Point Cook - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Point Cook - South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Point Cook - South's population was around 20,677 as of Aug 2025. This reflected an increase of 1,586 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 19,091 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,596 from the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 287 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 2,195 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Point Cook - South had demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 5.8%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 65.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipated exceptional growth, placing Point Cook - South in the top 10 percent of national areas, with an expected expansion of 12,225 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, indicating a total increase of 58.7% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Point Cook - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Point Cook - South has granted approximately 86 residential properties approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 430 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 3.6 new residents arrive annually for each dwelling constructed during these years.

This substantial demand outpaces supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new dwellings is $491,000. In the current financial year, $6.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Point Cook - South's predominantly residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Point Cook - South has significantly less development activity, at 73.0% below the regional average per person.

This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, development activity has shown signs of increasing recently. The area's new development consists of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes appealing to space-seeking buyers. With approximately 171 people per dwelling approval, the market is expanding. By 2041, Point Cook - South is projected to grow by 12,144 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Point Cook - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that could affect this region: Point Cook South West School Enabling Works, Point Cook Aldi Development, Suburban Rail Loop West, and Mambourin (Black Forest Road North Precinct). The following details those most likely to be relevant.

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The exceptional employment performance in Point Cook - South places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Point Cook - South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 2.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.5%. As of June 2025, 11,812 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% and workforce participation at 74.6%. Key industries include professional & technical services (39.2%), health care & social assistance (11.0%), and finance & insurance (22.5%). The area specializes in finance & insurance, with employment share twice the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented compared to Greater Melbourne. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5%, labour force by 5.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5% and unemployment increase by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Point Cook - South. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Point Cook - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Point Cook - South had a median income among taxpayers of $63,412. The average income stood at $78,631, which is among the highest in Australia. This compares to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,123 (median) and $88,193 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Point Cook - South, between the 84th and 91st percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that 37.9% of locals (7,836 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This aligns with the metropolitan region where this cohort also represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident through 40.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. This supports elevated consumer spending despite high housing costs consuming 16.6% of income. Strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Point Cook - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Point Cook - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Cook - South stands at 10.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.0% and rented ones at 32.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. Median weekly rent in the area is $410, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Point Cook - South's mortgage repayments are significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents are also higher at $410 compared to the national figure of $375.

Point Cook - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.0% of all households, consisting of 64.8% couples with children, 13.6% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 11.0%, with lone person households at 8.6% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Point Cook - South demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Point Cook - South is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016 Census data, 53.4% of residents aged 15+ held university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 31.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (19.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways accounted for 21.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation was high, with 39.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 18.3% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education. Two schools served the area: Featherbrook P-9 College and Alamanda K-9 College, collectively educating 4,528 students as of 2020 data. Both offered integrated K-12 education for academic continuity. The area demonstrated significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1110.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Cook - South has 22 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 1,908 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average being located 395 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 272 trips per day, which translates to approximately 86 weekly trips per individual stop.

Point Cook - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Point Cook - South shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 59% (12,282 people), compared to 51.4% across Greater Melbourne.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 4.9 and 3.9% of residents respectively. Notably, 85.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.2% across Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.4% (1,106 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 8.3%. Seniors' health outcomes are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Point Cook - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Cook - South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 62.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 60.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Point Cook - South, accounting for 29.9% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 26.9% compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 15.7%.

In terms of ancestry, Indian (22.4%) and Other (21.0%) are the largest groups, followed by Chinese (14.2%). Samoan (1.0%), Maori (1.2%), and Korean (0.9%) ethnicities show notable divergences from regional averages.

Point Cook - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Point Cook - South's median age in 2021 was 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Point Cook - South had a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.5%). This concentration of residents aged 35-44 was well above the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, residents have aged by an average of 1 year, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 increased from 10.1% to 12.4%, while those aged 15-24 rose from 8.5% to 10.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 12.6% to 10.5%, and those aged 35-44 dropped from 28.1% to 26.1%. Population forecasts for Point Cook - South indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age cohort (116%), adding 2,970 residents to reach a total of 5,526.