Caboolture South

Caboolture South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of Caboolture South is around 9,007 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,468 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,539. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 8,576 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This equates to a density ratio of 2,080 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Caboolture South's growth rate of 19.5% since the 2021 census exceeded both the national average (9.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Forecasting demographic trends, a significant population increase is expected in Caboolture South, with the area projected to expand by 3,196 persons to reach 12,203 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 31.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Caboolture South had approximately 129 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 647 homes. As of FY-26, 46 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.5 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating solid demand supporting property values. The average construction value for new homes was $329,000.

This financial year has seen $3.9 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to residential. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture South records elevated construction activity, at 28.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, offering reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. New development consists of 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 88.0% houses). The location has approximately 54 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Future projections estimate Caboolture South to add 2,839 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Future projections show Caboolture South adding 2,839 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Caboolture South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects that could impact the region. Notable ones include the Caboolture River Road Upgrade, Montrose Master Planned Community, Coles Caboolture West (Lilywood Town Centre), and Morayfield Marketplace. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Caboolture South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Caboolture South has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 8.7% as of September 2025. This is an increase from the previous year's estimated employment growth of 11.2%.

As of September 2025, 3,616 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Brisbane's by 4.7%. Workforce participation in Caboolture South lags at 56.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. Only 7.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Notably, agriculture, forestry & fishing has a high concentration with levels at 6.8 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 3.5% of Caboolture South's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 11.2%, while labour force increased by 6.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 4.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, employment should increase by 6.2% in Caboolture South, and by 13.1% over ten years. These projections are based on industry-specific growth rates applied to the local employment mix for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Caboolture South's median taxpayer income in financial year 2023 was $42,476, with an average of $48,135 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $46,685 and the average $52,905 based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.91%. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture South fall between the 11th and 12th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the $800 - 1,499 income bracket dominates with 30.5% of residents (2,747 people), unlike regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Caboolture South, with only 80.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Caboolture South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caboolture South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture South stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 40.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Caboolture South was $320, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Caboolture South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 17.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 26.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Caboolture South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas, each at 1.5%. Vocational credentials are held by 41.8% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 31.1%. Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture South has 24 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by five routes, offering 525 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents have good access to these stops, with an average distance of 263 meters to the nearest one. Most residents commute outwards from this mainly residential area. Cars are the dominant transport mode at 89%, while trains account for 6%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 7.8% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency is 75 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture South faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions have substantial impacts on both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low in the area, at approximately 46% of the total population (around 4,168 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues, affecting 12.0% of residents, and arthritis, impacting 10.5%. Conversely, 57.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age individuals in the area face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 22.3% of residents aged 65 and over (around 2,008 people), compared to 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely aligning with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caboolture South records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture South's population had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 10.4% speaking languages other than English at home, and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Caboolture South, comprising 44.2%. Judaism, however, showed an overrepresentation compared to Greater Brisbane, with 0.1% of Caboolture South's population identifying as such.

In terms of ancestry, English (30.3%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (7.2%) were the top groups represented. Notably, Samoan (1.0%), Maori (1.2%), and Australian Aboriginal (5.4%) groups had higher percentages in Caboolture South compared to regional averages of 0.9%, 1.1%, and 2.1% respectively.

Caboolture South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caboolture South's median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than the national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group makes up 8.8%, higher than Greater Brisbane, while the 35-44 cohort stands at 11.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group grew from 6.4% to 8.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort fell from 15.9% to 14.7%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 13.0% to 11.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Caboolture South. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to increase substantially by 690 people (87%), from 792 to 1,483. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 53% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows modestly by 5%, adding 26 people.