. Hinduism, however, is underrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's average, making up only 10.3% of Point Cook - North East's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (16.0%), Other (15.1%), and Australian (15.0%). Notably, Serbian ethnicity is overrepresented at 1.0%, while Indian and Maltese ethnicities are underrepresented at 8.9% and 2.4% respectively.

Point Cook - North East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Point Cook - North East has a median age of 37, which is equal to Greater Melbourne's figure and comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 45-54 shows strong representation at 16.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 11.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.3% to 14.8% of the population, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 9.2% to 10.6%. However, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.4% to 14.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Point Cook - North East's age structure. The 55 to 64 group is projected to grow by 69%, adding 1,089 people and reaching a total of 2,668 from the previous figure of 1,578. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort grows modestly by 2%, with an increase of 42 people.