Caboolture South

Caboolture South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of Caboolture South is estimated at around 9,102, reflecting an increase of 1,563 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Caboolture South by AreaSearch was 8,664 in June 2024. This growth represents a 20.7% increase from the previous census figure of 7,539. The population density is estimated at 2,102 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Caboolture South's growth rate since the 2021 Census (20.7%) exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort where necessary. By 2041, the suburb is forecast to increase by 3,206 persons, reflecting a total gain of 30.3% over the 17 years based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Caboolture South had around 152 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 761 homes. As of FY-26, 24 approvals have been recorded. The average number of people moving to the area per new home constructed over these years is 2.1, indicating solid demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average cost of $327,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $5.9 million in commercial development approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential growth. When measured against Greater Brisbane, Caboolture South records 52.0% more construction activity per person, creating greater choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 66.0% standalone homes and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouse and apartment options providing diverse housing choices across different price points. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, currently at 88.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles. The location has approximately 94 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Future projections estimate Caboolture South will add 2,754 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Caboolture South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones include Caboolture River Road Upgrade, Montrose Master Planned Community, Coles Caboolture West, and Morayfield Marketplace. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Caboolture South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Caboolture South has a mixed workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs across various sectors. Its unemployment rate was 8.9% in June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 14.0% over the past year.

This is higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. As of June 2025, 3,506 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 4.8% above Greater Brisbane's rate. Workforce participation in Caboolture South lags at 50.8%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area has a notable concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with employment levels at 6.8 times the regional average. However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented, at 3.5% compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 14.0%, while labour force increased by 7.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 5.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 4.4% and unemployment fall by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Caboolture South. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, with local employment projected to increase by 6.2%. Over ten years, these figures are 13.7% nationally and 13.1% locally. These projections are simple extrapolations based on industry-specific growth rates and do not account for localised population changes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Caboolture South's median taxpayer income was $42,417 and average was $48,069 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average of $55,645 (median) and $70,520 (average). By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $48,351 and average $54,794, based on Wage Price Index growth. Census data shows incomes in Caboolture South fall between the 11th and 12th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 30.5% of residents (2,776 people) earn between $800 and $1,499 annually, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket is predominant at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Caboolture South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caboolture South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture South was higher at 29.0%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (30.5%) or rented (40.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,625. The median weekly rent was $320, compared to Brisbane metro's $335. Nationally, Caboolture South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,500 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Caboolture South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 17.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 26.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

Caboolture South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (9.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas at 1.5% each. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 10.7%, while certificates make up 31.1%.

Educational participation is high at 28.0%, including 10.3% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education. Caboolture Special School serves the area with an enrollment of 154 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 955) with balanced educational opportunities. There is one primary-focused school; secondary options are available nearby. Local school capacity is limited at 1.7 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.1, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture South has 24 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 525 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is considered good, with residents on average living just 263 meters from their nearest stop.

Across all routes, an average of 75 trips per day is maintained, which translates to about 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture South faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 46% of the total population (around 4,209 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 12.0% and 10.5% of residents respectively. However, 57.6% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 61.9% across Greater Brisbane. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 21.6% (1,966 people), than the 17.0% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally mirroring those of the overall population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Caboolture South was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture South's population showed higher than average cultural diversity, with 10.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 44.2%. Judaism was notably overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to the region's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (7.2%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Samoan at 1.0% (regional average was 0.7%), Maori at 1.2% (same as regional), and Australian Aboriginal at 5.4% (higher than the region's 4.2%).

Caboolture South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caboolture South has a median age of 36 years, which is equal to Greater Brisbane's and slightly younger than Australia's national average of 38 years. The population aged 65-74 stands at 11.4%, higher than Greater Brisbane's proportion. Conversely, the 35-44 age group makes up 11.5% of Caboolture South's population, lower than Greater Brisbane's percentage. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.4% to 8.3%. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.0% to 12.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Caboolture South. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, growing by 754 people (100%) from 755 to 1,510. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. In contrast, the 25-34 age group is expected to decrease by 17 residents.