Hoppers Crossing

Hoppers Crossing is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Hoppers Crossing statistical area (Lv2) is around 37,650, reflecting an increase of 434 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 37,216. This growth is inferred from the resident population estimate of 37,377 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 118 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 2,111 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed around 70% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, it utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, an above median population growth is projected for the Hoppers Crossing (SA2), with an expected increase of 5,174 persons by 2041. This reflects a total increase of approximately 13% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Hoppers Crossing, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Hoppers Crossing has seen approximately 48 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 241 homes were approved, with an additional 20 approved in FY-26 so far. The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $400,000.

In terms of commercial development, $29.4 million has been recorded this financial year. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Hoppers Crossing has significantly less development activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person. The area's population has declined, but new supply appears to have kept up with demand. New dwellings consist of 47.0% detached dwellings and 53.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 85.0% houses. There are approximately 931 people per dwelling approval in Hoppers Crossing. Future projections estimate an addition of 4,901 residents by 2041, which may lead to increased buyer competition and price increases if current development rates do not keep pace with population growth.

Future projections show Hoppers Crossing adding 4,901 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Hoppers Crossing has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 34 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Hoppers Crossing Town Centre Urban Design Framework, Ison Road Extension, West Tarneit Station, and Harlow Tarneit. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Hoppers Crossing shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Hoppers Crossing has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 7.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.7%.

As of September 2025, 19,486 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 59.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. Transport, postal & warehousing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services have limited presence with 5.7% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. In the past year, employment increased by 4.7%, while the labour force grew by 5.3%, causing a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.0% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoppers Crossing's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that Hoppers Crossing has lower than average incomes nationally. The median income is $42,975 and the average is $49,665. In comparison, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $46,520 (median) and $53,762 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Hoppers Crossing rank modestly, between the 26th and 40th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 34.6% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (13,026 residents), similar to the broader area where 32.8% fall into this bracket. After housing costs, 85.3% of income remains for other expenses.

Hoppers Crossing is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoppers Crossing's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.8% houses and 15.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoppers Crossing was at 34.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.3% and rented ones at 26.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. The median weekly rent in Hoppers Crossing was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Hoppers Crossing's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents at $340 being less than the national figure of $375.

Hoppers Crossing has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.4% of all households, including couples with children (37.6%), couples without children (23.5%), and single parent families (13.9%). Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.6%, with lone person households at 20.5% and group households at 3.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Hoppers Crossing aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.9%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 33.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (21.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Hoppers Crossing shows that there are currently 177 active transport stops in operation. These stops offer a combination of train and bus services. A total of 14 different routes serve these stops, collectively facilitating 5,188 weekly passenger trips.

The report rates transport accessibility as good, with residents typically residing approximately 201 meters away from the nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 741 trips per day, which translates to roughly 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoppers Crossing's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Hoppers Crossing's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (~17,533 people), compared to 51.8% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, impacting 8.0 and 7.4% of residents respectively, while 70.0% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.2% in Greater Melbourne. As of June 2021, the area has 17.0% of residents aged 65 and over (6,400 people), which is higher than the 8.3% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Hoppers Crossing is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoppers Crossing's population shows high diversity with 40.6% born overseas and 40.0% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 49.1%. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 9.6% versus 10.7%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (18.3%), Australian (18.2%), and Other (18.0%), lower than the regional average of 23.4%. Notably, Maltese (3.0%) and Indian (6.6%) populations are higher than regional averages of 1.7% and 14.7%, respectively. Lebanese population is also higher at 1.7% compared to the regional figure of 0.8%.

Hoppers Crossing's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Hoppers Crossing has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and being comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 12.8% of Hoppers Crossing's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.1%, lower than Greater Melbourne's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.9% to 5.6%. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 14.4% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Hoppers Crossing's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 67%, reaching 3,525 people from the current 2,108. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, comprising 62% of the projected population increase. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.