Wyndham Vale

Wyndham Vale lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of Wyndham Vale is estimated at around 26,564 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 6,046 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,518 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 25,104 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1,564 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,016 persons per square kilometer. Wyndham Vale's growth of 29.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Wyndham Vale in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. The suburb is expected to increase by 23,540 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 83.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Wyndham Vale was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Wyndham Vale has seen around 546 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. From FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 2,734 homes received approval, with an additional 256 approved in FY-26 so far. Each dwelling is estimated to bring in about 2.5 new residents per year over the past five financial years, reflecting strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost of these dwellings is $322,000. This financial year has seen $3.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating Wyndham Vale's primarily residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale has 61.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering more choices for buyers and reflecting strong developer confidence. The area's development consists of 86.0% detached houses and 14.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining its suburban nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 43 people per dwelling approval in the location, suggesting an expanding market.

Future projections estimate Wyndham Vale to add 22,137 residents by 2041, indicating current development is well-suited to future needs and supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Wyndham Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 40 projects likely to impact the region. Notable ones include Savana Estate, Werribee Township Regional Park, Ballan Road Intersection Upgrade, and Wyndham Vale Retail Hub. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Wyndham Vale recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Wyndham Vale has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.7%. As of September 2025, 13,054 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.8% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was 75.9%, slightly above Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Approximately 24.2% of residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing, with the latter showing notable concentration at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 7.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.7% while labour force grew by 6.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 1.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Wyndham Vale's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest data for financial year 2023 shows Wyndham Vale's median income at $52,931 and average income at $61,553. This is lower than national averages. Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. By September 2025, estimates suggest Wyndham Vale's median income will be approximately $57,298 and average income $66,631, based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data places Wyndham Vale's household, family, and personal incomes between the 46th and 51st percentiles. The majority of residents (10,997 people, or 41.4%) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to surrounding regions at 32.8%. Housing affordability is severe, with only 82.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 49th percentile. Wyndham Vale's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Wyndham Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Wyndham Vale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.7% houses and 4.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wyndham Vale was at 17.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.9% and rented ones at 32.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Wyndham Vale was $343, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Wyndham Vale's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Wyndham Vale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.9% of all households, including 43.0% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 16.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 16.6% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Wyndham Vale performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

In Wyndham Vale, 27.7% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to the SA3 area's 37.0%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 22.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wyndham Vale has 63 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by four routes, offering a total of 1,261 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 307 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 84%, while trains account for 11%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Each route offers an average of 180 trips daily, equating to about 20 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Wyndham Vale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Wyndham Vale faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~13,600 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.0 and 7.8% of residents respectively. However, 75.1% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population in Wyndham Vale are broadly typical. The area has 7.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,992 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Wyndham Vale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wyndham Vale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of its population born overseas and 41.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Wyndham Vale, comprising 41.5% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' category makes up 6.0% of Wyndham Vale's population, compared to 2.3% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.1%), Australian (18.9%), and English (18.5%). The Indian group is notably overrepresented in Wyndham Vale at 10.7%, compared to 4.2% regionally. Similarly, Maltese and Maori populations are also higher than the regional averages, at 1.6% and 1.3% respectively.

Wyndham Vale hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Wyndham Vale has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.7%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.8%). Between 2021 and present, the age group of 35 to 44 has increased from 17.8% to 20.4%, while the age group of 25 to 34 has decreased from 18.7% to 16.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Wyndham Vale's age profile, with the 35 to 44 age cohort expected to grow by 3,780 people (70%), from 5,419 to 9,200 residents.