Caboolture - South

Caboolture - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caboolture - South's population is approximately 28,437 as of November 2025. This represents an increase of 4,812 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,625. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 27,015 in June 2024 and an additional 899 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,034 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Caboolture - South's growth rate of 20.4% since the 2021 census exceeds both the national average (8.9%) and the state average. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 based on 2022 data, and Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data for years post-2032 and areas not covered by ABS data. Projections indicate a significant population increase of 9,906 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 29.8% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - South has seen approximately 337 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 1688 homes were approved, with an additional 206 approved in FY26 so far. On average, about 2.4 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value of new homes was $216,000, lower than the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $28.0 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South maintains similar construction rates per person, keeping market balance consistent with the broader area, though development activity has moderated recently. Nationally, this level is substantially higher, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location.

New developments consist of 75% detached dwellings and 25% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 112 people per approval, Caboolture - South reflects a developing area. By 2041, it is projected to grow by approximately 8484 residents based on current development patterns and AreaSearch quarterly estimates. If current trends continue, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Caboolture - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 52 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Coles Caboolture West, Montrose Master Planned Community, Morayfield Marketplace, and Arbourwood Residential Community. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Caboolture - South shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Caboolture - South has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 6.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 10.1%.

As of September 2025, there are 11,993 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 2.1% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. The workforce participation rate lags at 54.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has a particular employment specialization with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 3.3% of Caboolture - South's workforce compared to 8.9% in Greater Brisbane. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. In the past year, employment increased by 10.1%, labour force by 6.5%, leading to a 3.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Caboolture - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Caboolture - South SA2 was $47,163 and average income was $53,434. Nationally, these figures are lower than average. In Greater Brisbane, median income was $55,645 and average income was $70,520. Based on a 13.99% growth in wages since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $53,761 (median) and $60,909 (average). The 2021 Census reveals household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture - South fall between the 17th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 32.2% of locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 14th percentile nationally.

Caboolture - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caboolture - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 82.8% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture - South was 22.7%, similar to Brisbane metro's figure. Mortgaged dwellings were 29.5% and rented ones were 47.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,473, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,625. Median weekly rent was $340, compared to Brisbane metro's $335. Nationally, Caboolture - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Caboolture - South features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 72.0% of all households, including 26.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 20.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 23.5% and group households making up 4.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, aligning with the Greater Brisbane average.

Caboolture - South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (33.8%). Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - South has 74 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 59 individual routes, collectively providing 2,868 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good transport accessibility, typically living within 352 meters of the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 409 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - South is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture - South faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is low, with approximately 47% of the total population (~13,365 people) having it, compared to the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 12.1% and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 60.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than the 61.9% across Greater Brisbane. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.2%, with 5,189 people falling into this category compared to 17.0% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Caboolture - South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture-South was found to have a cultural diversity below average, with 84.7% of its population being Australian citizens and 81.2% born in Australia. English is spoken exclusively at home by 92.4% of the population. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 41.7% of Caboolture-South's population.

The most notable overrepresentation was in the 'Other' category, which constituted 0.9% compared to 0.8% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English at 30.6%, Australian at 29.4%, and Irish at 6.8%. Notably, Maori (1.4%) and New Zealand (1.2%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.2% and 1.1% respectively. Samoan ethnicity was also notably higher at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.7%.

Caboolture - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Caboolture - South's median age is 33 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 years (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 years (12.0%). According to post-2021 Census data, the population aged 75-84 years has increased from 5.3% to 7.1%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 years has decreased from 15.8% to 14.8%. Demographic modeling indicates that Caboolture - South's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 75-84 age group (104%), adding 2,096 residents to reach a total of 4,118. The demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 years and older represent 51% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by only 1%, with an increase of 49 people.