Caboolture - South

Caboolture - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caboolture - South's population is approximately 28,265 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 4,640 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,625. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 27,798 in June 2025 and an additional 1,037 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2,021 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 19.6% since the 2021 Census exceeds both the national average (9.3%) and the state average. Interstate migration contributed approximately 59.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Based on projected demographic shifts, Caboolture - South is forecast to experience significant population increase by 2041, with an expected rise of 8,709 persons, reflecting a total gain of 29.2% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - South has seen approximately 337 new homes approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 1688 homes were approved, with an additional 429 approvals in FY26 to date. On average, about 2.4 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over these five financial years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost of new homes is around $216,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This year has seen $28.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South maintains similar construction rates per person, consistent with broader market trends, although development activity has moderated recently. This level is notably higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location.

New developments consist of 75% detached dwellings and 25% attached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 112 people per approval, Caboolture - South reflects a growing area. By 2041, it is projected to grow by approximately 8242 residents. Current development patterns suggest that new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Caboolture - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 51 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are Coles Caboolture West (Lilywood Town Centre), Montrose Master Planned Community, Morayfield Marketplace, and Arbourwood Residential Community. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Caboolture - South lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Caboolture - South has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 7.2% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.4%.

There were 11,806 residents in work while the unemployment rate was 3.0% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Caboolture - South was 58.0%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Only 8.0% of residents worked from home, according to Census responses. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade has a particularly high employment share at 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented with only 3.3% of Caboolture - South's workforce compared to 8.9% in Greater Brisbane. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, labour force grew by 4.2%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%, labour force growth of 3.0%, with a similar decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caboolture - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Caboolture - South SA2 has lower income levels compared to national averages. The median income is $49,981 and the average is $56,644. In contrast, Greater Brisbane has a median income of $58,236 and an average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 are approximately $55,659 (median) and $63,079 (average). The 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture - South fall between the 17th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 32.2% of locals (9,101 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 33.3% also occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 14th percentile nationally.

Caboolture - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caboolture - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.8% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Caboolture - South was 22.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (29.5%) or rented (47.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,473, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $340, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Caboolture - South features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 26.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 20.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 23.5% and group households making up 4.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Caboolture - South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (33.8%). Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.8% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 2.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - South has 74 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 73 individual routes, facilitating 2,868 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 352 meters from the nearest stop. Residents primarily commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 90%, while trains account for 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 409 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture - South faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~13,425 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, impacting 12.1 and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 60.2% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.9%, with 5,053 people, compared to 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally in line with national rankings.

Caboolture - South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture-South had a cultural diversity below average, with 84.7% of its population being citizens, 81.2% born in Australia, and 92.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 41.7%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 0.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 1.3%.

In ancestry, English (30.6%) and Australian (29.4%) were top groups, with Irish at 6.8%. Maori (1.4%), New Zealand (1.2%), and Samoan (1.0%) groups showed notable overrepresentation compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 1.0%, and 0.9% respectively.

Caboolture - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Caboolture - South has a median age of 33 years, which is younger than the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.4%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.6%). According to data from the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 5.3% to 7.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 15.8% to 14.4%. Demographic modeling indicates that Caboolture - South's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 88%, adding 1,770 residents to reach a total of 3,777. The 0-4 age group is expected to grow more modestly at 6%, with an increase of 107 residents.