Hoppers Crossing - North

Hoppers Crossing - North is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Hoppers Crossing - North's population is approximately 18,519. This figure represents an increase of 73 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,446. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 18,413 as of June 2024 and the addition of 66 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,697 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, an above median population growth is projected for the area, with an expected increase of 2,543 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.1% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - North has seen approximately 23 dwellings granted development approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 115 homes were approved, with another 10 receiving approval in FY-26 to date. Despite population decline, the area's development activity has been relatively adequate.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost of $283,000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. This financial year, $22.3 million worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne. However, Hoppers Crossing - North records significantly lower building activity, at 93.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers due to affordable entry pathways. This marks a considerable shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 84.0% houses. The location has approximately 1302 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Hoppers Crossing - North is projected to add 2,434 residents by 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Hoppers Crossing - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Ison Road Extension, Harlow Tarneit, Tarneit Indoor Sports Facility, and Marigold Tarneit. Below is a list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Hoppers Crossing - North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Hoppers Crossing - North has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 6.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6%.

As of September 2025, there are 10,087 residents employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.6% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 2.0 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, labour force increased by 5.2%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. As of 25-Nov-25, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - North's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The median taxpayer income in Hoppers Crossing - North SA2 is $45,525 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The average income for this area is $52,613 during the same period. These figures are below the national averages of $54,892 median and $73,761 average in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $51,061 median and $59,011 average for Hoppers Crossing - North SA2. Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in this area rank modestly, between the 34th and 47th percentiles. Income distribution data indicates that 36.0% of the population (6,666 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. After accounting for housing expenses, 86.1% of income remains for other expenses.

Hoppers Crossing - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing - North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.9% houses and 16.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metropolitan area had 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - North stood at 34.3%, with the rest being mortgaged (42.8%) or rented (22.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. Median weekly rent in Hoppers Crossing - North was $341, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Hoppers Crossing - North features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, composed of 39.8% couples with children, 23.7% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 21.4%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 33.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 22.0%. Educational participation is high, with 30.2% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoppers Crossing - North has 91 active public transport stops operating within it. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services, with 12 individual routes collectively providing 10,063 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 218 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 1,437 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 110 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoppers Crossing - North's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Hoppers Crossing - North shows a relatively low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, certain cohorts such as older residents and those at risk have higher-than-average prevalence rates. Private health cover is found to be quite low in this area, with approximately 47% coverage (around 8,648 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 51.4%, and the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.9% and 7.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 70.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 79.2%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.7% (around 2,907 people) than Greater Melbourne's 8.3%, indicating that this demographic may require more attention than the broader population.

Hoppers Crossing - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-North has a high cultural diversity, with 37.6% of its population born overseas and 38.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hoppers Crossing-North, comprising 50.5% of people. However, Islam is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 10.5% of Hoppers Crossing-North's population.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.4%), English (18.2%), and Other (16.6%), which is lower than the regional average of 23.4%. There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Maltese at 4.1% compared to 1.7% regionally, Lebanese at 2.2% versus 0.8%, and Macedonian at 1.1% compared to 0.6%.

Hoppers Crossing - North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Hoppers Crossing - North is 37 years, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 12.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 8.3% to 9.8%, and the 75 to 84 group has risen from 3.1% to 4.6%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.8% to 12.1%, and the 25 to 34 age group has fallen from 13.9% to 12.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - North's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 92%, adding 783 people to reach a total of 1,634 from the previous 850. This growth is primarily driven by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 66% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.