Caboolture - East

Caboolture - East lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Caboolture - East's population is around 20589 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 2853 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17736 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19929 in June 2025 and an additional 723 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 412 persons per square kilometer. Caboolture - East's growth rate of 16.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.3%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 72.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits. Moving forward with demographic trends, a significant population increase is forecast for the top quartile of statistical areas across the nation. The area is expected to expand by 5502 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 23.5% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - East was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - East has seen approximately 179 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 896 homes were approved. In FY26 up until now, about 142 homes have been approved.

On average, over these five years, around 1.9 new residents arrived per year for each new home approved, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average expected construction cost value of new homes was $219,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. This financial year has seen approximately $83.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum compared to Greater Brisbane, where Caboolture - East has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person. Nationally, it ranks among the 90th percentile of areas assessed. Recent construction activity has intensified.

New development consists of approximately 49% detached houses and 51% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently around 74% houses. This trend towards denser development caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. With approximately 89 people per dwelling approval, Caboolture - East exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, it is expected to grow by around 4,842 residents through to 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Caboolture - East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 42 projects that could affect the region. Notable initiatives include the Caboolture Sports Complex Upgrade, Centenary Lakes Regional Playground, Caboolture Hospital Redevelopment (Stage 2), and Caboolture-Bribie Island Road Upgrade Program. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Caboolture - East lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Caboolture - East has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar employment. The unemployment rate is 7.4%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth is 4.2%.

As of December 2025, 9,003 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.3% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation lags at 60.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Census responses show that 9.4% of residents work from home, with potential Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 6.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.4% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data comparisons. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2%, and labour force increased by 4.2%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a fall in unemployment of 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Caboolture - East's local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the area's employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows that in Caboolture - East SA2, median income is $50,613 and average income is $57,419. This is below the national averages of $58,236 (median) and $72,799 (average) for Greater Brisbane. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated median income in Caboolture - East as of March 2026 would be approximately $56,363, with average income at around $63,942. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Caboolture - East fall between the 20th and 21st percentiles nationally. The most common income bracket is $1,500 - $2,999, with 31.7% of residents (6,526 people) falling into this category, similar to broader metropolitan trends at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Caboolture - East, with only 79.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Caboolture - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Caboolture - East, as per the latest Census, consisted of 73.6% houses and 26.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture - East was at 18.9%, with the rest either mortgaged (31.5%) or rented (49.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,582, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $315, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture - East's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Caboolture - East features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.2% of all households, including 26.7% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 18.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 29.8%, with lone person households at 25.2% and group households comprising 4.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Brisbane average.

Educational outcomes in Caboolture - East fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 33.5%. Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.8% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - East has 42 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 43 routes collectively providing 821 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 355 metres from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 90%, while 5% use train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 9.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - East is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture - East faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~9,800 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, impacting 12.2 and 9.9% of residents respectively. However, 60.5% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (3,366 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caboolture - East records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture - East had a cultural diversity profile roughly in line with the wider region's average. 83.5% of its population were citizens, 79.7% were born in Australia, and 89.4% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 43.8% of people.

The most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which made up 1.0% compared to 1.3% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry, Australian was the top group at 29.3%, substantially higher than the regional average of 23.2%. English followed with 29.0%, and Scottish with 6.7%. Notably, New Zealand (1.1%), Maori (1.1%), and Samoan (0.6%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Caboolture - East's population is younger than the national pattern

Caboolture - East's median age is nearly 35 years, close to Greater Brisbane's average of 36 but slightly younger than Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - East has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (8.9%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (13.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 15.2% to 16.0% of the population, while the 5-14 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 12.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Caboolture - East. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 69%, adding 824 residents to reach a total of 2,023. Conversely, the 0-4 cohort is expected to show minimal growth of just 3% (37 people).