Caboolture

Caboolture lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Caboolture statistical area's population is estimated at around 34,436 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 4,902 people (16.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 29,534 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 33,519 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1,177 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 501 persons per square kilometer. Caboolture's 16.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.7%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Moving forward with demographic trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the Caboolture statistical area expected to expand by 10,462 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 27.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Caboolture recorded around 342 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 1714 homes. So far in FY26105 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of 2.3 new residents per dwelling built annually between FY21 and FY25. The average construction cost value for new homes is $302,000.

In this financial year, $91.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture has 16.0% less building activity per person but ranks among the 89th percentile nationally, indicating significant developer interest. New building activity comprises 66.0% standalone homes and 34.0% medium and high-density housing, offering options across various price points. With around 84 people per dwelling approval, Caboolture exhibits growth area characteristics.

Future projections estimate Caboolture will add 9504 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Caboolture has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified 70 potential impact projects. Notable ones are Moreton Bay Regional Council's Caboolture Hub, Caboolture Sports Complex Upgrade, Central Springs, and Centenary Lakes Regional Playground. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Caboolture shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Caboolture has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors, an unemployment rate of 6.5%, and an estimated employment growth of 10.5% in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, there are 15,241 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 6.5%, which is 2.5% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is lower at 54.1% compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing (5.8 times the regional level), but professional & technical services have lower representation (3.5% vs regional average of 8.9%). Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data.

In the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 10.5% and labour force grew by 6.5%, leading to a 3.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.8%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. Statewide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caboolture's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, the suburb of Caboolture had a median income among taxpayers of $46,470 with the average level standing at $52,592. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $58,236 and $72,799 across Greater Brisbane respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.91% from financial year ended June 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $51,075 for median income and $57,804 for average income as of September 2025. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data collected in August 2021, household incomes in Caboolture fall between the 17th and 20th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 31.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (10,812 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Caboolture is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caboolture's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.5% houses and 22.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture stood at 21.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.9% and rented ones at 43.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,561, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,625. The median weekly rent in Caboolture was $310, compared to Brisbane metro's $335. Nationally, Caboolture's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Caboolture features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.5% of all households, including 27.1% couples with children, 24.1% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.2% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Caboolture fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (33.6%). Educational participation is high, with 30.8% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.6% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture has 94 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 88 individual routes, together providing 2665 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents located an average of 467 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 380 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Caboolture is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 48% (~16,543 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (11.7%) and arthritis (9.9%). Conversely, 59.7% report having no medical ailments, compared to 61.9% in Greater Brisbane. In Caboolture, 17.9% (~6,164 people) are aged 65 and over. The health outcomes among seniors largely align with the general population's profile.

Caboolture ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.9% of its population being citizens, 81.0% born in Australia, and 90.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Caboolture, comprising 44.9% of people there. Judaism, however, is notably overrepresented, making up 0.1% of Caboolture's population compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups based on country of birth of parents are English (29.8%), Australian (29.3%), and Scottish (6.8%). Notably, Maori (1.1%) and New Zealand (1.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.2% and 1.1%, respectively, while Samoan ethnicity is slightly underrepresented at 0.6%.

Caboolture's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caboolture's median age of 36 years is equal to Greater Brisbane's and younger than the national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group in Caboolture is strongly represented at 6.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 35-44 cohort is less prevalent at 12.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.2% of Caboolture's population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 14.2% to 13.6%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Caboolture. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 1,671 people (74%), from 2,272 to 3,944. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow modestly by 5% (98 people).