Upper Caboolture

Upper Caboolture lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Upper Caboolture as of November 2025 is around 6,405. This reflects an increase of 1,318 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,087. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,550 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 506 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 405 persons per square kilometer. Upper Caboolture's growth rate of 25.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.7%. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings are applied in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period to 2041, with the Upper Caboolture statistical area expected to increase by 3,576 persons, reflecting a gain of 41.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Upper Caboolture among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has witnessed approximately 121 new home approvals annually, totalling an estimated 609 homes over the past five financial years. As of FY-26294 approvals have been recorded. The area has seen an average of 1.1 people moving in per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $356,000.

In this financial year, $2.1 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Building activity shows 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Upper Caboolture's low density character with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 37 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits growth characteristics. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Upper Caboolture is projected to add 2,670 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand readily, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Upper Caboolture has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones are Westbrook Estate, Bright Community, Aire Lilywood, and Westbrook at Lilywood. The following details projects expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Upper Caboolture significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has a balanced workforce across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 2.6% and estimated employment growth of 7.9% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 2869 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation matches Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.2% compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population comparison. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 7.9% and labour force by 6.4%, reducing unemployment by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, varying significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Upper Caboolture's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Upper Caboolture's median income was $50,499 and average income was $57,195 in financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average. In Greater Brisbane, median income was $58,236 and average income was $72,795 in the same period. As of September 2025, estimated median income in Upper Caboolture would be approximately $55,503 and average income $62,863, based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Upper Caboolture cluster around the national median. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, with 39.4% of locals (2,523 people) falling into this category. This pattern is also seen regionally, where 33.3% occupy this range. Housing costs consume 15.9% of income in Upper Caboolture. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 58th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Upper Caboolture is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile

Upper Caboolture's dwellings, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Caboolture stood at 25.8%, with 51.7% of dwellings under mortgage and 22.5% rented out. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,820, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $360. Nationally, Upper Caboolture's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Upper Caboolture features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.1 people

Family households comprise 84.8% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 29.1% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.2%, with lone person households at 12.7% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.1 people.

Upper Caboolture shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 12.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.7%). Educational participation is high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.8% in primary, 10.5% in secondary, and 3.4% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.8% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Upper Caboolture has four active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route, together offering 109 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is limited, with residents typically living 1012 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 15 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Upper Caboolture is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Upper Caboolture faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, notably higher among older age cohorts. Approximately 50% (~3,194 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, impacting 10.5 and 9.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 65.9% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 16.1% (1,031 people) of residents aged 65 and over, with health outcomes among seniors requiring more attention than the broader population.

Upper Caboolture is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Caboolture had a lower level of cultural diversity, with 84.8% of its population born in Australia and 90.5% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 95.5%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 42.8%.

There was no representation of Judaism in Upper Caboolture, compared to None% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestral groups were English (32.5%), Australian (31.0%), and Irish (6.9%). Notably, New Zealanders made up 1.0%, Maori 1.0%, and Germans 5.0% of the population, compared to None% regionally for each group.

Upper Caboolture's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Upper Caboolture has a median age of 33 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Caboolture has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.9%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (10.6%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.6% to 5.9% of Upper Caboolture's population, while the 45-54 age group has declined from 12.1% to 10.6%. Demographic modeling indicates that Upper Caboolture's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 75-84 age cohort (138%), adding 522 residents to reach a total of 900.