Caboolture South

Caboolture South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Caboolture South is around 9,068 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,529 people (20.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,539 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 8,901 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 321 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,094 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 20.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.3%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Moving forward with demographic trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the suburb expected to expand by 2,700 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 27.9% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Caboolture South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Caboolture South has seen around 129 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 646 homes. So far in FY-26, 86 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 2.9 people moved to the area per new home constructed, suggesting solid demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $329,000. This financial year has seen $3.9 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Caboolture South records somewhat elevated construction activity, with 28.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. The location has approximately 53 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Future projections show Caboolture South adding 2,533 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts. New development consists of 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, representing a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 88.0% houses. This shift indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options.

Caboolture South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Caboolture River Road Upgrade, Montrose Master Planned Community, Coles Caboolture West (Lilywood Town Centre), and Morayfield Marketplace. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Caboolture South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Caboolture South has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 9.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.0%. As of December 2025, 3604 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.2%, above Greater Brisbane's 4.1%.

Workforce participation is lower at 54.4%. Only 7.8% work from home. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a notable concentration with levels at 6.8 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services are under-represented at 3.5%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 4.0% while labour force increased by 3.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Caboolture South's employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Caboolture South had a median taxpayer income of $42,476 and an average income of $48,135 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average, which stood at $58,236 for median income and $72,799 for average income in Greater Brisbane during the same period. By March 2026, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% suggest the median income would be approximately $47,301 and the average income around $53,603. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Caboolture South all fell between the 11th and 12th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile showed that the $800 - $1,499 bracket dominated with 30.5% of residents (2,765 people), unlike regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category was predominant at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures were severe in the suburb, with only 80.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Caboolture South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caboolture South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caboolture South was higher at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 40.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,500, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $320, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Caboolture South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Caboolture South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 17.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 26.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Caboolture South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (31.1%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caboolture South has 24 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by five routes offering 525 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is good, with residents on average 263 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outwards. Cars dominate at 89%, with trains at 6%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional norm.

Only 7.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census). Service frequency averages 75 trips daily across all routes, around 21 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Caboolture South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Caboolture South faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions impact both younger and older age groups, with a notably low private health cover rate of approximately 46% (around 4,196 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 12.0% and 10.5% of residents respectively, while 57.6% report having no medical ailments, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.2%.

The working-age population experiences substantial health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.8% (1,886 people), than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning broadly with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caboolture South records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caboolture South had a cultural diversity above average, with 10.4% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Caboolture South, accounting for 44.2% of people. Judaism showed an overrepresentation, comprising 0.1% compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, English (30.3%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (7.2%) were the top three groups represented in Caboolture South. Notable divergences included Samoan at 1.0%, Maori at 1.2%, and Australian Aboriginal at 5.4% compared to regional averages of 0.9%, 1.1%, and 2.1% respectively.

Caboolture South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caboolture South has a median age of 36 years, which is equal to Greater Brisbane's and slightly younger than Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group makes up 8.0%, higher than Greater Brisbane, while the 35-44 cohort stands at 11.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 6.4% to 8.0%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.0% to 11.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Caboolture South. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 638 people (88%), from 725 to 1,364. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 54% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 2%, adding just 9 people.