Point Cook - North East

An assessment of population growth drivers in Point Cook - North East reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Point Cook - North East's population was approximately 14,847 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 680 people from the 2021 Census count of 14,167. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 14,817 in June 2024 and 15 validated new addresses added since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,675 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 73.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a significant population increase in the top quartile nationally is projected, with Point Cook - North East expected to grow by 3,983 persons, reflecting a total increase of 26.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Point Cook - North East is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Point Cook - North East has seen approximately six dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years 2021 and 2025, around 32 homes were approved, with two more in the current financial year 2026. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, benefiting buyers while new properties average $377,000 in construction cost.

This financial year saw $2.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally, Point Cook - North East shows lower building activity, which typically supports demand and pricing for existing dwellings. New developments consist of 80% detached houses and 20% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban character. With approximately 3689 people per dwelling approval, it reflects an established market. By 2041, Point Cook - North East is projected to gain around 3953 residents.

If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Point Cook - North East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include the Point Cook Road and Central Avenue Intersection Upgrade, Point Cook Community Hospital, Point Cook South West School Enabling Works, and Suburban Rail Loop West. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Point Cook - North East ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Point Cook - North East has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.6% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%. There were 8,876 residents employed by September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's at 68.0%. Leading industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 11.3% of Point Cook - North East's workforce compared to 14.2% in Greater Melbourne. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force increased by 5.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Point Cook - North East's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Point Cook - North East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,433. The average income stood at $62,537. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $56,566 (median) and $70,141 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 77th percentile ($2,185 weekly), while personal income sits at the 59th percentile. Distribution data shows that 35.8% of locals (5,315 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 31.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income. Residents rank within the 78th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Point Cook - North East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Point Cook - North East had 81.9% houses and 18.1% other dwellings in the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Cook - North East was at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,863 average. Median weekly rent in Point Cook - North East was $390, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, mortgage repayments were $1,863 and rents were $375.

Point Cook - North East features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.4% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.6%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Point Cook - North East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates of 36.0%, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region rate of 32.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.7% and certificates make up 16.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Cook - North East has 46 active public transport stops operating. These are served by a mix of buses along six different routes. The total weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes is 2,722.

Residents' accessibility to transport is rated as good, with an average distance of 234 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 388 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Point Cook - North East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Point Cook - North East shows excellent health outcomes, notably for younger age groups with low prevalence of common conditions.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% (~7,586 people), slightly below the SA2 average. Asthma and mental health issues are most prevalent, affecting 6.9% and 5.9% respectively. 77.3% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 79.2%. The area has 10.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,597 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 8.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but require more attention than the broader population.

Point Cook - North East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Cook - North East has a high cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 44.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Point Cook - North East, comprising 45.3% of its people. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's average, making up 10.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (16.0%), Other (15.1%), and Australian (15.0%). Notably, Indian (8.9%) and Maltese (2.4%) are overrepresented, while Serbian is underrepresented at 1.0% compared to regional averages.

Point Cook - North East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Point Cook - North East has a median age of 37, which is equal to Greater Melbourne's figure and comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 45-54 age group comprises 16.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.3% to 14.8%, and the 55-64 cohort has risen from 9.2% to 10.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 16.4% to 14.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Point Cook - North East's age structure. The 55-64 group is expected to grow by 69%, adding 1,089 people, reaching 2,668 from 1,578. Meanwhile, the 5-14 cohort will grow by a modest 2%, increasing by 42 people.