Wyndham Vale - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Wyndham Vale - South are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Wyndham Vale - South's population was 14,133 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This represented an increase of 587 people, a 4.3% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 13,546. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,163 in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 2,849 persons per square kilometer, placing Wyndham Vale - South in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict a significant increase in the top quartile of statistical areas nationwide, with Wyndham Vale - South expected to expand by 5,454 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 38.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Wyndham Vale - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Wyndham Vale - South has seen approximately 13 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 69 homes were approved, with another 6 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 0.8 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over these years, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

The average construction value of these new homes has been around $195,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options to purchasers. This financial year alone, there have been $1.9 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale - South shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 94.0% fewer dwellings being built per person on average. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This level is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. The new development in Wyndham Vale - South consists of around 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% medium to high-density housing.

This preserves the area's suburban nature while also responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns which are currently 96.0% houses. With approximately 2408 people per dwelling approval, Wyndham Vale - South reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, it is expected that the area will grow by around 5,484 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the future.

Wyndham Vale - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting this region. Notable projects include Savana Estate, Ballan Road Intersection Upgrade, Wyndham Vale Retail Hub, and 771 Ballan Road Townhouses. These are detailed below for their relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Wyndham Vale - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Wyndham Vale - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 7.9% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%. There were 7,379 residents in work while the unemployment rate was 3.3% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents comprised health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area had particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level. Professional & technical services had limited presence with 6.9% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6% and labour force increased by 5.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.0 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, with unemployment rising 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 projected national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Wyndham Vale - South's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Wyndham Vale - South's median income among taxpayers was $53,973 and average income stood at $62,764 in financial year 2022. This compares to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated median income is approximately $60,536 and average income is $70,396 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Wyndham Vale - South rank modestly, between the 39th and 51st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 40.0% of residents (5,653 people), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 32.8% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, leaving disposable income at the 52nd percentile.

Wyndham Vale - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Wyndham Vale - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.5% houses and 3.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wyndham Vale - South was 22.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.1% and rented ones at 25.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,668, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. The median weekly rent figure was $336, lower than Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Wyndham Vale - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,668 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Wyndham Vale - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.6% of all households, including 43.5% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 16.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households making up 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Wyndham Vale - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.2%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 23.5%. Educational participation is high, with 33.8% currently enrolled in formal education: 13.2% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Wyndham Vale Primary School and Iramoo Primary School serve a total of 1,701 students, offering balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 984). These schools focus on primary education; secondary options are available nearby. The area has fewer school places per 100 residents (12.0) compared to the regional average (18.4), with some students likely attending schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wyndham Vale - South has 65 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These are covered by 9 individual routes, facilitating 5,344 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 194 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 763 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 82 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Wyndham Vale - South is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Wyndham Vale - South shows superior health outcomes with lower prevalence of common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages.

However, older and at-risk cohorts exhibit higher rates of these conditions. Private health cover is held by approximately 51% of the total population (~7,221 people), slightly below the average for SA2 areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.5%) and mental health issues (8.3%). Conversely, 72.2% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 79.2% in Greater Melbourne. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 11.0% (1,550 people), compared to the 8.3% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Wyndham Vale - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wyndham Vale-South has a high cultural diversity, with 37.1% of its population born overseas and 35.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Wyndham Vale-South, accounting for 44.3% of the population. However, there's an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, comprising 4.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 7.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (20.7%), English (20.5%), and Other (19.2%). Notably, Indian (8.2%), Maltese (2.1%), and Maori (1.1%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Wyndham Vale - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Wyndham Vale - South has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.7% to 13.8%, while the 25-34 age group has declined from 14.8% to 12.8%. The 0-4 age group has also decreased from 7.9% to 6.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Wyndham Vale - South, with the 55-64 age cohort projected to grow by 78%, adding 1,079 residents to reach a total of 2,467.