Point Cook - North East
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Point Cook - North East reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Aug 2025, Point Cook - North East's population is approximately 14,844, reflecting a growth of 677 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was reported as 14,167. This increase is inferred from ABS estimates: 14,817 in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 2,674 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 73.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, significant population growth is forecast for Point Cook - North East. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 3,983 persons, reflecting a total increase of 26.6% over the 17 years from Aug 2025.

The level of residential development activity in Point Cook - North East is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Point Cook - North East has had around 6 dwelling approvals per year. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) records show 32 homes approved between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, with 1 recorded so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes. Average construction cost for new dwellings is $409,000, below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options.

This financial year has seen $2.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne and national averages, Point Cook - North East has lower building activity, which can strengthen demand and prices for existing properties. The development mix is 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a focus on family homes. With approximately 3689 people per approval, Point Cook - North East shows signs of maturity and established status. Future projections estimate an addition of 3,956 residents by 2041.

If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Point Cook - North East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six key projects potentially affecting this region. Notable initiatives include the Point Cook Road and Central Avenue Intersection Upgrade, Point Cook Community Hospital, Point Cook South West School Enabling Works, and Williams Landing Station Improvements. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Point Cook - North East demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Point Cook - North East has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.3% in the past year, below Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth was estimated at 4.9%. As of June 2025, 8,965 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's. Workforce participation was 68.0%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

Transport, postal & warehousing had a particularly high employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance employed only 11.3% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 14.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.9%, labour force grew by 5.8%, resulting in a 0.8 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne had an employment growth of 3.5% and a 0.5 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victorian employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Point Cook - North East's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Point Cook - North East had a median taxpayer income of $50,433 and an average of $62,537 in financial year 2022. This was slightly below the national average, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,532 (median) and $68,859 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022. According to census data, household income ranked at the 77th percentile ($2,185 weekly), while personal income was at the 59th percentile. Income distribution showed that 35.8% of individuals (5,314 people) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. This was consistent with broader regional trends where 32.8% were in the same category. Economic strength was evident with 31.1% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting higher consumer spending. Housing expenses accounted for 14.8% of income, and residents ranked at the 78th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Point Cook - North East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Point Cook - North East had dwelling structures as follows at the Census: 81.9% houses, 18.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Melbourne metro's figures were 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Cook - North East was at 24.7%, with mortgages at 49.2% and rentals at 26.2%. Median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, median weekly rent was $390. Melbourne metro averages were $1,924 for mortgages and $370 for rents. Nationally, Point Cook - North East's mortgage repayments exceeded the average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Point Cook - North East features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.4% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.6%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Point Cook - North East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 36.0% of residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of the SA4 region (32.0%). Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 22.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.7% and certificates for 16.5%.

Educational participation is high at 34.8%, including primary education (11.9%), secondary education (10.8%), and tertiary education (5.6%). Point Cook - North East's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 2,420 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1045) offering balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 1 primary, 2 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Cook - North East has 46 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 2722 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 234 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 388 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Point Cook - North East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Point Cook - North East shows exceptional health outcomes, particularly for younger populations with low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% (~7,585 people), slightly below the SA2 area average. Asthma and mental health issues are most prevalent, affecting 6.9 and 5.9% respectively, while 77.3% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 79.2%. The senior population (aged 65+) comprises 10.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 8.3% (~1,597 people). Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average and require more attention than the broader population.

Point Cook - North East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Cook-North East has notable cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 44.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Point Cook-North East, comprising 45.3% of its population. Hinduism, however, is less prevalent than the Greater Melbourne average, making up only 10.3%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (16.0%), Other (15.1%), and Australian (15.0%). Notably, Serbian (1.0%) and Maltese (2.4%) populations exceed regional averages.

Point Cook - North East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Point Cook - North East has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and remaining close to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 45-54 age group constitutes 16.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 11.4%. Between 2021 and the present, the 15 to 24 age group increased from 13.3% to 14.8%, and the 55 to 64 cohort rose from 9.2% to 10.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group decreased from 16.4% to 14.2%. By 2041, projections indicate significant shifts in Point Cook - North East's age structure. The 55 to 64 cohort is expected to grow by 69%, adding 1,090 people and reaching 2,668 from the current 1,577. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort will grow modestly by 2%, adding 43 people.