Upper Caboolture

Upper Caboolture lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Upper Caboolture's population is approximately 4,470 as of February 2026. This shows an increase of 1,210 people, a 37.1% rise since the 2021 Census which reported 3,260 residents. The change is inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimate of 3,538 and 493 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a population density of 80 persons per square kilometer. Upper Caboolture's growth rate exceeded national (9.9%) and state averages since the 2021 Census. Interstate migration contributed around 62.7% to recent population gains, though all factors were positive.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 using 2021 data are adopted. Age category splits are applied proportionally based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth, placing Upper Caboolture in the top 10% nationally by 2041. The area is expected to gain 3,599 persons by then, reflecting a total increase of 59.7%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Upper Caboolture among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Upper Caboolture has seen approximately 73 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 367 homes. As of FY26289 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 0.9 new residents per year have arrived for each new home built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand.

The average construction cost value of new homes over this period was $315,000. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Caboolture has shown slightly more development activity, with 43.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This has preserved reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Nationally, Upper Caboolture's development activity is well above average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area.

The majority of new building activity, 86.0%, consists of detached houses, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 14.0%. This preserves the area's low-density nature and attracts space-seeking buyers. With around 50 people per dwelling approval, Upper Caboolture exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Upper Caboolture is expected to grow by 2,667 residents through to 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Upper Caboolture has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 49 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Baycrown Property Group Development, Lilywood Landings, Aire Lilywood, and Coles Caboolture River Road. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Upper Caboolture places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Upper Caboolture has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.1%.

In comparison to Greater Brisbane's unemployment rate of 4.0%, Upper Caboolture's rate is 2.1% lower. Workforce participation in Upper Caboolture is similar to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 15.5% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment share is particularly high at 1.9 times the regional level. Professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 4.8% of Upper Caboolture's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparisons. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 7.1%, labour force grew by 6.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Upper Caboolture's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Upper Caboolture SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $49,627 and an average income of $56,280 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average of $58,236 median and $72,799 average for Greater Brisbane. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $54,545 median and $61,857 average, based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census ranked household income at the 78th percentile ($2,202 weekly) and personal income at the 54th percentile. Distribution data showed that 37.0% of residents earned $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,653 residents), consistent with broader trends across the region. Economic strength was evident with 30.4% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounted for 14.0% of income, while strong earnings placed residents in the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Upper Caboolture is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Upper Caboolture's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Caboolture was higher at 34.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (57.0%) or rented (8.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,058, above Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent was $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Upper Caboolture's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Upper Caboolture features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.3% of all households, including 42.9% couples with children, 35.3% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Upper Caboolture fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.9%). Educational participation is high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.8% in secondary education, 8.9% in primary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Upper Caboolture are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Upper Caboolture's health indicators show below-average outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is very low at 48% (2,123 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are arthritis (9.4%) and mental health issues (8.3%), while 67.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 20.8% (928 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. National rankings align with the general population.

Upper Caboolture is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Caboolture had a cultural diversity score below average, with 84.2% of its residents born in Australia and 91.9% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 96.1%. Christianity was the predominant religion, practised by 49.3%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 47.8%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (33.0%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (7.7%). Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 4.2%. Similarly, Welsh ancestry was higher at 0.7% versus 0.5%, and Samoan ancestry was lower at 0.3% against the regional average of 0.9%.

Upper Caboolture's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Upper Caboolture has a median age of 41, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Upper Caboolture at 12.2%, compared to the Greater Brisbane average. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.1% to 7.3% of the population, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 11.7% to 13.0%. However, the 45-54 age group has declined from 16.2% to 13.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Upper Caboolture's age profile will significantly evolve. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to surge dramatically, expanding by 475 people (145%) from 328 to 804.