Point Cook - South

Point Cook - South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Point Cook - South's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 20,687. This represents an increase of 1,596 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 19,091. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 20,596 as of June 2024 and an additional 290 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,196 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Point Cook - South has shown consistent growth with a compound annual growth rate of 5.8%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections anticipate exceptional growth, placing Point Cook - South in the top 10 percent of national areas. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 12,225 persons, reflecting a total increase of 58.7% over the 17-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Point Cook - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Point Cook - South has recorded around 86 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 430 homes were approved, with another 23 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 3.6 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed each year during this period.

This high demand coupled with limited supply typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new dwellings is $388,000. In terms of commercial development, $6.6 million in approvals have been registered in the current financial year, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Point Cook - South has significantly less development activity, 73.0% below the regional average per person.

This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, there has been an increase in development activity recently. The current development mix consists of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. There are approximately 171 people per dwelling approval, indicating a growing market. By 2041, Point Cook - South is projected to grow by 12,134 residents, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Point Cook - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to affect the region: Point Cook South West School Enabling Works, Point Cook Aldi Development, Suburban Rail Loop West, and Mambourin (Black Forest Road North Precinct). The following details those most relevant.

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The exceptional employment performance in Point Cook - South places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Point Cook - South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 2.5%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.4%.

As of September 2025, 11,832 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% and workforce participation of 83.9%. A significant portion, 43.2%, work from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include professional & technical services, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. Finance & insurance is particularly strong, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 11.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.2%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by resident population outnumbering working population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.4%, labour force grew by 5.8%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and labour force by 3.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Point Cook - South's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.9% in five years and 13.9% in ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for the financial year ended June 2023, Point Cook - South SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $67,395. The average income stood at $80,877, which was among the highest in Australia. This compares to Melbourne's median and average incomes of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 2023, current estimates for Point Cook - South would be approximately $72,955 (median) and $87,549 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family, and personal incomes in Point Cook - South rank highly nationally, between the 84th and 91st percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 37.9% of locals (7,840 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to Melbourne's 32.8%. Economic strength is evident with 40.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 89th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Point Cook - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Point Cook - South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings (including semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Cook - South stood at 10.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.0% and rented ones at 32.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Point Cook - South was $410, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Point Cook - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.0% of all households, including 64.8% couples with children, 13.6% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.0%, with lone person households at 8.6% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Point Cook - South demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Point Cook - South significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 53.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 31.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (19.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways account for 21.9% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 10.9%. Educational participation is notably high, with 39.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 18.3% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 39.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 18.3% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Cook - South has 22 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that collectively facilitate 786 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located 394 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 82% of residents, while 13% use trains. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 43.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 112 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Point Cook - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Point Cook - South shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Approximately 60% of the total population (12,308 people) has private health cover, higher than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common conditions are asthma at 4.9%, and mental health issues at 3.9%. Around 85.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 1,193 people aged 65 and over (5.8%), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population nationally.

Point Cook - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Cook-South, as per the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census Data from 2016, has a high level of cultural diversity with 62.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 60.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Point Cook-South, accounting for 29.9% of people. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 26.9% of the population compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 4.4%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three groups are Indian at 22.4%, Other at 21.0%, and Chinese at 14.2%, all substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 4.2%, 14.6%, and 6.5%. Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Samoan is overrepresented at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.3%, Maori at 1.2% versus 0.3%, and Sri Lankan at 0.7% compared to 0.8%.

Point Cook - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Point Cook - South's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Point Cook - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (21.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, residents have aged by an average of 1.5 years, with the median age rising from 33 to 34. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has increased from 10.1% to 13.1%, while those aged 15-24 have risen from 8.5% to 11.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has declined from 28.1% to 25.1%, and those aged 25-34 have dropped from 12.6% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Point Cook - South, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age group, which is expected to increase by 103%, adding 2,807 residents to reach a total of 5,526.