Upper Caboolture

Upper Caboolture lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Upper Caboolture's population was around 3,933 as of May 2026. This reflected an increase of 673 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,260 people. The growth was inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 3,597 in June 2025 and an additional 641 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 70 persons per square kilometer. Upper Caboolture's 20.6% growth rate since the 2021 census exceeded both national (9.3%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 61.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period to 2041, with the area expected to grow by 3,487 persons, reflecting a gain of 80.1% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Upper Caboolture among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has experienced approximately 73 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25367 homes were approved, with an additional 432 approvals in FY26 so far.

On average, 0.9 new residents have arrived annually for each new home over the past five financial years. This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choices and allowing for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $315,000. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Caboolture has seen slightly more development activity, with a 44.0% increase per person over the five-year period.

This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. This level of activity is significantly higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 86.0% detached houses and 14.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes. With around 50 people per dwelling approval, Upper Caboolture exhibits characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, Upper Caboolture is expected to grow by approximately 3,151 residents, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development levels appear aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Upper Caboolture has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 50 such projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Baycrown Property Group Development, Lilywood Landings, Aire Lilywood, and Coles Caboolture River Road. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Upper Caboolture ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Upper Caboolture has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%. In the past year, employment grew by 4.0%.

As of December 2025, 2,004 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Brisbane's at 69.6%. Home-based workers comprise 15.5% of the workforce. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment share is 1.9 times the regional level, while professional & technical jobs are lower at 4.8%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0% and labour force grew by 4.1%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimate a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Upper Caboolture's industry mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% in five years and 12.9% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Upper Caboolture SA2's median income among taxpayers was $49,627 and average income stood at $56,280 in financial year 2023, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are lower than Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799 respectively. By March 2026, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% would be approximately $55,265 (median) and $62,673 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 78th percentile ($2,202 weekly), while personal income sits at the 54th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 37.0% of residents (1,455 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, mirroring the surrounding region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 30.4% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.0% of income, and strong earnings rank residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Upper Caboolture is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Upper Caboolture's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings. In contrast, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Caboolture was 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.0% and rented ones at 8.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,058, higher than Brisbane metro's $1,863. Median weekly rent was $420 compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Upper Caboolture's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Upper Caboolture features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 42.9% couples with children, 35.3% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households at 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Upper Caboolture fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.9%). Educational participation is high at 27.1%, with 9.8% in secondary education, 8.9% in primary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in secondary education, 8.9% in primary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Upper Caboolture are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Upper Caboolture's health indicators show below-average outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence data. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~1,868 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.4%) and mental health issues (8.3%). 67.2% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.2%. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. As of 2021, the area has 20.6% of residents aged 65 and over (811 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

Upper Caboolture is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Caboolture, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 84.2% born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 96.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.3%. This figure is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 47.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Upper Caboolture had notably high percentages of people with English (33.0%, compared to regional average of 26.8%), Australian (29.8% vs regional average of 23.2%), and Irish (7.7%) heritage. Other ethnic groups showing notable differences include German (5.8% vs regional average of 4.2%), Welsh (0.7% vs 0.5%), and Samoan (0.3% vs 0.9%).

Upper Caboolture's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Upper Caboolture has a median age of 41, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented in Upper Caboolture at 12.0%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 10.3%. Between 2021 and the present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.1% to 7.5% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 11.7% to 13.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 16.2% to 13.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Upper Caboolture's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 75 to 84 age cohort projected to expand dramatically, increasing by 522 people (177%) from 294 to 817.