Burnside Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

Burnside Heights lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Burnside Heights' population was 6,377 as of June 2021. By Nov 2025, it had increased to around 6,520, a rise of 143 people (2.2%). This growth is inferred from the ABS's estimated resident population of 6,499 in Jun 2024 and an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density as of Nov 2025 was 3,260 persons per square kilometer, placing Burnside Heights in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.8% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For uncovers areas, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends forecast a significant population increase, with Burnside Heights expected to grow by 1,729 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 26.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Burnside Heights is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Burnside Heights has seen approximately three new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 17 homes were approved, with none yet recorded in FY26. The population decline during this period suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $376,000. This financial year has seen $400,000 in commercial development approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Burnside Heights shows significantly reduced construction activity, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years. Relative to national levels, it remains lower, indicating market maturity and potential development constraints. New building activity comprises 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, representing a shift from the area's current housing composition of 91.0% houses. This trend suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options.

With around 1219 people per dwelling approval, Burnside Heights indicates a highly mature market. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 1,708 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Burnside Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting this region: Kings Park Reserve Sports Facilities Upgrades, Taylors Creek Residential Estate, Aspire Community, and Modeina Estate. The following details projects expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Burnside Heights well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Burnside Heights has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.8%. As of June 2025, 3729 residents are employed, with a participation rate of 70.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 7.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.8%, while unemployment remained stable. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% with a slight increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Burnside Heights' employment mix suggests local growth could be approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Burnside Heights had a median taxpayer income of $54,342 and an average of $63,826. This is below the national average, with Greater Melbourne figures at $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $60,950 and $71,587. According to the 2021 Census, Burnside Heights' household income ranks at the 80th percentile ($2,246 weekly), with personal income ranking at the 50th percentile. Income analysis reveals that 39.6% of residents (2,581 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with broader regional trends at 32.8%. Economic strength is evident through 31.6% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 79th percentile, with the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 6th decile.

Burnside Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Burnside Heights' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Burnside Heights was at 18.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.5% and rented ones at 17.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,800 and the national average of $1,863. Weekly rent in Burnside Heights was $411, exceeding Melbourne metro's $351 and the national figure of $375.

Burnside Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 93.2% of all households, including 66.3% couples with children, 13.4% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for 6.8%, comprising 5.4% lone person households and 1.4% group households. The median household size is 3.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.0.

Burnside Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 34.2% for residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.3% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.3% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 15.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 38.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.7% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education. Kororoit Creek Primary School serves as the area's anchor educational institution, with a student population of 1,223. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1082. There is one primary school in Burnside Heights, with secondary options available in surrounding areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Burnside Heights has 12 active public transport stops. All are bus stops serviced by three routes. These routes provide a total of 1,547 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is good with residents typically located 231 meters from the nearest stop. There are an average of 221 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

Burnside Heights's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Burnside Heights shows excellent health outcomes with common conditions similar across age groups.

Private health cover is at approximately 51%, slightly below the SA2 average. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 6.5% and 4.2% of residents respectively. 81.4% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 73.7%. The area has 8.1% seniors (524 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Burnside Heights is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Burnside Heights has a population where 49.9% were born overseas, with 61.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 48.8%. Buddhism, however, is more prevalent in Burnside Heights at 7.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.8%.

Top ancestry groups include Other at 25.1%, Indian at 10.3%, and Australian at 9.8%. Notably, Filipino (5.9%), Maltese (5.8%), and Macedonian (3.7%) ethnicities are more represented than regional averages of 3.4%, 5.1%, and 1.8% respectively.

Burnside Heights's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Burnside Heights has a median age of 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Burnside Heights has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (20.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.1%). This concentration of residents aged 5-14 is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, residents have aged by an average of 1.3 years, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 12.3% to 15.3%, while the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has risen from 12.8% to 14.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has decreased from 22.6% to 19.0%, and the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has dropped from 21.7% to 20.1%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Burnside Heights, with the strongest projected growth in the 15-24 age group, expected to grow by 45%, adding 445 residents to reach a total of 1,445. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 35-44 age groups are projected to see reductions in their numbers.