Caboolture South

Caboolture South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Caboolture South statistical area's population is estimated at around 9,006. This reflects an increase of 1,467 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,539. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 8,576 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 300 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,079 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Caboolture South's growth rate of 19.5% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the national average (9.7%) and state average, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Moving forward, a significant population increase is forecast for the top quartile of national areas, with Caboolture South expected to expand by 3,206 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 31.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Caboolture South had approximately 129 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 647 homes. As of FY-26, 46 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.5 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating solid demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $329,000.

In FY-26, $3.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to residential growth. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture South records elevated construction activity, with 28.0% more approvals per person over the past five years. This reflects strong developer confidence in the area and provides reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand nationally. New development consists of 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, showing a shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 88.0% houses). The location has approximately 54 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market with current construction levels expected to meet demand adequately.

Future projections estimate Caboolture South adding 2,850 residents by 2041, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Caboolture South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Caboolture River Road Upgrade, Montrose Master Planned Community, Coles Caboolture West (Lilywood Town Centre), and Morayfield Marketplace. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Caboolture South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Caboolture South's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with varied industry representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.7% in the past year, showing an employment growth of 11.1%.

As of September 2025, 3621 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 4.7%, which is 0.7% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Caboolture South is lower at 50.8% compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Notably, agriculture, forestry & fishing has high concentration with levels at 6.8 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 3.5% of Caboolture South's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 11.1%, while labour force grew by 6.1%, leading to a 4.1 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8% and unemployment fall by 0.5%. Statewide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1210 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caboolture South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Caboolture South's median taxpayer income is $42,476 and average is $48,135 according to latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below national averages of $58,236 (median) and $72,799 (average) in Greater Brisbane. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $46,685 and average $52,905 based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Caboolture South fall between the 11th and 12th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 30.5% of residents (2,746 people) earn within the $800 - $1,499 bracket, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 80.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile.

Caboolture South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caboolture South's latest Census data shows 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings, contrasting with Brisbane metro's 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture South stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged properties at 30.5% and rented ones at 40.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,625. Median weekly rent in the area was $320, compared to Brisbane metro's $335. Nationally, Caboolture South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,500 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $320 compared to the national figure of $375.

Caboolture South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 17.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 26.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

Caboolture South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas, both at 1.5%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (31.1%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (10.3%), secondary (8.0%), and tertiary (3.3%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture South has 24 operational public transport stops. These are served by a variety of bus routes, totalling five in number. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 525.

The accessibility of transport in the area is deemed good, with residents on average being located 263 meters from their nearest stop. On average, there are 75 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caboolture South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture South faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. The rate of private health cover in the area is approximately 46%, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 12.0% and 10.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 57.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 61.9% in Greater Brisbane. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 21.6% (1,945 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 17.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly similar to those of the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caboolture South records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture South had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 10.4% of its population speaking languages other than English at home as of the 2016 Census. Overseas birth comprised 21.9% of Caboolture South's population during this period. Christianity was the predominant religion in Caboolture South, accounting for 44.2%.

However, Judaism had a notable overrepresentation, making up 0.1% compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, English (30.3%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (7.2%) were the top three groups in Caboolture South. Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Samoan was overrepresented at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, Maori had an identical representation of 1.2%, and Australian Aboriginal was higher at 5.4% versus the regional average of 4.2%.

Caboolture South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caboolture South has a median age of 36 years, which is equal to Greater Brisbane's median age but younger than the national average of 38 years. The age group of 65-74 years makes up 11.4% of Caboolture South's population, higher than Greater Brisbane's percentage. Conversely, the 35-44 age group comprises 11.4%, which is less prevalent compared to Greater Brisbane. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.4% to 8.3%. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.0% to 12.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Caboolture South. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 762 people (102%), from 747 to 1,510. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. In contrast, both the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.