Caboolture - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Caboolture - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caboolture - South's population was approximately 28,297 as of August 2025. This figure indicates a growth of 4,672 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 23,625. The increase is inferred from the ABS estimated resident population of 27,015 in June 2024 and an additional 847 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,024 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 19.8% growth from the 2021 census surpasses both the national average (8.6%) and the state average, demonstrating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration was the primary driver of population growth, contributing approximately 60.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

However, all factors including overseas migration and natural growth were positive contributors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. It is noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) are applied for each age cohort. Based on projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas is forecasted. The area is expected to grow by 9,906 persons by 2041, recording an overall gain of 30.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - South has seen approximately 291 new homes approved annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, with 1,457 homes approved in the past five years from FY-20 to FY-25, and 66 approvals so far in FY-26. On average, 2.4 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these five years, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $340,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $28.0 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting robust commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance with the broader area, although construction activity has recently eased. This activity is notably above the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the area. Approximately 75% of new building activity involves standalone homes, and 25% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a focus on family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 112 people per approval, Caboolture - South reflects a developing area. Population forecasts indicate that Caboolture - South will gain approximately 8,624 residents by 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Caboolture - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area infrastructure projects significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 50 such projects with potential impact on the area. Notable ones include Coles Shopping Centre - Caboolture West, Morayfield Marketplace, Arbourwood Residential Community, and Bright Community. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Caboolture - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Caboolture - South has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 6.4%.

Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 12.8%. As of June 2025, 11,592 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 6.7%, which is 2.3% above Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Caboolture - South lags at 54.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade is particularly specialized, employing 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 3.3% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Employment levels increased by 12.8% during the year to June 2025, while labour force grew by 8.3%, causing unemployment to fall by 3.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 4.4%, with unemployment falling by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23% (losing 8,070 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. Nationally, employment grew by 0.26%, while the unemployment rate is 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caboolture - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1%% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Caboolture - South had a median taxpayer income of $47,163 and an average income of $53,434. These figures are below the national averages of $55,645 and $70,520 in Greater Brisbane respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $52,686 (median) and $59,691 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture - South fall between the 17th and 19th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 32.2% of locals (9,111 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 15th percentile.

Caboolture - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caboolture - South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.8% houses and 17.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In Brisbane metro, these figures were 83.4% and 16.5%, respectively. Home ownership in Caboolture - South stood at 22.7%, similar to Brisbane metro's figure. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (29.5%) or rented (47.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,473, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,625. The median weekly rent figure for Caboolture - South was recorded at $340, compared to Brisbane metro's $335. Nationally, Caboolture - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Caboolture - South features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 72.0% of all households, including 26.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 20.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 23.5% and group households making up 4.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Brisbane average.

Caboolture - South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Caboolture-South faces educational challenges with university qualification rates at 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 8.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 44.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (33.8%). Educational participation is high at 31.2%, including 12.8% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 2.9% in tertiary education.

Caboolture-South's five schools have a combined enrollment of 1,987 students. The area has four primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. Local school capacity is limited at 7.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.3, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - South has 74 active public transport stops operating. These include a mix of train and bus services. A total of 59 individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 2,868 weekly passenger trips.

Residents' accessibility to transport is rated as good, with an average distance of 352 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 409 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - South is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture - South faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. The area has a low rate of private health cover, at approximately 47%, covering about 13,299 people.

This is lower than the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 12.1% and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 60.2% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 61.9% in Greater Brisbane. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 18.2%, with about 5,164 people falling into this age group. This is higher than the 17.0% seen in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Caboolture - South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture-South had below average cultural diversity, with 84.7% citizens, 81.2% born in Australia, and 92.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 41.7%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 0.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.8%.

Top three ancestry groups were English (30.6%), Australian (29.4%), and Irish (6.8%). Notable divergences included Maori (1.4% vs regional 1.2%), New Zealand (1.2% vs 1.1%), and Samoan (1.0% vs 0.7%).

Caboolture - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Caboolture - South's median age is 33 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.0%). Post-2021 Census data shows that the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 5.3% to 7.1%, while the percentage of residents aged 5 to 14 declined from 15.8% to 14.8%. Demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Caboolture - South's age profile by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 105%, adding 2,106 residents to reach a total of 4,118 residents. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 51% of the population growth. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by a modest 2%, with an increase of 70 people.