Hoppers Crossing - North
Statistical Area - sa2

Hoppers Crossing - North is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Hoppers Crossing - North's population is approximately 18,516 as of Aug 2025. This figure represents an increase of 70 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,446. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 18,413 in June 2024 and an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,697 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed around 66.3% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections show above median growth, with the area expected to grow by 2,543 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Hoppers Crossing - North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hoppers Crossing - North has seen approximately 23 dwellings granted development approval annually. Development approval data is sourced from the ABS on a financial year basis, with 115 homes approved over the past five years (FY-21 to FY-25), and an additional 5 approved in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been relatively adequate, which could benefit buyers. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $500,000.

In the current financial year, $22.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing - North has significantly lower building activity (93.0% below regional average per person), which may strengthen demand and prices for existing properties. This trend is also seen nationally, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments consist of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, catering to affordability requirements and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a shift from the current housing mix (84.0% houses), likely due to reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. The area has approximately 1302 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. By 2041, Hoppers Crossing - North is projected to add 2,437 residents.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Hoppers Crossing - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects that could impact the region. Notable projects include Ison Road Extension, Harlow Tarneit, Tarneit Indoor Sports Facility, and Marigold Tarneit. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Hoppers Crossing - North has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Hoppers Crossing - North has a skilled labour force with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 6.2% in the past year.

Employment growth is estimated at 5.0%. As of June 2025, there are 10,358 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Transport, postal & warehousing has notably high representation at twice the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.0%, labour force grew by 5.7%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.5 percentage point increase in unemployment. In Victoria as of Sep-25, employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing - North's current employment mix suggests potential local growth of approximately 6.1%% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Hoppers Crossing - North had a median taxpayer income of $45,525 and an average of $52,613 in the financial year 2022, based on postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average of $54,892 (median) and $73,761 (average) for Greater Melbourne. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $50,128 (median) and $57,932 (average), accounting for a 10.11% increase in wages since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 income data, Hoppers Crossing - North ranked modestly across household, family, and personal incomes, falling between the 35th and 48th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 36.0% of the population (6,665 individuals) earned within the $1,500 to $2,999 range, similar to the broader trend across regional levels at 32.8%. After accounting for housing expenses, 86.1% of income remained for other expenses.

Hoppers Crossing - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing - North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.9% houses and 16.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing - North was at 34.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.8% and rented ones at 22.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,600, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. The median weekly rent figure was $341, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing - North's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,600 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less at $341 than the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing - North features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 39.8% couples with children, 23.7% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates at 22.8%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 33.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (22.0%).

Educational participation is notably high at 30.2%, including 9.8% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education. Hoppers Crossing - North's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 3,862 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1002) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 2 primary schools and 3 K-12 schools. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are currently 91 active public transport stops in Hoppers Crossing - North. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 12 individual routes operating within this area, collectively serving 10,063 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to these transport options is rated as good, with residents typically located around 218 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are approximately 1,437 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 110 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoppers Crossing - North's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Hoppers Crossing - North residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population, but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,646 people), compared to 51.4% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.3%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 7.9 and 7.6% of residents respectively. A total of 70.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.2% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 15.7% of residents aged 65 and over (2,907 people), which is higher than the 8.3% in Greater Melbourne.

Hoppers Crossing - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing-North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 37.6% of its population born overseas and 38.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hoppers Crossing-North, making up 50.5% of the population. Islam is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 10.5% of Hoppers Crossing-North's population versus 10.7%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.4%), English (18.2%), and Other (16.6%). Notably, Maltese, Lebanese, and Macedonian ethnicities are overrepresented in Hoppers Crossing-North compared to Greater Melbourne: Maltese at 4.1% versus 1.7%, Lebanese at 2.2% versus 0.8%, and Macedonian at 1.1% versus 0.6%.

Hoppers Crossing - North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing - North has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 is strongly represented at 14.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent in Hoppers Crossing - North at 12.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 8.3% to 9.8% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.1% to 4.6%. During this period, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.8% to 12.1%, and the 25-34 group dropped from 13.9% to 12.8%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing - North's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 92%, reaching 1,634 people from 849. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, comprising 66% of the projected population increase. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.