Wyndham Vale - South

Population growth drivers in Wyndham Vale - South are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Wyndham Vale - South's population was around 14,133 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects an increase of 587 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,546. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,163 as of June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,849 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting employing weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of statistical areas nationally, with the area expected to expand by 5,454 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 38.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Wyndham Vale - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Wyndham Vale - South has seen approximately 13 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 69 homes were approved, with an additional 6 so far in FY26. On average, over the past five financial years, 0.8 new residents arrived per year for each new home approved.

This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of these homes was $195,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. In FY26, around $1.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus in the area. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale - South has seen substantially reduced construction, with 94.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The area's established nature is also reflected by its level being under the national average.

New development in Wyndham Vale - South consists of 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature while responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 96.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability. With around 2408 people per dwelling approval, Wyndham Vale - South reflects a highly mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 5,484 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Wyndham Vale - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely affecting this region. Notable initiatives include Savana Estate, Ballan Road Intersection Upgrade, Wyndham Vale Retail Hub, and 771 Ballan Road Townhouses. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Wyndham Vale - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Wyndham Vale - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.3% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%. As of that date, 7,297 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.6% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area had a particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level. Professional & technical services had limited presence, with 6.9% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.1%, while labour force grew by 5.5%. This caused the unemployment rate to rise by 1.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% during the same period, with labour force growth of 3.3%. Unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov showed Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs. The state unemployment rate was 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Victoria's employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wyndham Vale - South's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Wyndham Vale - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $53,973 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $62,764 during the same period. Comparing these figures with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 shows Wyndham Vale - South had slightly lower incomes on a national basis according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. By September 2025, current estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% would be approximately $60,536 for median income and $70,396 for average income. Census 2021 income data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Wyndham Vale - South rank modestly, between the 38th and 51st percentiles. The majority of residents, 40.0% or 5,653 people, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, reflecting a pattern seen in the surrounding region where 32.8% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile.

Wyndham Vale - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Wyndham Vale - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wyndham Vale - South stood at 22.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.1% and rented ones at 25.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,668, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,924. Median weekly rent in Wyndham Vale - South was $336, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,668 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375 at $336.

Wyndham Vale - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.6% of all households, including 43.5% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 16.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 3.0 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Wyndham Vale - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.2%, significantly lower than the SA3 average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 23.5%. Educational participation is high, with 33.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.2% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wyndham Vale - South has 65 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 9 different routes, facilitating 5,344 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents' accessibility to transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 194 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 763 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 82 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Wyndham Vale - South is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Wyndham Vale - South demonstrates above-average health outcomes with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 51% of the total population (~7,221 people) has private health cover, slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.5% and 8.3% of residents respectively. 72.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.2% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 11.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,550 people), higher than the 8.3% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Wyndham Vale - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wyndham Vale - South has a high cultural diversity, with 37.1% of its population born overseas and 35.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, comprising 44.3% of the population. Notably, the category 'Other' makes up 4.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 7.1%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian is the highest at 20.7%, significantly more than the regional average of 14.0%. English follows closely at 20.5%, above the regional average of 14.2%. 'Other' ancestry comprises 19.2% of the population. Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Indian is overrepresented at 8.2% (regional average 14.7%), Maltese at 2.1% (regional average 1.7%), and Maori at 1.1% (regional average 1.2%).

Wyndham Vale - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Wyndham Vale - South has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wyndham Vale - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present day, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.7% to 13.8%, while the 25-34 age group has declined from 14.8% to 12.8%. Additionally, the 0-4 age group has decreased from 7.9% to 6.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Wyndham Vale - South, with the strongest projected growth being among the 55-64 age cohort, which is expected to grow by 78%, adding 1,079 residents and reaching a total of 2,467.