Hoppers Crossing - North

Hoppers Crossing - North is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Hoppers Crossing - North's population was around 18,460 as of Feb 2026. This reflected an increase of 14 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,446 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,410 from the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 3 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population resulted in a density ratio of 1,692 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting with a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicated an above median growth for the area, expecting it to grow by 2,543 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 13.5% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - North has seen approximately 23 dwelling approvals per year. Between Financial Year 21 and Financial Year 25, around 115 homes received approval, with another 11 approved so far in Financial Year 26. Despite population decline, this development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, benefiting buyers due to more affordable housing options, with new properties expected to cost around $283,000 on average.

This financial year, there have been $22.3 million worth of commercial development approvals recorded, indicating balanced commercial growth compared to Greater Melbourne. However, Hoppers Crossing - North has significantly lower building activity, at 93.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This area's development activity is also lower than national averages, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments consist of equal parts standalone homes and attached dwellings, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers due to affordable entry pathways. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is 84.0% houses. The location has approximately 1302 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Hoppers Crossing - North is projected to add around 2,493 residents by 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Hoppers Crossing - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Ison Road Extension, Harlow Tarneit, Tarneit Indoor Sports Facility, and Marigold Tarneit. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Hoppers Crossing - North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Hoppers Crossing - North has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 6.3% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the past year. As of this date, 10,087 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 21.3% of residents worked from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.0 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, labour force grew by 5.2%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points in Hoppers Crossing - North. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The median taxpayer income in Hoppers Crossing - North SA2 was $46,858 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The average income was $54,110 during this period. These figures were below the national averages of $57,688 median and $75,164 average in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $50,724 median and $58,574 average. Census 2021 data shows Hoppers Crossing - North's household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly between the 34th and 47th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 36.0% of the population (6,645 individuals) fell within the $1,500-$2,999 income range, consistent with broader regional trends of 32.8%. After housing expenses, 86.1% of income remained for other expenses.

Hoppers Crossing - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing - North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.9% houses and 16.1% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metropolitan area's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - North stood at 34.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.8% and rented ones at 22.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $341, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - North's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.6% of all households, including 39.8% couples with children, 23.7% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.4% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 22.0%. Educational participation is high, with 30.2% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoppers Crossing - North has 92 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 13 different routes, offering a total of 4,964 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 218 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 89%, while train usage stands at 7%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 21.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 709 trips per day, translating to roughly 53 weekly trips per stop.

Hoppers Crossing - North's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Hoppers Crossing - North residents, with mortality rates and health conditions aligning with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,602 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma (7.9%) and mental health issues (7.6%), while 70.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 16.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,088 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%, with national rankings broadly similar to the general population.

Hoppers Crossing - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-North has notable cultural diversity, with 37.6% of its population born overseas and 38.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hoppers Crossing-North, comprising 50.5% of the population. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 10.5% of Hoppers Crossing-North's population versus 5.6%.

The top three represented ancestry groups are Australian (18.4%), English (18.2%), and Other (16.6%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Maltese at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 1.1%, Lebanese at 2.2% versus 0.8%, and Macedonian at 1.1% against a regional average of 0.7%.

Hoppers Crossing - North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Hoppers Crossing - North is 37 years, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's proportion, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group has risen from 8.3% to 10.4%, and the 75 to 84 group has increased from 3.1% to 5.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.8% to 11.8%, and the 25 to 34 group has fallen from 13.9% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - North's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 75%, reaching 1,634 people from 934. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 61% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to experience population declines.