Wyndham Vale

Wyndham Vale lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of Wyndham Vale is estimated at around 26,821 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 6,303 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,518 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 26,509 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 1,647 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,026 persons per square kilometer. Wyndham Vale's growth rate of 30.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 9.3%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by 21,886 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 80.4% in total over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Wyndham Vale was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Wyndham Vale has seen approximately 546 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 2,734 homes were approved, with an additional 371 approved in FY-26 to date. Each new dwelling is estimated to bring in about 2.4 new residents yearly over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost of new homes is approximately $322,000. This year has seen around $3.6 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Wyndham Vale's predominantly residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale exhibits 58.0% higher per capita new home approvals, offering more buying options. Nationally, the area's development activity is above average, suggesting strong developer confidence. Detached houses comprise about 86.0% of new developments, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 14.0%, maintaining Wyndham Vale's suburban feel while catering to space-seeking buyers.

There are roughly 43 people per dwelling approval in the area, indicating a growing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Wyndham Vale is projected to add approximately 21,574 residents by 2041. Current development appears well-suited to meet future needs, supporting stable market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Wyndham Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 41 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Savana Estate, Werribee Township Regional Park, Ballan Road Intersection Upgrade, and Wyndham Vale Retail Hub. The following details projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Wyndham Vale recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Wyndham Vale has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.9% in December 2025, with estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year. As of this date, 12,980 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 4.2% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation stood at 72.2%, slightly above Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Home-based work accounted for 24.2% of jobs, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Dominant sectors included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing, with the latter showing notable concentration at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 7.7%.

The area's predominantly residential nature suggests limited local employment opportunities. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 2.5% while labour force grew by 4.5%, raising unemployment by 1.8 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wyndham Vale's employment mix suggests local employment growth of 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though these figures are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Wyndham Vale has lower incomes compared to national averages. The median income is $52,931 and the average income stands at $61,553. In contrast, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $58,023 (median) and $67,474 (average). Census data reveals that Wyndham Vale's household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly, between the 46th and 51st percentiles. Income distribution shows that 41.4% of locals (11,103 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region at 32.8%. Wyndham Vale faces severe housing affordability pressures, with only 82.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 49th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Wyndham Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Wyndham Vale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 95.7% houses and 4.3% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro has 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wyndham Vale is at 17.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.9% and rented ones at 32.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000 and the Australian average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Wyndham Vale is $343, less than Melbourne metro's $390 and the national figure of $375.

Wyndham Vale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.9% of all households, including 43.0% that are couples with children, 19.7% that are couples without children, and 16.1% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 16.6% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Wyndham Vale performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Wyndham Vale's educational qualifications lag behind regional benchmarks; 27.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to the SA3 area's 37.0%. This discrepancy indicates potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 34.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them; advanced diplomas account for 12.2% and certificates for 22.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 13.2% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wyndham Vale has 63 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are operated by four routes that together facilitate 1,261 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 307 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 84%, while trains account for 11%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Wyndham Vale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Wyndham Vale faces significant health challenges as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups, but more so among older cohorts.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~13,732 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. Mental health issues impact 8.0% and asthma impacts 7.8% of residents. 75.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 7.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,011 people), which is lower than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Wyndham Vale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wyndham Vale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of its population born overseas and 41.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Wyndham Vale, comprising 41.5% of the population. The most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which makes up 6.0% of Wyndham Vale's population compared to the regional average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (23.1%), Australian (18.9%), and English (18.5%). Notably, Indian, Maltese, and Maori ethnic groups are overrepresented in Wyndham Vale compared to the regional averages: Indian at 10.7% vs 4.2%, Maltese at 1.6% vs 1.1%, and Maori at 1.3% vs 0.3%.

Wyndham Vale hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Wyndham Vale's median age is notably under the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (16.6%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (4.7%). Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 17.8% to 20.3% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 18.7% to 16.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Wyndham Vale's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 3,672 people (67%) from 5,444 to 9,117.