Caboolture South

Caboolture South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the estimated population of Caboolture South as of Feb 2026 is around 9,007. This reflects an increase of 1,468 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,539. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 8,576 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,080 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 19.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the national average (9.9%) and the state average. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 64.0% of overall population gains, though all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. According to demographic trends, a significant population increase is forecast for the suburb of Caboolture South, with an expected expansion by 3,036 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 28.9% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Caboolture South has seen approximately 129 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 646 homes. As of FY-26, 50 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.5 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over this period, suggesting solid demand for property. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $329,000.

In FY-26, $3.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential growth. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture South records elevated construction activity, with 30.0% more dwellings approved per person over the past five years. This activity reflects strong developer confidence in the area and provides reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. New developments consist of 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a notable shift from the area's current housing composition (88.0% houses). The location has approximately 54 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Caboolture South is projected to add 2,605 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Caboolture South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Caboolture River Road Upgrade, Montrose Master Planned Community, Coles Caboolture West (Lilywood Town Centre), and Morayfield Marketplace. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Caboolture South face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Caboolture South has a mixed workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 10.2% as of December 2025. This is higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Employment grew by 3.7% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data. As of December 2025, 3,539 residents are employed. The workforce participation rate is lower at 56.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%. Only 7.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Major industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a high concentration with employment levels at 6.8 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 3.5%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.7% while labour force grew by 3.8%, keeping the unemployment rate stable at 6.0%. In Greater Brisbane, employment grew by 3.2%, labour force expanded by 3.0%, and unemployment fell to 4.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caboolture South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Caboolture South has a median taxpayer income of $42,476 and an average income of $48,135 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below the national average, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $46,685 (median) and $52,905 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Caboolture South all fall between the 11th and 12th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $800 - 1,499 bracket dominates with 30.5% of residents (2,747 people), diverging from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile.

Caboolture South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caboolture South's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture South stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 40.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Caboolture South was $320, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Caboolture South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 17.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 26.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Caboolture South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas, each at 1.5%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (31.1%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.3% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 3.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture South has 24 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 525 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living within 263 metres of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 89%, while train usage stands at 6%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling in Caboolture South, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 7.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 75 trips per day, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture South faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 4,168 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 12.0% and 10.5% of residents respectively. However, 57.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to higher chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 21.8% aged 65 and over (1,963 people), compared to 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly inline with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caboolture South records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture South's population has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 10.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Caboolture South, comprising 44.2% of its population. Notably, Judaism is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, making up 0.1% of Caboolture South's population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (30.3%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (7.2%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Samoan is overrepresented at 1.0%, Maori at 1.2%, and Australian Aboriginal at 5.4%.

Caboolture South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caboolture South's median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than the national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 8.6%, higher than Greater Brisbane, while the 35-44 cohort stands at 11.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group grew from 6.4% to 8.6%, and the 5-14 cohort decreased from 13.0% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Caboolture South. The 75-84 age group is projected to increase by 660 people (85%), from 774 to 1,435. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 53% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 4%, adding 20 people.