Upper Caboolture

Upper Caboolture lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the suburb of Upper Caboolture's estimated population is around 6550 as of February 2026. This shows an increase of 1463 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5087. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 5550 residents in June 2024 and 572 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 414 persons per square kilometer. Upper Caboolture's growth rate of 28.8% since the 2021 Census exceeded the national average of 9.9%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 61.0% to this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. Future trends predict exceptional growth for the suburb, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationally. By 2041, the population is expected to increase by 3583 persons, reflecting a gain of 38.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Upper Caboolture among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has seen approximately 121 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 609 homes have been approved. As of FY-26294 approvals have been recorded. The area has experienced an average of 1.1 people moving in per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25.

This indicates a balanced supply and demand market supporting stable conditions. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $356,000.

In this financial year, $2.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Building activity shows 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Upper Caboolture's low density character with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 37 people per dwelling approval, Upper Caboolture exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Upper Caboolture is projected to add 2,537 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Upper Caboolture has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are Westbrook Estate, Bright Community, Aire Lilywood, and Westbrook at Lilywood, as detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Upper Caboolture significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% and estimated employment growth of 7.9% over the past year (AreaSearch). As of September 2025, there are 2,875 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, below Greater Brisbane's 4.0%.

Workforce participation is lower at 68.4%. Home workership is low at 11.9% (Census). Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by resident vs working population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 7.9% while labour force grew by 6.4%, reducing unemployment by 1.4 percentage points (AreaSearch). In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Upper Caboolture's industry mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 indicates that Upper Caboolture had a median income of $50,499 and an average income of $57,195. This is lower than the national averages of $61,881 (median) and $74,632 (average). In Greater Brisbane, the median income was $58,236 and the average was $72,799. With a 9.91% increase in wages since June 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $55,503 (median) and $62,863 (average). The 2021 Census shows that incomes in Upper Caboolture cluster around the median nationally. Most locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, with 39.4% of residents falling into this category. This is similar to the regional pattern where 33.3% of people earn within this range. High housing costs consume 15.9% of income in Upper Caboolture, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 58th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fourth decile.

Upper Caboolture is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Upper Caboolture's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Brisbane metropolitan area had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Caboolture was at 25.8%, similar to Brisbane metro's level, with the remaining properties either mortgaged (51.7%) or rented (22.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Upper Caboolture was $1,820, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure for Upper Caboolture was $360, compared to Brisbane metro's $380 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Upper Caboolture's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863.

Upper Caboolture features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 84.8% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 29.1% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.2%, with lone person households at 12.7% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Upper Caboolture shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 12.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.7%). Educational participation is high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.8% in primary, 10.5% in secondary, and 3.4% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.8% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Upper Caboolture has four active public transport stops, all providing bus services. These stops are served by one route in total, offering 109 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically located 1012 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 91%, while train use stands at 5%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 2.0, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 15 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Upper Caboolture is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Upper Caboolture faces substantial health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~3,266 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues impact 10.5% of residents, while asthma affects 9.1%. A total of 65.9% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 17.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,113 people), higher than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Upper Caboolture is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Caboolture had a cultural diversity index of 84.8%, with 90.5% citizens and 95.5% speaking English only at home, as of the 2016 Census. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 42.8%. Judaism, however, was underrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane (0.0% vs 0.1%).

In terms of ancestry, Upper Caboolture had higher proportions of English (32.5%, regional average: 26.8%) and Australian (31.0%, regional average: 23.2%) heritage. Irish heritage was also notable at 6.9%. Other groups with significant differences included New Zealand (1.0% vs 1.0%), Maori (1.0% vs 1.1%), and German (5.0% vs 4.2%).

Upper Caboolture's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Upper Caboolture has a median age of 33 years, which is younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Caboolture has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.3%). According to post-2021 Census data, the percentage of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 3.6% to 6.5%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 12.1% to 10.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Upper Caboolture's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 114%, adding 486 residents and reaching a total of 912.