Point Cook - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Point Cook - South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Point Cook - South's population was around 20,677 as of Aug 2025. This reflected an increase of 1,586 people from the 2021 Census figure of 19,091. The change was inferred from the ABS estimated resident population of 20,596 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 2,195 persons per square kilometer, higher than average national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Point Cook - South showed resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 5.8%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.9% to population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation for areas not covered by the first dataset. Future growth rates by age group are applied across all areas up to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, with Point Cook - South expected to expand by 12,225 persons by 2041 based on latest population numbers, indicating a total increase of 58.7% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Point Cook - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Point Cook - South has recorded approximately 217 residential properties granted approval per year. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis. Over the past five financial years, from FY-20 to FY-25, around 1,088 homes have been approved with an additional eight approvals so far in FY-26. On average, 3.6 new residents per year are associated with every home built during these years.

This results in demand significantly exceeding new supply, leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost value of new homes is $491,000. In terms of commercial development, $6.6 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating limited focus on commercial projects relative to residential ones. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Point Cook - South records markedly lower building activity, with 71.0% fewer approvals per person.

This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though development activity has picked up in recent periods. New development consists of 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location currently has approximately 171 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Point Cook - South will gain around 12,144 residents by 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers can be expected as the population expands.

Point Cook - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely impacting this region. Key projects are Point Cook South West School Enabling Works, Point Cook Aldi Development, Yurran P-9 College and Ngurraga School with Enabling Infrastructure (Point Cook South West), Black Forest Road North Precinct. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Point Cook - South performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Point Cook - South has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year and there was an estimated employment growth of 5.5%.

As of June 2025, 11,812 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2%, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Point Cook - South is higher at 74.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment among residents include professional & technical services, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. Finance & insurance shows strong specialization with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has lower representation at 11.0% compared to the regional average of 14.2%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population versus resident population count. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% and labour force increased by 5.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data from Sep-25 shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Point Cook - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2022, Point Cook - South had a median income among taxpayers of $63,412 with an average level of $78,631. This is among the highest in Australia compared to Greater Melbourne levels of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By March 2025, current estimates project median income at approximately $69,823 and average income at around $86,581 based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since June 2022. Census data from 2021 shows incomes in Point Cook - South rank highly nationally, between the 84th and 91st percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution reveals that 37.9% of residents (7,836 individuals) earn between $1,500 to $2,999 annually, similar to the broader area where this group represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident with 40.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Point Cook - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Point Cook - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Cook - South was at 10.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.0% and rented ones at 32.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,924. Median weekly rent in Point Cook - South was $410, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Point Cook - South's mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are higher than the national figure of $375.

Point Cook - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.0% of all households, including 64.8% couples with children, 13.6% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.0%, with lone person households at 8.6% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than Greater Melbourne's average of 3.1.

Point Cook - South demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Point Cook - South is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016 Census data, 53.4% of residents aged 15 years and above held university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 31.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (19.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways accounted for 21.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation was high, with 39.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2016 Census data. This included 18.3% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education. Two schools serve the area: Featherbrook P-9 College and Alamanda K-9 College, collectively enrolling 4,528 students as of 2021 data. Point Cook - South demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1110. Both schools offer integrated K-12 education, providing continuity throughout students' academic journey.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 22 active public transport stops operating in Point Cook - South, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 1,908 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 395 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 272 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 86 weekly trips per individual stop.

Point Cook - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Point Cook - South, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 59% of the total population (12,282 people), compared to 51.4% across Greater Melbourne.

Asthma and mental health issues were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 4.9 and 3.9% of residents respectively. A total of 85.2% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.2% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 5.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,106 people), which is lower than the 8.3% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, generally aligned with the overall population's health profile.

Point Cook - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Cook - South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 62.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 60.8% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in this area, comprising 29.9% of its population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 26.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 15.7%.

Regarding ancestry, Indian origin is prominent at 22.4%, higher than the regional average of 14.7%. The 'Other' category comprises 21.0% and Chinese ancestry makes up 14.2%, both substantially higher than regional averages. Samoan (1.0%), Maori (1.2%), and Korean (0.9%) ethnicities are notably overrepresented compared to regional figures.

Point Cook - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Point Cook - South's median age is 34 years, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Point Cook - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.5%). This concentration of residents aged 35-44 is well above the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, residents have aged by an average of 1 year, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has grown from 10.1% to 12.4%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 8.5% to 10.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 declined from 12.6% to 10.5%, and those aged 35-44 dropped from 28.1% to 26.1%. Population forecasts for Point Cook - South indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age cohort at 116%, adding 2,970 residents to reach a total of 5,526.