Caboolture - South

Caboolture - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caboolture - South's population is approximately 28,462 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 4,837 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 23,625. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 27,015 in June 2024 and an additional 902 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,035 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Caboolture - South's growth rate of 20.5% since the 2021 census exceeds both the national average (9.9%) and the state average, indicating it is a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings inline with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecast for the top quartile of Australian statistical areas. The area is expected to increase by 9,906 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 29.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture - South has seen approximately 337 new home approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, 1688 homes were approved, with an additional 249 approved in FY26 as of current figures. On average, 2.4 people moved to the area annually for each new home constructed during these years.

This suggests strong demand supporting property values. The average construction value of these new homes was $216,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY26, $28.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South maintains similar construction rates per person, sustaining market balance consistent with the broader area.

However, development activity has moderated recently. Nationally, this level is substantially higher, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 75% detached dwellings and 25% attached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 112 people per approval, Caboolture - South reflects a developing area. By 2041, it is projected to grow by 8459 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, presenting good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Caboolture - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure performance is significantly influenced by changes in local projects and initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 52 such projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Coles Caboolture West (Lilywood Town Centre), Montrose Master Planned Community, Morayfield Marketplace, and Arbourwood Residential Community, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Caboolture - South shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Caboolture - South has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 6.1%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth is 10.1%.

As of September 2025, 11,993 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.1% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation stands at 60.0%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. Census responses indicate that only 8.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade has a particularly high employment share at 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 3.3% of Caboolture - South's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 10.1% while labour force grew by 6.5%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 3.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and a reduction in unemployment of 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Caboolture - South's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows median income in Caboolture - South SA2 is $49,981, with average income at $56,644. This is lower than national averages. In Greater Brisbane, median income is $58,236 and average income is $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $54,934 (median) and $62,257 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture - South fall between the 17th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 32.2% of locals (9,164 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, reflecting regional patterns where 33.3% fall within this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 14th percentile nationally.

Caboolture - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caboolture - South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, showed 82.8% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture - South was at 22.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (29.5%) or rented (47.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,473, below Brisbane metro's average of $1,863, and median weekly rent was $340, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Caboolture - South features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 26.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 20.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.0%, consisting of lone person households at 23.5% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Caboolture - South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (33.8%). Educational participation is high at 31.2%, including primary education (12.8%), secondary education (8.9%), and tertiary education (2.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture - South has 74 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 73 individual routes, facilitating 2,868 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 352 metres from the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward, predominantly by car (90%), with train usage at 5%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling stands at 1.3. According to the 2021 Census, only 8% of residents work from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 409 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture - South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture - South faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~13,519 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 12.1 and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 60.2% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 19.1%, with 5,439 people, compared to 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Senior health outcomes present some challenges, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Caboolture - South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture-South, as per the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity compared to regional averages. It had 84.7% citizens, 81.2% born in Australia, and 92.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (41.7%).

The 'Other' religious category comprised 0.9%, slightly below Greater Brisbane's 1.3%. In terms of ancestry, English was highest at 30.6%, Australian at 29.4% (above regional average of 23.2%), and Irish at 6.8%. Notably, Maori (1.4%) and New Zealand (1.2%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.1% and 1.0% respectively, while Samoan was also slightly higher at 1.0%.

Caboolture - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Caboolture - South has a median age of 34, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and substantially under Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture - South has a higher concentration of residents aged 75-84 (7.7%), but fewer individuals aged 35-44 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the percentage of residents aged 75 to 84 has grown from 5.3% to 7.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5 to 14 has declined from 15.8% to 14.6%, and the percentage of those aged 25 to 34 has dropped from 15.2% to 14.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Caboolture - South, with the 75-84 cohort projected to grow by 88%, adding 1,923 residents to reach a total of 4,118. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 5% (102 people).