Caboolture - West

Population growth drivers in Caboolture - West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caboolture - West's population was approximately 14,538 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 2,373 people from the 2021 Census count of 12,165. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 14,299 in June 2024 and an additional 675 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 591 persons per square kilometer. Caboolture - West's population growth of 19.5% since the 2021 census surpassed both national (8.9%) and state averages, indicating strong regional growth. Interstate migration contributed approximately 82.8% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, based on 2021 data and released in 2023. These state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort when utilized. Future population projections indicate significant growth, with the area expected to increase by 4,361 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 28.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - West was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - West has seen approximately 164 new homes approved annually. Between fiscal year 2021 (FY-21) and FY-25, around 821 homes were approved, with an additional 46 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling built over the past five financial years has gained about 2.8 new residents annually, indicating solid demand that supports property values.

New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $267,000, which is consistent with regional patterns. In terms of commercial approvals, around $7.8 million has been registered in the current financial year, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - West maintains similar development levels per person, indicating a balanced market consistent with the broader area. This is notably higher than national averages, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location.

Recent building activity shows 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 101 people per dwelling approval, Caboolture - West exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 4,122 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Caboolture - West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The area's performance can be significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 40 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include the D'Aguilar Highway Upgrade (Bellmere Section), Waraba Priority Development Area (Caboolture West Growth Area), Caboolture River Parklands Development, and Moreton Bay Regional Council Caboilture Hub. The following list details those projects most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Caboolture - West has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Caboolture - West has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 6.7% and estimated employment growth of 11.1% in the past year as of September 2025.

There are 6,261 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.7% higher than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 52.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has particularly high concentration with levels at 5.1 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services have limited presence at 3.5% compared to the regional 8.9%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 11.1%, labour force by 6.7%, reducing unemployment by 3.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 3.8% and unemployment fell by 0.5%. Statewide in Queensland as of 25-Nov, employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caboolture - West's mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% in five years and 13.1% in ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Caboolture - West SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $44,944 and an average of $50,864 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average, which differed from Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. By September 2025, estimated incomes were approximately $51,232 (median) and $57,980 (average), based on a 13.99% growth from the financial year 2022 wages. Census data showed that household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture - West fell between the 14th and 20th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicated that the largest segment comprised 30.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,463 residents), similar to the surrounding region where 33.3% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 81.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 17th percentile.

Caboolture - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caboolture - West's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 83.3% houses and 16.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is similar to Brisbane metro's 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture - West was higher at 25.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.4% and rented ones at 33.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,560, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,625. Median weekly rent in Caboolture - West was $300, compared to Brisbane metro's $335. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially higher at $375.

Caboolture - West has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.7% of all households, including 27.9% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.3%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Caboolture - West fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 11.9%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas, both at 1.5%. Vocational credentials are held by 44.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 33.6%. Educational participation is high, with 29.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - West has 55 active public transport stops. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services, with a total of 66 individual routes operating weekly. The combined passenger trips across these routes amount to 2,443 weekly.

Residents' accessibility to transport is limited, with an average distance of 638 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency averages 349 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - West is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture-West faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 46%, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, impacting around 11.1% and 10.7% of residents respectively. However, 58.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 61.9% figure for Greater Brisbane. The proportion of seniors aged 65 and over is higher in Caboolture-West at 19.8%, compared to 17.0% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors largely mirror those of the general population.

Caboolture - West ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture-West had a cultural diversity index below average, with 87.0% of its population being Australian citizens and 83.1% born in Australia. English was the language spoken exclusively at home by 93.1% of residents. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 46.9% of Caboolture-West's population, while 'Other' religions made up 0.9%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.0%), Australian (29.1%), and Irish (7.1%). Notable differences in ethnic group representation included Maori at 1.0% (vs regional 1.2%), Samoan at 0.5% (vs 0.7%), and German at 4.7% (vs 4.4%).

Caboolture - West's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Caboolture - West is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - West has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (7.5%) but fewer people aged 35-44 (12.3%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.5% to 12.6%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 11.7% to 10.8%. By 2041, Caboolture - West's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 66%, adding 724 people and reaching a total of 1,816 from the current 1,091. The 0-4 age group is expected to grow at a more modest rate of 4%, with an increase of 37 residents.