Caboolture - East

Caboolture - East lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caboolture - East's population was around 20,394 as of February 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 2,658 people (15.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,736 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,529 in June 2024 and an additional 581 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 409 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Caboolture - East's growth rate exceeded both national (9.9%) and state averages since the 2021 census, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 70.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Looking ahead, a significant population increase is forecast for the top quartile of Australian statistical areas, with Caboolture - East expected to grow by 6,198 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall gain of 26.1% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - East was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - East has received approximately 179 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY2021 and FY2025, around 896 homes were approved, with an additional 45 approved in FY2026 as of now. On average, about 1.9 new residents moved into the area per newly developed home over these five years.

This balance between supply and demand supports stable market conditions. The average construction cost value for new dwellings was $219,000 during this period, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY2026, there have been approximately $83.6 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - East has around 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the top 90th percentile nationally. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years.

New development in Caboolture - East consists of approximately 49.0% detached dwellings and 51.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 74.0% houses. This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 89 people per approval, Caboolture - East reflects a developing area with steady market conditions, as current construction rates appear balanced with future demand. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Caboolture - East is expected to grow by approximately 5,333 residents through to 2041.

Caboolture - East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 45 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include the Caboolture Sports Complex Upgrade, Centenary Lakes Regional Playground, Caboolture Hospital Redevelopment (Stage 2), and Moreton Bay Regional Council Caboolture Hub. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Caboolture - East has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Caboolture - East has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 6.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 10.1%. As of September 2025, 9,157 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.2% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is lower at 62.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, only 9.4% of residents work from home. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share six times the regional level, while professional & technical employs just 3.4%, below Greater Brisbane's 8.9%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 10.1% and labour force grew by 6.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 3.1 percentage points. Greater Brisbane recorded lower growth rates during this period. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industries. Applying these projections to Caboolture - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Caboolture - East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,613 with an average of $57,419. This is lower than the national average and compares to levels of $58,236 and $72,799 across Greater Brisbane respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $55,629 (median) and $63,109 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data indicates household, family and personal incomes in Caboolture - East fall between the 20th and 21st percentiles nationally. Income brackets show that the largest segment comprises 31.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (6,464 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 17th percentile.

Caboolture - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caboolture - East dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 73.6% houses and 26.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This was similar to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture - East stood at 18.9%, with the rest being mortgaged (31.5%) or rented (49.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,582, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863. Median weekly rent was $315, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture - East's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,582 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375 at $315.

Caboolture - East features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.2% of all households, comprising 26.7% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 18.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 29.8%, with lone person households at 25.2% and group households comprising 4.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which matches the Greater Brisbane average.

Educational outcomes in Caboolture - East fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (33.5%). Educational participation is high, with 31.6% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.8% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 3.4% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - East has 42 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 43 individual routes, collectively facilitating 821 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 355 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. The car remains the primary mode of transport at 90%, with train usage at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 9.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 117 trips per day, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - East is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture - East faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across various health conditions that affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~9,707 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 12.2% and 9.9% of residents respectively. However, 60.5% of residents claim to be free from medical ailments compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.0%, with 3,471 people, compared to 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly inline with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caboolture - East records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture-East has a cultural diversity profile roughly similar to the wider region's average. Its population is predominantly Australian citizens, with 83.5% holding citizenship and 79.7% being born in Australia. English is spoken at home by 89.4% of residents.

Christianity is the main religion in Caboolture-East, comprising 43.8% of its population, slightly lower than the regional average of 46.1%. The 'Other' religious category comprises 1.0% of Caboolture-East's population, compared to 1.3% regionally. In terms of ancestry, Australian is the most represented group in Caboolture-East at 29.3%, higher than the regional average of 23.2%. English follows closely at 29.0%, with Scottish being the third most common ancestry at 6.7%. Notably, New Zealanders are overrepresented in Caboolture-East at 1.1% compared to 1.0% regionally, Maori representation is equal at 1.1%, and Samoan representation is lower at 0.6% versus the regional average of 0.9%.

Caboolture - East's population is younger than the national pattern

Caboolture - East's median age is 35 years, nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and somewhat younger than Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - East has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (9.1%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 5.1% to 6.2%, while the percentage of those aged 5 to 14 decreased from 14.3% to 13.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Caboolture - East. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 71%, adding 900 residents to reach a total of 2,161. In contrast, the 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow minimally by just 5% (an increase of 58 people).