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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Ningi has an estimated 5,527 residents, up from 5,349 at the 2021 Census — a change of 178 people, or 3.3%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. That puts 203 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Ningi has an estimated resident count of around 5,527, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of broader ABS population revisions alongside newly confirmed addresses following the Census. Compared to the 5,349 people recorded at the 2021 Census, this represents an addition of 178 people (3.3%). That adjustment stems from an AreaSearch estimated resident population of 5,459 based on the ABS ERP release from June 2025, coupled with 21 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date. With a density ratio of 203 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Ningi offers ample space per resident as well as capacity for future expansion.
Over the previous ten-year span, the suburb of Ningi maintained solid growth, recording a 1.7% compound annual growth rate that exceeded national figures. Interstate migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating approximately 85.0% of recent population gains. For SA2 regions, AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia demographic forecasts published in 2024 using 2022 as a baseline. When local data is absent or for intervals post-2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 utilizing 2021 numbers are applied. Because these state forecasts lack breakdowns by age bracket, AreaSearch distributes growth using proportional weightings derived from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections based on 2022 figures. Under this modeling framework, the suburb of Ningi is anticipated to experience a contraction of 35 persons by 2041. Nevertheless, select demographics will see expansion, most notably the 85 and over demographic, which is forecast to increase by 251 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
96 new dwellings have been approved in Ningi over the past five years, an average of 19 a year. That is 1.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 6, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's assessment of ABS building approvals derived from statistical area datasets, residential building permits in Ningi have averaged around 19 new homes each year, totaling an estimated 96 homes over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 6 logged to date in FY-25. Across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the ratio stood at an average of 5.1 new residents annually per completed dwelling, showing that residential construction lags behind demand, which typically intensifies buyer competition and drives up prices. Expected construction costs for newly built dwellings average $438,000.
Furthermore, commercial building approvals reached $1.1 million during this financial year, reinforcing the locality's predominantly residential character. Building activity in Ningi is markedly subdued compared to Greater Brisbane, sitting 73.0% below the regional per capita figure. Such restrained supply additions tend to underpin demand and bolster prices for existing residences. Development rates also track below national levels, highlighting an established community setting alongside possible planning constraints. In addition, all recent residential projects have consisted exclusively of detached dwellings, preserving the low-density landscape and drawing buyers who value spacious living. The presence of an estimated 783 people per approved dwelling underlines the calm, low-activity construction environment. Given forecasts of a steady or contracting population base, Ningi is likely to experience easing demand on its housing market, which may open favorable conditions for prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ningi
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 94 current infrastructure and development projects close to Ningi, worth an estimated $79.8 billion. 28 are already under construction and 38 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure changes, planning initiatives, and major projects play a central role in shaping regional performance. AreaSearch has identified no projects likely to have an impact on the area. Key regional projects include Moreton Bay Rail Link Stage 2, North Brisbane Bruce Highway Western Alternative (Moreton Motorway), Northern Intermodal Terminal (Elimbah), and North Harbour, with the details below outlining those of greatest relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Pacific Harbour Bribie Island
Masterplanned waterfront residential community on Bribie Island delivering around 2,000 house and land lots across canal, golf and lakeside precincts, anchored by the Pacific Harbour Golf and Country Club. The Golf Course Precinct is now 95% sold out with only a handful of lots remaining, while the Palm Cove canal precinct continues to offer registered waterfront lots from $1.2M. Community build-out is expected to be complete by December 2026.
Sunderland Drive Residential Estate (Pacific Harbour)
Premium waterfront and canal-front land release within the larger Pacific Harbour masterplanned community on Bribie Island, QLD. Offers large residential lots with direct water access and golf course frontage.
Bribie Island Retirement Community
New 5 storey retirement living community by Sundale comprising 84 independent living units with coastal views, shared lounges, landscaped gardens and onsite community facilities designed for seniors.
Bribie Island Central
Bribie Island Central is an established Woolworths and Target anchored convenience shopping centre in Bongaree, with about 32 specialty stores and centre services for the Bribie Island community. No official evidence was found confirming a current Coles-anchored redevelopment at the Banksia Beach address in the original record.
Bongaree Village Shopping Centre Expansion
Council-led upgrade and expansion of the Bongaree Village Shopping Precinct on Bribie Island, delivering additional small format retail tenancies, upgraded streetscape and public realm, improved pedestrian links and foreshore connections, and reconfigured parking as part of the Bongaree Village master plan and wider investment in the City of Moreton Bay coastal villages.
The Residences at Pacific Harbour
Luxury low-rise apartment development featuring 3-bedroom residences with golf course and water views.
Moreton Bay Rail Link Stage 2
The Moreton Bay Rail Link Stage 2 remains a long-term strategic proposal to extend the heavy rail line from Kippa-Ring to Bribie Island. As of early 2026, the corridor is primarily in the planning and protection phase. Immediate infrastructure priority has shifted to the $757 million Bribie Island Bridge duplication and the Caboolture-Bribie Island Road Upgrade Program. While the rail extension is not yet funded for construction, the Bribie Island Bridge duplication is currently in the detailed design phase, featuring a new bridge for eastbound traffic and a dedicated active transport path, with the existing bridge to be repurposed for westbound traffic.
Solana Bribie Island Lifestyle Resort
Large-scale over-50s land lease community with 320 independent living units, a Livewell Centre featuring a clubhouse, indoor and outdoor pools, bowling green, and other resort facilities. The resort is fully tenanted and homes are sold out, with resales only.
2,386 residents of Ningi are employed, from a labour force of 2,507. Unemployment sits at 4.8%, with participation at 55.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,535, about 82% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Aggregated statistical area metrics compiled by AreaSearch indicate that Ningi features an even mix of white and blue collar occupations, highlighted by substantial participation in the construction sector, an unemployment rate of 4.8%, and estimated yearly employment gains of 1.8%. By March 2026, employed residents numbered 2,386, with unemployment tracking 0.5% higher than the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 4.3%. Labor market participation stands at 55.7%, trailing considerably behind Greater Brisbane's 70.1%. Census records show 13.8% of local workers performed their duties from home, a figure influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions at the time.
The leading employment sectors for local residents comprise construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Building and construction displays a pronounced local concentration, capturing an employment share 1.8 times the broader regional rate. In contrast, the professional & technical sector is underrepresented, employing 4.3% of workers against the 8.9% regional norm. A comparison between Census working population counts and resident numbers points to a constrained supply of jobs within the immediate locality. AreaSearch's review of broader statistical area metrics from the ABS and SALM shows that over the twelve months to March 2026, local employment expanded by 1.8% while the labour force grew by 2.5%, lifting the jobless rate by 0.7 percentage points. Over the same timeframe across Greater Brisbane, employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force expanded by 3.4%, and unemployment rose 0.1 percentage points. National projections from Jobs and Skills Australia dated Mar-26 provide additional context on prospective workplace demand in Ningi across five and ten-year horizons. Across the nation, total employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying trajectories across industries. When weighted against Ningi's sectoral profile, local employment is projected to increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting model that excludes localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Ningi is $1,473 a week (about $77,000 a year), with median personal income at $635 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,899 a year against an average of $60,010. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to ATO postcode figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, earnings in the suburb of Ningi trail the national benchmark, recording a median income of $50,899 and an average income of $60,010. By comparison, Greater Brisbane posted a median of $58,236 and an average of $72,799. Incorporating an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach approximately $56,681 for the median and $66,827 for the average. In the 2021 Census, local household income ($1,473 weekly) placed in the 34th percentile, whereas personal income sat in the 16th percentile.
In terms of earnings distribution, the largest cohort includes 32.7% of residents (1,807 residents) taking home $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, closely aligning with the 33.3% regional proportion. Affordability constraints remain severe, with 82.5% of income remaining after housing costs, placing the area in the 32nd percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Ningi had 1,871 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 1% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 22% rented and 34% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $370 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 25.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate that housing in Ningi is dominated by houses at 98.2%, with semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings making up 1.9%, whereas Brisbane metro registered 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright home ownership in Ningi reached 34.0%, exceeding metropolitan levels, while 43.9% of homes were mortgaged and 22.1% were rented. Monthly mortgage repayments averaged a median of $1,733, below the Brisbane metro figure of $1,863, and the median weekly rent stood at $370 versus $380 across Brisbane metro. On a nationwide scale, Ningi's mortgage repayments remain lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents sit below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Ningi counted 1,871 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 32% are couples with children, against 35% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households constitute 81.1% of local living arrangements, consisting of couples without children (34.7%), couples with children (32.2%), and single parent families (13.5%). Non-family residences make up the remaining 18.9%, divided between lone person households at 16.1% and group households at 2.6%. The typical household size sits at a median of 2.7 people, exceeding the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
10.9% of adults in Ningi hold a university qualification, including 7.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.9% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational attainment levels present opportunities for improvement, as university qualification rates stand at 10.9%, substantially below the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 30.5%. Among university qualifications, bachelor degrees lead at 7.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational and technical credentials feature prominently, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of certificates (34.9%) and advanced diplomas (11.3%). A notable 27.5% of residents are actively participating in formal education. Primary school students represent 10.3% of the community, 9.2% are in secondary education, and 2.7% are pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Ningi means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
61.0% of residents in Ningi report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 87% of areas nationally. 9.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch's evaluation of chronic condition prevalence and mortality rates indicates noteworthy health pressures in Ningi across younger and older age cohorts alike. In addition, private health cover is somewhat restrained, held by approximately 51% of the total population (~2,817 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane. Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent ailments locally, impacting 11.1 and 9.3% of residents, respectively, whereas 61.0% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Elevated chronic condition rates are evident across the working-age population. Furthermore, individuals aged 65 and over represent 23.9% of residents (1,320 people), higher than the 15.0% in Greater Brisbane, with health outcomes among seniors presenting challenges that rank broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Ningi is largely Australian-born, at 82.9% of residents, with 4.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.4%) and Australian (29.4%). 4.3% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Ningi remains below average, with Australian-born residents accounting for 82.9% of the population, Australian citizens making up 89.1%, and 95.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religious faith, making up 47.8% of people in Ningi. The most apparent relative overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, matching the 0.1% recorded across Greater Brisbane. When examining reported ancestry (country of birth of parents), English heritage leads in Ningi at 32.4% of the population, substantially higher than the regional average of 26.8%, followed by Australian background at 29.4% compared to 23.2% regionally, and Scottish ancestry at 7.7%.
Other distinct ethnic proportions include New Zealand lineage at 1.2% (vs 1.0% regionally), Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.2%), and Maori heritage at 0.9% (vs 1.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Ningi is 43. 21.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Ningi clearly reflects the characteristics of a lifestyle and retirement community. Updated estimates to August 2026 show that retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) account for 23.9% of residents, compared to 15.0% across Greater Brisbane, while young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) make up 21.4% versus 30.6% regionally. The local median age stands at an estimated 43, unchanged from the 2021 Census and sitting 7 years above the Greater Brisbane figure of 36 recorded at that Census, which also saw a national median of 38. Since the Census, retiree and elderly cohorts have grown from 20.7% of residents to an estimated 23.9%.
Looking ahead to 2041, older cohorts are expected to absorb most of the growth, adding 446 residents (34%) to reach 1,767, while children and young adults along with young to middle aged adults are expected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Ningi
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 21 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,349 at the 2021 Census → 5,527 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32148). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.