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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Burnside (Vic.) has an estimated 6,833 residents, up from 5,800 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,033 people, or 17.8%. Growth has averaged 2.9% a year over five years, faster than 88% of areas nationally. 242 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 48.0% of that increase. That puts 2,680 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Burnside (Vic.) has an estimated population of approximately 6,833, determined through AreaSearch evaluation of broader ABS demographic releases alongside post-Census validated address additions. Compared to the 2021 Census count of 5,800 people, this represents an expansion of 1,033 people (17.8%). This metric builds upon an estimated resident population of 6,635 calculated by AreaSearch from the ABS June 2025 ERP update, combined with 242 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. With a density of 2,679 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Burnside (Vic.)
ranks in the upper quartile of nationwide areas evaluated by AreaSearch. Its 17.8% expansion rate since the 2021 census positioned it as a regional frontrunner, outpacing both the national benchmark and the state level of 9.5%. Inflow from interstate migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 48.0% of recent population increases, alongside positive contributions from natural increase and overseas arrivals. Demographic modeling by AreaSearch incorporates 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 locations using 2022 as a baseline, while unmapped zones utilize 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA figures adjusted via weighted LGA-to-SA2 population distribution methods. For the years 2032 to 2041, age-specific growth distributions from these models are uniformly applied. Future demographic projections place the suburb of Burnside (Vic.) among the top 10 percent of statistical areas across Australia, with aggregated SA2-level forecasts indicating an expansion of 3,353 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative 46.2% increase across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
349 new dwellings have been approved in Burnside (Vic.) over the past five years, an average of 69 a year. That places the area in the 82nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 10 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 69 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 43, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Burnside have averaged around 69 dwellings annually according to AreaSearch analysis of ABS figures, accumulating to an estimated 349 homes across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 43 recorded to date in FY-25. Demonstrating an emphasis on higher-end residential construction, the average expected construction cost for new dwellings stands at $671,000, supported by an influx of 2.6 new residents per year per dwelling built across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25). Non-residential development remains minimal, with commercial approvals totaling $8.0 million during this financial year.
Per capita residential construction in Burnside tracks 50.0% below the regional average of Greater Melbourne, creating dwelling scarcity that underpins local property values and buyer interest. On a broader scale, developer sentiment remains elevated well above average nationally. Recent residential building activity has comprised detached houses exclusively, sustaining the low-density suburban environment and appealing to buyers seeking detached housing. Market expansion is further evidenced by a ratio of approximately 141 people per dwelling approval. Projections from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicate Burnside will add 3,155 residents by 2041. Although local construction activity continues at a steady rate alongside this anticipated expansion, prospective purchasers may face heightened competition as the local population increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Burnside (Vic.)
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 91 current infrastructure and development projects close to Burnside (Vic.), worth an estimated $33.1 billion. 22 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital works and urban planning schemes play a decisive role in shaping community development. AreaSearch has pinpointed 3 projects positioned to influence the area, with major initiatives including Amora Estate Cairnlea, Modeina Estate, Taylors Creek Residential Estate, as well as the Lake Caroline Master Plan & Activation Strategy.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Amora Estate Cairnlea
Townhouse estate by Truesource featuring approximately 70 homes in a walkable location opposite Cairnlea Shopping Centre. Product mix includes 3 and 4 bedroom, double garage homes with contemporary finishes, engineered oak style flooring, and stone benchtops.
Modeina Estate
A masterplanned residential community embraced by Kororoit Creek on three sides, offering land lots and house packages in Melbourne's thriving inner west. With over 450 residents already calling Modeina home, the estate provides a family-friendly setting with access to schools, parks, shopping, and transport connections. Features premium creek-front elevated lots, architectural design guidelines, and comprehensive amenities including walking paths, BBQ facilities, and community reserves.
Caroline Springs Boulevard Upgrade
Road upgrade and signalised pedestrian crossing installation along Caroline Springs Boulevard between Lake Street and Deanside Drive. Includes improved intersection treatments, enhanced pedestrian facilities and traffic flow improvements to support growing residential and commercial development.
Taylors Creek Residential Estate
A masterplanned residential community by ID_Land delivering around 620 new homes, local parks and future neighborhood convenience retail in Kings Park, within Melbourne's western suburbs.
Lake Caroline Master Plan & Activation Strategy
Comprehensive masterplan guiding the long-term development and activation of Lake Caroline Reserve in Caroline Springs. Endorsed by Melton City Council in June 2024 following over 800 community submissions across two consultation rounds, the strategy proposes a mid-lake crossing, dedicated event lawn, playspace upgrades, shared zone along Lake Street for markets and festivals, new viewing platforms, ecological wetlands restoration, and renewal of 20-year-old boardwalks and facilities. The plan is guided by three principles: ecology, connections and activation, with the aim of transforming the lake into a vibrant regional community destination.
CS Square Extension
Approved 5,045m2 retail and office extension to CS Square Shopping Centre including relocation and expansion of the existing PTV bus interchange. The expansion comprises 1,533m2 of retail space and 889m2 of office space, designed by Peddle Thorp Architects. The project is currently in design development following planning permit approval.
Aspire Community
Master-planned residential community by Villawood Properties in Fraser Rise, offering titled land for sale, house and land packages, and townhomes. Home to over 1,400 families with active construction and sales ongoing for remaining stages.
Station Street Commercial Precinct
Development application for a mixed-use commercial precinct along Station Street including retail spaces, cafes, professional services, and upper-level office accommodation. The project aims to create a vibrant local commercial centre.
3,331 residents of Burnside (Vic.) are employed, from a labour force of 3,520. Unemployment sits at 5.4%, with participation at 65.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 5,499, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Workforce analysis by AreaSearch shows Burnside possesses a qualified labor pool across diverse sectors, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 5.4% and an estimated 1.4% annual employment growth. As of March 2026, employed residents total 3,331. The local unemployment level is 0.6% above Greater Melbourne's 4.8%, while the participation rate of 65.7% trails the regional figure of 70.1%. Census records show 21.3% of workers operated from home, though figures should be viewed alongside the context of Covid-19 restrictions. Local workers are predominantly engaged in health care & social assistance, retail trade, as well as transport, postal & warehousing.
Transport, postal & warehousing exhibits significant specialization, capturing an employment proportion 2.0 times the broader metropolitan benchmark. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 5.4% of resident employment versus 10.1% across the region. A comparison of resident workers to local job numbers indicates that the residential community provides relatively limited commercial employment on-site. Data from ABS and SALM aggregated by AreaSearch indicates that over the 12-month period, local employment expanded by 1.4% while the labor pool grew by 1.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded a 2.1% increase in employment, a 2.3% expansion in its workforce, and an unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points. Forward projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 outline national employment expansions of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying by sector. When applied to Burnside's industry distribution, these forecasts suggest local job growth of 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, representing a simple illustrative weighting model that excludes localized population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Burnside (Vic.) is $1,871 a week (about $97,000 a year), with median personal income at $676 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $45,747 a year against an average of $53,731. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation statistics for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that Burnside records a median income of $45,747 and an average income of $53,731, remaining below national benchmarks and comparing to Greater Melbourne averages of $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). Factoring in 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated figures as of March 2026 reach approximately $50,148 for the median and $58,900 for the average. In the 2021 Census, local household earnings ranked at the 57th percentile ($1,871 weekly) while individual earnings stood at the 24th percentile.
The largest earning segment encompasses 34.9% of residents (2,384 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the metropolitan proportion of 32.8%. Housing costs account for 16.7% of income, with disposable income sitting at the 57th percentile and the SEIFA income metric positioned in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Burnside (Vic.) had 1,745 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 85% detached houses and 1% apartments. 58% are owned with a mortgage, 11% rented and 31% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 21.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, Burnside's residential dwelling stock was made up of 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (incorporating semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwellings), differing from Melbourne metro where houses constituted 67.9% and other dwellings accounted for 32.1%. Outright home ownership matched the wider Melbourne metro rate of 31.1%, while 58.4% of homes were mortgaged and 10.5% were occupied by renters. Median housing costs showed a monthly mortgage repayment of $2,000, aligning with the Melbourne metro median of $2,000, and a median weekly rent of $400, slightly above the metropolitan figure of $390.
Relative to Australia-wide figures, local mortgage payments surpass the national median of $1,863 and weekly rents exceed the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Burnside (Vic.) counted 1,745 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,056 today, averaging 3.1 people each. 52% are couples with children, more than in 95% of areas nationally, against 19% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 80.9% of all local domestic arrangements, comprising couples with children at 51.5%, couples without children at 18.6%, and single parent families at 9.9%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 19.1%, made up of lone person households (18.0%) and group households (1.1%). The average household size stands at 3.1 people, exceeding the Greater Melbourne median of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
25.0% of adults in Burnside (Vic.) hold a university qualification, including 18.5% with a bachelor degree and 4.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 19.3% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 405 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,034 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in the locality is lower than the metropolitan standard, with 25.0% of residents holding university qualifications compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne. Bachelor degrees represent the primary higher education qualification at 18.5%, accompanied by postgraduate qualifications at 4.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.7%. Vocational education is well represented among residents aged 15+, with 30.4% holding technical credentials comprising advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (19.3%). Student participation in formal study is substantial, representing 33.5% of the population. By level of schooling, this encompasses 11.7% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 5.3% undertaking tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Burnside (Vic.) reaches 20 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local public transport infrastructure in Burnside includes 20 active transport stops operating across a bus network. These stops are served by 4 individual routes, generating 1,286 weekly passenger trips. Network coverage is accessible, placing residents an average of 210 meters from their nearest stop. Outward travel dominates commuting habits, with private car travel representing 90% and train usage accounting for 6%. Household motor vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, surpassing the regional norm, while 21.3% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census under prevailing COVID-19 settings. Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 183 trips per day across the network, translating to approximately 64 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
73.3% of residents in Burnside (Vic.) report no long-term health condition. 7.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Public health indicators in Burnside broadly mirror national benchmarks based on mortality and chronic disease findings from AreaSearch, with typical general incidence rates but elevated prevalence among older cohorts. Private health insurance participation is notably low at approximately 48% of residents (~3,290 people), below the Greater Melbourne level of 56.7% and the Australian average of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma constitute the leading diagnosed chronic ailments, reported by 7.2 and 6.9% of the local population respectively, while 73.3% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% regionally. The working-age demographic demonstrates strong health with low rates of chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over comprise 15.3% of the community (1,045 people), showing higher health management needs that rank lower nationally than the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
49.3% of Burnside (Vic.) residents were born overseas and 56.4% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 91% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (12.1%) and English (10.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demonstrating high cultural diversity relative to national benchmarks, 49.3% of Burnside residents were born overseas, and 56.4% communicate in a language other than English at home. Christianity represents the leading religious affiliation at 60.5%. Buddhism shows significant local concentration at 5.9% of the population, exceeding the 4.2% proportion observed across Greater Melbourne. Ancestry records based on parental country of birth highlight Other as the largest group in Burnside at 23.0% (compared to 14.6% regionally), followed by Australian at 12.1% (below the regional 18.4%) and English at 10.3% (below the regional 20.1%).
Specific community representations also show notable divergence, including Filipino residents at 8.3% (versus 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 5.9% (versus 1.1%), and Spanish at 1.2% (versus 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Burnside (Vic.) is 37. 27.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Burnside exhibits a younger age profile than Greater Melbourne. Children and young adults (0 - 24) make up 34.4% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 30.5% regionally, while young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) comprise 26.6%, against 32.1% across Greater Melbourne. The median age stands at an estimated 37 as at August 2026, remaining identical to the 2021 Census result and level with Greater Melbourne's median of 37 at that Census. Long-term forecasts to 2041 indicate middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64) will absorb the largest numeric expansion by adding 917 residents (57%) to reach 2,536, whereas retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) are projected to grow fastest in percentage terms, rising 73% to 1,808 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Burnside (Vic.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 242 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,800 at the 2021 Census → 6,833 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20419). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.