Upper Caboolture
Statistical Area - sa2

Upper Caboolture lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Upper Caboolture's population was around 4,457 as of November 2025, reflecting a growth of 1,197 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was reported to be 3,260 people. This increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,539 as of June 2024 and an additional 428 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 80 persons per square kilometer. Upper Caboolture's growth rate of 36.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, indicating significant growth compared to other areas. Interstate migration contributed approximately 62.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Upper Caboolture in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 3,599 persons, recording a gain of 60.1% over the 17-year period based on the latest population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Upper Caboolture among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has seen approximately 73 dwellings granted development approval annually. Between FY21-FY25367 homes were approved, with a further 228 approved in FY26 to date.

Over the past five financial years, an average of 0.9 new residents per year has been associated with each new home. This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer options and capacity for population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings in Upper Caboolture is $315,000. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Caboolture has experienced slightly more development activity, with 43.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period ending FY25.

This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. The level of development in Upper Caboolture is notably higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist predominantly of detached houses (86.0%) and a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (14.0%), maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. With around 50 people associated with each dwelling approval, Upper Caboolture exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Looking forward, it is projected that Upper Caboolture will grow by approximately 2,680 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling population growth beyond current forecasts.

Upper Caboolture has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 49 projects that may impact this region. Notable ones include Baycrown Property Group Development, Lilywood Landings, Coles Caboolture River Road, and Aire Lilywood. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Upper Caboolture performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Upper Caboolture has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.0% and estimated employment growth of 9.6% over the past year as of June 2025.

In this month, 2,005 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 4.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, indicated by Census data showing fewer working residents than locals. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 9.6%, labour force by 8.3%, reducing unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.4 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Upper Caboolture's industry mix suggests local growth could be approximately 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Upper Caboolture's median income among taxpayers was $46,726 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $52,903 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Brisbane's median and average incomes were $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes are approximately $53,263 (median) and $60,304 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 78th percentile ($2,202 weekly), while personal income sits at the 55th percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 37.0% of residents (1,649 people). Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 30.4% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.0% of income. Residents rank within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Upper Caboolture is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Upper Caboolture's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 88.8% houses and 11.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Caboolture stood at 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.0% and rented ones at 8.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,058, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Upper Caboolture was $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $350. Nationally, Upper Caboolture's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,058 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Upper Caboolture features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.3% of all households, including 42.9% couples with children, 35.3% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Upper Caboolture fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes secondary education (9.8%), primary education (8.9%), and tertiary education (3.3%). Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Upper Caboolture is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Upper Caboolture faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~2,081 people), compared to 49.3% across Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively, while 67.2% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.7% across Greater Brisbane.

The area has 19.9% of residents aged 65 and over (886 people), which is higher than the 17.3% in Greater Brisbane, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Upper Caboolture is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Caboolture had cultural diversity below average, with 84.2% born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 96.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, at 49.3%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 48.3%. Top ancestry groups were English (33.0%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (7.7%).

Notably, German (5.8%) and Welsh (0.7%) were overrepresented, while Samoan (0.3%) was underrepresented compared to regional averages of 4.5%, 0.6%, and 0.9% respectively.

Upper Caboolture's median age exceeds the national pattern

Upper Caboolture has a median age of 41, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Upper Caboolture at 11.9%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 10.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.1% to 6.8% of the population, and the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 11.7% to 13.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 16.2% to 13.3%. Demographic modeling suggests that Upper Caboolture's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the 75 to 84 age cohort projected to surge dramatically, expanding by 502 people (166%) from 301 to 804.