Wyndham Vale - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Wyndham Vale - South are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Wyndham Vale - South's population is 14,133 as of Aug 2025. This shows an increase of 587 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,546. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 14,163 in June 2024 and one new address validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,849 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.1% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of statistical areas nationally, with Wyndham Vale - South expected to grow by 5,454 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 38.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Wyndham Vale - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Wyndham Vale - South has seen approximately 13 new homes approved annually. Development approval data is provided by the ABS on a financial year basis, with 69 homes approved over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25, and one approval so far in FY26. On average, 0.8 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $279,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, there have been $1.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne, where Wyndham Vale - South shows substantially reduced construction (94.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, with the area's level also under the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Wyndham Vale - South's suburban character while responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 96.0% houses, possibly due to diminishing developable land availability. With around 2408 people per dwelling approval, the area reflects a highly mature market.

Looking ahead, Wyndham Vale - South is expected to grow by approximately 5,484 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Wyndham Vale - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence regional performance. AreaSearch identified seven potential impactful projects in total. Key ones are Savana Estate, Ballan Road Intersection Upgrade, Wyndham Vale Retail Hub, and 771 Ballan Road Townhouses. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Wyndham Vale - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Wyndham Vale - South has a skilled workforce with diverse industry representation. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 7.9%, having increased from 6.9% in June 2024.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%. There are 7,379 residents currently employed. The area's unemployment rate is 3.3 percentage points higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation is on par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%.

Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area has a significant employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 6.9% of residents employed in this sector compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Despite being predominantly residential, Wyndham Vale - South appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, while the labour force grew by 5.8%. This led to an increase in the unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% and a 0.5 percentage point rise in its unemployment rate over the same period. Providing broader context, state-level data from Sep-25 shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs. The state's unemployment rate was at 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.5%. However, Victoria's employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.26%. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wyndham Vale - South's current employment mix indicates potential local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, although these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Wyndham Vale - South's median income among taxpayers was $53,973 in financial year 2022. Its average income stood at $62,764 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, Wyndham Vale - South's estimated median income is approximately $59,430 as of March 2025, with an average income of around $69,109. Census data from 2021 shows that incomes in Wyndham Vale - South rank modestly, between the 39th and 51st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 is dominant, with 40.0% of residents (5,653 people) falling within this range. This pattern is also seen in the surrounding region, where 32.8% of residents occupy this income bracket. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, but despite this, disposable income ranks at the 52nd percentile.

Wyndham Vale - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Wyndham Vale - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wyndham Vale - South was higher at 22.2%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 52.1% and rented dwellings at 25.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,668, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,924. Weekly rent in Wyndham Vale - South was $336, below Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,668 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $336 compared to the national figure of $375.

Wyndham Vale - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, consisting of 43.5% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 16.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Wyndham Vale - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 23.2% compared to the SA3 average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (23.5%). Educational participation is high at 33.8%, with 13.2% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Wyndham Vale Primary School and Iramoo Primary School serve 1,701 students collectively. Wyndham Vale - South has balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 984). Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents are lower at 12.0 compared to the regional average of 18.4, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wyndham Vale - South has 65 active public transport stops operating, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 9 individual routes that collectively facilitate 5,344 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located just 194 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 763 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 82 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Wyndham Vale - South is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Wyndham Vale - South demonstrates above-average health outcomes with prevalence of common health conditions low among its general population but higher than national averages among older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 51% (~7221 people) of residents have private health cover, slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.5%) and mental health issues (8.3%). Around 72.2% claim to be free of medical ailments compared to Greater Melbourne's 79.2%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 11.0% aged 65 and over (1550 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 8.3%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Wyndham Vale - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wyndham Vale-South has a high cultural diversity, with 37.1% of its population born overseas and 35.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Wyndham Vale-South, comprising 44.3% of the population. The category Other comprises 4.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 7.1%.

For ancestry, Australian is the highest at 20.7%, significantly higher than the regional average of 14.0%. English follows with 20.5%, above the regional average of 14.2%. Other ancestry makes up 19.2%. Notably, Indian representation is high at 8.2% compared to 14.7% regionally. Maltese and Maori also show variations, being 2.1% vs 1.7% and 1.1% vs 1.2%, respectively.

Wyndham Vale - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Wyndham Vale - South has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 12.7% to 13.8%, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 14.8% to 12.8%. The 0-4 age group has also declined, dropping from 7.9% to 6.8%. Population projections for 2041 suggest significant demographic shifts in Wyndham Vale - South, with the strongest growth expected in the 55-64 age cohort, which is projected to increase by 78%, adding 1,079 residents to reach a total of 2,467.