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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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Sales Activity
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Population
Morayfield - East lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends
Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Morayfield - East's population is around 13,661 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,583 people (23.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,078 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,292 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 433 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,603 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Morayfield - East's 23.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.
AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Regarding demographic trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the area expected to grow by 3,798 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 25.1% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
The level of residential development activity in Morayfield - East was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country
Morayfield - East has recorded around 156 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 781 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 54 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 4.3 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average construction value of $188,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $7.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.
When measured against Greater Brisbane, Morayfield - East maintains similar construction rates (per person), preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This is well above average nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New building activity shows 58.0% standalone homes and 42.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 85.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 108 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.
Population forecasts indicate Morayfield - East will gain 3,429 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Morayfield - East has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 24 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Morayfield Landing Estate, Minimbah State School Music Centre Upgrade, Morayfield South Emerging Community Area, and Morayfield Neighbourhood Planning Project, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Pine Valley Water Supply Project
A major water infrastructure initiative delivered by Unitywater and Downer to support the City of Moreton Bay's rapid growth. The project features a new 15ML reservoir at Jacko Place and over 8km of large-diameter water pipelines. It is designed to provide a secure water supply for over 100,000 new residents in Caboolture West, Morayfield, and Narangba over the next two decades.
Morayfield South Emerging Community Area
A 900-hectare masterplanned growth area designed to accommodate approximately 9,800 dwellings and 26,000 residents by 2046. The precinct features 360 hectares of protected environmental corridors, four future state school sites (three primary, one secondary), a district sports park, and a network of active transport shared pathways. As of early 2026, the project is progressing through Major Planning Scheme Amendment No. 4, following statutory community consultation in late 2025. Development is currently guided by Temporary Local Planning Instrument (TLPI) No. 2 of 2025, which remains in effect until September 2026 to ensure coordinated infrastructure delivery and environmental protection during the transition to the formal planning scheme.
Morayfield Marketplace
A $48 million retail and community hub developed by JAM Group and RankinCorp. The 9,000sqm centre (expandable to 11,000sqm) is anchored by a full-line Coles supermarket and includes a medical precinct, a 150-place childcare centre with a swim school, a gym, and various food outlets including McDonald's and KFC. The project is being delivered in stages, with the childcare and swim school beginning in 2024 and the main shopping centre works commencing mid-2025. It is expected to create approximately 225-250 ongoing jobs.
Morayfield Neighbourhood Planning Project
The Morayfield Neighbourhood Planning project addresses planning challenges and housing supply in Morayfield, projected to grow by more than 18,000 people by 2046, reaching 53,545 residents. It aims to sustainably manage growth, preserve 75% of the city as rural and natural landscapes, and guide development to enhance local identity. The Future Directions Report has been endorsed by Council on 13 August 2025, informing changes to the Planning Scheme and other actions.
Summerstone Estate
Summerstone is a master-planned residential community in Morayfield, approximately 45 km north of Brisbane CBD. The 450-lot estate features parks, reserves, playgrounds, a frisbee golf course, pump track, riding trails, and extensive landscaping. Construction is well underway with multiple stages actively progressing toward completion by 2027.
Buchanan Road and William Berry Drive Upgrade
A major $200 million transport infrastructure upgrade to widen Buchanan Road and William Berry Drive between Morayfield Road and the Bruce Highway. The project includes four-laning both roads, constructing a new bridge over the Caboolture railway line and Sheepstation Creek, upgrading the Graham Road intersection to traffic signals, and improving flood immunity. The upgrade will accommodate projected regional growth, provide better Bruce Highway connectivity, and include new pedestrian and cyclist pathways. The corridor currently carries 19,500 vehicles daily and is planned to handle 32,000 vehicles by 2036.
Caboolture River Road Upgrade
The Caboolture River Road upgrade involves transforming a four-kilometer section from Morayfield Road to west of Crome Court into an enhanced four-lane carriageway to meet growing community needs, supporting regional growth and improving traffic flow in response to population growth in the City of Moreton Bay. The upgrades are planned to accommodate future demands and benefit existing and new communities, including the development at Waraba (Caboolture West). The project is divided into three sub-projects, each with specific funding and delivery arrangements.
D'Aguilar Highway Upgrade - Woodford to Bracalba
Highway upgrade project to improve safety and traffic flow along the D'Aguilar Highway between Woodford and Bracalba. Includes overtaking lanes, intersection improvements, and safety barriers.
Employment
The employment landscape in Morayfield - East shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators
Morayfield - East possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 5.3%, and 4.4% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,754 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.2% above Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (67.6% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a low 8.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.
The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in retail trade, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.3% versus the regional average of 8.9%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.
Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.4% and the labour force increased by 4.2%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%, labour force growth of 3.0%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Morayfield - East. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Morayfield - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Morayfield - East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,393 with the average level standing at $57,066. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $58,236 and $72,799 across Greater Brisbane respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $55,387 (median) and $62,721 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Morayfield - East, between the 34th and 34th percentiles. Distribution data shows 38.4% of the population (5,245 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 30th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Morayfield - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region
Dwelling structure within Morayfield - East, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 84.7% houses and 15.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Morayfield - East lagged that of Brisbane metro, at 18.8%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (37.5%) or rented (43.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Brisbane metro average at $1,517, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $355, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Morayfield - East's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Morayfield - East features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households dominate at 76.2% of all households, comprising 31.0% couples with children, 26.6% couples without children, and 17.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 19.5% and group households comprising 4.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Morayfield - East faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally
The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (11.3%) substantially below the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 8.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (34.3%).
Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Public transport analysis reveals 19 active transport stops operating within Morayfield - East, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 2 individual routes, collectively providing 274 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 360 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 90%, with 5% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A relatively low 8.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 39 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Morayfield - East is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts
Morayfield - East faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~6,502 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.
The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 11.5 and 10.3% of residents, respectively, while 62.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,107 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Morayfield - East ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Morayfield - East was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 84.6% of its population being citizens, 80.9% born in Australia, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Morayfield - East is Christianity, which makes up 42.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Buddhism, which comprises 1.1% of the population, compared to 2.0% across Greater Brisbane.
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Morayfield - East are English, comprising 30.2% of the population, Australian, comprising 28.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 23.2%, and Scottish, comprising 7.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 1.4% of Morayfield - East (vs 1.1% regionally), New Zealand at 1.2% (vs 1.0%) and Samoan at 0.9% (vs 0.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Morayfield - East hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide
At 33 years, Morayfield - East's median age is slightly younger than the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and significantly lower than the 38-year national average. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Morayfield - East has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (14.3%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (12.5%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.8% to 6.3% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 17.3% to 15.4% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 7.8% to 6.3%. Demographic modeling suggests Morayfield - East's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 74%, adding 643 residents to reach 1,510. The 0 to 4 group displays more modest growth at 1%, adding only 9 residents.